The Brigadier Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Day two of the Dublin Racing Festival at Leopardstown where the ground remains on the slow side. Musselburgh also host their second day of their Trials meeting with the ground also on the soft side following rain on Saturday. Here’s my thoughts on the 9 ITV races :- Leopardstown 1.20 Eight go to post for the 2m 5 1/2F novice chase. We have a very warm favourite here in the Willie Mullins trained Galopin Des Champs who was a highly impressive winner of a beginners chase over course and distance over Christmas impressing with his fast and fluent jumping. He’s a very short price for a horse who’s only won a beginners chase but he was a smart hurdler who won at the Cheltenham Festival last season and will be hard to beat in a race Mullins has won on 5 of the last 9 runnings with the likes of Monkfish and Faugheen. In typical Mullins style he also saddle three others although the one to chase the favourite hom maybe the JP McManus owned Capodanno who chased home Bob Olinger last time out. Musselburgh 1.32 A disappointing turnout in quantity and quality here as Seven go to post for the Scottish Triumph Hurdle, a listed race run over just short of two miles. The free running Inca Prince has run away with two poor juvenile hurdles since joining Ruth Jefferson and the trainer has booked the services of Brian Hughes. This represents a step up in class mind and a big threat comes from the Nicky Henderson challenger Impulsive One who was last seen when getting beaten on the all weather at Wolverhampton. Irish trainer John McConnell saddles a brace of runners in Innatendue who’s making his British debut having joined the handler from France and Calvados, a filly who has already been runner up in listed company at Aintree earlier in the season. She was last seen when beaten 18L by the smart Fil Dor in the Knight Frank Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown on Boxing Day. That wasn’t a bad effort and at the current odds is maybe the best value here with Sean Bowen riding. She sports a first time hood today which may help eke further improvement out of her. CALVADOS 1 point win @ 11/2 Bet365 Leopardstown 1.50 A small but select field of five go to post for the Dublin Chase run over 2m 1F. This is a race that’s only been run on four occasions and Willie Mullins has won all four, twice with Min and twice with this years warm favourite Chacun Pour Soi. The latter would be an even stronger favourite had he not blotted his copybook at Sandown last time out in the Tingle Creek at Sandown when running a lifeless race finishing a 34L last of five behind Greaneteen. That surely wasn’t his form but it’s hard to take odds on about a horse that ran so flat last time out. The winner of the Tingle Creek Greaneteen is over from England and is probably the value play today. He not only had Chacun Pour Soi behind last time but also Captain Guinness and with the other pair Cash Back and Dunvegan 10lb inferior on official ratings it maybe worth a small interest. The only nagging doubt is the current form of Paul Nicholls which is pretty dire by his standards. GREANETEEN 1 point win @ 4/1 Boylesports Musselburgh 2.05 Six assemble for the Scottish Supreme Novices’ Hurdle run over 1m 7F 124yds. Despite its name this race will most certainly not be causing any ripples in the Cheltenham race of the same name with the highest rated here only 128. That is the Olly Murphy trained Restandbethankful, a handicap hurdle winner last time out at Huntingdon under a big weight. He should run well. Also at the head of the market is the Donald McCain trained Since Day One who’s chasing a four timer here having won three modest maiden/novice hurdles at Newcastle this season. He too should be competitive. The Irish raider Kihavah shouldn’t be under estimated either. Trained by Aidrian Paul Keatley he ran well in a decent handicap last weekend at Cheltenham and at the current prices is actually the percentage call. I’ll take him to take this under Conor O’Farrell. KIHAVAH 1 point win @ 11/2 William Hill Leopardstown 2.25 One of two ultra competitive handicaps on the Leopardstown card today. This one is over fences and run over 2m 5F 61yds. 17 go to post with the current favourite being the Willie Mullins trained Blackbow who ran well on his handicap debut at Fairyhouse last month over 2m 1F and should appreciate the extra half a mile today. Novice’s Gallant John Joe and Max Flamingo are interesting on their handicap debuts especially the latter who drops in trip here having finished a credible fourth in grade one company here over the Christmas period. In a wide open handicap he is worth a small each way interest with conditional jockey PJ O’Hanlon taking a valuable 7lb off of the gelding. MAX FLAMINGO 1 point each way @ 8/1 Bet365 1/5th 12345 Musselburgh 2.40 A Pertemps qualifier run over three miles and a healthy enough field of eleven going to post. Martin Keighley’s Brorson landed a punt in no uncertain manner when scooting up in a poor race at Fakenham last time on his first start at three miles under today’s jockey Sean Bowen and despite a 13lb rise in the handicap may still be improving so looks a decent bet to follow up here and enhance his credentials for the final at Cheltenham in March. Wakool is chasing a four timer for the Nick Alexander stable having risen some 23lb for that hat trick. He stays well and looks a threat whilst Fergal O’Brien’s Ratfacemcdougall has good track form and should also be thereabouts. BRORSON 2 points win @ 3/1 Bet365 Leopardstown 3.00 The Chantelle Pharma Irish Champion Hurdle has been won by Henry De Bromhead’s superstar mare Honeysuckle for the last two years and it will be a major shock if she doesn’t win again. She’s unbeaten in 13 starts now (including her point to point) which includes 9 graded one contests. She looked better than ever when winning on her re-appearance at Fairyhouse and let’s hope all goes well with her during the race and she comes home safe and sound. Zanahiyr can chase her home. Musselburgh 3.15 A competitive eight runner two mile handicap chase with a decent pot of £12k to the winner. All eight runners have chances of sorts with Martin Keighley’s Cotswolds stable represented by likely favourite in Sarasota Star who arrives here in decent form. It maybe worth chancing bottom weight Lucky Flight who was going well when unseating his jockey two from home at Kelso on Thursday. This is a quick turnaround but in such an open race it maybe worth a speculative each way bet on Lucinda Russell’s 8 year old. LUCKY FLIGHT 1/2 point each way @ 12/1 Bet365 1/5th 123 Leopardstown 3.35 Nine runners go to post for the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle run over two miles. Yet again another warm favourite in Sir Gerhard who was a top bumper horse last season winning the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham. Willie Mullins’ seven year old was very impressive on his hurdling debut when winning over course and distance on Boxing Day when a big odds on chance and can take this en route to a tilt at one of the two big novice hurdles at Cheltenham in six weeks time. There’s little between My Mate Mozzie and Statuaire on Royal Bond running at Fairyhouse in November and the biggest threat to the favourite may come from the Gordon Elliott runner Three Stripe Life who only went down by a length and a half to his stable mate Mighty Potter over course and distance over Christmas in the Future Champions Novice Hurdle. That form as it stands is better than Sir Gerhards romp but it’s the latter who may have the more progression and looks a good bet here despite his short odds. SIR GERHARD 3 points win @ 11/10 Bet365 Budgie 65, gbettle, LEE-GRAYS and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 (edited) autumn evening 4 10 leop 1/4 pt win 16/1 drop the anchor 4 10 leop 36/1 1/4 pt win 36/1 P/L + 119 pts Edited February 6, 2022 by black rabbit adding selections azzybear, alexcaruso808, Wildgarden and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 all betfair sp mainly favs day! 1245 leopardstown party central and glan 120 leopardstown master mcshee e/w 150 leopardstown chacun pur soi 300 leopardstown honey suckle 335 leopardstown sir gerhard 100 musselburgh broadway joe 205 musselburgh since day one 315 musselburgh nero rock 420 musselburgh zafar The Brigadier, kroni, The Equaliser and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 430 kemp Dingle 9.6 7/2 Lammas 9.2 8.2 betfair Sannaadh 8.7 7/1 Mostawaaa 8.2 20/1 2pts dingle ...1pt others Fellcrawler, The Equaliser, black rabbit and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 5, 2022 Share Posted February 5, 2022 Really wanted to have a go at this irish race ......I'd advise caution as my ratings struggle with the class of race in Ireland but I've set the bar high and used 2 diff ones so I'll have a bash at it and we'll see what happens lol Blackbow 8.4 8.4 betfair Minella times 8.0 34.0 betfair Ten ten 7.6 14/1 The shunter 7.3 10/1 1pt each black rabbit, Budgie 65, The Equaliser and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 AW selection Kempton 4.30 DANCE AT NIGHT 3/1 black rabbit, The Brigadier, LEE-GRAYS and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) 11 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 430 kemp Dingle 9.6 7/2 Lammas 9.2 8.2 betfair Sannaadh 8.7 7/1 Mostawaaa 8.2 20/1 2pts dingle ...1pt others got dingle and sannadh already. we dont know where dance at night is and i havrnt had word from info so think good shot at prices Edited February 6, 2022 by Wildgarden The Equaliser, kroni, Budgie 65 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: got dingle and sannadh already. we dont know where dance at night is and i havrnt had word from info so think good shot at prices Yeah I think it hinges on where dance at night is ......he's going further and needs to go a lot faster to beat some of these ....interesting race on a Sunday though ? The Equaliser, The Brigadier, Budgie 65 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) 11 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Yeah I think it hinges on where dance at night is ......he's going further and needs to go a lot faster to beat some of these ....interesting race on a Sunday though ? ye. mclarke has it as a pick maybe cos probert on and coming from.novices good on stats? probert has bad strike up in distance though. Edited February 6, 2022 by Wildgarden Budgie 65 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 It's gotta be hannon 430 KEM Dingle 11/4 The Equaliser and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Two Trixie today: 1.32 Muss Inca Prince 13/8 3.25 Km Old Port 6/4 4.00 Km La Tihaty 10/11 (PL Nap) 1 x 3.2 pt Trixie = Poss return of 23.08 1.00 Muss Broadway Joe 10/11 2.05 Muss Since Day One 13/8 2.40 Muss Wakool 11/4 1 x 2.8 Trixie = poss return of 28.55 Singles: 2.40 Muss Wakool 2.3 pts at 3.8 = 8.31 poss return = 8.3 pts Fun bet with @richard-westwood ratings 4.30 Km Dance At Night 7/2, Dingle 3/1, Sanaadh 17/2 and Uzincso 9/1 (had to refer back to TF as opposed to RPR on this one) = 2 pts bet i.e 0.5 pts on each. I kind of agree with @Wildgardennot to increase stakes on the shorter priced options. This should be fun to watch 10.3 pts staked richard-westwood, azzybear, alexcaruso808 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alley Cat Glover Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Just a bit of fun my picks for a lucky 15 Leop 2.25 Rebel Gold Leop 4.10 In from the Cold Kemp 4.00 Karabina Kemp 4.30 Lammas All with Sky for the extra places Also 10p each way trebles 2.25 Rebel Gold & Ten Ten 4.10 In from the cold & Wouldn’t you agree 4.30 Lammas & Dingle (year of dragon been backed as if can’t be beat) Hate picking one and seeing the other run well which I decided against. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Sat here wondering how many of these odds on and shorties are going to get beat and if so what opportunities there are. a smart man would leave well alone, i wish i was a smart man. The Equaliser, MCLARKE, richard-westwood and 2 others 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 100 mus Broadway Jo 132 miss Inca prince 215 KEM Mells flyer 430 KEM Dingle nap The Equaliser, Wildgarden and azzybear 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Zilzalian said: Sat here wondering how many of these odds on and shorties are going to get beat and if so what opportunities there are. a smart man would leave well alone, i wish i was a smart man. Never back a odds on never back against odds on lol Zilzalian 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 going for a bit of fame and glory small e.w 4.40 knockanard lady 25/1 bet365 Budgie 65 and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said: going for a bit of fame and glory small e.w 4.40 knockanard lady 25/1 bet365 Hi pink in the park comes wit a reputation I was gonna put 30 as get out bet on it azzybear 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Budgie 65 said: Hi pink in the park comes wit a reputation I was gonna put 30 as get out bet on it mullins got hat full running watch out for fame and glory sire horses in bumpers in irland and gb also b o.neil good jocky in bumpers riding for g.elliot today Budgie 65 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 party central 12.45 Broadway Joe 1.00 The Equaliser and LEE-GRAYS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 2 hours ago, Wildgarden said: ye. mclarke has it as a pick maybe cos probert on and coming from.novices good on stats? probert has bad strike up in distance though. I don't put that much thought into it I'm afraid. Having said that I do prefer a male jockey to a female jockey (although the 2 in this race do have good records). System criteria are DSLR > 25, age < 7 and exclude claiming jockeys. There are actually 3 qualifiers (Year Of The Dragon and Mostawaa are the other 2) and in these situations I will go for the one with shortest odds. gbettle, Wildgarden and alexcaruso808 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) 18 hours ago, Wildgarden said: all betfair sp mainly favs day! 1245 leopardstown party central won 2.89 held of say goodbye with nice late run at big price and glan. 120 leopardstown master mcshee e/w 2nd bit of profit there on the place. +0.98 150 leopardstown chacun pur soi won 1.63 300 leopardstown honey suckle won + 0.24 335 leopardstown sir gerhard won +0.62 100 musselburgh broadway joe 2nd ;-( 205 musselburgh since day one 2nd 315 musselburgh nero rock 2nd 420 musselburgh zafar nowhere let down by 2nds -0.7 lsp one if them weeks. Edited February 6, 2022 by Wildgarden LEE-GRAYS, alexcaruso808 and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 BET365 4/1 TV OFFER MUSS 2.40 Coastal World 6.00 LEOP 3.35 Colonel Mustard 16.00 Wildgarden and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) 15 hours ago, richard-westwood said: Really wanted to have a go at this irish race ......I'd advise caution as my ratings struggle with the class of race in Ireland but I've set the bar high and used 2 diff ones so I'll have a bash at it and we'll see what happens lol Blackbow 8.4 8.4 betfair Minella times 8.0 34.0 betfair Ten ten 7.6 14/1 The shunter 7.3 10/1 1pt each I thought blackbow ..5th..was going to do it ....faded at the last ..... almost every race ends like this in Ireland....stay away richee Edited February 6, 2022 by richard-westwood The Equaliser and Wildgarden 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Just watched Samcro schooling in public..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 3 hours ago, Zilzalian said: Sat here wondering how many of these odds on and shorties are going to get beat and if so what opportunities there are. a smart man would leave well alone, i wish i was a smart man. Sat here wishing I'd done some accas ? Budgie 65, The Equaliser, Zilzalian and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) Leopardstown lol, hills had 5/1 favs treble special i put on, so glad that came up. Edited February 6, 2022 by fd1972uk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Budgie 65 Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) 10 ACCA how much would have that paid 50ish Edited February 6, 2022 by Budgie 65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 (edited) 6 hours ago, Wildgarden said: got dingle and sannadh already. we dont know where dance at night is and i havrnt had word from info so think good shot at prices sanadh wins for saver on the forum for me embarassed with last few days results. dingle 2nd for lovely 1-2 +19.6 lsp use bsp as usual Edited February 6, 2022 by Wildgarden richard-westwood and Budgie 65 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 18 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 430 kemp Dingle 9.6 7/2 Lammas 9.2 8.2 betfair Sannaadh 8.7 7/1 Mostawaaa 8.2 20/1 2pts dingle ...1pt others Sannaadh beats dingle !!...but will get paid at massive 14/1 ! ....Nice doing business lol ...I do love a drifter ? Alley Cat Glover, Wildgarden, gbettle and 4 others 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted February 6, 2022 Share Posted February 6, 2022 Quote 1 minute ago, richard-westwood said: Sannaadh beats dingle !!...but will get paid at massive 14/1 ! ....Nice doing business lol ...I do love a drifter ? Very well done; I will have to be content with 17/2 as I don't get BOG. RPR top rated. Works sometimes and Hollie Doyle in cracking form. Many thanks; this may have put me in front for the day Budgie 65, richard-westwood and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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