vicsuna

Everton vs Watford: HT/FT Draw/Everton 
Burned my fingers last week with Everton but willing to try my luck again. Everton are the team with most Half Time/Full Time Draw/Wins at home in the each of the last 2 seasons 7 in 17/18 and 6 in 18/19. This means 13 out of their last 20 wins at home in the Premiership ended in such a fashion or more than a third out of 38 games.
Everton had the most draws at half time both at home (10) and in all games (21) from all Premiership teams last season. They also won more than 50% of their home games last season and 10 out of 12 games vs Watford at home.
Odds for that bet are generous above 4.5, so implied probability is less than 25% and I see value here. A slow start and Everton win is what I am looking for in this tight match.

Football Facts and Streaks regarding Premier League
Man City have won their last 15 matches in Premier League.
Tottenham have lost their last 6 away matches in Premier League.
Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in their last 10 matches in Premier League.
You can find interesting 58 Football Betting Streaks for 17.08.2019 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-17-08-2019-15255

Arsenal vs Burnley ✔️1(3-0)
Everton vs Watford 1✔️(2-1)
Brighton vs West Ham✔️ ✔️X(1-1)
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth ❌1(2-1)
Norwich vs Newcastle ❌X(1-1)
Southampton vs Liverpool ✔️2(0-3)
Mancity vs Tottenham✔️ ✔️X(2-2)
Sunday
Sheffield untd vs C. Palace✔️ 1(2-1)
Chelsea  vs Leicester  ✔️X(2-2)
Monday 
Wolves vs Man U 2(1-2)

Crystal Palace vs Everton: Everton to win
Selhurst Park is the smallest Premiership stadium in London and typically teams visiting Crystal Palace have a walk in the park. Last season Palace didn’t score a goal in front of their own fans until the end of October and they didn’t win at home until December. They only scored 19 goals in their own ground all season and five of them (26%) came in their 5-3 win over Bournemouth on the final day of the season.
Crystal Palace have won only 1 game out of 10 matches at home in the Premiership vs Everton and that happened 25 years ago. Everton won 5 games and the other 4 matches at Selhurst Park ended as ties.
Roy Hodgson is the current favourite to be the first sacked manager in the Premiership and he is facing one of his least favourite opponents in the first round of the season as Everton have beaten teams led by Hodgson 10 out of 17 times.
Palace's player of 18/19 season - Wan Bissaka went to Manchester United, Michy Batshuayi returned to Chelsea and their star upfront Zaha wanted to force a move out of the club till deadline day. Lack of incoming quality transfers with only 7.6 million EUR spent and Gary Cahill coming for free suggests Palace may fall short of last year's results.
Meanwhile, Everton reinforced almost all positions of their squad and only lost 1 key player - Idrissa Guye, who may have been very good defensively but some pundits reckon he did not add anything to the team's attacking play. Everton did manage to replace Guye with the defensive midfielder Gbambin from Mainz that can even score goals and added one of Europe's hottest young talents - Moise Kean from Juventus.
All in all it seems justified that the odds for Everton have shortened from 2.6 to 2.37 on bet365 since @StevieDay1983 opened this topic few weeks ago and I am happy to back them as well.
 
 

Crystal Palace vs Everton: Everton to win
Selhurst Park is the smallest Premiership stadium in London and typically teams visiting Crystal Palace have a walk in the park. Last season Palace didn’t score a goal in front of their own fans until the end of October and they didn’t win at home until December. They only scored 19 goals in their own ground all season and five of them (26%) came in their 5-3 win over Bournemouth on the final day of the season.
Crystal Palace have won only 1 game out of 10 matches at home in the Premiership vs Everton and that happened 25 years ago. Everton won 5 games and the other 4 matches at Selhurst Park ended as ties.
Roy Hodgson is the current favourite to be the first sacked manager in the Premiership and he is facing one of his least favourite opponents in the first round of the season as Everton have beaten teams led by Hodgson 10 out of 17 times.
Palace's player of 18/19 season - Wan Bissaka went to Manchester United, Michy Batshuayi returned to Chelsea and their star upfront Zaha wanted to force a move out of the club till deadline day. Lack of incoming quality transfers with only 7.6 million EUR spent and Gary Cahill coming for free suggests Palace may fall short of last year's results.
Meanwhile, Everton reinforced almost all positions of their squad and only lost 1 key player - Idrissa Guye, who may have been very good defensively but some pundits reckon he did not add anything to the team's attacking play. Everton did manage to replace Guye with the defensive midfielder Gbambin from Mainz that can even score goals and added one of Europe's hottest young talents - Moise Kean from Juventus.
All in all it seems justified that the odds for Everton have shortened from 2.6 to 2.37 on bet365 since @StevieDay1983 opened this topic few weeks ago and I am happy to back them as well.
 
 

lampard is relying a lot of younger players who of course are not as established or recognisable yet but chelsea will still have solid quality to compete. i think we will see some players establish themselves in the chelsea team this season. it's hard to read into first round matches in premier league but i am sure man utd will want to start with a victory and impose their attacking style. this is the season where solskjaer has to get it right with man utd. i think it will be open attacking game and i see man utd winning in the end but both teams scoring MAN UTD WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE, 3-4 TOTAL GOALS
i have a strong feeling tottenham will lose points or at least be run close by aston villa in any case. it would be really bad if tottenham doesn't pick up three points. their chances of title would take a massive knock. they are capable to win but i just got a feeling aston villa will get back at them especially if tottenham get ahead. aston villa has nothing to lose in this fixture and i am sure they will be eager to get going with it. i expect another open game where four or five goals go in. ASTON VILLA OR DRAW, 3-4 TOTAL GOALS 
i read recently that roy hodgson think's he needs five more players in the squad. that may hint they he is not happy with the squad strength or depth. it's going to be tough season for them as zaha want's out and if he is not fully focused then the hosts will struggle. marco silva has a lot to prove with everton this year. i though he managed to improve everton defensively in closing stages of last season but now he has had whole summer to make them defensively even better. EVERTON WIN, 0-2 FINAL RESULT

Crystal Palace vs Everton: Everton to win
Selhurst Park is the smallest Premiership stadium in London and typically teams visiting Crystal Palace have a walk in the park. Last season Palace didn’t score a goal in front of their own fans until the end of October and they didn’t win at home until December. They only scored 19 goals in their own ground all season and five of them (26%) came in their 5-3 win over Bournemouth on the final day of the season.
Crystal Palace have won only 1 game out of 10 matches at home in the Premiership vs Everton and that happened 25 years ago. Everton won 5 games and the other 4 matches at Selhurst Park ended as ties.
Roy Hodgson is the current favourite to be the first sacked manager in the Premiership and he is facing one of his least favourite opponents in the first round of the season as Everton have beaten teams led by Hodgson 10 out of 17 times.
Palace's player of 18/19 season - Wan Bissaka went to Manchester United, Michy Batshuayi returned to Chelsea and their star upfront Zaha wanted to force a move out of the club till deadline day. Lack of incoming quality transfers with only 7.6 million EUR spent and Gary Cahill coming for free suggests Palace may fall short of last year's results.
Meanwhile, Everton reinforced almost all positions of their squad and only lost 1 key player - Idrissa Guye, who may have been very good defensively but some pundits reckon he did not add anything to the team's attacking play. Everton did manage to replace Guye with the defensive midfielder Gbambin from Mainz that can even score goals and added one of Europe's hottest young talents - Moise Kean from Juventus.
All in all it seems justified that the odds for Everton have shortened from 2.6 to 2.37 on bet365 since @StevieDay1983 opened this topic few weeks ago and I am happy to back them as well.
 
 

I don't think you can read too much into pre season in terms of results. While they are important they are really not the number 1 goal of preseason.
Get players up to speed, increase the fitness and intensity, while having no injuries.
I don't think Liverpool are going to be as good this season as last. My feeling is that Man CIty cruise easily to a 3rd Premier league title in a row.
I say this because that high tempo, Klopp pressing game takes it's toll. Players simply can't do it year after year.
LIVERPOOL v NORWICH 

Very difficult to look past a Liverpool win here, but I don't think they will have it all their own way.
Norwich played some excellent football and were really the surprise package of the Championship.
Even though their opponents were not Liverpool quality, they still scored a lot of goals. 

I don't think Liverpool keep a clean sheet here, so for me a decent looking bet would be both teams to score at odds over 2.15 
 
MAN UNITED v CHELSEA
Everybody thinks that the Maguire transfer is a ridiculous fee, but they are not seeing the elephant in the room. Forget comparing Maguire and van Djik.
van Djik came into a Liverpool team and slotted in to a pretty decent unit. They shipped ridiculous goals in the previous season, but he really helped rectify that problem.They needed a defensive lynchpin and van Djik provided it.
United need far more than a defensive rock. They need a team leader. Pogba is simply not that man, and there are no obvious candidates. You need a solid player that will deliver at least a 7/10 performance week after week. I think Maguire is that guy, and  from all accounts seems to be a rock solid individual. Future captain of the side by Jan next year. 
Both sides (United and Chelsea) are playing an inexperienced  managerial game. Neither has really shown they can do the job but...
Solskjaer has done pretty well in the transfer market. Three signings, that when compared to the garbage/damage done by Mourinho and van Gaal, look excellent.
My feeling is that Chelsea will really miss Hazard this season. He won them games last season, and had moments of brilliance that they can't replace. Like Real losing Ronaldo or Barcelona Messi. I think they don't make CL Europe and finish 5th ahead of Arsenal.
I don't think you see a goal bonanza in this game but I think United cover a 1 goal margin. 
as a side note I think Dalot will have an amazing season. Wow 20 years old and the world at his feet. Premier league young player of the season for me. 
Looking at CHelsea's first three games (United away, Leicester at home, Norwich away), Lampard could be feeling the heat early.
 

Valur - ludogorets
Pick - away win @1.90
This is one of the bets of the round IMO. After being eliminated from CL ludogorets will seek consolation in Europa League. Their squad was improved by a few new signings this summer and although most of the players that brought them the success in the domestic league and in Europe are getting too old to play most games on a competitive level, they are still a solid squad.
Valur were well beaten by Maribor in CL and overall are much weaker team. This should be an easy away victory. The only slight concern is whether ludogorets will push for a convincing victory in the first leg or will wait to settle the tie in the second, at home.
AEK Larnaca - Levski
Pick - under 2.5 goals @1.80
Another stand out bet, even though I don't like playing unders. The game will be played in the summer heat in Larnaca (18:30 local time), which might be an advantage to the home team. They weren't convincing in the first leg, beating Moldovan side Petroclub 1-0 in each game, while levski had no problems against Ruzomberog beating them 2-0 twice. Levski should be more defensive this time around and wait for their chances. Given the heat and humidity at that time of the day, I expect a low tempo and a low scoring game and doubt the odds will remain the same in the next few days.
Good luck!

Senegal vs Algeria
The 2019 Africa Cup of Nations Final is finally here. It's between arguably the most deserving sides in the tournament of Senegal and Algeria with kick-off scheduled to take place at 8pm BST at the Cairo International Stadium in Cairo. Winning this game will be momentous for both sides with Senegal never having lifted the trophy and Algeria not tasting success since 1990.
Senegal have grown into this tournament well. Aliou Cisse's side finished 2nd in Group C beating Tanzania 2-0 and Kenya 3-0 but lost their clash with Algeria 1-0. In the last 16, they saw off Uganda with a 1-0 win before repeating that score-line against Benin in the Quarter-Final. A 1-0 win after extra-time against Tunisia then sealed their spot in the Final. The previous defeat to Algeria in the group stage will no doubt play on their mind but so will revenge. The Lions of Teranga have only conceded one goal all tournament but it was in that loss to their opponents for tonight.
Algeria have started to look like a really dangerous side. Despite winning their group with three wins against Tanzania, Kenya, and Senegal, the Desert Foxes have had to navigate their way past a series of tricky opponents. Each one has been swept aside with confidence. The last 16 saw them beat Guinea 3-0. The Quarter-Final then delivered a 4-3 win on penalties against Ivory Coast after a 1-1 draw after extra-time. In the Semi-Final they then sneaked past Nigeria 2-1 thanks to a last minute moment of inspiration from a Riyad Mahrez free-kick.
It's hard to see this game being anything other than a tightly-fought contest. The 1-0 score in the first meeting will almost certainly be repeated and I wouldn't be surprised if both teams cancelled each other out completely. I can imagine this game going all the way to penalties and if I had to pick a winner then I would go Algeria. This game will more resemble a chess match than a football game. It won't be the most enjoyable 90 minutes but it'll be a battle of wits.
Draw @ 2.90 with Betway
Total Goals Scored Under 1.5 @ 2.37 with Betfair

Senegal vs Algeria 
Since the start of the new millennium there have been 10 African cup of nations finals 5 ended as draws & decided by penalties and 5 ended with a win with just 1 goal difference. Basically it is 50/50 whether game ends as draw in full time or one of the teams wins with a margin of 1 goal. It is difficult to pick a side in this game. Senegal are generally the better team but Koulibaly won't play and they already lost vs Algeria 1:0 in the group stage. This was the only goal Senegal conceded so far in the tournament while Algeria have only conceded a goal in the quarterfinal and the semifinal. I will bet that one of the teams wins on penalties and draw/draw first half/second half. 

Madagascar vs DR Congo: Draw
DR Congo are the bookies' favourites but they face the unbeaten side of Madagascar making their debut at the tournament. DR Congo hold an all-time African Cup of Nations record of 20 wins, 23 draws and 29 losses from 72 matches. They had one 4:0 win and two 2:0 losses in the group stage of the cup. Law of averages calls for a draw in this one.
 

Surely Chris Hughton wouldn't be tempted back there after his previous experience?  Mourinho also no chance.
Of the names on that list, I wonder whether Dyche might be worth a punt?  Probably done all he can at Burnley and Newcastle would be a bit of a step up. 
That said Ashley will probably appoint someone who is unemployed so he doesn't have to pay to release the manager from his club.  Whoever they get, it's hard not to think they will be able to do better than Benitez so they will do very well to avoid being involved in the relegation scrap.
So basically, I haven't got a clue!

As a Manchester United fan I am hoping Aaron Wan Bissaka's transfer gets finalized given the need for quality right back. Ashley Young is too old and the whole defence needs a refresh but AWB's transfer from Crystal Palace seems as a done deal and the bookies give odds of 7/20 tops.

As a spurs fan I'm just hoping we sign someone!

OK so the big game is nearly here.  As a spurs fan i'm very nervous- this is the biggest game in the clubs recent history and certainly in my 30 years of supporting them.  It will probably be another 30+ years before they are back in the CL final so it really feels like now or never!
I don't see this being a game like the Europa league final where one team is going to win by a couple of goals or more.  Both teams will be fully committed and I think the outright odds for the match are about right, although spurs are perhaps a touch bigger than I would have them.
I think this game will be quite tight.  Both teams know each other well, and Liverpool are rightful favourites having done so well this season, but I don't think you can write off spurs at all just because they finished 20+ points behind Liverpool in the league.  Both premier league games were tight, with Liverpool only winning the most recent encounter 2-1 because of a massive Lloris blunder. 
Having come through against the odds against City and Ajax I don't think spurs will fear Liverpool. Equally Liverpool will feel confident of their chance having come through so well against Barcelona.  In other words, both teams will feel they have a great chance to win the trophy.
Its tough for me to have a bet in this as i'm naturally biased so will be looking out for some more neutral views!  However, I'm going to go with spurs +1 @ 1.95 (Ladbrokes).  This gives me spurs or the draw on my side for around evens which seems fair enough if this does end up being a tight game as I expect.  

The final is still a couple of weeks away but i am seriously looking at the following.These are two evenly matched teams with two managers who would like to win the cup at all costs.The more the game goes on even the more the managers would be happy with extra time.Barring an early goal i am thinking of a draw in 90 minutes with odds of 3.40.                                                               AC Milan vs Juventus 2002-3 shootout,Man U and Chelsea 2007/8 shootout,Bayern vs Dortmund Robben winner last minute,Real Madrid vs A Madrid extra time shows that when domestic teams battle it in the final it will be very close.

Ok ok, calm down calm down folks?
My aplogies for writing war & peace. You may want to make a cuppa before you sit down to read this, and your thoughts, as ever, are welcome.
On the face of it, it seems a strange decision. Brighton aren't a big club, and CH has kept us up. What more do we want!
But let me give you my "insiders" view. Tony Bloom used a notable word in his statement yesterday, "RISK". That sums it up for me.
There is one person at Brighton, that the supporters trust more than anyone. That is the Chairman, who we are incredibly lucky to have. TB, is a fan, he has deep pockets, is a very astute businessman, and the 3rd generation of Blooms to be on the board at the club. Here is a Chairman, who prefers to stand with the travelling fans at away games, than sit in the boardroom.
TB, is a maths genius, and a professional gambler who has moved into property. One of his companies is STAR LIZARD, which places bets using Asian bookmakers, and it's rumoured that you have to part with £1m to join as a customer!
Remember that when B&HA got permission to build the new stadium, they had no money, the banks were crashing, and they had to do a deal with the University to get funding. Part of the West Stand was going to house classrooms! TB  cam along, wrote a cheque for £100m, scrapped the Univeristy idea, instead going for corporate options. A young, unproven manager, with bright ideas was appointed, and Gus Poyet started to transorm the playing side. It was refreshing after an era that saw Mickey Adams and Mark McGhee, play some unattractive and outdated football.
Since then, TB has also spent £20+m on a new traing ground, acquire a Belgian 2nd Division club to place the non EUROPEAN imports, and now acquired  land next to the training ground, to develop into community sports facilities, housing & retail (including an IKEA).
He has recruited top people to run the club, including Paul Barber as Chief Exec, a top recruitment & worldwide scouting system, and most recently acquired Dan Ashworth as Techical Director from the FA.  If you look at what DA has done at the FA for the England set up, i.e. Get a young manager in, develop the youth, and play attacking football, it was clear that something at the club was going to have to change.
TB has smashed the transfer record numerous times recently, buying the likes of AJ for £25m, Locadia, Propper, Bassouma & Bernado.  Mostly Good attacking players that have a pedigree. Now, if you are TB, DA or PB, watching your team pick up 3 points from 23 games, not score for over 6hrs, not see your new recruits perform to their potential, not see any more youngsters follow in the steps of Dunky & Solly March, suffer the humilitation of a 5-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth, suffer a 2-0 home loss in a relegation battle with Cardiff, see survival by 2 points, and quite frankly, only survive because Palace beat Cardiff, then something was going to have to be done.
This poses a significant RISK to Tony Bloom's considerable investement.
Rumours also abound that there was unrest in the dressing room, with the players wanting to play more expansive attacking football, which CH refused.
Our games against Wolves & Spurs didn't see a shot on target. Our FA CUP SF against City was a dull stifling affair, and the club has seen its image & reputation suffer in the media coverage that followed. Very damaging for the brand of the club.
So TB, has a long term plan, and wants Brighton to become a sustainable football club, with a return on his investment.  (Although the stadium loan was interest free)
One of my customers, who is very well connected with the club, told me he went to see TB in his office, and he is surrounded by computer screens  running algorithms (on what the outcomes will be if he signs certain players.). He will be doing the same with managers. Pretty much every decision TB has made since he took over, has been the right one. Appointing Sami Hypia wasn't a good idea, but the club had their hands tied with FFP, and had to go for a cheap option. 
In my humble opinion, we were certain for relegation if CH had stayed. TB has come to the same conclusion using his algorithms. I think you will see a younger manager come in again, with fresh ideas, and an attacking style of play. DA went to see Swansea play, and said it was the best football he had ever seen. 
See this as Dan Ashworth making his mark on the club.
Graham Potter, therefore is the clear favourite. 
Frank Lampard is on a shortlist of 3, but perhaps it's a bit early for him.
TB is prepared to spend some money, with rumours of players like Juan Mata being bought in. Perhaps Rafa could be tempted away from Newcastle if he doesn't get the assurances from Ashley.
So, thanks CH, you have done a tremendous job, and every Brighton fan will be sad to see you leave. But it was time for a change. He has reached his ceiling with Brighton, but Tony Bloom, clearly has a much higher ceiling to aim for.
So folks, take the 5/2 about them being relegated, but now, I wouldn't touch it myself. One thing is for sure, Chris won't be out of a job for long, and if he ends up in the Championship, then I'd be lumping on that team for promotion.
 
 

Liverpool vs Barcelona: Draw/Barcelona Half time/Full time
Everything about Liverpool & Barcelona injuries/ fitness has been said already and I see Spanish side as more likely to win.
Messi made the difference in first game and he is the bookies favourite for this year's Golden Ball, so I prefer mainly looking at Barca's historic stats with him.
Messi has won 7 times in the Champions League vs English teams in England or even 8 if you count the Wembley final vs Manchester United. Messi has lost 5 matches and drew 3 times in Champions League games played in England. Nearly 50% historic probability for Barca win while bookies give close to 35%.
Messi has won 4/5 out of 15/16 matches away vs English teams draw/Barca half time/Full time(second number is if you count the Wembley final), including a similar win last time he played at Anfield in 2007. That gives close to 30% historic probability compared to roughly 15% implied odds.
Barca won last 2 games vs Liverpool at Anfield Draw/Barca HT/FT. I see a tight first half maybe even 1:1 then Barca can catch Liverpool on the brea, especially with the pace of Dembele who had 3 big chances for less than 10 minutes in first game. Liverpool also lost Champions League final vs Real Madrid in a similar fashion last year without Salah for most of the match.
I see more value in backing Draw/Barca HT/FT than an outright win for Barca as historic and implied probability demonstrates.

Lazio vs. Atalanta
Two teams going head to head here competing for a Champions League spot. Gasperini's Atalanta have been a surprise package this season and play some of the most entertaining attacking football in the league. 
Before their last home match, Lazio had only lost to Juventus, Inter, and Napoli this season, but then they surprisingly and disappointingly lost to a Chievo team that is dead last in the league with only 15 points to their name in 34 matches. Their home form has generally been decent (7th best in the league) but their results against the teams in the league have been very poor:
Home and away defeats against Juventus Home and away defeats against Napoli Home draw and away defeat against Milan Home defeat and away win against Inter Home win and away defeat against Roma Away defeat against Atalanta Home draw against Torino So they've collected just 5 points out of a possible 18 at home against 6 of the 7 teams above them in the table, excluding Atalanta. 
Atalanta, on the other hand, drew 0-0 against Inter and defeated Napoli 2-1 in their last two away games. They also drew against both Milan and Roma earlier in the season and have yet to play Juventus in Turin but they did knock them out of the Coppa Italia, so they've shown time and time again this season that they deserve to be in the running for a CL spot. 
I think Atalanta are underpriced to get a result here. 
Atalanta AH +0.25 @ 1.94 with Betfair - 8 Units

Udinese to win vs Sassuolo
Sassuolo are in the same 11th position like last season and are all but mathematically confirmed to stay in Serie A next season. Sassuolo’s results vs teams down the table in 18/19 7wins/6draws/3 losses vs 17/18 6wins/6draws/6 losses. 2 of those losses this season happened in recent months away vs relegation battling Empoli and Bologna. Since December’s game vs Frosinone, Sassuolo has not won away with 4 losses & 3 draws. Udinese are on a run of 4 consecutive wins at home and the team has added 7 points to its tally in the 4 games since Igor Tudor is their manager just like the tally from the final 4 matches of Serie A last year when Tudor saved Udinese from the drop zone. This is their most winnable game till end of season and I reckon Udinese are going to snatch a tight victory probably with 1 goal difference
Bologna vs Sampdoria to end up as a draw
Sampdoria & Bologna have not had a draw in 7 matches or in more than 5 years when Sinisa Mihajlovic was coach of Sampdoria. However, Mihajlovic’s record vs the current manager of Sampdoria Giampolo is 6 draws, 1 win and 2 losses. Bologna are missing their top scorer Santander but he did not really contribute in their recent good run of 3 home wins. A real blow seems to be the suspension of the Dutch left-back Dijks as Bologna has won only 1 out of 12 games when Dijks featured for less than 5 minutes(once a substitute for final 3 minutes and 11 times did not even get one minute). Bologna has drawn 6 of those 12 games and 3 out of 5 at home. It is also worth noting that Bologna’s home record 5/4/7 and Sampdoria’s away record 5/4/6 are almost identical so the match can be very close. Sampdoria are still in the mix for European football next season but their chances are slim and not realistic, so I assume Bologna will be more motivated in the match and only able to get a draw or 1 point due to missing players and coach history.
The other main games for the relegation batlle - Cagliari vs Frosinone and Empoli vs SPAL look like unpredictable matches to me. Juventus are probably going to secure the title this weekend but Fiorentina do not give points without a fight this season and Juve’ team spirit may be low after the Champions League loss vs Ajax. I suspect Juve will win with only 1 goal difference like 6 out last 10 home Serie A games vs Fiorentina(2 bigger wins & 2 draws).
On paper AC Milan has its most winnable away game till season end vs Parma and should get the vital 3 points for the Champions League zone.

Roma - Udinese
Total yellow cards > 4.5 @1.73 (unibet)
Some preconditions for a lot of yellow cards in this match:
Both teams are motivated for this game. Roma fighting for a champions league spot and Udinese for a safe distance from the relegation zone. The stakes being high, I expect a rough game.  The referee of the game is  Di Bello M, a guy who spreads yellow cards all around.

Spal - Juventus
Spal to score @1.49 (unibet)
Juventus won't care too much about this match. First of all the are playing in champions league. Second (see the screenshot) they are resting a lot of important players. Third (from a comment of a guys on another site), Juve needs just one point in order to win the "Serie A" this year and, theoretically, they might want to celebrate on the home stadium and not with all the important players being out.
On the other side, Spal has scored at home to Lazio, Roma, Inter, Atalanta... They are also only 4 points above relegation zone.
Having in mind the facts from above, I think it's pretty real for Spal to score at least a goal in this match.

@StevieDay1983 good preview and a fair assessment IMO.
I actually think Spurs are capable of getting a win here.  City have slowed up in the last few games and while they have still won the games against weaker teams than spurs, they have not been doing it with the same style and swagger of earlier in the season.
There are three main reasons why I think spurs are capable of a win tonight:
1. 6 days rest for spurs compared to 2.5 for city, and aguero just coming back from injury so he may not be match sharp.
2. City don't need to win the game, they just want to be in touch to give them a decent chance of going through in the return leg next week.
3. Whenever I watch city in the CL they seem a different team to the one we see in the PL in that they seem to struggle more against lesser opposition.  This season I would say they have underperformed in 4/6 group stage games against both Hoffenheim and Lyon, and Schalke gave them a good game at their place in the last 16.  Spurs are a level above those three teams IMO.
City are rightful favourites as they are for just about every game at the moment, but I think spurs +1 at 1.91 is worth a shot in these circumstances.