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About mtom

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 04/10/1988

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  1. I have few games on my mind. Levski - AEK Larnaca Pick - under 2.5 goals Odds: 1.80@bet365 I'll be stubborn and go for an under once again. Last week the odds were slashed and offered a pretty good cash out option prior to kick-off (went down to 1.36 at some point), but a red card for Levski's defender ruined the bet with AEK winning comfortably 3-0. Now, they will arrive in Sofia with just one aim - try not to concede early. I think this will frustrate levski. Many people were expecting them to be an under-ish team under their new manager, however they have been scoring freely
  2. What do you think of Bradford against Cambridge? Bradford signed some decent players, especially for League Two level, didn't they? I suppose going straight back up would be the target for the season, while Cambridge are a mid-table team. Is it worth backing the home victory?
  3. Valur - ludogorets Pick - away win @1.90 This is one of the bets of the round IMO. After being eliminated from CL ludogorets will seek consolation in Europa League. Their squad was improved by a few new signings this summer and although most of the players that brought them the success in the domestic league and in Europe are getting too old to play most games on a competitive level, they are still a solid squad. Valur were well beaten by Maribor in CL and overall are much weaker team. This should be an easy away victory. The only slight concern is whether ludogorets will push for a c
  4. Levski - Ruzomberog Pick - Ruzomberog +0.75AH 1.97@bet365 Levski won comfortably the first game in Slovakia (2-0). Tonight's game will be played without fans because Levski is suspended by UEFA. Their manager Hubchev is known for his defensive tactics and even though they started the domestic campaign with a 4-1 victory away from home against Dunav, tonight I expect him to make some rotations, apply a more defensive tactic and just try to avoid conceding an early goal. The latter shouldn't be too difficult because Ruzomberog looked very weak a week ago and I doubt they will threaten Lev
  5. Bet lost. Terrible preview, apologies. CSKA were on holiday and I should've predicted they won't put too much pressure on Titograd, hence why they didn't create many chances which could've let to corners. Sorry about that one.
  6. Titograd - CSKA Sofia Pick - over 9 corners@1.87 in bet365 After demolishing their opponents in the first game, tonight CSKA will show up in Podgorica with the idea of giving some of the fragile players chance to show that they deserve a place in the team. Nobody is expecting a huge surprise, and to be honest after seeing how bad Titogarad were, I tend to agree, even though I hate it when a team underestimates their opponents. Last season CSKA were producing plenty of corners mainly because the wingers and the full-backs were crossing the ball in almost every occasion they got. And
  7. CSKA - Titograd 1-0 half time 4-0 full time Bet won, but boy was I lucky Contrary to what I was expecting CSKA actually played quite bad in the first 30 minutes or so. I suppose they were nervous being their first official game and such, but luckily after a free kick and a goalkeeper's error in the 40th minute they managed to score. The second half was much, much better and 4-0 is the least they could've won.
  8. CSKA Sofia - Titograd CSKA to score in both halves - 1.61@bet365 For the first time in years CSKA has kept most of their good players and strengthened their squad even more by adding 8 new players to the squad. The ambition is clear - challenging the title in the domestic league and having a good run in Europe. The first step to the latter starts today when they host Titograd. The Montenegrin side finished 4th in their domestic league but from what i've read most of their quality players left the team and this season they will rely mostly on younger, more inexperienced players.
  9. Aren't Mansfield slightly overpriced? I know Oldham are in good form, unbeaten in 5, winning 3 in the process, but they have only theoretical chances for the playoffs, while Mansfield are in contention for promotion. Surely the away win carries some value?
  10. Is Salford worth backing against AFC Fylde? Considering Leyton and Solihull are playing each other and depending on their result Salford might go top of the league with just 1 game to go. Fylde on the other hand are sure to be in the play-offs so in the next two games they have nothing to play for really.
  11. The international break is over (thank God), so here are a couple of bets from me: Friday: 20:00 EET Ludogorets - Vereya Both teams to score: No Odds: 1.66@bet365 Stake: 3/10 Posting this now, because I think the odds won't last until tomorrow afternoon. No need for a deep analysis - ludogorets, even though not as convincing as last season, are still a top team for the Bulgarian A league. On the other hand Vereya are the punching bag. They fired their manager (who took charge just a couple of weeks ago) because, apparently, he was separating the international players from
  12. 1-0 FT, bet lost. As I said the odds were too good to miss, but unfortunately Vitosha couldn't find the net. After the early goal from the hosts, I was expecting a bit more, but it turned out to be a dull affair. As for the other games, no real surprises. Perhaps only the 0-0 draw between Botev and CSKA, but usually Botev are a tough nut to crack at home and that was proven once again. Septemvri losing at home was a shocker too, it seems they are in a mini crisis right now. A couple of loses in a row in this thread. Hopefully I'd start picking better games sooner.
  13. Friday: 21:00 EET Cherno More - Vitosha Both teams to score: Yes Odds: 2.62@bet365 Stake: 2/10 Simply based on odds. They are too high IMO. Vitosha obviously have improved significantly compared to last season and this year they already recorded 3 wins, whilst losing 3 too. Their away form is very interesting - 2 wins out of 2, not conceding in the process, neither. Tonight I am going against that record. Cherno More have stabilized after the humiliating 5-1 defeat against Septemvri a couple of weeks ago and are undefeated in 3 consecutive games (drawing twice and winning
  14. Atalanta seems worth a shot. Copenhagen were lucky not to lose in Italy last week. Having watched both their games against CSKA in the previous round I don't consider them as good as I thought they would be. Yes, they are a typical solid nordic team, but if it weren't for the referees in both games they could've struggled against CSKA. Atalanta started great in Serie A, they play fast and efficient football and should be able to win. The odds look good for an away win.
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