mark22

I don't understand what's wrong with betting on the challenger tour, why is everybody lighting up when it's a grand slam only on this forum? Look at Hamad Medjedovic today and learn about future stars.

Kukushkin - Brooksby 1 @3.10 with Wwin
Brooksby showed very bad games in last months, also on grass what is strange if you look at his good run in Newport last summer. Kukushkin's best years are over, but he still can show good tennis on fast courts and win at some very high odds. I think he is worth a shot here, he successfully made it through qualies and is ready to take advantage of Brooksby's bad recent form.
Goffin - Albot over 37.5 games @1.77 with Wwin
Albot made nice run on grass this year, while Goffin played only 1 match on grass. H2H is 4:0, but 3/4 ended with Albot taking a set with nice number of TB. I expect something like that also tomorrow, line is set pretty low. Goffin is not in form like he wanted before Wimbledon. 3:1 or 3:2 for Goffin.
 
Sock - Zapata Miralles over 38.5 games @1.75 with Wwin
Another underdog who caught my eye is Zapata Miralles, who gave a nice fight here in Wimbledon last year against Garin. Good all round player, who knows to play on all surfaces. Now he's through qualies again, ready to face Sock. He took smo nice wins at start of the grass season and deserves to be favourite. He also had to made it through qualies, but to be honest both players had very average opponents here. Sock is making a return to ATP top 100, but he has weak points and is not a player he was few years ago. I expect close sets and Spaniard takes at least one.

Kukushkin - Brooksby 1 @3.10 with Wwin
Brooksby showed very bad games in last months, also on grass what is strange if you look at his good run in Newport last summer. Kukushkin's best years are over, but he still can show good tennis on fast courts and win at some very high odds. I think he is worth a shot here, he successfully made it through qualies and is ready to take advantage of Brooksby's bad recent form.
Goffin - Albot over 37.5 games @1.77 with Wwin
Albot made nice run on grass this year, while Goffin played only 1 match on grass. H2H is 4:0, but 3/4 ended with Albot taking a set with nice number of TB. I expect something like that also tomorrow, line is set pretty low. Goffin is not in form like he wanted before Wimbledon. 3:1 or 3:2 for Goffin.
 
Sock - Zapata Miralles over 38.5 games @1.75 with Wwin
Another underdog who caught my eye is Zapata Miralles, who gave a nice fight here in Wimbledon last year against Garin. Good all round player, who knows to play on all surfaces. Now he's through qualies again, ready to face Sock. He took smo nice wins at start of the grass season and deserves to be favourite. He also had to made it through qualies, but to be honest both players had very average opponents here. Sock is making a return to ATP top 100, but he has weak points and is not a player he was few years ago. I expect close sets and Spaniard takes at least one.

Kukushkin - Brooksby 1 @3.10 with Wwin
Brooksby showed very bad games in last months, also on grass what is strange if you look at his good run in Newport last summer. Kukushkin's best years are over, but he still can show good tennis on fast courts and win at some very high odds. I think he is worth a shot here, he successfully made it through qualies and is ready to take advantage of Brooksby's bad recent form.
Goffin - Albot over 37.5 games @1.77 with Wwin
Albot made nice run on grass this year, while Goffin played only 1 match on grass. H2H is 4:0, but 3/4 ended with Albot taking a set with nice number of TB. I expect something like that also tomorrow, line is set pretty low. Goffin is not in form like he wanted before Wimbledon. 3:1 or 3:2 for Goffin.
 
Sock - Zapata Miralles over 38.5 games @1.75 with Wwin
Another underdog who caught my eye is Zapata Miralles, who gave a nice fight here in Wimbledon last year against Garin. Good all round player, who knows to play on all surfaces. Now he's through qualies again, ready to face Sock. He took smo nice wins at start of the grass season and deserves to be favourite. He also had to made it through qualies, but to be honest both players had very average opponents here. Sock is making a return to ATP top 100, but he has weak points and is not a player he was few years ago. I expect close sets and Spaniard takes at least one.

I didn't suggest anything about you, no need for your manipulation. It was about only mine mental state and I don't care about your winning or loses.
Value bets? It's where your percentage predictions of the match result meet the wrong bookmakers price.

I don't like odd on Alcaraz vs Zverev. And to be honest that was not the best performance from Nadal and Djokovic this week. I wrote after matches against Monfils and Kecmanovic that I don't like what I have seen. Come on, Djokovic lost in Belgrade from Rublev 6:0 in third...
We need to give Zverev some credit:
-last year winner
-huge win vs Tsitsipas yesterday
-H2H 2:0 vs Alcaraz
For me only bet on Zverev has some value. Good luck!
P.S.
Alcaraz is monster and future NO 1 for sure. No doubt about that

I'm going to back Tsitsipas to win in Monte Carlo. He's had a slow start to the season, but this is the perfect opportunity to kick-start it on his favourite surface and at a tournament he won last year. He should be able to beat Schwartzman next, where his serve should give him the edge against an opponent who's been having to fight through his matches so far. After that he would play Sinner or Zverev and I think he wins that. Sinner is still quite inconsistent and has been suffering with blisters and Sascha still looks short on confidence right now. If Tsitsipas does make it through the next couple of rounds then his opponent in the final arguably won't be as good as those he beat to get there.
30pts Tsitsipas to win ATP Monte Carlo @ 3.16 Betfair Exchange

Well, that didn't go according to plan!
Elina Svitolina to beat Camila Maria Osorio Serrano at 1.32 with Unibet
Short odds and Svitolina did lose to her last time out, but Osorio seems to be slightly limited serve-wise and Svitolina is taking this tournament very seriously and very emotionally. Playing for her country and giving all the proceeds to the charity.

Another juicy week is ahead of us!
Jenson Brooksby (+4.5) to beat Alexander Zverev at 1.89 with Pinnacle
While I have utmost respect for Zverev's abilities, giving 4.5 lines to someone as talented as Brooksby looks a bit too much to me. Brooksby can challenge the very best on a good day and he should keep this close more often than not. I'd have the line at 3.5 honestly.

My point of view on today´s finals. Last few days were not that good as previous weeks, so just an accumulator today. Anyway, i watched some matches and highlights so feeling is good.
FAA - Rublev 1 @1.63
Rematch from Amsterdam 8 days ago. Felix continues his journey to 2nd title in two weeks. If you look at the scoreline, he could win there even 2:0. He is more reliable than Rublev, who lost sets in every match here in Marseille. I think this will be crucial today - consistency. Rublev can take sets from any player on ATP tour, but Felix will play smart and take every UE from him, so Rublev will have to risk everything and this can end up fast. FFA had very though opponent in semifinal - Safiulin, who played a great tournament.
Draper - van Rijthoven over 21.5 games @1.63
Challenger Forli is played on hard indoor surface. van Rijthoven is my common ´´customer´´ on that type of bets.  He can play tiebreaks with low quality players, but at the same time he is very dangerous for most of average players on hard courts. He is even favourite today, but I wouldn´t underestimate Draper, who showed his skills on main tournaments and won this one about month ago. Both players have high ace rate, and this odds for 21.5 games limit is a must bet.
Norrie - Opelka over 22.5 games @1.56
Opelka amazed me in this two weeks. If he wasn´t playing with Milmann 3 hours I would definitely take him as a winner here. He had long matches here and fatigue can be a factor. Still he is pretty much unbreakable on his serve and Norrie shouldn˝t be favourite here. I watched his match against Korda, who outplayed him in 2nd and end of 3rd set. He had service for the match but then by some strange errors he throw it all away. Bad match from both players. Norrie raised his form in last weeks, we have to admit that. I expect some easier service holds for both players and at least one tiebreak. 
Alcaraz - Schwartzman 1 @1.37
I had a bet on Ruud in last weeks final, where Schwartzman even took first set, but then Ruud completely demolished him in 3rd set. When I thought he recovered well and he will take a walk to title this week, he already had big troubles on this way - Cerundolo and Andujar. I´m wondering what can he even do against Alcaraz, who is playing outstanding in Rio. Berettini and Fognini are his last trophies and you can´t imagine much tougher challenge on clay than this 2 Italians. His game is full of winners and good service performance, so I thinf Schwartzman will have very hard job to be competitive, since he has no real weapons at the moment.

My point of view on today´s finals. Last few days were not that good as previous weeks, so just an accumulator today. Anyway, i watched some matches and highlights so feeling is good.
FAA - Rublev 1 @1.63
Rematch from Amsterdam 8 days ago. Felix continues his journey to 2nd title in two weeks. If you look at the scoreline, he could win there even 2:0. He is more reliable than Rublev, who lost sets in every match here in Marseille. I think this will be crucial today - consistency. Rublev can take sets from any player on ATP tour, but Felix will play smart and take every UE from him, so Rublev will have to risk everything and this can end up fast. FFA had very though opponent in semifinal - Safiulin, who played a great tournament.
Draper - van Rijthoven over 21.5 games @1.63
Challenger Forli is played on hard indoor surface. van Rijthoven is my common ´´customer´´ on that type of bets.  He can play tiebreaks with low quality players, but at the same time he is very dangerous for most of average players on hard courts. He is even favourite today, but I wouldn´t underestimate Draper, who showed his skills on main tournaments and won this one about month ago. Both players have high ace rate, and this odds for 21.5 games limit is a must bet.
Norrie - Opelka over 22.5 games @1.56
Opelka amazed me in this two weeks. If he wasn´t playing with Milmann 3 hours I would definitely take him as a winner here. He had long matches here and fatigue can be a factor. Still he is pretty much unbreakable on his serve and Norrie shouldn˝t be favourite here. I watched his match against Korda, who outplayed him in 2nd and end of 3rd set. He had service for the match but then by some strange errors he throw it all away. Bad match from both players. Norrie raised his form in last weeks, we have to admit that. I expect some easier service holds for both players and at least one tiebreak. 
Alcaraz - Schwartzman 1 @1.37
I had a bet on Ruud in last weeks final, where Schwartzman even took first set, but then Ruud completely demolished him in 3rd set. When I thought he recovered well and he will take a walk to title this week, he already had big troubles on this way - Cerundolo and Andujar. I´m wondering what can he even do against Alcaraz, who is playing outstanding in Rio. Berettini and Fognini are his last trophies and you can´t imagine much tougher challenge on clay than this 2 Italians. His game is full of winners and good service performance, so I thinf Schwartzman will have very hard job to be competitive, since he has no real weapons at the moment.

My point of view on today´s finals. Last few days were not that good as previous weeks, so just an accumulator today. Anyway, i watched some matches and highlights so feeling is good.
FAA - Rublev 1 @1.63
Rematch from Amsterdam 8 days ago. Felix continues his journey to 2nd title in two weeks. If you look at the scoreline, he could win there even 2:0. He is more reliable than Rublev, who lost sets in every match here in Marseille. I think this will be crucial today - consistency. Rublev can take sets from any player on ATP tour, but Felix will play smart and take every UE from him, so Rublev will have to risk everything and this can end up fast. FFA had very though opponent in semifinal - Safiulin, who played a great tournament.
Draper - van Rijthoven over 21.5 games @1.63
Challenger Forli is played on hard indoor surface. van Rijthoven is my common ´´customer´´ on that type of bets.  He can play tiebreaks with low quality players, but at the same time he is very dangerous for most of average players on hard courts. He is even favourite today, but I wouldn´t underestimate Draper, who showed his skills on main tournaments and won this one about month ago. Both players have high ace rate, and this odds for 21.5 games limit is a must bet.
Norrie - Opelka over 22.5 games @1.56
Opelka amazed me in this two weeks. If he wasn´t playing with Milmann 3 hours I would definitely take him as a winner here. He had long matches here and fatigue can be a factor. Still he is pretty much unbreakable on his serve and Norrie shouldn˝t be favourite here. I watched his match against Korda, who outplayed him in 2nd and end of 3rd set. He had service for the match but then by some strange errors he throw it all away. Bad match from both players. Norrie raised his form in last weeks, we have to admit that. I expect some easier service holds for both players and at least one tiebreak. 
Alcaraz - Schwartzman 1 @1.37
I had a bet on Ruud in last weeks final, where Schwartzman even took first set, but then Ruud completely demolished him in 3rd set. When I thought he recovered well and he will take a walk to title this week, he already had big troubles on this way - Cerundolo and Andujar. I´m wondering what can he even do against Alcaraz, who is playing outstanding in Rio. Berettini and Fognini are his last trophies and you can´t imagine much tougher challenge on clay than this 2 Italians. His game is full of winners and good service performance, so I thinf Schwartzman will have very hard job to be competitive, since he has no real weapons at the moment.

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Arthur Rinderknech at 2.01 with Pinnacle
I can't have Basilashvili as the underdog here. He's generally unreliable, but he's done well in these tournaments before and he now smells his chance after getting through a much trickier opponent in Fucsovics. Rinderknech has that good win over Shapo, but that cuts two ways and he could be a bit deflated tomorrow. Also, this is a very decent match-up for Basilashvili, he's typically done well against these big hitter kind of opponents.

Well I screwed up then if harris easily trounces fucsovis, since I went with the hungarian to take a set today. I just don t trust harris at this moment, and I feel fucsovis who's been prety good in rotterdam will be a hard player for him to wake up against. Also fucsovis did beat him in this same tourney last year, I actualy think whilst harris has bigger weapons , that he is far less crafty and mobile compared to marton.

Great to see the tennis threads being so active and we have PLENTY of action coming up this week as well!
Sebastian Korda to beat Thanasi Kokkinakis at 1.75 with Unibet
Kokkinakis had the run of his life back in Australia, despite that loss in the AO singles. Now, though, back on the road, I think his level will drop down a bit and Korda had a very good run in Delray Beach last year. He's also the better player overall and I think these odds would look alright had this match been in Australia, but not in the USA.

Opelka is much faster than Isner, had better backhand and almost 45% ace rate! This is insane.. Isner had his chances in TB, but lost it by stupid mistakes, which Opelka didn't do. So for me completely deserved win for younger American.
Now I watched also Brooksby highlights, he played for almost 3 hours, saving MP.. he got it in the end. Now he has much less recovery time than Opelka. He beat him in Antwerp (simillar conditions), where Opelka didn't have single BP. I think the same can happen to Brooksby today, Opelka should get more aces here. Brooksby plays good against tall players. Hard to predict, but i would say over 25.5 games and Opelka to win.

Opelka is much faster than Isner, had better backhand and almost 45% ace rate! This is insane.. Isner had his chances in TB, but lost it by stupid mistakes, which Opelka didn't do. So for me completely deserved win for younger American.
Now I watched also Brooksby highlights, he played for almost 3 hours, saving MP.. he got it in the end. Now he has much less recovery time than Opelka. He beat him in Antwerp (simillar conditions), where Opelka didn't have single BP. I think the same can happen to Brooksby today, Opelka should get more aces here. Brooksby plays good against tall players. Hard to predict, but i would say over 25.5 games and Opelka to win.

after watching some highlights and stats Azarenka looks very good here, Sakkari seems in better shape and especially quicker around the court than Pegula.. Berettini´s bombs will be too much to handle for PCB i think, he had a day off so I hope he recovered well. It will be interesting to see where he can reach now when there is no Djokovic who stopped him regulary on GS last year  
Doubles side: Kokkinakis/Kyrgios seems to have a lot of chemistry and won against Mektic/Pavic was no coincidence. Their serve stats was great (17 aces) and Behar/Escobar are not heavier oponents at all, they should advance in front of home crowd.

Azarenka vs Krejcikova This is another match that I would be looking forward to watching to see how their contrasting styles work out. Azarenka has has a very smooth run up to this point and I will be expecting that run to continue. Head to Head is 1-0 Azarenka which in actual fact was a comprehensive victory. I feel Azarenka's game is similar in a way to Ostapenko's where both take the ball early on the rise. This will certainly cause Krejcikova a great deal of difficulty adapting to the Azarenka game and unlike the Ostapenko game, there will be no way back here. Azarenka to win.

He started with bad talk.. i have a right to comment his betting, like he comments most of everyone´s else posts with no need. Of course I don´t place his bets, don´t worry  but I´m saying he makes thread messed up for anyone looking for QUALITY tips and opinions! When there is GS going on, everyone like him is smart as ´´f***´´ about tennis, when there are challengers etc. there is few posts. Why? Because they know only top 50 players  everyone can write essays about Federer and Nadal..

He started with bad talk.. i have a right to comment his betting, like he comments most of everyone´s else posts with no need. Of course I don´t place his bets, don´t worry  but I´m saying he makes thread messed up for anyone looking for QUALITY tips and opinions! When there is GS going on, everyone like him is smart as ´´f***´´ about tennis, when there are challengers etc. there is few posts. Why? Because they know only top 50 players  everyone can write essays about Federer and Nadal..

He started with bad talk.. i have a right to comment his betting, like he comments most of everyone´s else posts with no need. Of course I don´t place his bets, don´t worry  but I´m saying he makes thread messed up for anyone looking for QUALITY tips and opinions! When there is GS going on, everyone like him is smart as ´´f***´´ about tennis, when there are challengers etc. there is few posts. Why? Because they know only top 50 players  everyone can write essays about Federer and Nadal..

You were wrong there. He only needed 5 games at 6-7 4-6 down. Are you awake? lol!!!

Viktoria Azarenka (-3.5) to beat Elina Svitolina at 1.76 with Unibet
Saw Svitolina yesterday, thoroughly awful. I'm not even sure what happened to her, but she used to be dispatching players like Tan easily. Then, she won mainly because Tan lost the track physically. She always struggled against players of Azarenka's big hitting and this could be over easily if Azarenka gets going.

Nick Kyrgios (+2.5 sets) to beat Daniil Medvedev at 1.98 with Unibet
Looks like a huge price to me honestly. It's just a set we need here and Kyrgios looked in good shape against Broady given he was off for such a long time. His serve is devastating against everyone and Medvedev sometimes responds poorly to adversity, which is what he'll get plenty of from Nick. I'd have this at 1.57.