black rabbit Posted Sunday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:34 PM Watchya                                                     7 20 Win/              1/40th of a pt ew    16/1 anaconda69, azzybear, MCLARKE and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 05:53 AM Share Posted Monday at 05:53 AM Will post up in bit hopefully one from Cartmel and another from the flats tonight. If not Cartmel then both from tonight’s flat meetings. Have a good day all . richard-westwood and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Monday at 07:37 AM Share Posted Monday at 07:37 AM (edited) Just testing the updated form module this week .....720 winds Sixties chic. 277. 5.8 Bona firtuna 275 6.2 Watchya 258 14 Tremblant. 258 18 Lahina bay 258 12 I'm just testing the form side of things this week ....in this race the top two look way ahead so I'll try 2pt win both .....value wise the 3rd 4th 5th rated have Ew appeal with 5 places available Once the form formula has been finalised I'll run the two together to get the value bets Edited Monday at 07:38 AM by richard-westwood Villa Chris, black rabbit, yossa6133 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Monday at 08:26 AM Share Posted Monday at 08:26 AM 7.00 bev Tropez power 273 Ugo Gregory 270 Park street  265 Secret world   257 No real value or overall form pick so just a test race this one anaconda69, black rabbit, Villa Chris and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted Monday at 08:35 AM Share Posted Monday at 08:35 AM 55 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Tremblant. 258 18 Â I had a good win on Tremblant in the Cambridgeshire Hcap at Newmarket ....... 16/1 if memory serves about 40 years ago I've spent all my winnings now BBBC, DanV89, Villa Chris and 5 others 2 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ivans82 Posted Monday at 08:54 AM Share Posted Monday at 08:54 AM Babakool in the Listed race at Compeigne......only 5 runners but 4-1 against the hotpot who hasn`t had a run since last October . black rabbit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted Monday at 09:48 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:48 AM 1 hour ago, Trotter said: I had a good win on Tremblant in the Cambridgeshire Hcap at Newmarket ....... 16/1 if memory serves about 40 years ago I've spent all my winnings now You should have invested it and let compound interest do the rest. Albert Einstein said it was the 8th wonder of the world. £100 would now be worth £5,000. Torque, black rabbit, Nigwilliam and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted Monday at 10:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:08 AM (edited) 20 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: You should have invested it and let compound interest do the rest. Albert Einstein said it was the 8th wonder of the world. £100 would now be worth £5,000. yeah but ...... £5000 now is worth £100 then ............ 😢 Edited Monday at 10:09 AM by Trotter black rabbit and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted Monday at 10:19 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:19 AM You are right but shares tend to beat inflation by about 8% so you would still be much better off in real terms  harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted Monday at 11:27 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:27 AM # Horse Odds Rating Val 1 Sixties Chic 7 114.09 69.00 2 Bona Fortuna 4.5 111.45 36.04 3 Tremblant 15 111.12 116.68 4 Supreme King 9.5 108.97 59.62 5 Watchya 15 107.37 77.36 6 Capote's Dream 9.5 105.90 39.18 7 Nogo's Dream 9 103.85 24.21 8 Lahina Bay 15 103.60 37.75 9 Kit Gabriel 23 102.40 38.53 10 Betties Bay 17 100.92 10.92 11 Grenham Bay 23 96.51 Â 12 Toussarok 81 92.72 Â 13 Sky Warrior 17 83.13 Â 14 Glamorous Express 41 83.02 Â 15 Ashwiyaa 34 74.96 Â 7:20 Windsor, Tremblant e/w at 16.3 (had to settle for 4 places, would've taken 14/1 to 5). At least the template seems to be working! justanotherpunter, yossa6133, black rabbit and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted Monday at 11:44 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:44 AM 9.00 Bev - Cakewalk - 5/2 (Hills) - Just 3 runs, and now tries a handicap for the 1st time. Trainer Simon Crisford sends just this 1 runner to Beverley where he has a 38% strike rate ( 3 winners from 8 runners ) in the last 5 years. Not shown much yet but may find improvement in a handicap 1st time. black rabbit and yossa6133 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted Monday at 11:56 AM Share Posted Monday at 11:56 AM # Horse Odds Rating Val Back 1 Sixties Chic 7 114.09 69.00 7.53 2 Bona Fortuna 4.5 111.45 36.04 8.19 3 Tremblant 15 111.12 116.68 8.87 4 Supreme King 9.5 108.97 59.62 9.76 5 Watchya 15 107.37 77.36 10.83 6 Capote's Dream 9.5 105.90 39.18 12.14 7 Nogo's Dream 9 103.85 24.21 13.88 8 Lahina Bay 15 103.60 37.75 15.93 9 Kit Gabriel 23 102.40 38.53 18.88 10 Betties Bay 17 100.92 10.92 23.27 11 Grenham Bay 23 96.51 Â 32.03 12 Toussarok 81 92.72 Â 50.43 13 Sky Warrior 17 83.13 Â 111.10 14 Glamorous Express 41 83.02 Â 111.10 15 Ashwiyaa 34 74.96 Â 111.10 A first (fairly cackhanded) attempt to turn the ratings into odds. Four horses meet the back price criteria (fair plus 10% edge). Two are the selection and the clear next best value based on the ratings, 2 are a bit left field. Pricing up horse races is definitely one of those burrows I don't want to enter but this approach was rattling around my head so I've at least had a bash at it. Bang on, black rabbit and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 12:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:41 PM 7.20 Windsor Sixties Chic 31 11/2 ( my odds 8/1) Nogos Dream 26 15/2 ( my odds 10/1) Watchya 25 14/1 ( my odds 10/1) Sixties Chic clear on ratings but Watchya offers the value bet .  2 points win Watchya richard-westwood, harry_rag, Bang on and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindfulness Posted Monday at 01:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:05 PM 2 hours ago, MCLARKE said: You are right but shares tend to beat inflation by about 8% so you would still be much better off in real terms  In recent decades perhaps, but now we need a more credible currency to re-invest the Tremblant bounties of yester-year due to the heavily de-based Sterling. 'Punt Coin' would hold it's value if Skittle & Rag continue to make a good fist of the gloryhunter section. 1.01 fractional reserve punting will catch the eye of central bankers throughout the globe and then the hot money will come flowing in for Punt Coin!!! Who needs to be backed by gold anyway. In terms of the technical challenges of launching our own crypto currency, I don't want anything to do with that, I'm not the how guy. I'll leave it with PL top brass. I'll do some schmoozing in the city, build relationships, ruffle some feathers, you get the picture. Why I am taking the time to give you all this useful information? It's July, the football black hole is upon us, not even MLS has survived, just some weird all-star shite and domestic cup crap. I can't find any videos on youtube covering Brazil Serie A although I know Thiago Silva has joined Fluminense. Norway Eliteserien? It's too scary guys, I don't know what's going on there. For anyone reading this, I'm sorry, stay strong.  MCLARKE, richard-westwood, harry_rag and 2 others 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted Monday at 01:52 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 01:52 PM 19 hours ago, black rabbit said: Watchya                                                     7 20 Win/              1/40th of a pt ew    16/1 "Mindfulness's Post"    reminded me that iv'd had a pony on Michellie Obama" @33/1 to come with a late run 😀 Bedlam and anaconda69 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGC Posted Monday at 02:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:03 PM 305 Managing Director 10/3 saver on Lexinnton Blitz 12s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted Monday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:06 PM (edited) 14 minutes ago, black rabbit said: "Mindfulness's Post"    reminded me that iv'd had a pony on Michellie Obama" @33/1 to come with a late run 😀 I was only saying to my friend last night that I expect her to come forward even though she always said she wouldn't ...that's weird ...maybe tempting fate lol ...🤔 Edited Monday at 02:07 PM by richard-westwood Bedlam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:12 PM Where’s this Michelle Obama horse running? ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted Monday at 02:13 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 02:13 PM 5 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: I was only saying to my friend last night that I expect her to come forward even though she always said she wouldn't ...that's weird ...maybe tempting fate lol ...🤔 "alway's tempt fate when ever you can" my friend 🙂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 02:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:16 PM Bit late but I’ll treat it as a test run for ratings as there no value . I did this earlier . 3.20 Cartmel City Derby 31 7/2 ( my odds 9/2) Starlyte 26 5/1 ( my odds 11/2) Dalileo 24 15/2 ( my odds 6/1) Dalileo is bordering value now , he wasn’t earlier but I’ll sit this one out richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:28 PM 11 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Bit late but I’ll treat it as a test run for ratings as there no value . I did this earlier . 3.20 Cartmel City Derby 31 7/2 ( my odds 9/2) Starlyte 26 5/1 ( my odds 11/2) Dalileo 24 15/2 ( my odds 6/1) Dalileo is bordering value now , he wasn’t earlier but I’ll sit this one out City Derby clear  on ratings and won very comfortably in the end. justanotherpunter and Bedlam 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mindfulness Posted Monday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:37 PM 16 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Where’s this Michelle Obama horse running? ? I can't help but feel partly responsible for derailing the thread, this is why PL top brass hates me. I need this crypto thing to work to get back in their good books. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:50 PM I’ll put this up for interest no value again but see how it does .  Ilikedwayurthinkin 28 5/4 ( my odds 9/2) Cardamom Hill 27 7/2 ( my odds 5/1) Wasdell Dundalk 24 7/1 ( my odds 6/1) Wasdell borderline value and one of those horses I’ve taken a shine to for some unknown reason but see how the race pans out.  Hoping to find some value in the 7.00 Beverley . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted Monday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:00 PM eternal sunshine 4.15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted Monday at 03:03 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:03 PM likedwayurthinking 4.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:16 PM 7.00 Beverley Tropez Power 26 9/2 ( my odds 13/2) Master Richard 23 5/1 ( my odds 8/1 Cliffcake 23 16/1 ( my odds 8/1) 2 points win Cliffcake richard-westwood and justanotherpunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antonio Margarettii Posted Monday at 03:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:36 PM Good afternoon Folks!! 7.30 beverley - rum runner 3.1| 8.30 beverley - dandys angel 3.1| 6.20 windsor - celtic john 50/1 ew  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted Monday at 03:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:42 PM 51 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: I’ll put this up for interest no value again but see how it does .  Ilikedwayurthinkin 28 5/4 ( my odds 9/2) Cardamom Hill 27 7/2 ( my odds 5/1) Wasdell Dundalk 24 7/1 ( my odds 6/1) Wasdell borderline value and one of those horses I’ve taken a shine to for some unknown reason but see how the race pans out.  Hoping to find some value in the 7.00 Beverley . Top rated won again but you’d let him win at that price richard-westwood and justanotherpunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antonio Margarettii Posted Monday at 04:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:46 PM 5.50 windsor - castro aurum 10/1Â Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antonio Margarettii Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Mad bet but i think it could place - 6.00 beverley - indys angel 150/1 (have a pound ew max)Â Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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