Racing Chat - Friday 17th September

[roger2256]

September-22

1pt level stakes win only 

17.45 Dun Eglish 8/1 pp

19.30 Kem Eaglesglen 13/2  b365

Prices as of now 

[alancraik]

todays Ayr selections

2:45 - Keep Busy 4/1 win

3:20 - Call Me Ginger 6/1 e/w

3:55 - Lucky Deal 3/1 win

4:30 - Tilsitt 5/2 win

[Bang on]

A good day yesterday, making September + 26.96 pts. Stats for the month so far are 23 winners from 45 selections.

Just 1 qualifier today.

Todays selection - bet365 B.O.G.

2.55 Newbury - Bolthole - 5/2 ... lost

Very poor run, no real excuse.

September now = + 25.96 pts

Edited September 17, 2021 by Bang on

[Lanky Lad]

N.A. 3.38. Flamenco De Kerser.  20/1

Down.2.00. Amlad.  6/1

Down.4.55. Bundle Of Dreams 9/1

3x1 point win singles

3x1/2 point each way doubles

1/2 point each way treble.

Total Points Staked = 7 points

[Tedthewolf]

Ayr Bronze cup have backed Danzan e/w at 14/1  but  price has now been murdered into 8/1 wouldn't wanna touch that price but really do think it will run very well of the outsiders  the rag  Chookie Dunedin looks worth a couple of bob e/w at around 50/1.

Best of luck all.

Edited September 17, 2021 by Tedthewolf

[Lanky Lad]

A few forecasts to add to earlier post.

3.30 Newbury. 6x1 point st.forecasts

Al Suhail, D’Bai, Silent Escape

3.45 Down. 2x1 point Reverse Forecasts

Withallduerespect with Hurricane Georgie , The Abbey

3.10 Down. 1 point Reverse Forecast

Mars Harper with Ally Cay.

Total Amount Staked = 12 points

[The Equaliser]

BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS

B/FWD SEP -4.54 POINTS

1.00 Ayr Azure Blue   11/8 DTR                                          Alt (4) 5/1

1.35 Ayr Straits Of Moyle  10/3 DTR                                   Alt (5) 13/2

1.45 Nb Silk Romance 1/2 DTR                                           Alt No bet

2.55 Nb King Of Conquest 15/8 DTR                                  Alt (4) 3/1

4.55 DwnP Top Bandit 4/11 DTR                                        Alt No Bet

1.53 NAbb Dilligent 8/13 DTR                                            Alt (1) 13/8

3.03 NAbb She's A Novelty Evens                                      Alt (4) 11/1

4.45 NAbb Eglantine Du Seuil 1/20!!!    DTR                       Alt No Bet

7.45 Dun Leo De Fury 13/8 DTR                                        Alt (5) 3/1

4.50 Km Oddiseo 15/8                                                      Alt (10) 7/2

5.25 Km Thalor 1/2 DTR                                                    Alt No Bet

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Book bets:

1.35 Ayr Straits Of Moyle 10/3

2.55 Nb King Of Conquest 15/8

7.45 dun Leo De Fury 13/8

One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 = poss return of £64.06

Singe bet:

2.55 Nb King Of Conquest £2.15 win at 2.98 = poss return of £6.32

Total stakes = £6.15

                                 

[azzybear]

dazzling Darren 2.00

[Zilzalian]

Didn't have time to list the speed figures for the 2yo 210 Ayr listed race but..

Those that follow or look at my naps could have found Vertiginous at 14/1 (posted last night)

[alexcaruso808]

52 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:

Didn't have time to list the speed figures for the 2yo 210 Ayr listed race but..

Those that follow or look at my naps could have found Vertiginous at 14/1 (posted last night)

Do you only calculate speed figures for 2 yo? 

[MCLARKE]

Flat selection

Kempton 7.00

YAGAN 4/1

[fd1972uk]

Never got a chance to post my selections. 

 

Done 4 bets and 1 horse beat each selection. 

Azure Blue beat a double. 

Edward Cornelius beat a big odds e/w treble 

Tweet tweet beat a near 90/1 treble

Had money back as 2nd placed horse at Ayr 1410.

[Zilzalian]

5 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said:

Do you only calculate speed figures for 2 yo? 

yes as a rule so at the end of the year i have a good idea of the best of them i occasionally if i dont have enough data on a particular horse in a group race at 3yo i calculate that 1 race again to confirm what i already know one example of this was the St leger many years ago 1992 when i think it was called user friendly had not run as a 2yrold, so now you can see the dangers of not doing it because that horse won.

[Zilzalian]

Jessica Harrington has had 18 winners in 2 weeks some at huge odds. and some pretty impressive accas.

[The Equaliser]

9 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS

B/FWD SEP -4.54 POINTS

1.00 Ayr Azure Blue   11/8 DTR                                          Alt (4) 5/1

1.35 Ayr Straits Of Moyle  10/3 DTR                                   Alt (5) 13/2

1.45 Nb Silk Romance 1/2 DTR                                           Alt No bet

2.55 Nb King Of Conquest 15/8 DTR                                  Alt (4) 3/1

4.55 DwnP Top Bandit 4/11 DTR                                        Alt No Bet

1.53 NAbb Dilligent 8/13 DTR                                            Alt (1) 13/8

3.03 NAbb She's A Novelty Evens                                      Alt (4) 11/1

4.45 NAbb Eglantine Du Seuil 1/20!!!    DTR                       Alt No Bet

7.45 Dun Leo De Fury 13/8 DTR                                        Alt (5) 3/1

4.50 Km Oddiseo 15/8                                                      Alt (10) 7/2

5.25 Km Thalor 1/2 DTR                                                    Alt No Bet

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Book bets:

1.35 Ayr Straits Of Moyle 10/3

2.55 Nb King Of Conquest 15/8

7.45 dun Leo De Fury 13/8

One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 = poss return of £64.06

Singe bet:

2.55 Nb King Of Conquest £2.15 win at 2.98 = poss return of £6.32

Total stakes = £6.15

                                 

RESULTS UPDATE

The Big 3 got 4 winners out of 11 selections.  Not great odds again but at least a small profit of 0.32 pips prevailed.  This makes the c/fwd balance -5.47 points

My alternative bets produced zilch today out of 8 races.  The c/fwd is now -68.45 points

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Book Bets

King Of Conquest let me down in a single and also stopped me completing the Trixie.  The double yielded a return of £11.38 so a net profit on the day of £5.23.  This makes my c/fwd balance £723.81 (Bank £1056.22)

There are 54 races tomorrow and I may have to leave them until the morning.