Racing Chat Saturday Nov 28th

[richard-westwood]

1 hour ago, Villa Chris said:

Good discipline if nothing else. You not playing the Ladbrokes trophy ?

Yeah ....I backed the 2 then 1 has dropped out(sam brown) ....18 runners and has to be mine lol ...do that leaves secret investor ew .....its a tough race so I'm happy to let it ride .....I think there are a few dangers ...copoerhead especially if he can put it together on the day .....will be an Interesting race 

[The Equaliser]

One Trixie bet today:

11.45 Nc Castel Gandolfo 1/1
12.35 Don Gunsight Ridge 5/4 (£6 win bet:  Best of all my selections)
2.05 Nc Epatante 4/5

One £2 win Trixie = £8 poss return of £40.50

Other bets:

12.55 Nc Getaround £1 win at 11/2
1.30 Nc Aye Aye Charlie £2 win at 5/2
3.15 Nc Whatmore £2 win at 11/4
3.00 Nb Secret Investor £1 win at 8/1

Total stakes = £20

=======================================================================================================

Two winners in my Trixie. The double paid £8.10 so I got my money back.  Net win of 10p so the balance c/fwd is £616.04 (Bank £800).  The same goes for my top rated multiples and there on going balance is - £7.65

Get around won at 10/1 but Betfair Sportsbook only paid me out at my stakes price of 11/2.  I have been trying to get hold of them to query this but their "message us" facility just whirls round and round displaying help is on its way and does not load.  The only reason I bet with them is primarily for BOG prices as Bet365 has cut me off from this.  I think that Betfair help is very very poor. Whenever I have a query with them they have never amended a result in my favour.  

Anyway I'll post up the win as £6.50 together with the win on Gunsight Ridge of £13.50 = £20 v £12 outlay so a profit of £8.  My singles balance c/fwd is now £146.18 (Bank £400)

At least I didn't lose today and though the thought of choosing many short priced favourites for my Trixies in the future worries me a little I am going to persevere with it throughout out December and hopefully will find it a profitable exercise to continue into the new year.

 

 

 

Edited November 28, 2020 by The Equaliser
Results Update

[Villa Chris]

1 hour ago, richard-westwood said:

Yeah ....I backed the 2 then 1 has dropped out(sam brown) ....18 runners and has to be mine lol ...do that leaves secret investor ew .....its a tough race so I'm happy to let it ride .....I think there are a few dangers ...copoerhead especially if he can put it together on the day .....will be an Interesting race 

He’ll run a big race will Secret Investor. I fancy him myself tbf, but just playing the one. It’s not stopped raining all morning here but I think Newbury has escaped the rain which will suit your selection even more. 

[Villa Chris]

1 hour ago, The Equaliser said:

In the spirit of Graham I will be putting up my own version of his type of accumulator selections from today. These are inevitably short priced favourites.  I don't know how they will get on or if they will be profitable in the long run but many thanks for your welcome good  wishes

I had a spare £2 so had a four fold which I quite like the look of. The odds say otherwise, mind. 
 

Doncaster 1.43 Ashington 6/5

Newbury 1.50 Tea Clipper 9/4

Newcastle 2.05 Epatante 10/11

Newbury 3.00 Secret Investor 8/1

122/1 

[alancraik]

16 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

3.00  NEW 2 very strong e/w bets CLOTH CAP 9/1 runs well in these big handicap races  will love the ground  decent weight  will be very hard to beat imho  the others one is POTTERMAN 16/1  went so close lto due to go up in the weights   well over priced imo   both e/w with corals 1-5 1/5 bog and a RFC.

 

Good Luck All.

 

well spotted

[alancraik]

4 hours ago, alancraik said:

todays selections

NEWBURY 13:15 Orchardstown Cross 12/1 e/w 5 Places

NEWBURY 13:50 Tea Clipper 5/2 win

NEWBURY 14:25 Maries Rock 15/8 win

NEWBURY 15:00 Secret Investor 8/1 e/w 5 Places

plus e/w yankee

will this bad run ever end?

[Villa Chris]

4 minutes ago, alancraik said:

will this bad run ever end?

Know the feeling mate. Frustrating and disheartening at times. 

[Tedthewolf]

14 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

12.20  Newcastle The well handicaped  BOLLIN ACE 9/1 looks a solid e/w bet at a decent price.

3,15 Newcastle On old form YORKHILL would win this doing hand stands, good ground today may see an improvment in form  worth a small e/w bet at 33/1.

1.15 Newbury  Forget ROCKYS TREASURE 11/1 form figures  he much better than that and is a solid e/w bet in this for me.

Yorkhill bounces back to form 66/1!! Thank goodness i had bog

[Trotter]

1 minute ago, Tedthewolf said:

Yorkhill bounces back to form 66/1!! Thank goodness i had bog

well done Ted !

?

[Villa Chris]

3 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

Yorkhill bounces back to form 66/1!! Thank goodness i had bog

Thought I saw him mentioned on here. Well done, he ran a blinder. 

[alancraik]

5 minutes ago, Tedthewolf said:

Yorkhill bounces back to form 66/1!! Thank goodness i had bog

excellent punting 66/1

[Wildgarden]

1800 Wolverhampton Leo davinci 3.45 Betfair exchange win

Like the favourite on review of all the horses despite the high draw again.

Edited November 28, 2020 by Wildgarden
Pick

[MCLARKE]

5 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

One Trixie bet today:

11.45 Nc Castel Gandolfo 1/1
12.35 Don Gunsight Ridge 5/4 (£6 win bet:  Best of all my selections)
2.05 Nc Epatante 4/5

One £2 win Trixie = £8 poss return of £40.50

Other bets:

12.55 Nc Getaround £1 win at 11/2
1.30 Nc Aye Aye Charlie £2 win at 5/2
3.15 Nc Whatmore £2 win at 11/4
3.00 Nb Secret Investor £1 win at 8/1

Total stakes = £20

=======================================================================================================

Two winners in my Trixie. The double paid £8.10 so I got my money back.  Net win of 10p so the balance c/fwd is £616.04 (Bank £800).  The same goes for my top rated multiples and there on going balance is - £7.65

Get around won at 10/1 but Betfair Sportsbook only paid me out at my stakes price of 11/2.  I have been trying to get hold of them to query this but their "message us" facility just whirls round and round displaying help is on its way and does not load.  The only reason I bet with them is primarily for BOG prices as Bet365 has cut me off from this.  I think that Betfair help is very very poor. Whenever I have a query with them they have never amended a result in my favour.  

Anyway I'll post up the win as £6.50 together with the win on Gunsight Ridge of £13.50 = £20 v £12 outlay so a profit of £8.  My singles balance c/fwd is now £146.18 (Bank £400)

At least I didn't lose today and though the thought of choosing many short priced favourites for my Trixies in the future worries me a little I am going to persevere with it throughout out December and hopefully will find it a profitable exercise to continue into the new year.

 

 

 

Well done with the winner.

Have you taken the lower commission offer from Betfair? I think if you do then you are not eligible for any of their other offers.

[MCLARKE]

18 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

3.00  NEW 2 very strong e/w bets CLOTH CAP 9/1 runs well in these big handicap races  will love the ground  decent weight  will be very hard to beat imho  the others one is POTTERMAN 16/1  went so close lto due to go up in the weights   well over priced imo   both e/w with corals 1-5 1/5 bog and a RFC.

 

Well done Ted with Cloth Cap.

I had my reservations about my selection Copperhead because it was pulled up last time out and sure enough it was pulled up again, didn't even make it to half way.

[MCLARKE]

2 hours ago, alancraik said:

will this bad run ever end?

Yep, you need the patience of a saint in this game !

[MCLARKE]

1 hour ago, Tedthewolf said:

Yorkhill bounces back to form 66/1!! Thank goodness i had bog

I think Ted wins today by a country mile. 

[Wildgarden]

2 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

1800 Wolverhampton Leo davinci 3.45 Betfair exchange win

Like the favourite on review of all the horses despite the high draw again.

Left too much to do starting slowly 3rd one to watch for next time out.

[Wildgarden]

23 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

715 Wolverhampton aasda 9/4 bet365 win

Deserved favourite should still be knocking the door and should get through after 2nd lto 4 days ago from what I see.

 

 

 

Frustratingly beaten by first time outsider over the top to place.

[The Equaliser]

2 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

Well done with the winner.

Have you taken the lower commission offer from Betfair? I think if you do then you are not eligible for any of their other offers.

Yes.  Thanks Michael for reminding me that I took the 2% commission on Betfair and am therefore not entitled to BOG on Sportsbook bets.  I was confused because the little "BOG" sign still showed when I was about to place my bets, whereas this has been removed from my betslip when I place bets on Bet 365.

I see that Punters Lounge have put up selections for the Accumulator Tips at more traditional short prices for tomorrows meetings.  I do hope that they continue to do so as this seems only right when it has built up its reputation for this profitable strategy based upon on this over the last few years. 

For my part I will seek to provide a Trixie based upon the best top rated horse with strong market and expert support.  I will try to avoid any selections under evens (annoying that I could have taken 1/1 with Bet365 for Epatante today had I not duped myself into thinking that I could get BOG with Sportsbook). ?  

[Villa Chris]

Evens for Epatante turned out to be ridiculous odds. She barely had to work to beat a very good horse in Sceau Royal who’s still running at a very high level.