The Brigadier Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 It may not be the best day's racing but we get to see the chase debut of the Supreme novice Hurdle winner SHISKIN (1.25 Kempton). Apparently his schooling has been sensational down at Nicky Henderson's base at Seven Barrows and he's starting out in the very same race that Altior started his chasing career in a few years back. Hes unbackable at around 1/6 but I cant wait to see him jump a fence. Henderson can also take the first at Kempton with his Ascot winner CAPTAIN MORGS (12.50). Henderson always runs a good novice in this race and he has Kim Bailey's Ajero to beat. One trainer who is flying at the moment is Tom Symonds with 6 wins from his last 15 runners, he has a new assistant in former trainer David Dennis with him this season and an ex inmate of Dennis' is MR WASHINGTON (2.45 Ludlow) who was an impressive winner on his first run under Symonds's name at Chepstow and despite a 8lb rise looks the day's best bet. MR WASHINGTON 2 points win @ 15/8 betvictor MCLARKE, Zico10, Villa Chris and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Todays selections MUSSELBURGH 12:40 Celtic Flames 8/1 e/w 4 Places MUSSELBURGH 13:15 Tontos Spirit 11/1 e/w 2 Places MUSSELBURGH 13:50 Raymond 9/4 win plus e/w trixie Zico10, harry_rag, The Brigadier and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanV89 Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 7.15 Chelmsford - Big Time Maybe - 22/1 Quite an eye-catching jockey booking on this one tonight with Tom Marquand in the saddle for the first time on this 5yo gelding. Last 3 runs have been on the turf on various different ground conditions from soft to good to firm, he has been well beaten on all 3 occasions. Wouldn't be too disheartened by that though as he is clearly a better horse on the AW and his mark reflects that. His last run on the artificial surface was back in June when 3rd at Kempton over 5f (beaten 1.75 lengths) off a mark of 67. He also has a number of good runs to his name at this track with 3 placed efforts off marks of 74, 66 & 73; he runs off 65 tonight so should is clearly capable at this sort of level. He has also had wind surgery since his last run so hoping that the combination of that, a return to the AW and Marquand can spark some sort of revival. The Brigadier and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 The Distant Lady 2 00 kem 1pt win @ 50/1 betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bathtime For Rupert Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 No time for reasoning today unfortunately but mine for this afternoon - all prices Bet365: 12.25 Ludlow - 1pt e/w Kakamora @ 12/1 12.40 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Lord Conti @ 28/1 1.15 Musselburgh - 2pts win Ardera Cross @ 9/2 1.50 Musselburgh - 1pt e/w Dubai Days @ 7/1 2.35 Kempton - 2pts win Generous Day @ 5/1 2.45 Ludlow - 1pt e/w Whoopsey @ 15/2 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 I don't normally follow trainers as such but according to my statistics P Hobbs is the most profitable trainer in November and there are 2 selections that pass my other tests, both at Ludlow. 1.35 WILDLIFE WARRIOR 9/4 3.20 PILEON 13/8 CarlosUK, Wildgarden, Villa Chris and 3 others 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 1715 Chelmsford lay gumra 7.0 Betfair Can see this one having hard time winning again up in class against tougher opponents. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 hours ago, The Brigadier said: It may not be the best day's racing but we get to see the chase debut of the Supreme novice Hurdle winner SHISKIN (1.25 Kempton). Apparently his schooling has been sensational down at Nicky Henderson's base at Seven Barrows and he's starting out in the very same race that Altior started his chasing career in a few years back. Hes unbackable at around 1/6 but I cant wait to see him jump a fence. Henderson can also take the first at Kempton with his Ascot winner CAPTAIN MORGS (12.50). Henderson always runs a good novice in this race and he has Kim Bailey's Ajero to beat. One trainer who is flying at the moment is Tom Symonds with 6 wins from his last 15 runners, he has a new assistant in former trainer David Dennis with him this season and an ex inmate of Dennis' is MR WASHINGTON (2.45 Ludlow) who was an impressive winner on his first run under Symonds's name at Chepstow and despite a 8lb rise looks the day's best bet. MR WASHINGTON 2 points win @ 15/8 betvictor Prior to his race today he was 5/2 favourite for the Arkle without even jumping a fence. Ridiculous pricing if you ask me. I see he won today. How did he do? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 (edited) 545 Chelmsford aasda 5-1 Ew bet Victor Looking at previous races I can see the pace matching up to this one who has been moving rapidly down the handicap and could be it's day today. Edited November 23, 2020 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 Just read a few comments on Shiskin and I’m lead to believe he’s the second coming of Altior. 6/4 for Arkle now. Will give it a watch in a bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 hours ago, alancraik said: Todays selections MUSSELBURGH 12:40 Celtic Flames 8/1 e/w 4 Places MUSSELBURGH 13:15 Tontos Spirit 11/1 e/w 2 Places MUSSELBURGH 13:50 Raymond 9/4 win plus e/w trixie Nice picks , especially the first. Went off at 12/1. alancraik 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 5 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Nice picks , especially the first. Went off at 12/1. Thanks Chris The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 545 chelm Flying dragon 256 Samphire coast 254 Asdaa 251 Asdaa is probably better over 7f .....the fav could be anything but will need everything to fall right ...top 2 here have good form over a mile and conditions suit Flying dragon 5pts win 5/1 bet365 Samphire coast 5pts win 12/1 888 The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 hours ago, alancraik said: Todays selections MUSSELBURGH 12:40 Celtic Flames 8/1 e/w 4 Places MUSSELBURGH 13:15 Tontos Spirit 11/1 e/w 2 Places MUSSELBURGH 13:50 Raymond 9/4 win plus e/w trixie Well done Alan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 6 hours ago, The Brigadier said: 6 hours ago, The Brigadier said: One trainer who is flying at the moment is Tom Symonds with 6 wins from his last 15 runners, he has a new assistant in former trainer David Dennis with him this season and an ex inmate of Dennis' is MR WASHINGTON (2.45 Ludlow) who was an impressive winner on his first run under Symonds's name at Chepstow and despite a 8lb rise looks the day's best bet. MR WASHINGTON 2 points win @ 15/8 betvictor Nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 6 hours ago, The Brigadier said: It may not be the best day's racing but we get to see the chase debut of the Supreme novice Hurdle winner SHISKIN (1.25 Kempton). Apparently his schooling has been sensational down at Nicky Henderson's base at Seven Barrows and he's starting out in the very same race that Altior started his chasing career in a few years back. Hes unbackable at around 1/6 but I cant wait to see him jump a fence. Henderson can also take the first at Kempton with his Ascot winner CAPTAIN MORGS (12.50). Henderson always runs a good novice in this race and he has Kim Bailey's Ajero to beat. One trainer who is flying at the moment is Tom Symonds with 6 wins from his last 15 runners, he has a new assistant in former trainer David Dennis with him this season and an ex inmate of Dennis' is MR WASHINGTON (2.45 Ludlow) who was an impressive winner on his first run under Symonds's name at Chepstow and despite a 8lb rise looks the day's best bet. MR WASHINGTON 2 points win @ 15/8 betvictor Looks like you had a nose for that one ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 hours ago, Wildgarden said: 1715 Chelmsford lay gumra 7.0 Betfair Can see this one having hard time winning again up in class against tougher opponents. Did I play 4.0 won but I didn't get hit as bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 4 hours ago, Wildgarden said: 545 Chelmsford aasda 5-1 Ew bet Victor Looking at previous races I can see the pace matching up to this one who has been moving rapidly down the handicap and could be it's day today. 2nd beaten by favourite late The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 6 hours ago, MCLARKE said: I don't normally follow trainers as such but according to my statistics P Hobbs is the most profitable trainer in November and there are 2 selections that pass my other tests, both at Ludlow. 1.35 WILDLIFE WARRIOR 9/4 3.20 PILEON 13/8 Nice winner with WW Michael, I think that Pileon must have a problem, that’s two poor runs over fences now. Back to hurdles next I reckon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 3 hours ago, The Equaliser said: Looks like you had a nose for that one ? Some ride by the girl Lilly ?? The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 5 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Just read a few comments on Shiskin and I’m lead to believe he’s the second coming of Altior. 6/4 for Arkle now. Will give it a watch in a bit. Very impressed - he was literally hurdling his fences but hey 6/4! He’s got to be that to get there in one piece ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 5 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Prior to his race today he was 5/2 favourite for the Arkle without even jumping a fence. Ridiculous pricing if you ask me. I see he won today. How did he do? Trainer gave him 10/10. Was very impressive but how the bookmakers can shorten him is beyond me ??♂️ Saying that he could be very special. Worth watching Chris if you get a chance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 21 minutes ago, The Brigadier said: Trainer gave him 10/10. Was very impressive but how the bookmakers can shorten him is beyond me ??♂️ Saying that he could be very special. Worth watching Chris if you get a chance. Just watched it. Absolute joy to watch. Super star in the making I’d say. Be interesting to see if the Irish have anything to take him on with as they usually do so well with the Arkle. Hopefully get lucky and get 5/2 on the day, but unbelievable for a horse who hasn’t jumped a competitive fence before. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted November 23, 2020 Share Posted November 23, 2020 30 minutes ago, The Brigadier said: Nice winner with WW Michael, I think that Pileon must have a problem, that’s two poor runs over fences now. Back to hurdles next I reckon Ta. Perhaps there is some profit to be made with trainer stats. The problem is the relatively small sample size of data. Also a lot of the data is readily available, such as trainer course data, so may lead to these horses being over-bet. I will add it to my to do list. The Equaliser and The Brigadier 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanV89 Posted November 24, 2020 Share Posted November 24, 2020 23 hours ago, DanV89 said: 7.15 Chelmsford - Big Time Maybe - 22/1 Quite an eye-catching jockey booking on this one tonight with Tom Marquand in the saddle for the first time on this 5yo gelding. Last 3 runs have been on the turf on various different ground conditions from soft to good to firm, he has been well beaten on all 3 occasions. Wouldn't be too disheartened by that though as he is clearly a better horse on the AW and his mark reflects that. His last run on the artificial surface was back in June when 3rd at Kempton over 5f (beaten 1.75 lengths) off a mark of 67. He also has a number of good runs to his name at this track with 3 placed efforts off marks of 74, 66 & 73; he runs off 65 tonight so should is clearly capable at this sort of level. He has also had wind surgery since his last run so hoping that the combination of that, a return to the AW and Marquand can spark some sort of revival. Unplaced and no excuses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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