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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - March 9 - March 22

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Aqeel Khan/Aisam-Ul-Haq Qureshi to beat Blaz Kavcic/Tom Kocevar-Desman at 1.45 with Parions Sport

The 2 Pakistanis have been playing together for few years now and get along well on the court. In addition they have the advantage of playing at home which should transcend them to defend the colors of their country.

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A ridiculous decision, but there we are, left with two Challengers for the week 😵. Edit: Just for the record, I think it's ridiculous mainly because 1) all the big American sports are still going ahead in packed arenas 2) they could've played without spectators if they were afraid of that 3) canceling it so close to the event after essentially everyone has already traveled there?.

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4 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

A ridiculous decision, but there we are, left with two Challengers for the week 😵. Edit: Just for the record, I think it's ridiculous mainly because 1) all the big American sports are still going ahead in packed arenas 2) they could've played without spectators if they were afraid of that 3) canceling it so close to the event after essentially everyone has already traveled there?.

Yup and all the financial implications for the less successful players. I don't support this decision at all. I was really looking forward to 'tennis in the desert'.

Edited by South_African_Punter

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I'd hope that at least something goes ahead, even if it happens without spectators. Tennis is such a global sport that most fans watch and don't really travel anyway. Ticketing is important for the biggest events I reckon, but the smaller ones can do easily without ticket purchases, even if that means slightly reduced prize money. I'd say there's a very good chance Miami gets cancelled and then something in Europe, but, if things develop as they should, the French Open is in little danger as of now.

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2 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:

Well, that will please everyone 🤣. Not sure why they aren't able to play matches without fans then🤔.

Probably because of financial issues? No fans = no seling tickets. No sold tickets = less money incom for the tournament organizers.
I guess that they've somehow calculated that this way their money lost will be smaller.

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11 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Not inappropriate at all @DrO! The Challengers this week are rather poor anyway and I think that we're all just keeping our eyes on Miami and the upcoming weeks!

Dustin Brown is playing in Southafrica and that can't be poor. He beat Corentin Denolly in straights yesterday. Very balanced performance by Dustin although he got broken at least two times in first set.

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Dustin Brown to beat (-4.5 games) David Pichler at 1.98 with Unibet

I think Dustin has looked pretty mutch alright so far this season. He has won the matches he's been supposed to win like beating Corentin Denolly and Uladzimir Ignatik before this week. Dustin is rounding up to some kind of form and I am very happy to be on Dustin to cover this handicap against an unknown less good opponent who is most successful in doubles through his career. Dustin has the right kind of arsenal to go far in this minor challenger tournament. His toughest opponents will be Jack Draper and his doubles partner Lucas Miedler. Beating a doubles specialist like David Pichler shouldn't be of any major troubles. David has never been ranked higher in singles than 390 and that was 3 years ago so he clearly isn't exactly powering up for singles and he shouldn't have any weapons to hurt Dustin and therefore I can see a double break coming Dustins way sometime during the match. David has played two singles matches this season and lost both on futures level against a player ranked 1172 and another ranked 716 and ofcourse he played one match in Southafrica today which he won in straight sets against a non-existent threat for most players. Even a less advanced player like David could beat the qualifier Jean Thirouin in 2 sets today. I hope Dustin is up to this non-existent challenge and wins as easy as I think because if it happens 1.98 could be the price for Dustin to win straight up without complications. Dustin is back this season after his injury and he's been good enough for me to back him to win by 5 games or more. 

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Lucas Miedler to beat (correct score 2-1) Hugo Grenier at 6.25 with Unibet

Sometimes it might be worth taking a bigger risk with a medium stake. This is one of those moments I think it could be worth taking that risk. Same age on both players, both players ranked inside top 300. Nothing to separate them really. I don't know what's behind the higher odds on Lucas but I'll take my chances with a correct score.

 

About Dustin Brown: shortly after I posted the bet on Dustin -4.5 the price rised to 2.20 with Unibet compared to Coolbet who decided to lower their odds on Dustin -4.0 games. Strange but I don't buy the supposed risk of failure because Unibet raised the odds because I think there's no valid reason for that.

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