CzechPunter Posted August 1, 2019 Author Share Posted August 1, 2019 Peter Gojowczyk (+4.5) to beat Milos Raonic at 1.81 with Pinnacle Sometimes, lucky losers play so freely that they go much further than anyone could expect and that does seem to be the case with Peter this week. He lost in the qualifiers against Donald Young, which was a bad result, but, since then, he's beaten both Rublev and De Minaur, which is just crazy. And no, there wasn't much luck involved either, as he just bashed his way through while serving well, so I think that he has every chance of covering such a large line against Raonic. I don't really see him winning, but the line is just too high given that we're fairly likely to see a tie-break. freeyourself84 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aphro Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 54 minutes ago, CzechPunter said: Peter Gojowczyk (+4.5) to beat Milos Raonic at 1.81 with Pinnacle Sometimes, lucky losers play so freely that they go much further than anyone could expect and that does seem to be the case with Peter this week. He lost in the qualifiers against Donald Young, which was a bad result, but, since then, he's beaten both Rublev and De Minaur, which is just crazy. And no, there wasn't much luck involved either, as he just bashed his way through while serving well, so I think that he has every chance of covering such a large line against Raonic. I don't really see him winning, but the line is just too high given that we're fairly likely to see a tie-break. I would bet on his win without handicap. CzechPunter and freeyourself84 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted August 1, 2019 Author Share Posted August 1, 2019 I certainly wouldn't put you off such a bet, but I find it a bit strange to have him at lower odds than against Alex De Minaur. If you'd give me 6.00, I'd be all over it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aphro Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 What's wrong with Chardy? Looks like he wants to finish this s**t as soon as possible and just go home... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cialivinci Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 (edited) Fognini is given a 2.0 odd to win against Taylor Fritz while Fritz has 1.8 @bet365 ? I see some big value here and don’t quite understand why the italian is the underdog, even though he plays not his best tennis but he still performs though.. h2h is also 1-0 in favor of Fognini Edited August 1, 2019 by cialivinci Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 @cialivinci It's the usual thing - you can never be sure which Fognini will turn up. If he's motivated then the price looks good. If he isn't then it's not so good. After watching his results over the last ten years or so, unless he's up against a top player like Nadal he can't be relied upon to give his best effort and to stay in control of his emotions and those are the things that have seen him lose so many times to players that he should have beaten. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anaxagoras Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 5 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Peter Gojowczyk (+4.5) to beat Milos Raonic at 1.81 with Pinnacle Sometimes, lucky losers play so freely that they go much further than anyone could expect and that does seem to be the case with Peter this week. He lost in the qualifiers against Donald Young, which was a bad result, but, since then, he's beaten both Rublev and De Minaur, which is just crazy. And no, there wasn't much luck involved either, as he just bashed his way through while serving well, so I think that he has every chance of covering such a large line against Raonic. I don't really see him winning, but the line is just too high given that we're fairly likely to see a tie-break. While I agree with you about Gojowczyk, we have to take into consideration that Rublev came from Hamburg after a full week and De Minaur came from Atlanta after a full week. They must feel some sort of fatigue. They might wanted to take a few days off before Masters event next week. Having said that Raonic is playing his first tournament after Wimbledon, and he might want to get his rhythm back before the Masters. So handicap looks really good to be honest, losing in 2 close sets would be okay but I'm not really sure about going in with this one. CzechPunter and Robinnho 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted August 1, 2019 Author Share Posted August 1, 2019 Looks like the bet on Lorenzi was just stupid, sorry about that. Minnen/Van Uytvanck to beat Han/Yuan at 1.62 with Unibet Minnen and Van Uytvanck are apparently together even off the court, which is something that you don't see that often, but it isn't hurting their game in any way and they've been doing well in the doubles so far, winning in Luxembourg last year and not losing to anyone worse so far this year. They were brilliant in round one, beating a dangerous pair 6-1 6-3, while Han/Yuan will be playing together for the second time in 2019 after needing three sets to beat Dzalamidze/Sizikova, who aren't as dangerous in my opinion. It also very much seems that the Karlsruhe conditions feel like home for players from the Netherlands. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Taylor Fritz to beat Fabio Fognini @ 1.80 William Hill Following on from my earlier post, I've decided to take Fognini on. He's too unpredictable to be backed at shorter prices, and I'd reckon that siding with him at evens or lower would be showing a tidy loss so far in his career ( @Tennis Picks can probably answer that). This isn't just about Fognini though, as Fritz has been playing well for a while now and like most Americans plays his best tennis on hard. He was a bit slow to start against Gunneswaran but recovered well and if he can up his consistency levels that could be enough to get the win here - nothing frustrates Fognini more than consistent play which makes sense as it's the opposite of his playing style. The Italian can certainly win this and although he prefers clay he plays well enough on hard, but all things considered I think Fritz should be a little shorter. Smiles Tennis and CzechPunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 5 hours ago, Torque said: Taylor Fritz to beat Fabio Fognini @ 1.80 William Hill Following on from my earlier post, I've decided to take Fognini on. He's too unpredictable to be backed at shorter prices, and I'd reckon that siding with him at evens or lower would be showing a tidy loss so far in his career ( @Tennis Picks can probably answer that). This isn't just about Fognini though, as Fritz has been playing well for a while now and like most Americans plays his best tennis on hard. He was a bit slow to start against Gunneswaran but recovered well and if he can up his consistency levels that could be enough to get the win here - nothing frustrates Fognini more than consistent play which makes sense as it's the opposite of his playing style. The Italian can certainly win this and although he prefers clay he plays well enough on hard, but all things considered I think Fritz should be a little shorter. Backing Fognini as fave over his whole career would amount to a total of 29pts profit with 1pt stakes. When you do it just on hard court, you end with 11pts profit. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robinnho Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 A Ramos to beat C Ruud @1.65 with Pinnacle. Not much of a value but confident that Ramos will continue to play at his high level showing no fatigue since playing day in day out on clay after the Wimbledon for almost a month now. H2H Ramos leading by 3-0. freeyourself84 and vvararu 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robinnho Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 12 hours ago, CzechPunter said: Looks like the bet on Lorenzi was just stupid, sorry about that. Zopp leading 4-1 in the 1st set. With the interruption, Lorenzi has all the opportunity to make a come back! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 48 minutes ago, Robinnho said: A Ramos to beat C Ruud @1.65 with Pinnacle. Not much of a value but confident that Ramos will continue to play at his high level showing no fatigue since playing day in day out on clay after the Wimbledon for almost a month now. H2H Ramos leading by 3-0. I would be careful. Maybe +1.5 sets to Ruud. The 20 years boy is playing pretty good and the fact that Ramos has been playing almost every day in last 2-3 weeks might have a role here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robinnho Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 3 hours ago, Robinnho said: Zopp leading 4-1 in the 1st set. With the interruption, Lorenzi has all the opportunity to make a come back! Lorenzi won! No sorry! CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 8 hours ago, Tennis Picks said: Backing Fognini as fave over his whole career would amount to a total of 29pts profit with 1pt stakes. When you do it just on hard court, you end with 11pts profit. That's surprising. I was sure Fognini would be a bad proposition as a favourite - must be confirmation bias at work Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robinnho Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 3 hours ago, vvararu said: I would be careful. Maybe +1.5 sets to Ruud. The 20 years boy is playing pretty good and the fact that Ramos has been playing almost every day in last 2-3 weeks might have a role here. Ramos still going strong! Won 7-5, 6-4? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smiles Tennis Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 17 minutes ago, Torque said: That's surprising. I was sure Fognini would be a bad proposition as a favourite - must be confirmation bias at work He just loses when we back him lol CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vvararu Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 11 minutes ago, Robinnho said: Ramos still going strong! Won 7-5, 6-4? Yeap... incredible how Ruud could lose first set having the set game on his side. Now, I'm gonna catch next loss of Ramos in one of his next games Robinnho 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 (edited) Medvedev to win ATP Washington @ 4.50 Should have been on this yesterday before he played Tiafoe (I think you could get 8.0) but I think Medvedev has a good chance here. He's playing Cilic tonight, who has been in bad form this year and then either Edmund/Gojowczyk in the SF. Then he probably faces Tsitsipas/Kyrgios in the final. Kyrgios is looking dangerous in the top half of the draw but I never bet on NK since he is so temperamental (and a disgrace to tennis). Edited August 2, 2019 by South_African_Punter Torque, Robinnho and CzechPunter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cluelessG Posted August 2, 2019 Share Posted August 2, 2019 A few people mentioned Gojowczyk yesterday. I believe he offers good value today as well. I took him to win a set at 1.9 with Bet365 earlier, now it's up to 2.00. H2H shows that he managed to win a set in each of the previous two matches played (both of hem on hard court too). A word of caution: in both matches he won the first set and then Edmund easily won the next two sets. So there might have been an element of surprise... and now Edmund might be better prepared. But Gojowczyk seems to be on a roll so odds look good to me. CzechPunter, cialivinci and MABS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted August 2, 2019 Author Share Posted August 2, 2019 I think I'm just going to let Thiem run. A brilliant week no matter what happens there. vvararu 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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