DrO

FT 1:2
3 of 3 this Weekend... See you Midweek to the Cup-Games

Both Teams with 2:0 Wins....

EVerton under Koeman are just a joke. These are good players, playing badly, and it is down to the manager.
Koeman, de Boer, van Gaal all poor managers (with incredible agents). Playing this negative Dutch, sideways, backwards, sterile possession that does not work any more. The Netherlands have been left behind (I am Dutch), and they look useless. United under van Gaal were borderline unwatchable. Palace under de Boer, pathetic !
Fine, Koeman says it is unrealistic for EVerton to challenge for top 4 or 5. No problem, I fully agree. But, and it's a BIG BUT, they should be beating the lesser teams in the league, and the lesser teams in the Europa league.
I have watched them 4 times (all TV) this season. Against Man CIty they were useless. They held out for a draw, but 10 man City were unlucky, and ran them around. Against Atalanta in the Europa league they were demolished. Could have been 5-0 at half time. That 1st half performance was one of the worst I have seen from any team this year.  At Chelsea they were soundly beaten in every department. OK fair enough. IMO CHelsea are a top team. Last Thurs in Europa (at odds of 3 to 10 ffs), they can't beat the Cypriot GIANTS. Concede a ridic 88th minute goal (against 10 men), and then miss a tee'd up chance from 6 foot (free header) in injury time.
Now Everton are 7 to 10 to beat Burnley !. Seriously !!!  Burnley who are undefeated away against Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham.  And now Everton are expected to win ? Insane !
 
Burnley are 2.25 DOUBLE CHANCE (away win or Draw)
Burnley to win is 6 (bet365)  
 
 
 

This is second time that La Liga fixtures are not complete. Valencia - Real Sociedad match is missing.

Well, it's certainly strange that he's playing in a clay Challenger for the first time since what...2010?...and that he's doing so while being signed up for Metz next week, which is indoors. My best guess is that he's going to win one or two rounds and then depart, maybe against Cecchinato let's say. Certainly no value in backing him, the only value there can be is watching his matches and perhaps going against him live in one way or another. I would be very surprised to see him win the entire thing, but who knows?

Both picks won. 

Results:
Cimarrones Sonora 0 - 1 Pachuca
+7.52 U
Mineros 1 - 2 Necaxa
+7.98 U

Rostock win 1:0
Wehen win 1:0

By the look of things she may have.
Halep didn't impressed me against Pliskova so far.

@delfino
Well done mate for the winning tip. But don't judge on this match against Djokovic. Sure -  he played an exceptional match and will probably have a chance against Nadal as well, but let's not exaggerate.
I'm still not sure about quality of his return and his mental edge.

And the most important. Djokovic is very far from his best game. Some recent results have come solely as a result of his talent, not form.
The intensity of his training is generally low and also insufficient commitment to tennis.
Believe me when I say so. I'm from Serbia and i carefully follow all about Novak and our other players.
I'm even friend with some Serbian professionals such as Filip Krajinovic and Nemanja Kontic who was coach of Ana Ivanovic.

Nole's private life is a mess. 
He and his wife Jelena expecting another child, but their relationship is a little shaky lately.
She's in a lot of bad relations with his parents, Srdjan and Dijana.
And there are some rumors about his brother Marko, and the nature of his relationship with Pepe Imaz.
All this significantly affects Novak and his commitment to tennis, training and career.

Now with Andre Agassi he's trying to make a restart but it will not be easy and the first serious results will be visible only for a six months or so,i would say.

Rodriguez has been on radars of top clubs almost for a decade.. right now, I think that no one wanted him. Wolfsburg had one of the worst seasons in Bundesliga, so I am not sure about this transfer, but well... It's good to see that things are moving in Milan. 

Personally, I am surprised someone like PSG or Real Madrid hasn't made a move for Donnarumma already. Or at least expressed interest. Real seem intent on De Gea but Manchester United really don't seem keen on making that transfer happen easily. Belotti to AC Milan is a good shout. Check out the Italian section for odds on that transfer! 

They have already signed Musacchio from Villarreal and Kessie from Atalanta.
It seems like they made a deals with Conti (right back, Atalanta), Rodriguez ( left back,Wolfsburg) and Lucas Biglia (midfielder, Lazio). 
I suppose that final transfer will be new forward player - Belotti or Morata. 
Of course,AC Milan will need to ensure  Donnarumma staying. 

They have already signed Musacchio from Villarreal and Kessie from Atalanta.
It seems like they made a deals with Conti (right back, Atalanta), Rodriguez ( left back,Wolfsburg) and Lucas Biglia (midfielder, Lazio). 
I suppose that final transfer will be new forward player - Belotti or Morata. 
Of course,AC Milan will need to ensure  Donnarumma staying. 

The new ownership will be the pulling power for AC Milan I think. Look at what the right money and determination did for Manchester United last season with Pogba. I know he used to play for them but they weren't in the Champions League and many scoffed at the idea of them signing a player of his calibre last summer. I think AC Milan will sign some big names this summer for sure. It just depends who.

Like i mentioned before - i have put small stake to Juventus winning the  Champions League back in September @15
Obviously i'll hope they can lift the trophy in Cardiff.
As for the match..
Really tough game to call. Particularly because Real Madrir is very clinical in these types of matches. 
Even this one is final match and so much is on the stake,i'll definitely go with BTTS @ 1.95.
Draw is very realistic outcome,but i don't see this ending as goaless final. 

As I've found whole analysis of the match bothering people, I edited the post and let only betting point of view. Well.. For everyone who would like to see the whole analysis, you can read it here. 
 
Betting point of view: For me personally, it's a coin flip match. There is that many things which are totally unpredictable and match could be decided by the smallest possible thing. Who will have a better day? That's just another fact, which is impossible to predict. In my opinion, Real Madrid isn't playing at their best this season, and even if there will be lots of people who will disagree with me, I think that they are not. As mentioned above, it's a tricky question, what would have happened, if Bale wouldn't pick up an injury and if Isco wouldn't play as much as he plays recently. Maybe someone thinks that I am overreacting with this player, but he is exceptional. He can make the difference on the pitch with two moves, and okey, I agree - Cristiano is the one, who usually pushes ball into the net, but without Isco, Real wouldn't had created that many chances. Not even close to that! For me, the biggest question is Carvajal. Danilo is far from Spaniards quality, and right flank of Real will be much weaker without him. If he won't play, then I am somehow giving little bit more chances to Juventus than the bookmakers and if on anything, than I would put my thought on Italians, but as everyone knows, I will be staying out of that match. An interesting bet might be both teams to score, as for Real is simply impossible not to concede the goal, while their attack is fortress and it would be a surprise if they wouldn't net at least one, but... why not? Atletico was 1-0 in front till 94th minute, will be that "easy" to score from corner kick against Juventus? Well.. anyway, have in thoughts, that it is the final of Champions league and that anything can happen in those 90+ minutes. If you need to bet, just to have fun during the match, rather bet with friends. 

I´m also playing a Combo bet today in Bundesliga 3.
I will play Regensburg to win and Duisburg to win.
Simple reasons - Regensburg fights for Promotion and opponent Chemnitz with much troubles. They need 5 Million € for next Season and nobody knows if they can play next Season in 3rd League. Also it´s coming today that they will miss some important players.
Other game ist Duisburg. With a win they are for sure in 2. Bundesliga next Season and i think they will win it. Cologne not so far away from Duisburg and so are 6.000 Fans of Duisburg are expected. Also opponent Cologne for sure next Season in the League and they play for nothing more today. They have main focused on there regional Cup Final where they will play against Bonner SC and if they win this they earn money because only Cup Winner will take a spot in next Season of German Main Cup.
So for me here:
Duisburg+Regensburg @ 2.47 4/10 bet365

Hello everyone.  I will try to do my best possible here after missing some months.  

This week we have some good odds i think. Hot Phase now in season and all games at same time.
Will make - if i find the time - write tomorrow some previews - but guys take a look:
in Bundesliga on: Freiburg and Darmstadt - think both will win and then we have the "Rhein-Derby" between Leverkusen and Cologne. Maybe there i go for goals or for Cologne to grab something out of Leverkusen.
in Bundesliga II: i will take a look for the Wuerzburg-Sandhausen Game, Stuttgart will made it i think
But think i can write for all games some previews.
Bundesliga III also only 2 games left - but there is all games in Pre-Game maybe No-Bet.

1:1
3:0

Whitecaps +0.25 @ 2.28(pinnacle)
Montreal Impact got lucky for the past 2 weeks, coming back from 3-0 down to draw 3-3 against Philly and then scored a deflected goal in the last min to beat Atlanta United. Will they still need Lady Luck this week? I'm certainly not very impressed with them so far. While Whitecaps is also consistent but I think they can cause problems for Impact defence(no clean sheet so far) and get something out of this game.
Sporting KC -1 @ 2.15(marathonbet)
SKC lost their unbeaten record to FC Dallas last week but that doesn't suddenly make them a bad team. As for RSL, Mike Petke also suffered his 1st loss as RSL manager. They have alot of injuries to deal with especially in defence. 1st choice gk Nick Rimando and another defender Chris Wingert added to the injury list this week so that makes their defence even weaker. RSL attack isn't the best and the piling injuries to their defensive players, I like SKC to get back to winning ways here.

Odds on Monaco are ridiculous again. Value surely lies on a away team.
I'm waiting for Peo004 and FCNA to have their saying. As French residents i suppose they have more informations. 

Odds on Monaco are ridiculous again. Value surely lies on a away team.
I'm waiting for Peo004 and FCNA to have their saying. As French residents i suppose they have more informations. 

@DrO. Yes, I totally agree. But when I posted it (Thursday evening, right after 90th minute of the match) odds were 2,15. Now odds are closer to 1,80 etc. so first of all, it wouldn't be fair to raise the stake after odds dropped as I am not a fraud (almost all bets from Pinnacle) and I am not trying to cheat with stats, while second of all: I don't see value on odds which dropped for 0,35. At 2,15 bookmakers were giving little bit more than 46% for Monaco to win (void if draw), while now this percentage is much closer to 55%, so it changed for almost 10%.