godofhorses

840 Kempton
Duke Cosimo 3/1 bet365
Fancied this one last time up at Newcastle and he was well backed too. He came through with a winning run but was just outpointed by one of Tim Easterby's late on. He's due to go up 2lbs as a result of that so comes here on a retrieval mission. George Wood is back on board and with a good draw looks handy for a late run up the inside.
 
£20 Challenge
 
420 Southwell
The only decent handicap of the day (numbers wise) over jumps and a tricky looking contest. First off my top rated runner is The Captain, he was 8/1 last night and now has shortened to 6's. He's had 3 runs in maiden hurdles over 2 miles, ran quite well last time and now goes up half a mile. Former pointer so will like these brush type hurdles and could find some improvement.
Asking Questions is the favourite but has yet to win over hurdles in 7 attempts, he's been chasing and has to carry 12st. I'm nor sure represents much value. Nicely Indeed is a 12 race maiden and looks to have temperament issues, another one that should be a bit bigger.
Oscar World makes his handicap debut and looks a typical improver, Aidan Coleman rides and this is his second run after a wind op. Black Anthem is interesting now that Sam Twiston-Davies has been booked, he pulls hard and despite that still ran a decent race last time, prior to that he had been running on unsuitable soft/heavy ground.
£8 The Captain 6/1
£6 Black Anthem 6/1
£1 Com F/C 1,8,11

Nice one! I did agree and follow you, the second is the one I was going to back if it was g/s.(phew, I did have a sick feeling for a second)  I also decided on Lauren’s, so a good day! 3/1 on yours I got! 

Thank you for all your comments, I will have a closer look at the 3.15.
In relation to the 4pm at Redcar I totally agree! Don’t fall over and bang your head Billy! I did even look at the weather forecast for Redcar as g/s would’ve changed my opinion! 
 
 
400 Redcar
Tabarrak 2/1 bet365 (9/4 available if your quick)
Tough day in my opinion with no real stand out bet at a price. I'm rowing in with Tabarrak who should be good enough to win the Listed event at Redcar. Rated 110 so has a few pounds in hand on his main rivals and loads in hand on some, he won last time out to show he's in form and looks to be a 7f specialist rather than a horse trying to find a trip - if you know what i mean.
 
 
 
 
 
 

400 Redcar
Tabarrak 2/1 bet365 (9/4 available if your quick)
Tough day in my opinion with no real stand out bet at a price. I'm rowing in with Tabarrak who should be good enough to win the Listed event at Redcar. Rated 110 so has a few pounds in hand on his main rivals and loads in hand on some, he won last time out to show he's in form and looks to be a 7f specialist rather than a horse trying to find a trip - if you know what i mean.
 
 

Everything 2nd ...little jo 3rd .medieval 5th!.....not bad ...I'll rate big Cambridge in a bit 

Good luck on this one! I’m on Catoca! I did watch the videos on your one this morning and I thought it maybe outpaced at the vital moment! Let’s hope one of ours wins!!!

Won 

I agree with your comment about the draw, I think the horse will be so far behind at the bend and will probably go wide! By that time something will be gone and away! It’s not a horse that breaks well either! I would price it up at around 8/1. Good luck though I hope I’m wrong for you! I’m not backing against you or for that matter not at all.

Thanks, is there any horses that you actually fancy today and are going to share with us. There are 54 races to choose from. 

Colchester vs Cambridge
The focus turns to League Two for this second preview of the weekend. Colchester welcome Cambridge to the Colchester Community Stadium for this 3pm kick-off on Saturday afternoon where the home side will be looking to continue their positive start to the season and the visitors will be looking to upset the odds.
Colchester manager John McGreal is now into his third full season with the U's and so far he's ensured that the club have remained consistent. The more ambitious fans will be demanding a promotion push this year after season upon season of mid-table mediocrity. Well, that's just what could happen with McGreal guiding his side to 5th in the table with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss from their 7 league games.
It is a start to the season that has surprised a few. The club is just 4 points off the top of the table and 1 point off the automatic promotion places. The highlight has been the defensive record with just 5 goals conceded and three clean sheets kept during that period. The jury is still out regarding their season-long hopes because the highest placed side of their seven opponents so far are 12th placed Mansfield. Still, you can only beat what's in front of you.
Cambridge have been less immaculate in their seven games so far. Joe Dunne's team are sat in 19th place with just 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses from their games this season. The fact that the U's have failed to score in three of their seven matches in the league is a cause for concern.
Three defeats in their last four matches is also worrying. On the plus side, they did win their last away game with a 1-0 score-line against mid-table Stevenage. It just seems that this could be a long and trying season for Cambridge. Dunne remains a divisive figure with the fans. Some point to his win ratio of 42.9% during his 14 game stint as caretaker manager of Cambridge. His critics perhaps harshly pick out the performances so far this season and his time at Colchester when he only managed a win ratio of 28.4% over two seasons. He'll be hoping to prove his former employers wrong on Saturday but I don't think he'll manage to pull the win off.
Colchester to Win @ 2.05 with William Hill
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.91 with MarathonBet
 

Let's get this show on the road....
i find myself with a quieter week at work, so I have time to have a look at the stats above.
i fancy a BTTS acca this week,
Burton V Sunderland, Cov V Barnsley, LUTON V Bristol Rovers,, Posh V Pompey, MKD V FGR,Newport V Yeovil, Swindon V Bury
Looking at the ratings, the teams who seem to have a clear advantage this week are Charlton, Barnsley, Accy Stan, Giils, Donny Rovers,Colchester, Creepy Crawley, Yeovil, Livingston, Hearts and Rangers.
Gillingham are catching my eye this week away to Rochdale.
They are currently 4.5 to win, & 2.0 on the DC/X2
Its a case of 14th V 15th in this mid table League 1 encounter, with Rochdale 1 point above, but with a worse goal difference (4 goals worse)
Gillingham have a superior ratings over Rochdale, so this suggests they must be putting the performances in, but not getting results. In fact of their last 5 match sequence LLLDL, they have played 3 of the top 4, conceededing 8 in two of those matches (Pompey (A) being a EFL CUP game), so a tough set of fixtures for them so far.
They are not playing top 4, it's Rochdale, 1 place, 1 point, above them, with a worse goal deficit 
The other two matches in their last 5 sequence have been a 1-1 draw against Coventry & a 1-0 loss to Wombledon. Both these teams sit 1 point above the Gills, in 12th & 13th place
 (Under 2.5 goals is currently 2.0)
So taking all of this into account, Gillingham should be in with a decent shout of Winning if they can perform as the ratings suggest.
By the way, the last time I opposed Rochdale at home, Walsall came up trumps at 4.2!
@allyhibs sorry for the bad language, but are the Jambos value away at Motherwell (2.3) or Livingston at home (1.9)?
Crawley  should continue to impress under the new manager too. @1.85 
 

Ascot 2.40    What A Welcome    7-2
Ascot 4.5  5    Field Of Vision    20-1
Haydock 3.35    Jabberockie    13-2    
Haydock 4.10    Big Storm Coming    8-1
Kempton 5.45    Maypole    11-2
Musselburgh 6.30    Jacob Black    9-2
Musselburgh 7.30    Imperial Legend    9-4       

I always look to back something in a race like this with a horse that is coming into a bit of form or improving back to it. There isn’t a lot that fits the mould here. I would back Mon Beau if the ground was a little softer but it must be in with a chance. However on speaking to my colleagues the Easterby clan are expecting some improvement on Parys Mountain, but not to get carried away as this is just expected. So a small win on this one with a saver on Mon Beau.

Sorry! I’m being lazy! My small treble is above! I’m having a bit of fun whilst I watch the hillbilly Laytown races! I like Rippling Waters of Osbornes!

Hello Dan, thanks for the write up. Totally agree with you and I’m going to join you!

Goodwood 2.00    Zoffany Bay    13-8
Goodwood 3.40    Princess Power    2-1
Kempton 7.45    Sky Eagle     11-4
Leicester 5.55    Makambe (nap)     10-3
Stratford 3.20    Beach Break    15-8
Stratford 3.55    Wells De Lune    6-4
Stratford 4.30    Mr Caffrey    5-2
Stratford 5.05    Scottsbrook Night    11-4

12:1 double!  Beers on me!

12:1 double!  Beers on me!

Ffos Las 2.15    Perfect Symphony (nap)    5-2
Ffos Las 4.45    Jacbequick    13-8
Newcastle 5.20    Chantresse    10-3
Windsor 6.30    Camomile Lawn    4-1
Newcastle 7.20     Little Jo    2 -1

Kenya  1/4 pt ew  30/1  ew betfair     4 00 curragh 
oh this is us  1 pt win 9/1 hills  2 05 che
dance the dream  1/2 pt ew 14/1  hill/365  3 15 che
 
 
 
 
 
P/L  account =   +  81.5      pts

Lol not that at all! I do however look at Everyone’s tip  to see if I agree on any of them! I have agreed on some! Mainly from Evil, YSM and Richard lol
its a democracy!

Omg I got that one at 12/1!   Lobster for me tonight swirled down with some champers!

Hello Richard, I think you stated the exact reason why it won’t win! The ground! 

3.00 York - Expert Eye 11/10
My only bet of the day and a big one at that. If it runs well it will win, simply the best horse in the race. Let’s see!
 
 

YORK
3.00    Sea Fox E/W     22-1
3.35    Eziyra E/W  (nap)  10-1
4.50    Crossing The Line E/W    12-1