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richard-westwood

Racing chat - Saturday 6th oct

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150 asc

Mr Lupton  323

A momentofmadness   321

Muthmir    316 

Muthmir is always worth a look in races like this but hasn't been at full strength in recent races and this tends to go to young superstar so top 2 for that profile 

Mr Lupton 10pts win 5/1 corals 

Amomentofmadness 10pts win 10/1 pp

 

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400 Redcar

Tabarrak 2/1 bet365 (9/4 available if your quick)

Tough day in my opinion with no real stand out bet at a price. I'm rowing in with Tabarrak who should be good enough to win the Listed event at Redcar. Rated 110 so has a few pounds in hand on his main rivals and loads in hand on some, he won last time out to show he's in form and looks to be a 7f specialist rather than a horse trying to find a trip - if you know what i mean.

 

 

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350 new 

Gypsy spirit    299

Lihou 269

..Rated this on off chance and gypsy spirit is absolutely miles clear and 3/1 ??.....2nd rated is 14/1 !! Who's clear of next horse ......2 yr olds and anything can happen but that's gotta be worth a play 

Gypsy spirit  20pts win 3/1 bet365 

Lihou 5pts win 14/1 bet365 

2pt rev forecast 

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3.15 Newmarket - Opinions?

Sorry to thee who fancy something else rather than Lauren’s and Wind Chimes.

I must admit I’ve watched all the replays on Lauren’s and can see it’s battling qualities, but I can see it had just beaten a lot if horses in its races just pulling out enough. I can’t confess to be an expert on Wind Chimes?

Any comments?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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During the summer I was mainly looking at run of the mill handicaps on the flat but that's winding down now and the Jumps haven't really got going yet so I've been looking at two year old maiden and novice races to fill the gap

These tend to mainly be midweek with the Saturday cards full of conditions races and handicaps so there's not much on today

One horse that has caught my eye is ……….

Redcar 3.25 - Myrmidons at 16/1 (EW)

Typical northern maiden race with the market revolving around the raiders from down south but none of them look outstanding and the form of the horses that have run doesn't look great. I had a two year old the other day that was just pipped on the post by a Michael Dods newcomer and my selection is another one of his making a debut. Related to winners and seven furlongs looks like a good starting point as he should get further next year. But mainly it's just that newcomer of his pipping mine on the post a few days ago !

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1 minute ago, godofhorses said:

3.15 Newmarket - Opinions?

Sorry to thee who fancy something else rather than Lauren’s and Wind Chimes.

I must admit I’ve watched all the replays on Lauren’s and can see it’s battling qualities, but I can see it had just beaten a lot if horses in its races just pulling out enough. I can’t confess to be an expert on Wind Chimes?

Any comments?

I've gone for Clemmie at 8/1 as my nap of the day

O'Brien horse disappointed a bit over the summer, had a break, came back and finished 2L 3rd to Laurens at Leopardstown. Fresh horse after the break, can see her reversing places with Laurens which should put her bang there.

Laurens also had a mid season break and has had 2 runs since ….. bit lucky to win at Leopardstown ? Uncontested lead and had the run of the race and of course Alpha Centauri was injured and retired after the race but still ran her to under a length. She has been running over 10/12 furlongs which suggests they're not sure about her best trip. At a mile she could be a bit of a suiting duck for anything with a turn of foot. On the plus side she is game and tough.

Wind Chimes has some decent form with two close up 2nds in group one races. Not sure that the Moulin was that great with Recoletas winning it but obviously it was against colts so that marks her up. Noted as finishing 'all out' last time which I consider a bad sign … having had a hard race and given all she's got. I read that as meaning there's not much improvement in her.

Veracious is interesting ….. lightly raced Cheveley Park filly from the Stoute yard. You just expect them to be good !

I see that Clemmie is being backed since I posted it about an hour ago … now down to 6/1. 

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24 minutes ago, godofhorses said:

3.15 Newmarket - Opinions?

Sorry to thee who fancy something else rather than Lauren’s and Wind Chimes.

I must admit I’ve watched all the replays on Lauren’s and can see it’s battling qualities, but I can see it had just beaten a lot if horses in its races just pulling out enough. I can’t confess to be an expert on Wind Chimes?

Any comments?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I've rated this on computer ...

Wind chimes 313

Laurens     308

Billsdown brook    304 

Thesex3 are clear of rest .....best value is billsdpwn brook ew....but close race between top 2 ...I'll be surprised if one of top 2 don't win 

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Thank you for all your comments, I will have a closer look at the 3.15.

In relation to the 4pm at Redcar I totally agree! Don’t fall over and bang your head Billy! I did even look at the weather forecast for Redcar as g/s would’ve changed my opinion! 

 

 

400 Redcar

Tabarrak 2/1 bet365 (9/4 available if your quick)

Tough day in my opinion with no real stand out bet at a price. I'm rowing in with Tabarrak who should be good enough to win the Listed event at Redcar. Rated 110 so has a few pounds in hand on his main rivals and loads in hand on some, he won last time out to show he's in form and looks to be a 7f specialist rather than a horse trying to find a trip - if you know what i mean.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Clementina  1 50 G/P  1/2 pt win 7/1 coral

Under the cover 1 50 ascot  1 pt win 16/1 P/P bet 365

Billstown Brook 3 15 Newmarket 1/2 pt win  16/1 betfair 

Swissterious 2 pt win 2 45 redcar  1 pt win 13/2 P/P 

 

 

P/L account  since start date in may 2018  =  + 125 pts 

Edited by black rabbit
update totals

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22 hours ago, BillyHills said:

400 Redcar

Tabarrak 2/1 bet365 (9/4 available if your quick)

Tough day in my opinion with no real stand out bet at a price. I'm rowing in with Tabarrak who should be good enough to win the Listed event at Redcar. Rated 110 so has a few pounds in hand on his main rivals and loads in hand on some, he won last time out to show he's in form and looks to be a 7f specialist rather than a horse trying to find a trip - if you know what i mean.

 

 

Nice one! I did agree and follow you, the second is the one I was going to back if it was g/s.(phew, I did have a sick feeling for a second)  I also decided on Lauren’s, so a good day! 3/1 on yours I got! 

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