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Sir Puntalot

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  1. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from Tiffy in Championship Predictions > Apr 30th - May 5th   
    Swansea are massive at 3.50, absolutely huge. They've won 6 of their last 7 at home and should have been 7 but for a last minute equaliser by Hull. Derby have won one of their last 5 and are priced purely on motivation, which I'll always take on.
    If this was half way through the season and same stats, Swansea would be around 2.00 to win.
    Swansea to beat Derby @ 3.50 Betfair 
  2. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from Mathos67 in Championship Predictions > Apr 30th - May 5th   
    Same scenario as above, purely priced on motivation which has been proven time and time again to be poor value.
    Hull to beat Bristol City @ 3.00 Unibet

    Despite one poor home game against Sheff Utd, Hull have one 4 of their last 6 at home and really finished the season well. Couldn't create that form away from home, but on their own pitch they are a force for anyone in this division.
    Bristol City have long since bottled it and will likely miss out on the playoffs. Lost their last 2 away games and are winless in their last 4 games, losing 3.
  3. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Apr 30th - May 5th   
    Same scenario as above, purely priced on motivation which has been proven time and time again to be poor value.
    Hull to beat Bristol City @ 3.00 Unibet

    Despite one poor home game against Sheff Utd, Hull have one 4 of their last 6 at home and really finished the season well. Couldn't create that form away from home, but on their own pitch they are a force for anyone in this division.
    Bristol City have long since bottled it and will likely miss out on the playoffs. Lost their last 2 away games and are winless in their last 4 games, losing 3.
  4. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from Mathos67 in Championship Predictions > Apr 30th - May 5th   
    Swansea are massive at 3.50, absolutely huge. They've won 6 of their last 7 at home and should have been 7 but for a last minute equaliser by Hull. Derby have won one of their last 5 and are priced purely on motivation, which I'll always take on.
    If this was half way through the season and same stats, Swansea would be around 2.00 to win.
    Swansea to beat Derby @ 3.50 Betfair 
  5. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    Exactly all we want is people to win money. Someone on Twitter seems to think I want people to lose which is very odd! I back every single tip I put up on here both horses and football so if the tips lose I have done my cash as well, but if I have a day like yesterday then I win big time. If Boreham Wood win I will have won a serious amount of cash, but it was still way more money than I have ever won in a day before so more than happy with that. I treat my punting as a 2nd job so I put in the hard work so not only do I win but everyone else does as well.
  6. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from Darran in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    I like to think that's the Punters Lounge ethos too. @Darran has been on PL for many years, but @Shipsupstreets before him was exactly the same, but right across Punters Lounge, there are soooo many great tipsters without any ego and it's great to see.  
     
  7. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from vikki37 in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    I like to think that's the Punters Lounge ethos too. @Darran has been on PL for many years, but @Shipsupstreets before him was exactly the same, but right across Punters Lounge, there are soooo many great tipsters without any ego and it's great to see.  
     
  8. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Mindfulness in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    Incredible stuff @Darran, what a card to finish the campaign with!!!
    Thanks once again.
  9. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Johnmccain in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    Just want to say thank you Darran. I took my bag of 20 points today and spread it across all your selections... 1 point each on singles and the other 13 spread across doubles and trebles... I have over 450 points. You've paid for my summer. Couldn't be more grateful... if you have a Bitcoin address please let me know so I can send you some thanks
  10. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Resolvedtwo in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    Amazing as always Darran. RIP that guy who thought he was too good for your tips.
  11. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Shep65 in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    .

    Darran, Addpea.  You Sir, are a fucking legend!  Even by your amazing standards, I've never seen anything like it. Covered them all in 10p unit  2,3,4,5,6, &7folds- £12 staked - £1664 returned.

    I salute you! - And I owe you more than a few drinks!  Cheers Pal.
  12. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from SENDANDRETURN74 in "Cashing Out" this £1 > £2000 acca   
    to PL @SENDANDRETURN74   
  13. Haha
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Mindfulness in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    Infact, @Sir Puntalot 
    Bring back the annual punters lounge awards and include a 'best coupon' category
  14. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Darran in Non-League Predictions > April 27th   
    So we finally reach the last day of the regular season. It was nice to get a profit on Monday with Weston, Dover and Dorking all landing at big odds. This season has been very up and down although still be a decent enough season. The ante-post stuff will show a nice profit and we are basically waiting on who wins the Evo-Stik Southern Premier as Weymouth and Taunton were both covered. I really need it to be Weymouth to help land a lumpy mid-season acca I put on (although Farsley aren't home and hosed yet either), but at least I have Taunton covered. Hopefully it can be a profitable end of the season on the match betting front where I have some big prices again.
    AFC Fylde v Halifax
    It doesn't really matter if Fylde come 4th or 5th and I reckon they might rest a few players in this match with the play-off matches coming thick and fast next week. They are guaranteed a home tie in the first round of matches and will be away in the next tie if they get through anyway so with that in mind Halifax are worth a bet here at 11/2. They beat Wrexham 2-1 on Easter Monday who are the team in 5th at the moment so there is no reason why they can't repeat the same sort of performance here.
    Boreham Wood v Eastleigh
    The home side gave it a good go at Chesterfield for us on Monday, but ended up going down 3-2 after having a man sent off. Eastleigh made sure of their play-off spot by beating Maidenhead and like Fylde it doesn't really matter if they finish 6th or 7th because they will be away in both the possible games anyway and I can imagine that they will rest key players. This gives Wood a chance especially as they have performed well in recent weeks so are worth backing at just over 2/1.
    Bromley v Ebbsfleet
    God knows what is happening behind the scenes at Ebbsfleet, but the players still haven't been paid and it is hard to see how they are going to be overly motivated to put in a performance here for a club that is in a right mess off the pitch. The loss to Dover on Monday meant they can no longer finish in the play-offs so there really is nothing to play for and they were poor in that game as it was. Bromley have drawn 3 of their last 4 so still seem to be trying and they beat Leyton Orient 5 games ago. They should be favs for this and 7/4 looks a huge price.
    Hartlepool v Salford
    Taking a bit of a chance here, but I am backing the home side. I just wonder if Salford will decide to concentrate on the play-offs given they are highly unlikely to catch Leyton Orient. If Orient go in front early on then Salford will know their number is really up and they wont want to be risking injuries ahead of the play-offs. Hartlepool aren't exactly ending the season in great form but they did beat Halifax on Good Friday. Team news could be key, but it might just pay to be ahead of the game here and have a small investment at a big price in the hope Salford have one eye on the play-offs.
    Curzon Ashton v Spennymoor
    Not that long ago Spennymoor were in poor form, but they have won 4 of their last 5 games and are setting themselves up nicely for the play-offs. They got a huge win against at the time league leaders Chorley on Easter Monday and they will be trying here as if they can overtake Brackley then they will have one less game in the play-offs. As I have mentioned a few times of late Curzon have stopped for the season based on their performances and odds against on the away side picking up another win is a big price.
    Eastbourne v Concord
    I really don't get the price of Concord here. I think the bookies are basing it on the fact they are basically certain of a play-off spot, but what they have missed is the fact that they can finish 4th or 5th and that would mean a home tie in the first round of the play-offs. Given how strong they have been at home this season that would be huge if they could overtake Bath and or Chelmsford. God knows where Eastbourne's 6-0 drubbing of Dartford came from given it had been a very long time since they last won prior to that. They then drew with Slough 1-1 on Monday which was a decent effort as well. They are safe now though and with Concord still having something to play for they just should be 9/2.
    Woking v Gloucester City
    I suspect if Gloucester had not come from 2 down to beat Chippenham 3-2 on Monday then Gloucester would not have been such a big price for this because they still would have been fighting for their survival. Fortunately for me and my fellow City supporters we are now safe for another season, but I think we can go out on a win. Our away form has been much stronger than our home form this term, but the key point is that Woking have nothing to play for. They can only finish 2nd now and I really can't believe that they won't be resting players ahead of the play-offs. Why would Alan Dowson risk his key players in a meaningless game a few days ahead of trying to win promotion? 21/5 looks a big price on an away win to me.
    Halifax 1pt @ 11/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral
    Boreham Wood 1pt @ 101/50 with Marathon
    Bromley 2pts @ 7/4 with Marathon
    Hartlepool 1pt @ 21/4 with BetVictor
    Spennymoor 2.5pts @ 21/20 with Marathon
    Concord 1pt @ 9/2 with Bet365 and Betfred
    Gloucester 1pt @ 21/5 with BetVictor
  15. Haha
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from harry_rag in Bet analysis tool   
    I'm glad it ended - Punters Lounge forum membership is revoked after 40 consecutive losers.  
  16. Haha
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from Torque in Bet analysis tool   
    I'm glad it ended - Punters Lounge forum membership is revoked after 40 consecutive losers.  
  17. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to harry_rag in Bet analysis tool   
    Yes, it is quite a lot of work but if you want to know what you win on and what you lose on (and who you lose/win with) then I don't know of a better way. What I do now is take a screenshot of all my bets as I place them (virtually all are on phone or tablet) and then update the spreadsheet 2 or 3 times a week. That's more practical that sticking every bet in a spreadsheet as you place them.
    In terms of past bets, I've found if you log in to your accounts on a laptop or desktop it's possible to access your results for however far you want to go back (up to the maximum of 6 or 12 months usually) and copy/paste them into a spreadsheet for analysis (though the format will vary wildly from firm to firm).
    Keeping records is great. How else does one get to know that one is on a losing run of 35 bets (as I was recently)? 
  18. Thanks
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from harry_rag in Bet analysis tool   
    I have to concur with @harry_rag 

    The problem with using software to extract stats is that you hope it's gathering correct data. In my time with the Punters Lounge development team, I can tell you there's tons of things that can go wrong.
    Keep it in a spreadsheet, double check your data input and you'll build a monster analysis tool.  
  19. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to harry_rag in Bet analysis tool   
    Stick your results in a spreadsheet and analyse to your heart's content!
  20. Like
    Sir Puntalot got a reaction from Xcout in Blocked Email Notifications - Microsoft   
    Thanks to @DanV89 who told us that some notification emails weren't getting through. We investigated the issue to find that Microsoft (Outlook/Hotmail) email was a massive culprit, blocking 97% of notifications in the last 30 days.
    Gmail blocked 5 emails in the last 30 days, compared to Microsoft blocking nearly 3000. Thanks Bill.  
    We've put a potential solution in place, but it's down to Microsoft whether it works or not. We'll know in around 7 days, but a permanent solution for those missing any notification emails would be to switch to Gmail.

     
  21. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Ocerradus in IPL - Indian Premier League 2019   
    Felt like it was fixed, though this happens quite often with two teams (CSK and MI) in particular i.e. it looks like they are going to lose and they tend to win because the other team does something stupid in the end. In this season KKR too, but that is mostly due to Russell. 
    Speaking of which, today's game: KKR vs DC
    Eden gardens: there have been two games here and both were high scoring games with teams scoring 181, 183, 218 and 190, and this one seems to be nothing different. 
    Going to pick: 
    3PTS Total Runs in Match: Over 340.5 @ 2.10 Bet365
    KKR certainly and most likely the favourites, but at this odds (1.68) it's not worth backing them, I would wait till it goes in play. 
    For Top runscorer KKR, Nitish Rana looks like a fit to me, he has been playing well and I think this can be a match he gets a high score: 
    2 PTS Top Team A Runscorer Nitish Rana @5.0  Betfair
    For Delhi, it's none other than R.Pant
    3 PTS Top Team B Runscorer R. Pant @3.75 Betfair
    Good Luck today!!
  22. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Fader in IPL - Indian Premier League 2019   
    Battle of the poor form today as Kolkata Knight Riders (lost 5 in a row, including 3 at home) host The Rajasthan Royals (lost 3 out of the 4 away matches) You would say that Raja have the better form just in the sense they have won 2 of the last 4. Both of these teams actually score well, but the bowling lets them down big time.
    Kolkata started this season so well with 4 wins from the first 5 and then since then it's fallen apart. They need to get back to winning ways, and that will only come if they bowl better and restrict because they are giving away far too many runs.
    There is no Buttler today and that could be the difference today because he can win a match on his own. Rahane and Smith will be the ones to rely on in this match.
    I fancy Kolkata in this and the 4/6 on offer at Coral is just about big enough for me to have a bet on them. I will also go with Russell (as usual) although I feel Rana is doing a job at home and so i'll take him too (5 matches at home, Rana has hit 60+ in 3 of them)
    6pts Kolkata to beat Rajasthan 4/6 coral
    1.5pts A.Russell top Kolkata batsman 5/1 ladbrokes
    1.5pts Rana top Kolkata batsman 5/1 ladbrokes
    3pts rahane top raja batsman 10/3 paddypower
  23. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to Ocerradus in IPL - Indian Premier League 2019   
    KKR vs RR
    Looks like a high scoring match considering both the bowling attacks are not good. 
    Average first innings score in Eden gardens this season is 190. The only time the score was around 160 was against CSK and considering their bowling attack that was bound to happen. I am expecting a good 200+ score. So I will go with 
    2PTS Total runs in match: Over 340.5 @1.90 Bet365
    Kolkata won the reverse fixture this season by restricting RR to 139, which was chased easily by them in 14 Overs. I expect KKR to win this match. However, the odds are too short for this and I will wait till the toss. 
    The only player in form (not including Jos Buttler) for RR is Rahane and not being a captain has helped relieve pressure from his shoulders and he can concentrate more on his batting: 
    3PTS Rahane top RR batsman @3.5 Betfair
  24. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to increaseval in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Excellent prediction as Pouille had no chance of coming near Ferrer!
  25. Like
    Sir Puntalot reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Hi and welcome to PL @increaseval!
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