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vvararu

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  1. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from MABS in Tennis Tips - May 6 - May 12   
    Never underestimate Nole
    Of course he still can lose the match but that’s why he is number 1. He can beat anyone in a good day.
  2. Thanks
    vvararu reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Christian Garin to beat Matteo Berrettini at 1.97 with Unibet
    Unibet released their odds and they don't follow bet365 who have put Garin as 1.80 fav, they instead pick him as underdog which I think we should be happy about. It's very rarely to see a player outside of top 30 go and win two straight clay tournaments and I don't think it will happen this time either. Garin is likely the less fatigued player here and therefore should win this title.
  3. Haha
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Is this just to inform the people what are the odds on Pinnacle? 
  4. Thanks
    vvararu reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Malek Jaziri to beat Leonardo Mayer at 3.20 with Unibet
    I think we could see Malek fighting for everything in this match because Estoril is important to him. Leonardo wants to play in Madrid, no reason for him to have motivation to play any longer in Estoril.
  5. Confused
    vvararu reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 15 - April 21   
    Taylor Fritz/Diego Schwartzman under 20.5 games at 1.79 with Unibet
    A surface that suits Diego like a fish thrives in water. They met in Antwerpen 2016 and Diego dominated and won 6-4 6-4. He won't have more problems this time. Diego will beat Taylor easy enough for the match to end under 21 games.
  6. Like
    vvararu reacted to Lorenzi Musetti in Tennis Tips - April 15 - April 21   
    Last week Verdasco played horrible against Menendez-Maceiras. Many UEs, weak serve after the early games in first set and he got a bad body language. Maybe he will be more motivated in MC because its a bigger tournament with more points and money...he lead 3-0 against Herbert and he stil got a chance here. Maybe its an over game, but who realy knows...
  7. Thanks
    vvararu reacted to South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - April 15 - April 21   
    Anyone have thoughts on Schwartzmann v Edmund? I'm very close to picking the underdog (Schwartzmann) but then I remembered he got an injury in the South American swing and hasn't played that well since. 
  8. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Sure. Will do.
  9. Thanks
    vvararu reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Grigor Dimitrov -1 game @2.00 Dafabet 3/10
    I like Dimitrov here for some reasons. He's living in Monte-Carlo for years now and so this is kind of a home tournament for him. He prepared well in MC last two weeks hitting with a lot of good training partners and apparently he looked pretty good. My contact in MC told me he's looking strong and pumped and i think he can deal with a guy like Berrettini on clay who is - to be fair - a really good prospect who can make it to the Top 20/30 soon. Berrettini had good tournament in Phoenix and Sofia but overall more an average year so far with a lot of early losses. 
  10. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from opole in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Sorry for that. Just felt offended by the way how someone reacted to my analyses, using words "Zero value...". In the end it's all about winning money. If I bet 10.000 eu on 1.5 and I win, for me it has a lot of value.
    And yes. You are right about the other meaning of the value.
    Once again. My apologises.
  11. Sad
    vvararu got a reaction from Rypcio in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Monte Carlo
    Hurckacz H. - Coric B.
    Two players that have not any clay games played in 2019 so far.
    Taking a look back in 2018 statistics, Hurckacz looked to be doing better on clay courts - 14 wins out of 18 games. However, 1 think to be mentioned is that he played mostly against > 100 ranked players. If I'm not mistaken, Sandgren was the highest ranked opponent (61 ATP in 2018). Generally, it looks that the guys plays better on hard courts, probably because of his strong shots and serves. 
    On the other side, Coric did not do so well clay-wise in 2018. He won just 5 games out of 10. However, he played against much stronger opponents (compared to the ones of Hurkcacz): Djokovici, Thiem, Schwartzman, Kohlschreiber, Carreno-Busta... I just think that they played different level tournaments; that's why the difference.
    Being the game on the hard court I would have thought differently, but on clay, I give much more chances to Coric. From what I saw on his twitter account, the guys has been preparing very seriously for this tournament with a new guys in his team - Antonio Veic.
    Coric to win @1.50 unibet
     
  12. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from vicsuna in Serie A & B Predictions > Apr 12th - 15th   
    Roma - Udinese
    Total yellow cards > 4.5 @1.73 (unibet)
    Some preconditions for a lot of yellow cards in this match:
    Both teams are motivated for this game. Roma fighting for a champions league spot and Udinese for a safe distance from the relegation zone. The stakes being high, I expect a rough game.  The referee of the game is  Di Bello M, a guy who spreads yellow cards all around.
  13. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from vicsuna in Serie A & B Predictions > Apr 12th - 15th   
    Spal - Juventus
    Spal to score @1.49 (unibet)
    Juventus won't care too much about this match. First of all the are playing in champions league. Second (see the screenshot) they are resting a lot of important players. Third (from a comment of a guys on another site), Juve needs just one point in order to win the "Serie A" this year and, theoretically, they might want to celebrate on the home stadium and not with all the important players being out.
    On the other side, Spal has scored at home to Lazio, Roma, Inter, Atalanta... They are also only 4 points above relegation zone.
    Having in mind the facts from above, I think it's pretty real for Spal to score at least a goal in this match.

  14. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Well... don't take my opinion as an expert's one, but being considered a favourite (see my post above about why), I think it's Ok 1.7-1.8 agains 2-2.20 on Andujar.
    If they were more even, Simon wouldn't be a favourite
  15. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Marrakech ATP semi-final
    Simon G. - Andujar Alba P.
    Simon to win @1.72 (unibet).
     
    Here is why I think Simon will win:
    Am I the only one who thinks that Andujar Alba cannot perform like this forever ? Almost a game every day. I know he's damn good last 2-3 weeks but I expect some tiredness in the upcoming long game. Long, because Simon is a pusher and, usually, games with him involve many ralleys. Simon is higher ranked (27 VS 70). This is gonna be the highest ranked opponent of Andujar in his loseless series. Simon has a better clay court stats (57.9%) vs Andujar (50.5%). See the screen shot below with Simon on the right. Their H2H is 2:1 for the spaniard, however, last game being 5 years ago, it's not relevant. I think that the odds proposed by the booker are correct. They are leaning towards Simon but not a big gap between them. I'm expecting a long 3 set game ending in 2:1 for the french.... and a french final tomorrow. 
     

  16. Like
    vvararu reacted to money44 in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Stan Wawrinka to beat Luca Pouille at odds -154 with Chance
    Scripted early odds but won't change alot. This will be the first meeting between said players. Quality is with the Swiss player, who is also gaining some very decent form right now(even with some early losses here and there) Game is steadily improving. Both players with nice results in this tournament. Stan Wawrinka has not lost earlier than the Round of 16 since 2008. I don't see Pouille with much chances in the match. I think he's still recovering from a long Australian open, and Wawrinka will not want to lose this first encounter with a younger player. Luck! 
  17. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from Robinnho in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech.
    Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.
    Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)
    The reasons of this choice are:
    German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent. I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense. Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking. Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.
  18. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech.
    Kohlschreiber P. - Andujar Alba P.
    Kohlschreiber to win @1.76 (unibet)
    The reasons of this choice are:
    German is generally a better ranked and more versatile player Spaniard played last week almost every day. I think that it might affect the quality of his game against a rested opponent. I'm not sure about the info, but I've read somewhere that Andujar Alba will play qualifiers for the much more prestigious Monte Carlo ATP this weekend (Kohlschreiber being seeded). If that's true, the Spaniard might want to rest a little bit and not be very motivated for the game of today. On the other side, German will want to stay in the tournament in order to play some more games as preparation for the Monte Carlo. All this is just supposition but it might carry some sense. Yes, Andujar Alba has a 11 games win run, but all of the opponents, except Paire (69) and Delbonis (74) were > 140 ranking. Kohlschreiber (41) will be a serious challenge if we judge purely by ranking. Having the points above in mind, I believe that the German will increase the H2H from 2:1 to 3:1 today.
  19. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from Stevecw in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech
    Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
    Simon @1.62 (unibet).
    Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
    From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
    Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
     
     


  20. Thanks
    vvararu got a reaction from money44 in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech
    Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
    Simon @1.62 (unibet).
    Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
    From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
    Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
     
     


  21. Haha
    vvararu got a reaction from Torque in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    ATP Marrakech
    Andreozzi G. - Simon G.
    Simon @1.62 (unibet).
    Being a great pusher and clay being the best surface for that, I'll go with Simon G. to win.
    From the stats, we can see that Simon has been being a quite successful clay player till now. (see the attach). Regretfully, the stats from the same site does not look accurate for Andreozzi. However, I've checked and in 2018-2019 the guys does not have so many wins (2-3) against top 100 players. In 2019, yesterday's win agains Ramos was first out of five.
    Of course anything can happen but I believe that Simon will piss the Argentinian off with his long ralleys.
     
     


  22. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charlestone WTA final.
    Wozniacki - Keys. Wozniacki at 1.76 (unibet)
    Keys is a powerful player. However, she was broken so many times against Stephens... The big problem of Stephens was her first serve.
    Well, that should not be the case for danish girl. She played so well against Sakkari (powerful player), against Martic (good rally player) that I think she will cause big troubles to Keys. 
    Being a very good returner and having a superb serve I hope she won’t give so many chances to Keys for her “from mid-range” killer shots.
    Long story short, I think that Wozniacki will continue to play great today and will get her first 2019 title.
  23. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from Robinnho in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charleston WTA
    Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
    Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
    I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
    I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 
  24. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charleston WTA
    Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
    Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
    I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
    I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 
  25. Like
    vvararu got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    Charleston WTA
    Buzarnescu - Wozniacki
    Wozniacki to win at ~ 1.32 (unibet)
    I watched the last game of Wozniacki against Siegemund and the danish played impeccable against the aggressive opponent. I have not seen however how Buzarnescu played against a weaker opponent L. Davis (184 wta) but for sure she is not in her best form - 3 games won out of 12 in 2019.
    I believe in an easy win of Wozniacki. The odds are not great but for those who want to make a bigger bet, should be ok. I expect the odds on Wozniacki to go down closer to the event time. 
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