Bang on
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Posts
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Posts posted by Bang on
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14 minutes ago, Wildgarden said:
great day yday. might start doing a folds acca on urs with that hit rate!
It was a good day, but as I stated on 1st September, strike rate around 48% so off to a flyer this month. Also LLR was 6.
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5.25 Wolv - Vocatus 3/1 bet365
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September running total = +13.21 pts
Todays selections B365 (B.O.G.)
Despite a busy Saturday, my selection method has only thrown up 1 selection. **Please note, as stated before, I Don't do Sundays, I take a days rest.
7.30 Wolv - Bashosh 5/4
- Wildgarden, The Equaliser, Ironjoe and 2 others
- 5
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9 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
I have up to now been cautious in as much as if I were say to back a horse at 2/1, I would put £10 on it to win £20 or if the horse was 10/1 then put £2 to win on it to get the same profit.
Only you can know if you are happy with your staking.
The staking in the quote is similar to what Clive Holt of 'Fineform' put in his books years ago (I have all 3). It worked for him, but personally I stake slightly differently.
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12 minutes ago, fd1972uk said:
Find it hard to find people's selections in these daily threads. Think these assumptions might be best in some thread for these discussions.
Was quite good seeing people's bets but now it's how to become a millionaire, when let's be honest not one of the members on here are beating the bookie.
Maybe not my place, but there's a phrase that goes along the way of 'get a room', maybe an idea to 'get a thread'.
That isn't true. It isn't easy, but it is possible to win decent money even if we are not millionaires... yet.
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1.35 Newc - Twisted Dreams 5/2 Bet365
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September total = + 4.46 pts
Todays selections .. all prices Bet365 (B.O.G.)
1.20 Asc - Khanjar (6/5) ... WON 5-4
3.30 Hay - Improvise (15/8) ... WON 3-1
4.30 Hay - Dreamweaver (13/8) ... WON 9-4
7.15 kemp - Brazilian Beach (7/4) ... lost
7.30 Ponte - King of Stars (6/4) ... WON 7-4
8.45 Kemp - Geremia (6/4) ... WON 6-4
Decent day today, 5 winners from 6 producing +8.75 pts
September running total now = + 13.21 pts
- alexcaruso808, MCLARKE, LEE-GRAYS and 2 others
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7.55 Chelm - Flaming Spear 9/2 B365
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Profit/Loss for September = +4.42 pts
Todays selections .. all B365 B.O.G.
3.15 Hay - New Kingdom (4/6) ... WON
6.55 Chelm - First Connection (2/1) ... lost
8.25 Chelm - The Vegas Raider (11/8) ... WON
8.55 Chelm - Lucky Ava (15/8) ... lost
2 winners and 2 losers today, the smallest of profits (0.04pts)
Current total = + 4.46 pts
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3.30 Ling - Business 3/1 Bet365 B.O.G. ... lost 2nd 16/5
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I have been watching and occasionally posting on here, as of today I intend to post regularly.
The bets I will be posting are from something I have been working on/ using , for some time with decent results.
During AUGUST it produced 89 selections, of which 43 won (around 48%). This was at an average price (B.O.G.) of around 9/4, making a profit of 54.77 pts in August. Losing run was 6 , winning run 4. I would suggest following for a while to see if it continues. *** Also, I don't do Sundays *** It is quite time consuming and I take Sunday off to rest and do something different. The selection process is logical IMO and different.
Todays selections with B365 B.O.G. prices
3.40 Bath - Nellie Moon (11/4) ... lost 3rd 4/1
5.20 Ham - Kilconquhar (5/1) ... WON
5.35 Worc - Rebel Roxy (4/6) ... lost 2nd 8/11
6.50 Ham - Forza Orta (4/5) ... WON
7.20 Ham - Iris Dancer (13/8) ... lost 2nd
7.50 Ham - Temper Trap (13/8) ... WON
Mixed day, 3 winners and 3 losers
+4.42 pts
- LEE-GRAYS, Wildgarden, cjsmith1972 and 4 others
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2 for today,
4.00 Epsom - Hey Teacher (11/10) , 1st time in a handicap, O. Murphy rides. WON
5.45 Hex - Cyrus Keep (4/1) , CD winner, visored for the 1st time. lost
- Wildgarden and The Equaliser
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The majority will take the easy option and tip favourites. As favourites only win around 1 in 3 meaning that 2/3 lose, it would be difficult to make a profit unless being very selective with them.
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1.00 Yar - Polam Lane - 7/1
2.30 Yar - Harbour Project - 14/1
3.20 Muss - Odds on Havana - 11/2
5.00 Muss - Dandys Max - 8/1
All prices are B365 B.O.G.
All are EW selections.
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5.10 Bath - Sarah's Verse (2/1) ... 2nd 2-1
7.45 Kemp - Colonel Faulkner (6/4) .... Won 15-8
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2 hours ago, Zilzalian said:
Meanwhile, all eyes on York but.....
Can any of you form experts tell me why vision des flos is around 14/1 for the 6:00pm at Worcester?
have you seen the form on that animal ffs?
I'm no authority on pricing up races, but Vision des flos came 3rd LTO but over hurdles. His last run in a chase he was well beaten, and his only success came in a match race.
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Galatasary could only draw at home to St Johnstone in the 1st leg. I have backed them at Evens to win the 2nd leg. Won 4-2
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1 x win double
6.35 Chelm - Mystery Fox (Ev) - beaten just under 3 lengths after messing up the start on debut, should improve enough to go very close. 7.35 Chelm - Top Brass (2/1) - The Gosden team are starting to come into form again, the selection won its maiden over CD and again should go close.... (5/1 win double).
- The Equaliser and Wildgarden
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1 x EW double
5.15 Cart - Jackhammer (10/3) - Dianne Sayer has her runners in excellent form, a long time since over hurdles but does have a recent flat run. 7.15 Bev - Shine on Brendan (7/2) - Trainer Harvey Bastiman is suposedly on the cold list but he does have a 38% strike rate at Beverley, good jockey, well handicapped, and has attracted money.
- Offramp and The Equaliser
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Way too much racing, makes it very time consuming. Anyway, todays selections.
2 x EW doubles
4.10 Newb - Ready to Venture (10/3) -Beaten fav LTO but the warm weather and drying ground will be better for her. 5.25 Cart - Millie the Minx (3/1) - Trainer Dianne Sayer in good form at the moment and seems to like Cartmel.
5.15 Nmkt - Star of Orion (3/1) - Well beaten last time, but that was Royal Ascot, this a definite drop in class and has some back form. 6.10 Ripon - Symbol of Hope (10/3) - this seems a little easier than recent tests, trainer in decent form and a jockey I like.
Also 1 x short price WIN double.
3.50 M.ras - Saint de Reve (8/11)- Paul Nicholls runner is the selection in a 3 runner contest. 7.35 Donc - Aerion Power (6/4) - Drawn on the wrong side at Ascot last time, he can resume progress. (Pays around 10/3)
- The Equaliser and Wildgarden
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4 hours ago, Bang on said:
1 x EW double
2.10 Newb - Majestic Glory (9/2) - 2nd 7/2 -2yo fillies race, 2nd run and trainer A.Balding often finds improvement for a race under the belt. .. and 3.00 Hay - Water of Leith (10/3) - 2nd 5/1 - BF on Monday but ran ok, has had a couple of runs since wind surgery.
Also 1 x win bet
4.50 Nott - Great gadian (9/4) - WON trainer R. Varian is in decent form and would expect this to go close.
Unlucky with 2 x 2nds, missing out on the 32/1 double, but the place part almost doubled our stake so proitable. The win bet also won so a good day.
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1 x EW double
2.10 Newb - Majestic Glory (9/2) - 2nd 7/2 -2yo fillies race, 2nd run and trainer A.Balding often finds improvement for a race under the belt. .. and 3.00 Hay - Water of Leith (10/3) - 2nd 5/1 - BF on Monday but ran ok, has had a couple of runs since wind surgery.
Also 1 x win bet
4.50 Nott - Great gadian (9/4) - WON trainer R. Varian is in decent form and would expect this to go close.
Racing Chat - Monday 6th September
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted · Edited by Bang on
A new week, Saturday's sole selection lost leaving September running total = +12.21 pts
Todays selections - all B365 B.O.G.
3.30 Bri - Toronado Grey - 2/1 ... WON
4.15 N.Abbot - No Cruise Yet - 5/2 ... lost
4.45 N.Abbot - Snug as a Bug - 11/4 ... WON
5.25 Newc - Haveyoumissedme - 5/2 ... WON
A decent day again with 3 winners and a profit of +6.25 pts
September total now = + 18.46 pts