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Bang on

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Posts posted by Bang on

    Home underdogs

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by Bang on
    p.s. added

    On 10/16/2019 at 4:50 PM, only1woz said:

    In not in afraid, no. Quite glad as I think man City and Liverpools form last season would have been a killer.

     

    Spain probably still profitable though.

    Interesting thread @only1wozStarted reading this the other day so recorded selections for the weekend just gone.

    As you say "Spain " could be ok. I used the 'home underdogs' to shortlist before filtering with the 'hot v cold' indicator. Spain, just 1 selection - Alaves - won 2-0 at odds of 21-10. Premier league just had C.Palace (9/1) who lost.

    I actually looked at quite a few divisions which came up with 14 games, ... 7 won, 5 draws, 2 lost (+8.17pts). I was looking at double chance 12/14 selections which I could use for possible multiples, so thanks for sparking an idea.

    P.s. Friday had Eintract Frankfurt - won (7-4) for the German top div.

    Soccerbase stats

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by Bang on
    results

    A small LSP last week but minimal.

    I have decided to add further filters etc. - min odds 1-2 (all will use 365 as they are available quite early), plus a further filter (for now) with a 'strength indicator' to help show the potentially stronger selections.

    England (18pts staked)

    Preston (8-13) 3pts WON

    Hull (15-8) 2pts lost

    N.Forest (15-8) 1pt WON

    Bristol City (Ev) 3pts WON

    Blackpool (5-6) 1pt

    Colchester (10-11) 2pts WON

    Cheltenham (2-1) 2pts draw

    Yeovil (8-5) 3pts lost

    Harrogate (17-20) 1pt WON

    Scotland (12pts staked)

    Aberdeen (21-20) 2pts draw

    Motherwell (4-5) 2pts WON

    Dundee Utd (8-15) 2pts *** Fri Night** lost

    Clyde (5-6) 3pts lost

    East Fife (4-7) 3pts draw

    -----

     

    Mini-Tables

    in Footy Chat & Banter

    Posted

    I used to have a selection method that used as part of the process ' 8 match tables '. Unfortunately they are no longer available.

    Does anyone know of any sites that have recent 8 match tables or something similar ?

    Soccerbase stats

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by Bang on

    Thanks both,

    I was looking at it from exactly that viewpoint froment . I too was surprised at 'some'  of the odds. I am not backing every selection as a single, rather trying to assess what are the minimum odds for success as a cut off point.

    I generally do doubles and trebles for football and this 'shortlist' hopefully points me in the right direction.

    Forgot to add ... there were quite a few more matches with sufficient league position difference... but NOT a Hot v Not approval. This in my opinion shows that there 'could' be some merit in the process. 

    Soccerbase stats

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by Bang on
    scores added

    Hi all,

    Thought I would start a thread to check out what seems a logical FOOTBALL SELECTION method. It uses the 'Soccerbase' website and works as follows.

    1. Note league positions of the teams playing each other and calculate the difference. ( ie. Sheff Utd 10th V Liverpool 1st = Liverpool +9)

    2. We are ONLY INTERESTED in teams that are at least 10 places higher (England) or 6 places higher (Scotland)

    3. We then have a shortlist of matches which we check the 'Hot' (or not) indicator. We are ONLY INTERESTED in teams that are much hotter than their opponents.

    .......

    This weekends selections (10) are,

    Man City (3-10) .... WON 3-1

    Leicester (8-15) ... WON 5-0

    N.Forest (9-4) ...play Fri night. ... WON 3-2

    Ipswich (8-13) ... WON 4-1

    Peterborough (4-7) ... WON 3-2

    Wycombe (6-4) ... WON 3-0

    Northampton (5-4) ... 2-2 draw

    Dag + Red (3-4) ... 0-0 draw

    Celtic (2-5) ... 1-1 draw

    Inv C.T. (7-10) ... lost 3-1

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