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Bang on

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Posts posted by Bang on

    Racing-Chat Sunday 3rd October

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    13 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    Hmm just another thought, you can highlight text and other stuff on internet pages in colour using some sort of "paint" software; not sure whether it would suit your purpose though.  Also, I believe the online information could be additional help for you

    I am old ! ? and in the habit of doing it my way. Probably a lot quicker for me using the paper version.

    Racing-Chat Sunday 3rd October

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    3 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    Very many thanks for being helpful. I am currently working on trainer stats fro winner finding so that is really useful.

    Just a thought.  If you are buying the RP 6 days a week that is costing around £1310 per year at its new price of £4.20 per day.  If you switch to subscribing on-line at say £35 a month you will pay around £420 per year saving £890.00!  You can still access the digital newspaper and see all the info you get daily; it's a bit messy but you can zoom in and out of the text on the pages.

     

    I probably could save a little, but I mark the paper with Highlighters and different colour inks etc which you can't do online. The saving may be around £18 per week but my bets are large enough that it doesn't really affect my profit/loss when included. 

    Dodgy pulled up and unseated horses

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    On 10/3/2021 at 10:00 AM, LEE-GRAYS said:

    having to go out early so having to give each way extra a miss wish me luck lol

    Uttoxeter

    2.12 summit like herbie 15/2 placed :nana

    4.35 copper coin 7/2 50p win winner :nana:nana

    Kelso

    1.55 the navigator 10/1:wall

    3.00 sheepysheepsheep 12/1:wall

    5.25 gun merchant 12/1:wall

    tipperary

    2.40 mister bells 10/3 50p win non runner

    3.15 she's made it 16/1 placed :nana

    3.15 opie houdini 50/1:wall

    3.15 rock on barney 13/2:wall

    3.45 danse idol 33/1:wall

    4.20 steer clear 14/1:wall

    4.20 jack holiday 14/1:wall

    Tipperary

    1.45 artic ambition 14/1:wall

    1.10 derrinlaur bill 9/4 50p win:wall

    1.45 church lane 28/1:wall

    2.20 sit down lucy 4/1 win:wall

    4.05 dontdoodson 25/1 winner :nana:nana

    4.05 presting point 14/1:wall

    5.15 top quistion 18/1 placed:nana

    5.15 change hill 66/1:wall

    all bets 25p e/w unless stated bet365 g/l lee

     

    Love the fact that 'Dontdoodson' was a 25/1 winner.

    Racing-Chat Sunday 3rd October

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    12 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    Quite amusing that no one on the forum seems to be able to report on any profitable angles using the Racing Post, both digital newspaper and online version.  Does this mean that punters up and down the country are wasting their £4.20 (was £3.90 last week) a day for the printed version or £34.50 monthly subscription for the online version?

     

    I buy the Racing Post Mon - Sat , but always take Sunday off as a different type of day/ rest day.

    There are many angles, too many (there can be too much information) as they often contradict and confuse. My advice is to not try and overthink things (it will do your head in). I always check the last 14 days trainer stats for trainers who are HOT ( winners not just Running to Form). Reduce your workload by, number of runners, racetype, and start from there. Finally, don't forget that the RPR ratings are only running at 26% for this year, so treat with caution.

    Racing Chat - Saturday October 2nd

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    37 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

    I did have King Cool listed but it was 5/1 last night and is way too short for me today at 9/4.  Good luck with it and the rest of your selections anyway

    Always take notice of a Gary Moore runner that is backed at Fontwell. It is 16lb lower than when 2nd in this race previously.It is 10 years old ( a bit of a negative for me), but off bottom weight, and being supported, I can not leave it out. My bet is on now , so whatever will be will be.

    Racing Chat - Saturday October 2nd

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by Bang on

    October running total = + 2.25 pts

    Wow, Saturday is really busy, way too much racing IMO.

    Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.

    *** 3.25 Font - King Cool - 9/4 ... lost

    4.35 Font - Lacardio - 5/1 ... lost

    6.10 Font - Reinator - 11/8 ... lost

    7.30 Wolv - Flying Dragon - 11/4 ... WON

    Well, the rain came and Fontwell turned into a bog, fortunately the AW selection was one of the easier winners of the day so a small 0.25pt loss.

    N.H. Handicaps

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by Bang on

    11 hours ago, Yalwen said:

    Very unlucky yesterday with Graystown. Was going well enough with every chance when he fell. Thanks for posting your selections and, if you can maintain the strike rate and SPs, this must be a winner. Do you have any previous years’ P/L figures?

    Thanks again and good luck.
     

     

    I do have records for quite some time, BUT, I added an extra filter a while back ( made a big difference - reduced bets but not profit). Because of this I am not able to give completely accurate figures other than since the new filter was added. It does have the occasional 'blip' but is robust enough to cope. I personally back all of these myself as I have stated and I am well in front. Win run = 3, Lose run = 5 (once). An example is 'Air Hair Lair' (7/2) today, would have qualified but fails the final filter.

    October total = -1 pt

    No Qualifiers today

    Air Hair lair won LOL. Won't be counted as not 'officially' a selection.

    N.H. Handicaps

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by Bang on

    As I wrote (can't exactly remember where), I have a National Hunt handicap selection method that has worked well for some time now and am willing to post selections after I have placed my bet. There are not selections every day, but the strike rate has been solid around 50% or so. Prices are decent (average around 3/1+). Hoping that it continues now posting on here.

    Todays selection - bet365 - B.O.G.

    4.05 Hex - Graystown - 9/2 ... lost ... fell 2 out when challenging for the lead.

    Dodgy pulled up and unseated horses

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    2 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

    hi there cuting back to 25p e/w i know it is doing ok just out of profit but as a trial i want to do all horses that fall in to the system and it is a bit of fun but if i go £30 down i will call it a day but if i go £30 up i will up the stakes again . i do belive this will be a winner with new season starting lee

    I looked at last month Lee, and was surprised. If you include a price cap I am sure that you will turn it around as there are some nice winners.

    Racing Chat - Friday 1st October

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by Bang on

    September ended up + 16.53 pts, but had a really poor end to the month. Start of a new month, so here we go again.

    Three selections today, with 2 at Hexham which is a track that I struggle to work out.

    I will start to put *** at the side of the 'best bet' in my opinion, for anyone just wanting 1 a day.

    Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.

    1.45 Hex - Pateen 7/2 ... lost

    3.30 Hex - Bavington Bob - 15/8 ... WON 2/1

    ***4.55 Newc - Khatm - 10/11 ... WON 5/4

    Selection Process

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Most systems will use the same information, LTO placing, days since a run, etc etc. Nothing wrong with that as an aid, but the masses use them and it can reduce the price making it difficult to make a profit. I would say that most 'systems', if followed to the letter, will fail over time.... especially if the 'formula' is shared and becomes public knowledge, as this leads to more people finding the selections and the average win price to reduce, making it unviable. 

    My National Hunt system ( I recommend different systems/methods for different disciplines) is  still going strong after a good period of time. The very 1st rule is different to any other system I have seen ( and I have seen hundreds). As an example, this month, September, not a busy month for the Jumps, has seen 21 selections, of which 13 have won, at an average price of around 7/2, and a +41pts return to level stakes. This is quite exceptional, even for this system, but it does make good profits regularly. I may start a thread next month for these, as I always post after my bets have been placed.

    Not all of my bets come from systems, some are found by following trainers in good form (winners not just running to form), an example was my NAP yesterday, a Gillian Boanas runner, a small stable who have had a few winners recently at very good prices (mostly double figs). SMALL STABLES in FORM are definitely worth a look. 

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