MCLARKE
-
Posts
10,683 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
454
Posts posted by MCLARKE
-
-
2 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
BET365 4/1 TV offer selection
CHEL 3.35 Lady Adare 5/1 Picked the wrong day again, this runs on Saturday.
-
11 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:
and the lucky 15's? how are they panning out? personally i think mixed priced lucky 15 may produce a one off winning bet or maybe two. and thats all you need one or two maybe. a decent treble now and again wouldn't hurt
I've had a couple of double odds single returns which is the value option of the bet. It's nice to see how much I might win when I place the bet !
Only £1.50 a go so no harm done, as you say the occasional big win will come along every now and again. First one has won today so perhaps today is the day.
-
Cheltenham 2.25
EVA'S OSKAR 15/2
£10 EW SKY 4 places SP
-
BET365 4/1 TV offer selection
CHEL 3.35 Lady Adare 5/1 -
Fantastic performance by @The Brigadierwho is heading the naps table.
-
42 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:
How is this angle doing Mike?
A bit disappointing at level stakes.
31 from 171, LSP - 4.18
I will do a full analysis at the end of December but the results for November were actually better than expected.
I've performed a detailed analysis for November and this continues to be profitable, with an AE of 1.07. There were 220 winners from 1,790 runners. However at level stakes there was a loss of 299 points so you would have been advised to avoid the longer odds. Those at forecast odds above 11/1 returned 19 wins from 784 selections and a loss of 437 points. Those at shorter odds recorded 200 winners from 1,004 runners and a profit of 138 points.
The returns for those races where there is only 1 selection are even better, with an AE of 1.13. Again it would have been better to stick with those at shorter odds. Those at odds less than 8/1 returned 32 wins from 91 selections and a profit of 32 points compared to those at longer odds which recorded 3 wins from 97 selections and a loss of 72 points.
-
-
5yo selections
Lucky 15 in bold
COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Cheltenham 1.15 Hidden Heroics 2.75 Cheltenham 2.25 Nassalam 6.50 Wolverhampton 4.40 Nellie French 16.00 Southwell 5.15 Never Dark 3.50 Southwell 6.15 Wrens Rose 12.00 Southwell 7.15 Gypsy Whisper 22.00 Dundalk 8.00 Adams Barbour 28.00 Southwell 8.15 Martin's Brig 18.00 - The Equaliser, kensland, Villa Chris and 2 others
- 4
- 1
-
-
11 hours ago, tonythepaint said:
180 would be a fair amount.
Sounds sensible, 15 * 12
-
9 hours ago, Alastair said:
Maybe a prize for annual profit over £50 and most winners in the year (hint,hint) ?
Not a bad idea, what should the minimum profit be ?
-
21 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
WARWICK 2.00
TARAHUMARA 4/5
BET365
NR
NEWCASTLE 1.52
IMPERIAL MERLIN 4/9
WH
-
Chelmsford 6.30
THE X O
£20 win BSP
-
Odds on selection
Newcastle 2.22
Since Day One 4/6
-
2 hours ago, harry_rag said:
2 non runners means 2 singles and a double are void. So I’d expect your return to be 30p. The fourfold becomes a double on the remaining selections, the trebles are reduced to doubles and singles and the doubles involving the NRs to singles.
Thanks for that. Makes sense now.
-
Having finally managed to win a PL prize I feel a little embarassed taking the winnings so I have decided to donate them to the player who shows the highest annual profit this calendar year. This is currently @kenisbusywith £122 followed by @internetmailswith £112.
Attached is a list of all those who have commendably achieved a profit so far this year. Personally I think this is a truer test of ability than the monthly competitions.
-
-
5yo selections
Lucky 15 in bold
COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Taunton 2.08 Huelgoat 11/4 Taunton 2.38 Hyland 5/2 Clonmel 2.45 Happy Dreams 5/2 Warwick 3.00 Tweed Skirt 11/2 Clonmel 3.15 Henn See 2/1 Warwick 3.30 Crazy Mary 33/1 Chelmsford 4.30 Turn Of Phrase 22/1 Chelmsford 8.30 Rhubarb Bikini 28/1 - azzybear, kensland and The Equaliser
- 3
-
21 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
5yo selections
Lucky 15 with BET365
COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Hexham 0.30 New Zealander 25/1 Dundalk 1.30 Chimeric 33/1 Lingfield 2.00 Marion's Boy 11/2 Hexham 2.50 Chemical Warfare 5/1 2 losers and 2 NRs.
A quick question, with the 2 NRs I was expecting £1.20 back from my investment of £1.50 as only the double and 2 singles were still valid. It's not a big deal but is my logic wrong somewhere (I don't make these type of bets very often).
-
12 out of 17 since the last update with a profit of 0.50 points ay SP and 1.60 at BOG.
Overall there have been 53 winners from 89 selections with a loss of 11.04 points at SP and 5.28 points at BOG.
-
WARWICK 2.00
TARAHUMARA 4/5
BET365
-
KEMPTON 6.00
TYNDRUM GOLD 10/11
BET365
-
5yo selections
Lucky 15 with BET365
COURSE TIME SELECTION ODDS Hexham 0.30 New Zealander 25/1 Dundalk 1.30 Chimeric 33/1 Lingfield 2.00 Marion's Boy 11/2 Hexham 2.50 Chemical Warfare 5/1 - kensland, azzybear and The Equaliser
- 3
-
- Kingdom for and MinellaWorksop
- 1
- 1
Naps - Friday 9th December
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
DUNDALK 6.00
BOLD RIBB 2/5
BET365