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MCLARKE

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Posts posted by MCLARKE

  1. 22 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
    COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS 
    Fontwell 1.05 Hipop Des Ongrais 3/1
    Fontwell 2.05 Family Business 11/2
    Uttoxeter 2.55 Marco Island 14/1
    Southwell 6.20 Sir Rodneyredblood 10/1
    Southwell 7.20 Alligator Alley 6/4
    Southwell 8.20 September Power 16/1

    Hipop Des Ongrias wins at 3/1, Alligator Alley wins at 6/4, 2 losers and a NR for a profit of 1.50 points

    Total 31 from 162, LSP 4.82 POINTS

  2. 19 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

    5yo selections

    COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS 
    Lingfield 0.25 Happy Boy 8/1
    Lingfield 1.25 Albert Van Ornum 4/1
    Musselburgh 2.10 Al Zaraqaan 1/1
    Wolverhampton 7.20 Business 9/1

    I've performed a detailed analysis for November and this continues to be profitable, with an AE of 1.07. There were 220 winners from 1,790 runners. However at level stakes there was a loss of 299 points so you would have been advised to avoid the longer odds. Those at forecast odds above 11/1 returned 19 wins from 784 selections and a loss of 437 points. Those at shorter odds recorded 200 winners from 1,004 runners and a profit of 138 points.

    The returns for those races where there is only 1 selection are even better, with an AE of 1.13. Again it would have been better to stick with those at shorter odds. Those at odds less than 8/1 returned 32 wins from 91 selections and a profit of 32 points compared to those at longer odds which recorded 3 wins from 97 selections and a loss of 72 points.

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