MCLARKE

Most winners. @Alastairremains favourite but @The Equaliseris putting in a strong finish.

Good luck !

Now 4 just points separating the top 5.

AW selection Wolverhampton 6.15 BEGGARMAN 7/5

NH selection Doncaster 1.50 WHITE PEPPER 11/10

Huntingdon 2.35 VIENNA COURT 8/13 £20 win BSP

Lingfield 3.20 PILLARS OF EARTH 15/8 WH

Yes, that is the quandary, we have to remember that we are not looking for the most likely winner but the horse that offers the best value. How we measure that is the great debate.

Personally I don't factor jockeys or trainers in to my analysis (apart from claimers). There is a logic in female jockeys because they are generally weaker than men. This applies in most sports, the number 200 ranked male tennis player had a match against the Williams sisters when they were at the top and beat Serena 6-1 and Venus 6-2. I think we are prejudiced by our losers and look for someone or something to blame when in reality it is all down to chance.

@adamrossmoves in to 2nd with impressive 16/1 Newcastle winner Oceania Legend, backed into 17/2. It could be an exciting end to the month with just 4 points separating the top 4.

Won. BSP 3.40 Monthly profit £147.07

I've had another look. For the years 2014 to 2021 I get 194 winners from 382 runners with an AE of 1.024. For some reason French bred have an exceptional record, with 82 winners from 134 runners and an AE of 1.20. Irish bred are 88 from 200 with an AE of 0.91. 1st last time out 58 from 105 with an AE of 1.05. As you say, novices have a poor record so exclude them and you are left with 100 from 199 with an AE of 1.06. Hot favourites may be best avoided, those with a BSP of less than 1.50 have a record of 48 from 69 with an AE of 0.91. Certainly food for thought.

AW selection Newcastle 3.53 FIRST CHARGE 7/4

NH selection Wetherby 3.45 SPOT ON SOPH 13/8

Wetherby 3.15 SHOLOKJACK 1/1 £20 win BSP

GOWRAN PARK 2.05 KLASSICAL DREAM 2/5 BET365

Apologies, I misinterpreted what you said, I was looking at Cheltenham favourites before March. I will have another look.

I only have numbers for the last 8 years but these do show positive returns. For December and January I have 46 winners from 117 runners with an AE of 1.11. Hurdles have an AE of 1.22, chases 0.84. Worryingly, the last 3 years have all shown losses !

@In Play Race Readeris only off the top for 1 day as he hits back with 12/1 Lingfield winner Impeach.

AW selection Kempton 6.00 TAKEONEFORTHETEAM 7/1

NH selection Catterick 1.40 RAMONEX 72

Lingfield 1.30 KODIAC HARBOUR 4/1 £20 win BSP.

WINCANTON 3.50 KNICKERBOCKERGLORY 2/1 BET365

I think it is @The Brigadierwho maintains these results.

Most winners. Another winner for @Alastairputs him in an almost unassailable position.