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MCLARKE

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Everything posted by MCLARKE

  1. A reminder that this month's final will take place tomorrow.
  2. It looks like the top spot is secured but plenty of competition for the places. @Jediknightjoins the mix with todays's big race winner, Cloudy Glen, at 40/1.
  3. Great battling performance. I thought it had lost so if I had bet on it I would have viewed the DH as a bonus.
  4. To be fair to BET365 I am a few thousand up and they haven't restricted me yet. If they do then so be it, most of my bets are on the exchanges these days anyway.
  5. Yep, it includes the free bet on the next ITV race. If it's not an automatic selection then I take the horse that is closest to 4/1. If it loses then I get my money back, if it wins then the free bet continues to the next ITV race.
  6. Not a great start to this with 6 losers. However with minimum odds of 4/1 there is always going to be long losing runs. In 2021 there have been 325 selections with 70 winners (22% SR) and a LSP return of 116.58 points (36% ROI).
  7. Trends for the Hennessey. Not in the top 5 in the betting, 1 / 104. This reduces the field to 6. FIDDLERONTHEROOF 15/2, ONTHEROPES 7/1, ONE MORE FLEURIE 25/1, MISTER MALARKEY 33/1, COPPERHEAD 22/1, DEMACHINE 16/1. Not in the top 10 inthe weights, 1 / 74. This removes MISTER MALARKEY AND COPPERHEAD. Ran less than 26 days ago, 0 / 33. This leaves ONTHEROPES 7/1 and ONE MORE FLEURIE 25/1.
  8. ITV BET365 4/1 offer. NEWB 1.15 Killer Clown 4.50 NEWB 1.50 Glory And Fortune 6.00 NEWC 2.05 Glen Forsa 5.00 NEWB 3.35 Frero Banbou 5.50
  9. I have done very well with the BET365 ITV 4/1 offer by picking horses with relatively good value according to the odds. 2 bets today at £50 win. Newbury 1.15 BOOMBAWN 9/2 Newbury 2.25 AMOUR DE NUIT 7/1
  10. This thread is for players to bet £20 a day and ideally keep a cumulative total of profit / loss.
  11. Most winners. With 5 days to go it looks like @justanotherpunterhas an unassailable lead.
  12. Most winners. Another odds on winner for @justanotherpunterputs him in a strong position for the most winners title.
  13. A poor end to the season with a loss of 4.08 points in October. Overall though a very successful season with 56 winners from 158 selections (35% strike rate) and a LSP of 29.36 points (19% ROI). These selections are picked from a variety of systems that I run, they are generally the 3rd lowest odds (the 1st and 2nd I often use for the nap and the £20 daily challenge). I have been running 9 systems this flat season and overall they have shown a poor returm of -1% from 28,309 selections. The most successfull system is based on non handicaps. The worst system has been one based on quick returners with a ROI of -15%. The strike rate for those horses running within 9 days has fallen from 13.5% in 2018 to 11.0% in 2020. I think @ralphie7's quick system has also suffered because of this. Whether it is just a blip or a new trend we will see. For my selections I have tended to take the lowest forecast odds from my selections. However, my analysis of the season shows that those horses with forecast odds rank of 3 to 6 have performed best with a ROI of 4.2% from 12,870 selections. This is something I will bear in mind when I try to narrow down my selections.
  14. Trends for the Grade 3 handicap hurdle at Haydock. Bred in IRE 3/77, elsewhere 5/42. This reduces the field to 3, BASS ROCK, DANS LE VENT and GLADIATEUR ALLEN. Not in the top 11 by weight 0/36. This leaves DANS LE VENT, available at 14/1 with 5 places.
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