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17:35 Windsor Master Builder 15/8 3pt win Going to start assigning pts to selections/info and keep a track of my P/L. With my current form of seconditis, it could make for interesting reading 🤣

Hiya. Sorry, today's loser (I mean "tip"), runs in the 6.35 at Windsor. "Laoisman". Justin. 🏇.

No Wins from two selections yesterday(1 N/R) We go Again.. Todays Selections: 13.47 Catterick Asmund (4/1 Fred) 18.35 Windsor Laoisman (5/2 Fred) 19.40 Windsor Quietness (9/4 Vic) Sel/Wins: 9/2 Strike: 22.22% P/L -2.95 pts

taking Zheng to beat Osaka at 2 , Osaka has three nice wins in a row but Zheng is also a good player ; knowing Osaka's mental weakness I feel 3 wins in a row is already kinda unexpected so 4 in a row would be even more unlikely , kinda dumb argument but even without that reasoning its still a 50/50 match

Great to hear he's ok and his absence was expected Needs to get his priorities in order though

B/Fwd -80.14 L15's and RC P/L -121.22 Had 3 goes on the daily L15 = 4.50 pts 4.30 Win Cadogan Gardens 0.50 win at 11/1 4.47 Catt Ghathanfar 1.50 pts at 5.60 7.55 Wolv Pop Dancer 0.50 win at 12/1 = 7 pts staked today

Thanks for the concern @bymatrix, but as Michael mentioned it was my daughters wedding and she lives (and got married) in a place that is very remote and behind the times and getting things like a clear and active internet service is almost unheard of...it was on the Isle Of Wight. 🤣 I use a laptop and didn't think i would be able to take it, but i did squeeze it in the car to my wifes horror, but i forgot the plug for charging! But well done anyway, i don't think i would of beat you anyway, you had some nice picks there. Good luck in the semi's.

6-2 6-4 for Zheng, bookies totally over-estimated Osaka

Hiya. It could only happen to me. I've just won the "Losing (Betting) Slip" Draw (£10 free bet) at my local Bookies! I don't know whether to laugh or cry lol. Justin. 😂.

147 c Obee Jo 8/1 ew Race winner last year, Easterby won this race past two years, +13lsp

Wolverhampton 19.20 £20 Miss Collada @11/10 BetVictor

I’m getting a huge sense of Deja vu around you posting along these lines! The first statement is untrue (at a wider level; it may be true for you). The answer to the question is “for entertainment”. The vast majority of people who bet will lose (out of necessity or bookmaking wouldn’t be a viable industry) but do it because they enjoy the challenge and it enhances their enjoyment in watching an event. If you can’t accept losing and end up not enjoying betting as a result then don’t bet. It sounds like you know a lot more about football than me but are unable to profit from applying that knowledge to your bets. If I was going to blow my own trumpet slightly I’d say I know more about the way selected markets work and are priced, and that’s more useful when it comes to profitable betting. Don’t bet on what you think is going to happen, that’s what pretty much all losing punters do, bet on the prices you believe are wrong whether you fancy the outcome or not. You’re more likely to win if you can price the event up first than if you go to the market wanting to back a particular outcome as long as the price looks “ok”. Either accept the losses as the price of your entertainment, stop if you’re no longer enjoying it or try different markets. There’s some guy on here who’s always banging on about spread betting and anytime goalscorer betting! The former is the closest thing to a “can’t lose” proposition you will ever find (plenty of what amount to even money shots willingly priced at 5/4 because “no one” bets them) and the latter benefits from only being priced one way by the bookies (they rarely price up not to score) so there’s more scope for inaccurate pricing. And there’s also a viable exchange market which often offers even more value.

Fairbanks 1st. Won £32.50 May Profit £74.50

Well it is coming up to the end of the European football season, luckily we have the Euros to look forward to this summer. For me it has been a really poor season, I ended the season £900 down, I usually bet £20 on a Saturday, £20 on Sunday and maybe £10 on midweek days where there are plenty of fixtures. I usually bet on team goals, sometimes singles, other times fivefolds, sixfolds. I started betting on these type of bets as the win bets have got harder and harder over the years IMO. Over the years I have focused on BTTS bets, over 2.5 goals, over 0.5 first half goals, teams to score over 0.5 or 1.5 goals. I cannot get any of these to be profitable long term. I followed some of the online tipsters on Twitter this season, not to place my bets but to record how they do. The annoying thing with these tipsters is that they never keep profit/loss records, they make a big song and dance when they win but barely mention a bet when it losses. The tipsters I followed had very poor seasons too. IMO football betting is not beatable. I have bet for the last 20 years, I love football, I know so much about football, I watch loads of football, it's why I bet on it, I feel like when I look at a fixture I can predict how it may go. But it doesn't seem to go like that. I mean take Man Utd v Arsenal today, I fancied Arsenal to score over 1.5 goals, the odds were only 1.44 but United who have been awful this season and with so many players out injured looked like they would really struggle today. Arsenal had managed over 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 away games, only failing to do so at Man City. But it failed. In recent weeks matches like Leeds at home to Sunderland, Leeds at home to Blackburn looked like home bankers but Leeds failed to score in both. Who would have though Liverpool would lose at home to Palace, at home to Atalanta? Who would have thought Aston Villa would lose home and away to Olympiacos? The annoying thing is, when I go for larger price bets they never seem to win. A few weeks ago I had a bet on Chelsea over 1.5 goals at Arsenal at what seemed very appealing odds of 4.80. I had watched Arsenal lose at home to Villa 0-2 the previous week and had seen Chelsea score 2 or more in their previous 6 league matches. Of course it ended up 5-0 to Arsenal. Anyway, you don't need me to go on about my losing bets but what I am trying to get at is that football matches are so unpredictable but at the same time so hard to win longer odds matches. The reality is that the odds on any outcome on a football match are so brilliantly set, the exchanges are of course the best odds and where to bet to maximise value but the fact that they are so accurate means that in reality long term you will only ever break even. If the odds are set accurately then aren't you basically just betting on luck? There is a match about to kick off shortly, Strasbourg v Metz, I fancy over 2.5 goals in this match. It is a game Metz have to win, a draw is no good. Both teams are far from solid, both teams seem to let goals in but seem capable of scoring too. Odds on the exchanges are 1.96 on over 2.5 goals. If these odds are very fair and accurate, what is the point betting on it? These odds suggest that 51% of the time you will win, 49% of the time you will lose. The odds seem fair. The chances of me winning is the same as having a bag of 100 balls, 51 being winning balls and 49 being losing balls and picking one out at random. If I win it is purely luck. What is the point of betting on luck? Would I bet on a coin to be heads at 2.0? Would I bet on picking out a heart from a deck of cards at 4.0? Would I bet on black in roulette for 2.0 if there was no zero? What is the point? Obviously the only way to make profits is to find value but if the odds are set accurately then there can never be any value. If you do find value, can you find value thousands of times over to make it worth your while? How do you know if you even have found value and that you can find an error in how all of the bookies and exchanges have set the odds? Football betting is nothing more than betting on luck. If you cannot make money from it, what is the point?

Maybe a bit early but had a quick look at the Hambleton Handicap and BET365 have Godwinson at 6-1 , a little 5-1 available with other firms . Massive eyecatcher in the Newbury Spring Cup can see it starting at 5-2/9-4 on the day .

Wolverhampton 9.00 Billy Mc Garry 10/1 WH

Result: Miss Collada 1st. Won £22 May Profit £96.50

705 w Partisan Hero ew 14s Stable debut

silent glance 6.50

Good luck . Wonder how much rain will fall before then ? Used to love Dante Day , 13-15k attendance not like John Smith's day but the Earlybird ticket offer after Covid went up around 27% & you can't trust the trains nowadays so highlights on TV for me .

Schauffele was looking good two shots clear at -13 under, then McIlroy turned on the burners and ran away with it. Gotterup was a comfortable enough winner after a slow start.

1647 C - King Of Tonga @ 20-1 ew Bet365

I've put on this bet but one of a NR. I have good vibes about this one. Yesterday was a good one: three wins and a place. Here's today's:

2 of my 3 picks outperformed their odds, but none of them earned me any money this week. Hovland (Odds: 11th, Finishing Position: 24th) Jaeger (Odds: 25th, Finishing Position: 21st) Tway (Odds: 66th, Finishing Position: 43rd)

Hereford 4.35 GOLDEN MAVERICK 7/5 £20 win BETMG 20% boost

minus 41.75 Catt 3.17 - Zephea - 17/2 wm hill £20 win

I don't tend to put R4 (a bit lazy really) but I do check Very honest of you in any case

Ah, OK ...... sorry .... I just saw that you hadn't put R4 against the price and thought you hadn't noticed ... Should have known better ........ 😜

149 147 c Obee Jo 8/1 247 c Pons Aelius 9/2 305 h Imaac Wood 7/1 335 h Brianna Rose 9/4 635 w Leap Abroad 9/2 €1.8 doubles €1ew accum.

If win bets have got harder and harder as you say here, then multiples will have got harder too, but to a greater degree. If you cannot make money from it, what is the point? If your sole aim is profit, then of course there is no point. My advice, FWIW is stick to single bets, bet for enjoyment, limit yourself to one bet per betting day, If you're struggling to find a 'best bet', don't bet that day at all. Most hobbies cost money, collecting stuff, subscriptions, club memberships, etc. Enjoy pitting your knowledge & skills against the available odds in a limited way, you may find your hobby costs very little, could break even, or you never know it might start to pay if you can be disciplined. Profiting from football win singles is possible, and very enjoyable. There can be a point.

He did inform me that it was his daughter's wedding so he might not be able to post. He's probably still in shock from the cost of it !

Hope LeMale is ok , not like him not to post i don't think .

4.30 Cork Toor Khov ( each way ) 5/1 Bet 365 5.10 Hexham Dressedtoimpress ( each way ) 13/2 Bet 365 6.05 Warwick Gasmani ( each way ) 11/2 Bet 365 Reserves 2.20 Nottingham Call to Action ( each way ) 5/1 William Hill 3.25 Cork Cast a Spell ( each way ) 11/2 Paddy Power Best of luck LeMale and all and thanks to Clarkey