Gingers Jumpers

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Was going study / to go to Fonwell tomorrow but with the weather forecast as it is don't think I will bother. Next bets likely friday evening for Saturday.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:20 Wincanton £15 @ 11/1 Mossville (11% 8/1) 2:40 Sandown £50 @ 11/4 (sportingbet) Breedzebreeze (30% 9/4) 3:45 Sandown £50 @ 11/2 (Paddy Power) Erics Charm (20% 4/1) £12 @ 5.4/1 Prince Azurro (20% 4/1) £6 @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes) Florida Dream (11% 8/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers NR Pablo Du Charmil won well at Exeter when making all but disappointed last time when taken on for the lead.NR 8% 12/1 Jericho111 also runs his best when able to lead so they could take each other on up front. 12.5% 7/1 Calatagan can go from the front but was held up in a fast run race last time and could be flattered. However, could get another race run to suit. 6.25% 15/1 Bleu Superbe is another prominent runner (does not need to lead) but has a poor jumping record. 24% 100/30 Howle Hill I am convinced is best on a sound surface, or not too soft anyway. 6.25% 15/1 El Vequero possibly wants further these days. 7.5% 13/1 Hasty Prince has shown little this season but is very well handicapped on his placed effort at the Cheltenham Festival. A fast pace should suit him but is from the out of form O'Neil yard (just a few signs of being on their way back). 14.5% 6/1 All Star is possibly best on a bit firmer but comes from an in form yard and has dropped to a workable mark. 21% 4/1 Master Minded is the unexposed horse in the race but does not seem able to jump British fences. 2:40 Sandown Thought I was going to oppose Breedzbreeze but all of his main rivals are not proven on very soft going. Sandowns hurdle course gets very testing after rain. Nicholls horse was staying on behind Ring The Boss last time (2miles on heavy) in a truly run handicap. Hopefully they will go fast enough to bring his stamina in to play. Alsaada is by Kingmambo (miler) so is unlikely to stay under these conditions. All hurdle form on a sound surface. Races prominently. Deep Purple's form is on a sound surface and has made mistakes in his races to date that may count against him at this level. If Alsaada or Freddie The Third take him on it will be interesting to see if his jumping holds together in the ground. Galgary Bay also has good ground form but is more likely to go on softer. The Knight yard is not in the best of form but if the horse is o.k. Will be a danger. AP a positive booking. Talenti has been brought along steadily by his astute trainer and is capable of better. Needs to improve but at around 150/1 may be worth a couple of pounds on. Is having his third run so can run in handicaps next time. 8% 12/1 Alsaada, 31% 9/4 Breedzbreeze, 22% 7/2 Calgary Bay, 16.5% 5/1 Deep Purple, 3.25% Freddie The THird, 5.5% 18/1 Moonhawk, 1.5% 66/1 Psycomodo, 4.5% 22/1 Quartano, 2% 50/1 Talenti, 5.75% 16/1 Sweetheart. 3:45 Sandown If the rains do come then I can see Chief Yeoman, Limited Edition, Patricksnineteenth, Aztec Warrior and Brooklyn Breeze all struggling to get the trip. Crystal D'Ainey is a dog and does his best to lose. Backbeat will probably need his first start for ages. Dunbrody Miller reserves his best for Aintree and did not even run well there last time (front runner). Best left handed anyway. Alright M'Lord ran disappointingly on his reappearance and is trained by Jonjo. So that leaves just three. Erics Charm is not absolutely certain to be at his very best on soft. Best run in the Whitbread (sorry, Betfred) on good, thrown in on that form too. But will be suited by the test of stamina and loves Sandown. Second to Crystal D'Ainey last time and trainer is in better form now. Races prominently. Florida Dream also races prominently, has run some good races on Cheltenhams xcountry course rescently. Does not seem as good on a conventional track and will need it testing to blunt the others speed. Principe Azurro ran really well when 4^th at Cheltenham last time in a better race than this. Coming from a mile back. Looks the unexposed horse but comes from a yard having few winners this term. 6% 16/1 Crystal D'Ainey, 20% Erics Charm, 5.25% 18/1/1 Chief Yeoman, 10% 9/1 Limited Edition, 10% 9/1 Patricksnineteenth, 6% 16/1 Aztec Warrior, 20% 4/1 Principe Azurro, 8% 12/1 Brooklyns Breeze, 1% 100/1 Backbeat, 2% 50/1 Dunbrody Miller, 4% 25/1 Alright M'Lord, 8% 12/1 Florida Dream. (With not as much rain overnight as forecast Florida Dream is no longer value so should not be backed).

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Addition 2:40 Sandown £2 @ 139/1 Talenti (2% 50/1) £3 @ 28/1 Talenti (place)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers With front runner Pablo Du charmil coming out of the 2:05 JerrichoIII might be able to get an easier lead. Although he does go on soft, would not want too much more rain to put a strain on his stamina. Did not stay last time out. Stable could be in better form but worth risking at the price. 2:05 Sandown £9 each way (Stan James) Jerricho III (8% 12/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers With less rain than I expected overnight. Addition 3:45 Sandown £5 @ 6/1 Erics Charm £20 @ 5/1 (Betfred) Principe Azurro £5 @ 18/1 Brooklyn Breeze (8% 12/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Addition 2:05 Sandown £30 @ 7/1 (VC) All Star (14.5% 6/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers That bet on JerichoIII should be at 20/1 Now done percentages above.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Just seen have not saved yet on Calgary Bay so: 2:40 Sandown Addition. £15 @ 4/1 Calgary Bay (22% 7/2)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Addition 2:20 Wincanton £50 @ 4.7/1 National Trust (22% 7/2) £20 @ 3.6/1 Nakai (25% 3/1) £9 @ 10/1 Coq Hardi (12% 15/2)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Sorry this is a bit late, things to do and all that. 2:20 Wincanton Analysis Nakai ran well when 3^rd to Lightning Strike but is inexperienced with a jockey who is likewise. Should improve though and stables record here is exceptional even for them. National Trust won last time in a blanket finish, seemed to be idling and may be even better than that run suggests. Hopefully the reason for his improvement was not the going (good). Has form on soft. Comes from a small stable which is in good form with one of the best conditionals on board. With more fashionable connections he would be much shorter. Coq Hardi ran well for a long way on his reappearance / first start for his trainer. But he is not sure to get the trip here under the conditions. If he does is less exposed than most. Although P. Bowen had the big winner last week his team are not in great form. Royaleety has his reappearance / first run for in form Nicky Henderson and if the maestro can get him back to form he looks well handicapped. However, he is far from certain to get the trip on soft ground even around here. Mossville comes here after being pulled up at Kempton last time but made mistakes there and jockey I believe was suffering from flu. If that is ignored would stand a good chance of at least a place. Harris Bay also has a chance on form but ran poorly over fences last time, stable struggling at present and in my opinion sometimes looks asthough something is hurting him. 24% 100/30 Nakai, 21.5% 7/2 National Trust, 11% 8/1 Coq Hardi, 4% Cold Mountain, 16% 11/2 Royaleety, 0.25% 400/1 Surface To Air, 10.5% 17/2 Mossville, 1.5% 66/1 Lincoln's Inn, 7% 14/1 Harris Bay, 3.75% 25/1 Snake Charmer, 0.5% 200/1 See More Jock.

[DarrenRhys]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Hi Ginger What's your email address? Would like to discuss something with you but won't bore the rest of the readers of PL by posting through here. Have visited your website, where it says 'any questions please get in touch' but there's no contact details :)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Don't seem to be able to send a private message to you Darren, and you have no contact details either.:lol

[mileni4uk]

Re: Gingers Jumpers

Don't seem to be able to send a private message to you Darren' date=' and you have no contact details either.:lol[/quote'] He needs 1,2 or 3 hundreds of posts to be able to send and receive priavate messages I think.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Saturdays Results 2:05 Sandown £9 ew @ 20/1 JerrichoIII £30 @ 7/1 All Star 3rd cp 17.3% 5/1 -£48 Deficit 2:20 Wincanton £15 @ 11/1 Mossville £50 @ 4.7/1 National Trust fell £20 @ 3.6/1 Nakai 2nd £4 @ 10/1 Coq Hardi cp 56.6% 4/5 -£89 Deficit 2:40 Sandown £50 @ 11/4 Breedzebreeze 1st Return £187.50 £2 @ 139/1 Talenti £3 @ 28/1 (place) Talenti £15 @ 4/1 Calgary Bay 3rd cp 47.4% 11/10 cs £70 + £117.50 Profit 3:45 Sandown £50 @ 11/2 Erics Charm 2nd £12 @ 5.4/1 Prince Azurro 3rd £6 @ 10/1 Florida Dream £5 @ 6/1 Erics Charm £20 @ 5/1 Principe Azurro £5 @ 18/1 Brooklyn Breeze cp 45.4% 6/5 -£98 Deficit Todays Stakes £305 Todays Return £187.50 Todays Deficit £117.50

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers UPDATED TOTALS Total Return £6472.26 Total Stakes £5051 Total Profit £1421.26 28.1% Avg. Bet per race £85.10 Avg. price taken per race 2063.0 (34.96%) 15/8 Avg. price per horse HB 156 (13.2%) 13/2 Avg. price winner 462.4 (19.2%) 4/1 SR 24/59 40.68%

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers

Hi Ginger What's your email address? Would like to discuss something with you but won't bore the rest of the readers of PL by posting through here. Have visited your website, where it says 'any questions please get in touch' but there's no contact details :)

Darren, Just start a different thread and ask me your question, if it's not too embarrasing. Ginge

[DarrenRhys]

Re: Gingers Jumpers :lol [email protected] msn: [email protected]

[alexmac]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Why not ask ginge on the forum mate...?

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 3:15 Kempton £27 @ 9.5/1 Gabier (11.5% 15/2) £24 @ 12/1 Rio De Janeiro (10.5% 17/2)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Addition 3:15 Kempton £10 @ 6/1 (ladbrokes) Shatabdi (17% 5/1) 2:45 Kempton £60 @ 9/2 (betdaq) Burren Legend (23% 100/30) 3:45 Kempton £114 @ 2/1 (Paddy Power or bigger) Mister Quasimodo (36.5% 7/4)

[TheRat]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Great work here my fellow ginge :clap

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Just a few more savers. 2:45 Kempton £8 @ 10/1 Lord Collingwood (12.5% 7/1) £10 @ 8/1 (Betfred) No REGRETS (13.5% 13/2) £6 @ 14/1 (betfred) Victor Daly (9.5% 10/1) If you don't like savers don't bother.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:45 Kempton Burren Legend is improving and proved he stays a stiff 3 miles at Newbury last time when coming clear of the others (2^nd to Bagan). Not proven on heavy but goes well on soft. Jumping not foot perfect but is improving with experience. I think I might have if anything under estimated his chance. Is up against rivals who are either out of form, doubtful temperament or jumpers. Dream Falcon has some good form but was hardly giving his all last time. Lord Collingwood has not always impressed in that department but is worth a saver at the price. Ran o.k. Last time. There is a question whether he will stay the trip in this ground. No regrets last remark goes for this one too. Disappointed last time at Newbury but is a bit in and out and the trainer is in much better form now. Victor Daly ran an excellent race first time over fences when the trainer was in much better form than she is now, but ran poorly last time. Keep an eye on the market as a move might be significant. Unproven on the ground but if it goes on it should be suited by the test. For All Mankind 50/1, Dream Falcon 17/2, Shardakhan 20/1, No Regrets 13/2, Burren Legend 3/1, Lord Collingwood 7/1, Ile De Balme 66/1, No Complaint 9/1, Cash King 15/1, Victor Daly 10/1, Heynewboy 200/1, Geoges Boy 400/1. 3:15 Kempton Panjo Bere's form at Fontwell is working out really well, on form has a great chance. But is going up 3f in trip and with this ground it will be a much stiffer test. Nycteos I do not know what his trainer said in the RP, deserves to be 2^nd fav but do not see why he is so short. If he can show his chase form could be well handicapped, but is the type to be a better chaser. I am not convinced he wants this ground either. Best run last term when encountering good ground on his final start, goes on softish though. Rio De Janeiro finished behind Nycteos last time but I think Emma's horse is more likely to benefit from the stiffer test of stamina. At the prices I prefer Rio. Gabier ran his best race last time at Exeter (stiff course on soft) when stepped up in trip. Another couple of furlongs and even softer should suit. Does not have the chance of his stable companion but imo has a bigger chance than the betting gives him credit for. Shatabdi has his reappearance here but comes from a stable in tremendous form, so should be fit enough. Still young enough to improve and goes well on the ground. The stiffer test could also suit. Kawagino 50/1, Lyes Green 33/1, Shatabdi 5/1, Nycteos 9/2, Rio De Janeiro 17/2, Gabier 15/2, Panjo Bere 9/4, La Dame Brune 33/1, Aston Lad 66/1. 3:45 Kempton Have been waiting for Mister Quasimodo to run over 2 ½ miles plus. His breeding suggests he will be much better at this trip (and further). By a stamina influence Busy Flight (stayed 2m on flat) out of a mare who finished 2^nd in a soft ground Gold Cup. Acts really well on heavy ground. Has been found what looks like a weak race. Ever Present has a chance if ignoring his reappearance. Big IF. Yaboya has dropped down the weights but to me runs as if something is hurting. Manbow is far from certain to go on this ground but that is built in the price. Alphabetical was brought down last time and is a bit in and out. Stable is in very good form and could be the main danger. New Book Ever Present 8/1, Mister Quasimodo 5/4, Yaboya 12/1, Manbow 10/1, Roznic 28/1, Alphabetical 15/2, Randwicke Roar 10/1, Alfadora 33/1. Salhood is a non-runner.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers I think racing is unlikly tomorrow so am not doing hours of study for nothing. So will not be posting any bets tonight. Might study a race or two in the morning if racing looks probable.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Had to get on this at the price. Ascot £15 @ 14/1 Ashley Brook £5 @ 3.4/1 (place) Ashley Brook On last years form has second best chance, has not jumped like he can this term. Proven on the ground, if he is not taken on by Tamarinbleu could come back to form. The two pace horses came clear in the last race (possibly difficult to come from behind). Mansony and Schinlers could improve but the value has gone with them. Twist Magic will win if running to form on this still softer ground.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Have done a propper exceptance speech elsewhere but thanks for voteing for me in the oscars. Hopefully I can make it a double win this week. Member of the West Berkshire Racing Club team in a quiz, taking on the likes of the Racing Post, Raceform and Wetherbys etc. on tuesday night. Got to do some revision now. Oops, just seen have not done profit / loss for a while. Will do so before friday. Next tips will be put on here friday night for Cheltenham. Anyone going?

[BillyHills]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Might be going Cheltenham or Doncaster depending on the weather, obviously making a decision nearer the time. Well done on the award by the way. (BH)

[bowles10]

Re: Gingers Jumpers

Had to get on this at the price. Ascot £15 @ 14/1 Ashley Brook £5 @ 3.4/1 (place) Ashley Brook On last years form has second best chance, has not jumped like he can this term. Proven on the ground, if he is not taken on by Tamarinbleu could come back to form. The two pace horses came clear in the last race (possibly difficult to come from behind). Mansony and Schinlers could improve but the value has gone with them. Twist Magic will win if running to form on this still softer ground.

the horse has lost its way & i just hope it returns over hurdles as i believe it has the talent to win more races at any level.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Ashley Brook is running as though he is feeling an injury, jumping left in its last 2 races. Not having the enthusiasm he once did either. I think he needs a long rest to get over whatever is ailing him Bowles.