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Re: Gingers Jumpers Decided will not have much time tomorrow morning so will put them up now. 1:50 Fontwell £30 @ 6.8/1 Victorias Groom (15% 11/2) Hopefully do a place bet on it in the morning. 3:20 Fontwell £45 @ 6.4/1 Mendosima (18% 9/2) £50 @ 4.8/1 Dan Buoy (20% 4/1) Addition 2:20 Fontwell £40 @ 6/1 Power Shared (16.5% 5/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:50 Fontwell Above average novice race for the track. Nicky Henderson's Classic Fiddle is making her first start over fences, has the breeding to go a long way in this sphere. But also should be a stayer and is opposable at the price. Nicholls Oscar d'Angeron may not be as capable of improvement as some here and needs to jump better. So too does Russian Around, looked a good prospect when falling at the last against Acambo on his penultimate start. But ran as though feeling that last time. Likely to be given an educational round to get his jumping right and may need further. Victorias Groom I saw at Newbury on his chasing debut last season and impressed me as one for the future before falling. Done o.k. This term, jumped better last time up, having little chance with Duc De Regniere. Looks capable of better and should not be as big a price compared to the front two and looks a good each way shot. 2:20 Fontwell Soixante has not found a great deal under pressure but may not need to here. Does not look a great race. Improved on his first start on very soft and provided it does not dry up looks a worthy favourite. Dropped in trip but travelled well last time so should cope. Stable could be in better form. Katess still has some potential and the increased test might suit her, stable still in form. Chicago Alley comes back to hurdles from chasing and if over his bad fall could run well. Big IF though. Power Shared ran really well at Newbury, no chance with Celestial Halo and beaten some way. But seemed to have a good attitude, jumped well and improving. Step up in trip should be in his favour. Atacama Star has improved over fences and if he can translate his recent chase form (should do) can run well here for his in form yard. Probable front runner. Ruling Reef would be a possible outsider, the increased test sure to suit and the stable in very good form. 3:20 Fontwell Merodima is a non runner. Canterbilly does not look one to trust. Minaad is the least exposed but needs to prove his effectiveness on the ground. Dan Buoy acts well on soft on the flat and could improve on it here. Form is a bit in and out and can pull but stays well. Races prominently / tracks pace. Hereditory is a favourite of mine, won me quite a bit last year here (course specialist) but big doubt about staying the trip today for me. Nightfly is interesting and has been backed. Did not run very well on his reappearance but the yard is in much better form now. Lightly raced and has run as though something is hurting but is unexposed. Cave of The Giant seems to run his best races from the front and may be able to get an easy lead here. If so can go close. Sorry don't have time to put my prices up. Can not get the place bet on Victorias Groom at a decent price. 8/1 with Betfred looks a good each way though.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 3:50 Newbury £52 @ 3.9/1 Nougat De L'Isle (25% 3/1) £14 @ 4.3/1 Mighty Moose (22% 7/2) £6 @ 12.5/1 Whitch Pocket (10% 9/1) Race is full of out of form, poor temperament or inconsistant types. Nougat and Mighty are two that may have improvement in them. Which Pocket is in form and from a yard bang in form. Not gone to Newbury, recharging batteries for Cheltenham.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:00 Cheltenham £32 @ 6.4/1 Hold Em (16.5% 5/1) £25 @ 1.76/1 Aigle D'Or (39% 13/8) £9 @ 7/1 What A Friend (14% 6/1) £3 @ 24/1 Junior (6.75% 14/1) 2:10 Cheltenham £50 @ 6/1 Maljimar (22% 7/2) £18 @ 4.6/1 Nacarat (23% 100/30) £9 @ 10.5/1 Private Be (14% 6/1) £6 @ 15/1 Model Son (11% 8/1) My 100% book does not include Opera Mundi. There will be a 17.6% reduction to the prices taken if, as I suspect, he comes out.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:00 Cheltenham Aigle D'Or was impressive on his only start and comes from a yard in amazing form. Hold Em is a good jumper which could stand him in good stead at this course. Stable capable of mixing it with the best. Improving and stays well. What A Friend has idled and not looked that keen in his races so far. Not a trait I like which is why he is just the saver. That trait though might mask his true ability and could improve quite a bit here. Junior is a second season novice and judging from his flat form could improve stepped up in trip for his reappearance. Not always the best of jumpers last term, if that is ironed out could surprise at a price. Prices to beat are: Gauvain 33/1, Razor Royale 20/1, Aigle D'Or 13/8, Evelith Echo 25/1, Hold Em 5/1, Marleybow 14/1, What A Friend 6/1, Durante 2000/1, Helens Vision 20/1, Junior 14/1, Flowers Haven 2000/1. 2:10 Cheltenham Nacarat was impressive on his British debut at Wincanton, having it won from some way out. Jumped well and looks sure to improve. There are many horses in this race who like to race prominently and Maljimar may have the race set up for him (usually held up). Did not have the pace last time at 2 miles. Has very good Cheltenham form earlier on in the year. Stays and acts. Private Be was a little disappointing last time but has been given time to get over it. Bang there when falling on penultimate start. If jumping better and running to that form has a chance at a price. Stable running well. Model Son usually finds a fence getting in the way but also runs well here. There are other front runners but if his 7lb claimer can get him jumping could surprise. Betting without Opera Mundi, my prices to beat: New Little Brick 15/1, Private Be 6/1, Pablo De Charmil 13/2, Time To Sell 33/1, Tora Bora 50/1, Nacarat 100/30, Preacher Boy 100/1, Maljimar 7/2, Model Son 8/1, Burntoakboy 28/1, De Blanc 800/1. 2:40 Cheltenham Our Vic has the best form but is best fresh and not certain to stay a truly run stiff 3m1f. Neptunes Collonges is having his reappearance, should be fit enough and genuine. Appeared to improve in Ireland on his last start but that looks debatable form. Kingscliff 2nd (inconsistant) and 3rd In Compliance not staying. Simon is still improving (needs to) and would have done even better last time had he not been unsighted at two obstacles at a crucial time. Stays well and acts on the ground. Hope he does not ruin his handicap mark for the G. National (have backed him). State Of Play ran a bit below form but that was overseas. Gets weight from his main rivals here which brings him in to play. Stays and acts on the going. Possibly best fresh but worth taking a chance on him at the price. Neptunes Collonges 9/2, Our Vic 100/30, Billyvoddan 33/1, Madison Du Berlais 10/1, Simon 9/2, State Of Play 9/2, Knowhere 25/1, Faasel 40/1. 3:50 Cheltenham Milenium Royal gets weight from Inglis Drever which brings him in to play. Possibly best at Haydock but ran well enough here last time to be worth taking a chance with. His price looks far too big. Stays well and acts on the going. Not as consistant as Inglis but that is in the price. Blazing Bailey is another obvious danger but looks too short at present. Sonnyanjoe has improved in leaps and bounds, needs to again but 20/1 is too big. Lough Derg has been flattered in his last two races and if I were a layer I would do so. Blazing Bailey 100/30, Inglis Drever 13/8, Lough Derg 20/1, Redemption 2000/1, Chief Dan George 200/1, Sonnyanjoe 12/1, Gone to Lunch 40/1, Its A Legend 500/1, Millenium Royale 9/2, Raslan 40/1.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:45 Kempton £60 @ 9/2 Burren Legend 3rd £8 @ 10/1 Lord Collingwood £10 @ 8/1 No Regrets £6 @ 14/1 Victor Daly cp 45.1% 6/5 -£84 3:15 Kempton £27 @ 9.5/1 Gabier £24 @ 12/1 Rio De Janiero £10 @ 6/1 Shatabdi cp 31.5% 85/40 -£61 3:45 Kempton £114 @ 2/1 Mister Quasimodo PU 33.3% -£114 Days Stakes £259, Days Return £0, Days Deficit -£259.00 Ascot £15 @ 14/1 Ashley Brook £5 @ 3.4/1 Ashley Brook 6.7% -£20 Days Stakes £20, Days Return £0, Days Deficit £20.00 1:50 Fontwell £30 @ 6.8/1 Victoria's Groom 12.8% -£30 2:20 Fontwell £66 @ 4/1 Soixante £40 @ 6/1 Power Shared cp 34.3% -£106 3:20 Fontwell £45 Mendosima Non-runner £50 @ 4.8/1 Dan Buoy 17.2% -£50 Days Stakes £186, Days Return £0, Days Deficit £186.00 3:50 Newbury £52 @ 3.9/1 Nougat De Lisle fell £14 @ 4.3/1 Mighty Moose £6 @ 12.5/1 Which Pocket cp 46.7% 11/10 -£72 Days Stakes £72, Days Return £0, Days Deficit £72.00 1:00 Cheltenham £32 @ 6.4/1 Hold Em 2nd £25 @ 1.76/1 Aigle D'Or 1st Return £69.00 £9 @ 7/1 What A Friend 3rd £3 @ 24/1 Junior cp 66.2% 1\2 cs £69 £0 2:10 Cheltenham £50 @ 6/1 Maljimar 1st Return £297.20 (incl. 17.5% reduction) £18 @ 4.6/1 Nacarat £9 @ 10.5/1 Private Bee £6 @ 15/1 Model Son cb 40.9% 6/4 cs £83 + £214.20 2:40 Cheltenham £44 @ 11/2 Simon fell £42 @ 5.2/1 State Of Play cp 31.5% 85/40 -£86 3:50 Cheltenham £44 @ 8.4/1 Millenium Royal £14 @ 19/1 Sonnyanjoe cp 15.6% 11/2 -£58 Days Stakes £296, Days Return £366.20, Days Profit £70.20 Stakes £833, Returns £366.20, Deficits £466.80 What an awful start to the year! Looking back I still believe most bets were good value, with the exceptions of Ashley Brook and State Of Play. Most were very well bcked with some starting considerably shorter. So it can't have only been me to think they were over priced. Hopefully I have turned the corner now.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:30 Sandown £57 @ 9/2 Almaydan (22.5% 7/2) £8 @ 8/1 Magic Sky (13% 13/2) £5 @ 15.5/1 Bleu Superbe (7.5% 13/1) 3:40 Sandown £50 @ 5/1 (ladbrokes) Erics Charm (20% 4/1) £18 @ 20/1 (ladbrokes) Kelami (8.25% 11/1) £10 @ 7.4/1 Principe Azzuro (14.25% 6/1) Will give reasons tomorrow but here are my percentages / prices to beat. 1:30 Kalca Mome 7.5% 13/1 Oneway 2% 50/1 Magic Sky 13% 13/2 Natal 10.5% 17/2 Almaydan 22.5% 7/2 Publican 9.5% 10/1 Bleu Superbe 7.5% 13/1 Tanikos 21.5% 7/2 Vinimix De Bessy 6% 16/1 3:40 Cerium 2.25% 40/1, Butlers Cabin 6.75% 14/1, Gungudu 16.5% 5/1, Harris Bay 5.75% 16/1, Kelami 8.25% 11/1, Erics Charm 20% 4/1, Irish Raptor 7% 14/1, Caribou 7.25% 13/1, Principe Azzuro 14.25% 6/1, Tora Bora 1% 100/1, My Immortal 6% 16/1, Burntoakboy 5% 20/1.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:30 Sandown Analysis. This race is full of exposed, temperamental, and poor jumpers. The least exposed are Almaydan, Tanikos and Publican. Almaydan and Tanikos are closely matched on their form of last time. Tanikos was having his first race for some time (when Henderson was in great form at that point) but is none too consistant and might bounce. Almaydan does not win very often either these days, has run well this season when racing up with the pace. Hopefully these two and Bleu Superbe will not take each other on. Has drifted in the market, presumably because of the jockey who is a slight worry but if it is to be an amateur, Greenhall is one of the best. Trainer in excellent form and still looks quite well handicapped on his very best form. Magic Sky did not stay 2 ½ miles penultimate start and would not be a surprised if this consistant animal bounced back from a below par effort last time. If they do go too quick early, he will be finishing well. Jumps well and gets on well with his regular jockey. Bleu Superbe is fairly consistant when he jumps / gets an early lead, but is very unlikely to improve. Publican and Vinimix could improve but either struggle to stay or are temperamental. Former usually hits one or two. Natal does not seem to be in love with the game since being in a ding dong battle with his stablemate last year at Kempton. Possibly better over further, unless very tacky. Kalca Mome likes a stiff 2 miles but it all depends on his mood and might be best fresh. 3:10 Sandown Hobbs Hill has the best form, improving, goes on the ground, stays and jumps well. Silverburn on what he has done is over rated, if he was not trained / hyped by Nicholls / press, or had the breeding he does, would be a considerably bigger price. Wee Robbie would be a danger if recovering from his Ascot run, should be well suited by being upped in trip. The Market Man had / has great potential, a couple of years ago looked an improving hurdler with an outside chance in the Stayers hurdle before going wrong. Not been seen since, stiff task for a fencing debut.. Forget the rest. Prices to beat. Hobbs Hill 50% Evens, Keepthedreamalive 0.2% 500/1, Present Oriented 0.05% 2000/1, Silverburn 21% 7/2, The Market Man 11% 8/1, Wee Robbie 17.75% 9/2 For those who watched The System last night I have a certainty for you. Take a look at Afsoun in the paddock, going to post and at the post. If he is only jig jogging there is no bet. He has never yet run well when sweating up badly and not wanting to join the others at the start. Just does not want to go through with his effort. So in those circumstances is Straw Bear a near nigh a certainty? Well, then again Straw bear has brittle feet and breaks blood vessels so may be not. 3:40 analysis to come.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Erics Charm ran well, improving on his reappearance last time when taken on for the lead. There are not as many prominent runners in this race, Irish Raptor a possible. Goes very well here and is well handicapped on old Whitbread form. Stays well and trainer in terrific form. Butlers Cabin possibly better on good ground and being brought along for the National. Gungadu they are saying did not stay but he never finds a great deal off the bridle and I have been against this beast since seeing him give away a race at Newbury last term. Kelami ran an encouraging race at Cheltenham last time, his best for some time and can go well at a big price. Irish Raptor can front run but not always, won at Cheltenham but is inconsistent, and has not always jumped well, looks much too short a price. Principe Azzuro was behind Erics Charm last time at a time when the trainer was out of form, now giving signs of a return. Possibly better to come from him. Will need them to go quick up front (usually dropped out). My Immortal, this is a competitive race for one who had a bad fall last time, even if he has had a good break since. Burntoakboy is interesting, seems to be on the upgrade and ran well last week at Cheltenham. Has an excellent 7lb claimer, De Giles on board. Have possibly under rated his chance.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 3:20 Newbury £57 @ 4.8/1 Fire Dream (22% 7/2) £10 @ 41/1 Kings Quay (4.75% 20/1) £2 @ 49/1 Punjabi (2.75% 33/1) £2 @ 47/1 Kings Revenge (3.75% 25/1) £2 @ 64/1 Fleet Street (3% 33/1) 2:45 Newbury £16 @ 22/1 Regal Heights (7.75% 12/1) 2:10 Newbury £123 @ 7/4 (Corals) Master Minded (39% 6/4) £6 @ 22/1 Pablo Du Charmil (7.25% 13/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 3:20 Newbury Fire Dream is improving rapidly, with the build of one that will go on progressing for some time yet. The form of his last start gives him an excellent chance and is even better than the it looked. Pricked his ears and idled. In my opinion value for another 3 or 4 lengths. Only a juvenile but travels and jumps well. Hope it does not dry up too much (going on the firm side would be a worry). Palomar, novice has been winning inferior races to this with ease. Better than this on the flat so may have quite a bit more to come. Well bred being related to Gorytus. Claiming jockey gets on well with him but it will be interesting how he copes with the pressure. Has taken a hold and needs to be held up for a late run. Blue Bajan is yet another novice who is well handicapped on his flat form. Now has a flat jockey in R.Hughes. Big race for an inexperienced rider especially as he can still make a mistake. Whispered Promises ran well first time for the Pipe stable last time. Could improve again if he does not bounce, had a hard race behind Fire Dream. Likes to be up with the pace. Roman Villa might be the one to benefit from the ground drying up. Seemingly not been getting home in his races, but that could be more temperament than anything else. Punjabi and Fleet Street are second and third strings for the Henderson yard who have a good record in this race. In my working out they both have nearly as good a chance as the first string. Punjabi ran poorly first time out when jumping uncharacteristicly poorly. Ignoring that run he has looked progressive and been thought of as a possible Champion Hurdle contender. Has perhaps the most promising 7lb claimer in the saddle. Fleet Street was a little disappointing over fences last time (friendless in the market). Lightly raced, on his best form of a couple of years ago has a chance. Kings Quay has an excellent record in good handicaps. Was not given a hard race last time when not staying the trip in a grade 2. Progressive form prior to that. Acts on good-firm and soft. Looks over priced on the exchanges 41/1. Kings Revenge ran well in the Ladbroke hurdle, giving the first two there a fair start. Could do better here with a good pace likely. Prices to beat. Punjabi 33/1, Mephisto 60/1, Whispered Promises 10/1, Pigeon Island 66/1, Kings Quay 20/1, Carraciola 20/1, Streets Of Gold 400/1, Jayo 40/1, Doctor David 1000/1, Missus Potts 40/1, Fleet Street 33/1, Palomar 17/2, Kings Revenge 25/1, Victram 300/1, Platin Grounds 100/1, Roman Villa 14/1, Fire Dream 7/2, County Zen 16/1, Blue Bajan 17/2, Dancers Seranade 50/1, Pace Shot 2000/1, Gabier 1000/1, Wingman 66/1, Mohayeb 25/1. 2:10 Newbury Voy Por Ustedes looks to be very short considering the penalty. Won a poor grade two last time, a 12 length beating of Mr Quasimodo, giving him 4lbs is not great form. Does not look to have progressed. Easily beaten by Twist Magic on penultimate start. Master Minded is still a 5 year old and should have more improvement to come. This his second season over fences. Has not always jumped well but did nowt wrong last time. Won easily and 4th Howle Hill (who would've been 2nd without errors) won good handicap since. Pablo Du Charmil does not look up to this class and was 3rd in Howle Hills race but is better when allowed to dominate. Could get a soft lead here if not taken on by Mahogany Blaze. Mahogany Blaze is an improving novice who went off too fast early last time and consequently had a hard race, might not be over that yet. Needs to improve dramatically. L'Antartique best held up at 2 ½ miles in a strongly run race. This is 2m and likely to be slowly run. Voy Por Ustedes 7/4, L'Antartique 14/1, Pablo Du Charmil 12/1, Mahogany Blaze 10/1, Master Milord 6/4, Marazon No Price (longer than 2000/1). 2:45 Newbury Had to make Regal Heights a bet as 22/1 (got even bigger) is too big. If Denman were to run poorly for some reason, the other two runners are out of form. So Regal Heights must be a bet. 3:55 Newbury This is full of out of form or temperamental horses or both. Ofarel D'Airy is well handicapped on his chase form but has had plenty of chances over hurdles. Looked a dog in recent runs over fences and needs opposing at the price. Estate seemed to be travelling o.k. Last time but possibly blew up (first start for some time). Has not looked to be crying out for the trip but is a stayer on the flat. Pocket Too comes from a stable in form and ran well last time. Possibly more exposed than some here but is also more consistent. Master Builder has won a couple of ordinary novices but more is needed today. Its A Legend one good run in the Spa last season, soon off the bridle when outclassed on reappearance. Albany runs well fresh and won on reappearance. Lightly raced and could improve again. Stays well and acts on good and soft. Albany 5/1, Its A Legend 17/2, Julius Ceasar 50/1, Fountain Hill 28/1, Openide 50/1, Ofarel D'Airy 11/2, Arrayou 100/1, Master Builder 9/1, Pocket Too 15/2, Estate 7/2, Drumbeater 25/1.

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