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stewartd14

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About stewartd14

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    Dedicated dons punter
  • Birthday 06/13/1991

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  1. Off to Ascot today so a quick preview: 2.00 1 PT WIN MONTICELLO Teofilo has an excellent record with his offspring over 7f and Monticello has already registered two good wins over this trip. Hasn't beaten much, but did it convincingly and the times were good. With stamina doubts over a few of the others, my money is with Monticello at around 9/2 early doors. 2.35 1 PT EW MARIE OF LYON The favourite will take some beating here, but I'm siding with Richard Fahey's runner. By Fahey's own admission, she didn't like the ground at Newmarket last time out and still ran an e
  2. 4.30 Newmarket - SQUASH @ 50/1 Betfred EW It really surprises me to see this filly as big as 50/1. She finished only a neck behind Only Mine two starts back on soft ground over 6f where Squash couldn't quite reel the winner in. They meet again today over 7f in similar conditons yet Only Mine is 12/1 and shorter and Squash is available at 50/1. Squash has only had the one run since which was earlier this year at Lingfield where she clipped heels and couldn't recover. That does give her a small benefit of race fitness though and I think the 50/1 on offer is simply too big.
  3. Re: Flat Racing Friday 29th May Three for me today in an attempt to boost the coffers for Chester tomorrow! 2.10 Newcastle BLUE HUMOR (NAP) @ 9/2 I make this the best bet of today. Distorted Humour, his sire, has been the best two year old sire over the past couple of years in terms of the average speed rating his runners achieve. This is backed up by the win rate of his offspring, generating an excellent strike rate of 24%. They tend to be slightly better over further, but Blue Humor shaped with promise in a decent York maiden first time out, and I fully expect him to be better than the
  4. Re: flat racing weds 27th may Fantastic call Richard!
  5. Re: Weekly Naps Comp ''Sunday 10th May'' 2015 410 Leopardstown CASH OR CASUALTY 0.5 pt EW @ 10/1 Coral (BOG) I backed this horse at The Curragh on the opening day of the flat season on the basis he's a much better performer on soft ground. He won well that day, and has followed up that run with an excellent run on soft ground over 6f, where he was staying on again at the finish. 6f on better going was always going to be unlikely to suit. He then ran at Dundalk last time, which isn't a track where front runners fare well, but he still finished a respectable 4th. I certainly don't feel that
  6. Re: irish national monday Missed this - very well done Robert!
  7. Re: grand national trends Interesting analysis both ... will keep very much in mind when looking at the race - especially those course stats Toast!
  8. Re: ***** US Masters Competition - £150 in CASH Prizes ***** Kuchar @ 33/1 Snedeker @ 40/1 Spieth @ 10/1 Blixt @ 125/1 Na @ 150/1 Good luck all!
  9. Re: Nap of the Day - Tuesday 7th April 2015 5.00 Pontefract - FAZZA @ 16/1 Edwin Tuer, his trainer, has an excellent 22% strike rate in handicaps at Pontefract, producing a decent level stakes profit and he runs Fazza this afternoon. Fazza himself, has 2 wins and 2 thirds from 7 runs at Ponty. He has been unplaced the last twice here however both those runs came on firmer ground. His sire Sulamani has a strike rate of 5% on firmer ground, and a strike rate of 14% when he gets some cut. The ground is the softer side of good today so quite clearly more favourable. When he last got his condit
  10. Re: flat racing fri 3rd april Thank you Robert. Slightly frustrating that after mentioning Fahey's great record with handicappers here that I overlooked his Gabrial the Duke in the 16.30, but certainly can't complain with two winners @ 16/1 and 12/1, and a 13/2 place in Spring Offensive. John Quinn actually has a great record at Musselburgh too, but thought there was too much pace in the race for his Moonlighnavigator ! Minionette looks useless !
  11. Re: Nap Of The Day - Friday 3rd April 2015 15.30 TANGERINE TREES 0.5 PT WIN @ 12/1 Boyles Tangerine Trees won this race in 2013 and was 4th in the race last year. The ground was a bit quick for him last year, however (G/F), and he'll be much happier dictating on rain softened ground today. Doesn't look much other pace in the race, and I feel he can make all. 12/1 looks a massive price.
  12. Re: flat racing fri 3rd april Avoiding the all weather championships at Lingfield to go to Musselburgh for today's selections: 14.25 BUTHELEZI 0.25pt e/w @ 16/1 A couple of positives for this horse. Firstly, the sire Dynaformer has a decent record on softer ground, and with the rain coming this 7 year old gelding will get that softer ground. His form is too inconsistent to say for certain that he doesn't handle it. Additionally, Brian Ellison has a good record in April and this horse showed some decent form north of the border at the end of last year (running to ratings of 97-88-82 on fin
  13. Re: Nap of the day 25th Feb 2045 Kempton YA HALLA @ 9/1 Stan James BOG WIN This one caught my eye four starts back when finishing 3rd at Wolverhampton over 7f - a trip slightly too far. He still, however, ran a speed rating of 65 - making him look very well handicapped. He then went on to oblige next time out, again running a rating of 66. A return to that form would see him go very close tonight as looks well handicapped on those performances. Was very unlucky two starts back and had excuses last time. The price is far too big.
  14. Re: National Hunt Racing > Saturday January 17th 5 pts win SPRINTER SACRE @ EVENS (Boylesports) 10 pts win SPRINTER SACRE TO WIN 3.00 AND CHAMPION CHASE @ 10/3 Betway All the vibes coming out the Henderson camp are positive about Sprinter Sacre tomorrow, and if he's anything like back to his best he's going to take a great deal of beating. He can run almost 2 stone below his best and still take this on official figures and whilst he will come on for the run, I fully expect him to take this tomorrow. With doubts still over Sire de Grugy, I think if Sprinter does win tomorrow, he shoul
  15. Re: Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf > January 15th - 18th 1 pt e/w G Coetzee @ 55/1 Paddy Power (6 places) Coetzee's record in this event reads T6-T9-T4, showing he clearly has a liking for this course. It could be argued that he could have finished much higher last year had it not been for his disappointing third round. He comes into this on the back of two missed cuts, however, he did exactly the same last year in the same two tournaments before finishing 4th back in this event. He is certainly a player who is reasonably consistent, and I think he will be close this year 1 pt e/w T Olesen @ 33/1
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