Gingers Jumpers

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Arkle Trophy £27 @ 11/1 (WH) Thyne Again (12% 15/2) £25 @ 10/1 (Generally) Ring The Boss (11% 8/1) Will get the profit up to date before Cheltenham. Will start to do some write ups today to save me time next week. Probably will not be betting on the racing this weekend.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Thought I had put this up before at 7/1 but can not find it. If I have missed it please ignore. Ballymore Novices Hurdle £40 @ 6/1 (generally) Group Captain 6/1 (17% 5/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Champion Chase As well as my 12/1 Master Minded already advised. £40 @ 7/1 (NRNB ladbrokes) Tamarinbleu (17% 5/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle £45 @ 7/1 (Totesport) The Tother One (18% 9/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Also in Albert Bartlett £10 @ 6/1 (Totesport NRNB) Carruthers (17% 5/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Guess what, another Cheltenham bet. Ryanair Chase I now expect my original NRNB bet Tamarinbleu to go for the Queen Mum if as expected, the ground is on the soft side. And on the soft side: £45 @ 6/1 (Totesport)The Listener (18% 9/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Champion Chase Master Minded improved a great deal to win in the Game Spirit which makes him a worthy favourite. Beat Voy Por Ustedes (who gave 6lbs) a fairly comfortable 5 lengths. If that progress is maintained will be difficult to beat. Did get an easy lead , jumped well there and at Sandown when beating ordinary handicappers. Early season though he had jumping frailties unseating his rider at Exeter and prior to joining Nicholls in France. It is to be hoped his jumping does not regress when put under more pressure. The second last could be a problem. No five year old has won the Queen Mum, only one six year old, last year with Voy Por. However, this is no ordinary five year old, outclassed his older rivals in the paddock at Newbury. Is yet to run on good going but taking the time off for when they stood still, the Game Spirit was run in almost standard time (suggests close to good ground) despite seeming to idle. Ruby Walsh will probably choose him over stable mate Twist Magic. Twist Magic looked the one to beat before the Victor Chandler last time on soft going. Seemingly going like a winner just before the turn but emptying out quickly (not for the first time). Did not appear to stay the trip with Tom Scudamore ensuring a fast pace on Tamarinbleu. Beaten 12 lengths albeit eased a little with Mansony and Schindlers Hunt also below form 11 and 16 lengths behind. The ground was not botomless, the time told us that. The test of stamina similar to Cheltenham on good-soft. With David Pipes horse in the field along with Fair Along and Newmill, possibly Lennon too, the Champion looks sure to be a severe test of Twist Magic's stamina and / or will. The time of the Tingle Creek (also on soft) was comparatively slow and did not test these two attributes as much. Beat Voy Por 3 lengths. Last season he looked to be travelling very well two out when falling (normally a good jumper). With suspect stamina I doubt if Twist Magic would have won. After which went on to win in a canter by 5 lengths at Aintree from Fair Along with Lennon well beaten. Voy Por Ustedes won a substandard Queen Mother last season, River City in third beaten only 6 ½ lengths keeps the form down. Even as a novice he needed the then very generous five year olds allowance to beat Monet's Garden in the Arkle. I see no reason to think he has not produced his best (after possibly needing his reappearance) this season. Beaten by both Twist Magic and Master Minded (see above). Was putting in his best work at the finish after allowing Master Minded an early lead. But the Nicholls horse won comfortably. In the Tingle Creek Voy Por had no answer to Twist Magic's turn of foot. Where VPU does have a possible edge is jumping ability and stamina which could hold him in good stead at Cheltenham. Trainer believes he is best on good ground but seems equally effective on soft. Even at seven he seems thoroughly exposed but is genuine and consistent. Tamarinbleu could go for the Ryanair but if it is on the soft side connections will probably plump for this. On soft at Ascot (the new track favours front runners) made all, being pushed along some way out to win the VC. MansonyHis improvement has come with new tactics (going from the front) and application of blinkers. Tamarinbleu is not certain to get his own way this time with Fair Along, Newmill and possibly Lennon other prominent runners in the field, but is the best jumper of the three. Proven at 2m5f, if he has enough pace early on should be there at the finish. Won the Boylesports Handicap so is proven at the course too, though his festival form (not blinkered) is poor. Acts on any going but the more emphasis on stamina the better his chance. Looks over priced at the moment. Fair Along ran well for a long way in the Ascot chase behind Kauto Star, possibly going off too quick and better than his finishing position suggests (beaten 23 lengths). Is only small and needs to improve considerably to challenge the big four (seems unlikely). His very best form has been when allowed a lead and there are other front runners in the race. Did make a few errors at Ascot but is generally a good jumper. Stable in terrific form and probably acts on any going. Mansony has 23 lengths to find on Tamarinbleu for the Ascot Chase, but is better than that, is a nervy sort and is not considered a good traveller by his trainer. Cheltenham could be a problem. Before that beat Nickname (nowhere near his best on reappearance) by a length with Schindlers Hunt a further 3 ½ lengths behind, has beaten that horse three times this season. Beaten 19 lengths by The Listener over 2 ½ miles, possibly struggled to stay on heavy. Acts on any going and usually held up. Needs to improve a lot. Schindlers Hunt is held by Mansony let alone Tamarinbleu and Twist Magic. Seemed to be returning to form last time in first time cheek pieces. Evens fav when unseating rider at the last (feb 24). His jumping does not seem to be the same since a fall mid way through last (his novice) season. Acts on any going. Not good enough. Newmill has not been the same horse in the last two seasons, since his Champion win. Only 1 ¼ and 1 ¾ lengths behind Newmill (levels) and Kicking King (rec 8lbs) in a slowly run race at Gowran on his penultimate start. However, none of the three ran well on their starts before or since so that form looks highly suspect. Newmill himself was beaten when brought down last time out. Now a ten year old, it is debatable how much ability he has left. 4^th to Voy Por in a poor Queen Mum last year and the one he won was not much better. Best when dominating, unlikely to get his own way this time. Did win the Red Mills Hurdle on heavy but best efforts over fences on good. Lennon barely stays two miles around a conventional track so a stiff racecourse like Cheltenham is unlikely to suit, especially if it is on the soft side. Did run well last time just getting the worse of a battle with Howle Hill (rec 2lb) by a neck in a valuable Donny handicap. Used to be a front runner but not in his last two starts. Is not far behind the others on form but surly too much to find on the big four. Then again you would expect me to say that if you knew my real name! Forget the rest. Summary: If Master Minded jumps well in behind horses and if maintaining the progressive form, looks the one to beat. A soft surface will be against Twist Magic and it remains to be seen just how much he will find up the Cheltenham hill. A soft surface will definitely suit Tamarinbleu to make his stamina come in to play. Is improving and arguably has the best form, over priced. Voy Por Ustedes is the one who possibly best suits how the race is likely to be run / conditions, but is more exposed than his main rivals. All the others need to improve a fair bit which seems unlikely. Mansony has to behave prior to the race (unlikely), Schindlers Hunt needs to jump, Lennon has to stay and Fair Along needs to run well even if taken on for the lead. The last named is my choice for fifth spot / take advantage of anything going wrong with the big four. Contraband may be an Arkle winner for Pipe but is no longer of any ability, Azulejo and twelve year old Fustrein Du Paon should be prevented from running. 100% Book, prices to beat on genuinely good-soft. Master Minded 32.5% 85/40, Tamarinbleu 20% 4/1, Voy Por Ustedes 18.% 9/2, Twist Magic18% 9/2, Fair Along 6.5% 15/1, Mansony 2.5% 40/1, Newmil 1% 100/1, Lennon 0.75% 125/1, Schindlers Hunt 0.5% 200/1, Contraband, Azulejo and Fustrein Du Paon not rated (worse than 2000/1 chances). My bookies prices for good-soft, betting to 115.25% Master Minded 15/8, Tamarinbleu 7/2, Voy Por Ustedes 4/1, Twist Magic 4/1, Fair Along 11/1, Mansony 25/1, Newmill 40/1, Lennon 50/1, Schindlers Hunt 66/1, Contraband 1000/1, Fustrein Du Paon 1000/1, Azulejo 2000/1.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Champion Hurdle Sizing Europe beat Hardy Eustace and Al Eile easily last time, two horses some say are better over further these days. But they both had enough speed to finish first and second in the slowly run December Hurdle (2m good-soft) over the festive period. Sizing Europe does jump big over his hurdles but unless it is very quick ground (highly unlikely) probably won't be a problem. The way he won was impressive going clear not under maximum pressure. Before that he won the Greatwood Handicap Hurdle, proving himself at Cheltenham. Beating Osana who is now 6lbs better off for four lengths, but they both have improved since and a strict line of form is probably misleading. The third there is of poor temperament but fourth Trouble At Bay won at the weekend and Pigeon Island has gone from strength to strength. Sizing Europe acts on good going and heavy going. Osana reappeared in the Greatwood where he was the only runner who ran well from a yard in poor form at the time. Stepped up on that in the Boylesports on good ground, albeit getting an early lead but making a good pace, jumping exuberantly. Katchit (gave 4lbs) looked threatening going to the last but David Pipe's gelding drew away to beat him 8 lengths. There looked no fluke in the result but whether he will be able to make ground at the hurdles on softer is debatable. Did best of those racing up with the pace in last years County Hurdle. Acts well on soft or good going and at Cheltenham. An intended runner in the Kingwell hurdle a few weeks ago but was apparently pulled out (as I understand it) because the owner did not want to race that close to the Champion Hurdle. If so, why enter him? There are rumours the horse was under a cloud and has since been consistently a few points above the bookmakers price. Can improve again if fully fit. Katchit, everyone knows is genuine and consistent. However, he is only small and small horses often find their level of form earlier than bigger types like Sizing Europe and Osana. I see no evidence of improvement this term. Won a Micky Mouse race first time up, easily beaten over 3 lengths by a resurgent Harchibald and also Al Eile. Probably ran to form and then that run in the Boylesports, thought of as a Cheltenham specialist, again see no reason to turn the form around with an on song Osana. Went on to win the Kingwell in admirable fashion, but just beat one coming from a lay off (Blythe Knight) and a bunch of no hopers. As a juvenile Katchit won the Triumph and Anniversary easily beating Punjabi both times. Punjabi got closer at Aintree and is a bigger type than Katchit. After disappointing on reappearance ran encouragingly in the Totesport Trophy under top weight, showing improved form. Tending to hang in behind the winner after seemingly going best under an excellent 7lb claimer. Might have done even better with a top jockey on board. There might be a case Punjabi is better on a flat track and might not stay a stiff 2 miles, but that is not proven and 50/1 could look generous if improving again. Blythe Knight ran respectably at Wincanton but it is very difficult to see him making the amount of improvement necessary to win a Champion. Stiffer track and possibly softer going against him, speed is his forte, being a miler on the flat. The rain has also gone against Ebaziyan, by far his best run is in the supreme last year on good going, nothing this year suggests he is up to this task. His entry in the World Hurdle and Ruby Walsh getting off him are obvious negatives. Harchibald is an enigma, often failing to go through with his effort as in 2005. Looking all over the winner but seemingly refusing to go by. The same happened this season on Boxing Day. Straw Bear and McCoy fighting back to get the verdict. Before that, was the Fighting Fifth, not having to come under pressure to succeed against katchit. Did win recently on the flat (as he did before Newcastle). Seemed an easier ride at Dundalk without obstacles but is highly unlikely to be a reformed character. Interesting to note his temperament looks worse on the big day. Perhaps it is crowd noise that gets to Harchibald, wanting companionship of other horses instead of being in front of the pack. If so may could ear plugs help? Thought best on goodish ground, probably would not want too much rain. On form is a value bet, possibly a match for any of these. However, will he be able to win on the bridle? Is an each way bet rather than win. Straw Bear does not look good enough even though beating a recalcitrant Harchibald at Kempton under a masterful ride, keeping something in reserve to challenge again. Seemingly beaten 3 ½ lengths on merit by Afsoun last time. Has bled and may not be easy to train. Straw Bear's conqueror Afsoun is difficult to weigh up, looked happier at Sandown last time with a first time nose band (has a high head carriage). Sometimes finds little, as he did on penultimate start. Did not stay but also looked temperamental, may be the ear plugs manufacturer could have another client. Always a nervy sort, can lose the race before the start. Gets on his toes which is o.k. but often runs poorly when sweating. Ran well for third as a five year old in the Champion last season, beaten a diminishing 3 lengths and neck by Sublimity. Should be capable of improvement at six but yet to see it. Been a strange campaign by connections of Sublimity. Only seen once in December, a pal of mine told me he looked very burly and friendless in the market. It is not that his trainer can not get him fit off a long lay off, did so last year in a poor Champion. 100/1 shot Kawagino only beaten little over 18 lengths keeping the form down. Brave Inca and Hardy Eustace arguably took each other on too early, or may be just age catching up with them. Some positive comments came from connections in an ATR interview with Bob Cooper, seemingly only when pressed. Other voices from Ireland are not so optimistic. Group performer on the flat but also a temperamental one, possible the absenteeism is due to Sublimity's mind. Not wanting to go to the well too often, keeping him sweet. Trainer has not had many winners either. Being a miler on the flat it is possible John Carr's gelding needs good going (a test of speed rather than stamina). Can be argued on form is value but doubtful whether capable of running to it. Last year well backed for this and a market move either way could be significant. In my opinion will probably be the wrong way. One the dogs are barking for this time is Catch Me. Third in the Ballymore last year so has Festival form. Appeared to improve last time in the Red Mills. Beat Jazz Messenger in to second (gave 5lbs) 4 ½ lengths and De Valira (gave3lbs), having his first run of the campaign, beaten almost 8 lengths. Just what that form is worth is difficult to access. The second's trainer was going through a bad run and probably ran below form. Jazz Messenger's penultimate start was also not satisfactory struggling to get a run in a slowly run race behind Al Eile and Hardy Eustace. Probably better than those two races indicate. Had won his two races prior to that beating the likes of Sweet Kiln (received 7/bs) Farmer Brown and a below form Macs Joy (levels). Acts on good and heavy. Run well in England, winner of the 06 Christmas Hurdle. Did not run in the Champion last year but finished 7^th in the Supreme behind Noland, Straw Bear and Sublimity, before beating the last pair at Punchestown when second to Iktitaf. Hard to see him beating stable companion Harchibald but does look over priced. De Valira has been backed recently, probably due to Ruby Walsh taking the ride. Has always been well thought of, is a half brother to the tragically unlucky (in this race) Valiramix. De Valira ran respectably on belated reappearance (see Catch Me) but was thought fit enough to start 5/2 fav there. Travels well in his races (and presumably at home) but sometimes does not find a great deal, can also hit one or two. Has a verdict over Catch Me and Sizing Europe in December 06 but that pair have improved since, the latter considerably. Needs to improve a lot in less than a month. Farmer Brown has not raced since December when 5^th to Al Eile, starting a shorter price than he and Hardy Eustace. Had been progressive in early season races including a win in the Galway hurdle. At the Newbury Cheltenham preview there was a positive word for him, being Matt Williams tip. Aitmatov was progressing early season with wins over Farmer Brown (received 2lbs) but his progression looks to have come to an end. Stable third string and no Cheltenham form. Forget the rest. Summary On form it looks between Sizing Europe and Harchibald but the latter has temperament problems and is difficult to win with. Osana is improving but there is a doubt about his fitness. Sublimity there is an even greater doubt and his effectiveness on softish ground. Katchit does not seem good enough. Afsoun has a slight doubt on temperament and if he is quite top class but his temperament could mask how good he is. Catch Me's form last time looks questionable but if correct is a possible improver. Jazz Messenger has had excuses the last twice but seems just below the very top, probably exposed. Punjabi is definitely improving but needs to and possibly best on a sharper track. Straw Bear looks exposed just below the very top class. De Valira is possibly a morning glory who has been backed on the booking of Ruby, homework and a win over Sizing Europe over a year ago. Farmer Brown has not run for some time but is reportedly going well at home, was improving but needs to. Blythe Knight best when emphasis is firmly on speed and question about fitness. Ebaziyan not good enough, best on good ground. Aitmatov, probably exposed now and not good enough. Bobs Pride had some good handicap form last term looking open to improvement but disappointed this, surely too much to find, best on a sound surface. Salford City not good enough, flattered when racing prominently in a slowly run race. Kawagino very exposed as 20 lengths behind top class. Kalderon has had an operation since his form which is not good enough anyway. Contraband and Cybergenic have less than 2000/1 chance so are unable to be rated. My win only 100% book (prices to beat). For genuinely Good-Soft going. Sizing Europe 34.2% 15/8, Harchibald 15.2% 11/2, Osana 13.2% 13/2, Sublimity 11.5% 15/2, Katchit 7% 14/1, Afsoun 3.7% 25/1, Catch Me 3.7% 25/1, Jazz Messenger 2.75% 33/1, Punjabi 2.75% 33/1, Straw Bear 2% 50/1, De Valira 1.5% 66/1 Farmer Brown 1.25% 80/1, Blythe Knight 0.3% 300/1, Ebaziyan 0.25% 400/1, Aitmatov 0.25 400/1, Bobs Pride 0.25% 400/1, Sal;ford City 0.1 1000/1, Kawagino 0.1% 1000/1, Kalderon 0.05% 2000/1, Contraband No offer, Cybergenic No offer. If I were a bookie these below are what I would offer on the day. Betting to 127% Sizing Europe 7/4, Harchibald 9/2, Osana 11/2, Sublimity 6/1, Katchit 11/1, Afsoun 18/1, Catch Me 18/1, Jazz Messenger 25/1, Punjabi 22/1, Straw Bear 28/1, De Valira 28/1, Farmer Brown 33/1, Blythe Knight 66/1, Ebaziyan 80/1, Aitmatov 100/1, Bobs Pride 100/1, Salford City 200/1, Kawagino 300/1, Kalderon 500/1 Contraband 1000/1, Cybergenic 1000/1.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers David Nicholson Mares Hurdle £31 @ 10/1 (NRNB Paddy Power) Labelthou (13% 13/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Ginger's Jumpers Cheltenham Ante-Post Portfolio: SUPREME HURDLE £22 @ 16/1 (Stan James) Pigeon Island ARKLE £27 @ 11/1 (NRNB William Hill) Thyne Again £25 @ 10/1 (NRNB Generally) Ring The Boss CHAMPION HURDLE £80 @ 4/1 (Stan James) Sizing Europe BALLYMORE NOVICES HURDLE £40 @ 6/1 (NRNB Generally) Group Captain QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE £25 @ 12/1 (Betfred) Master Minded £40 @ 7/1 (NRNB Ladbrokes) Tamarinbleu RYANAIR FESTIVAL CHASE £44 @ 7/1 (NRNB B365) Tamarinbleu £45 @ 6/1 (NRNB Totesport) The Listener LADBROKES WORLD (STAYERS) HURDLE £20 @ 14/1 (NRNB Paddy Power) My Way De Solzen PETER O'SULLIVAN NATIONAL HUNT CHASE £67 @ 5/1 (NRNB Betfred) Ornais ALBERT BARTLETT SPA NOVICES HURDLE £45 @ 7/1 (NRNB Totesport) The Tother One £10 @ 6/1 (NRNB Totesport) Carruthers GOLD CUP £15 each way @ 16/1 (NRNB William Hill) Exotic Dancer £9 each way @ 33/1 (NRNB William Hill) Halcon Genelardais DAVID NICHOLSON MARES HURDLE £31 @ 10/1 (NRNB Paddy Power) Labelthou And that is only the ones I have put up here! Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers World Hurdle Inglis Drever goes for the treble. Shown he is the best horse time and time again. The reason for the horses drift in the market is purely the trainers form, which had been very poor. Shut down for a time to try and get rid of the virus. Since Howard Johnson came back, however, there have been clear signs of revival. Two winners in the last week and several others running well. The “ran to form” (rtf) percentage in the Racing Post is 50% which is pretty good. Have heard some say the way to beat Inglis Drever is a slow pace, but he has been even more impressive when that is tried. Neither the Cleeve or Newbury Long Distance Hurdle were truly run but ended with easy wins. By 5 lengths from Blazing Bailey (levels) with Chief Dan George, Lough Derg, Sonnyanjoe and Redemption well beaten at Cheltenham. By 4 lengths from Special Envoy (rec 8lbs) at Newbury, with a below par Kasbah Bliss, Blazing Bailey and Chief Dan George again well beaten. Pundits and punters forget Graham Wylie's charge had enough speed to win the Kingwell over two miles at Wincanton. Laziness makes his jockey get after him, not lack of speed. But it could hinder his preparation. Lazy horses are often difficult to get fit after a lay off, and if held up in work, he could prove difficult to get back to full fitness. Also, worryingly there is talk of retirement after this race, why would anyone retire a top class horse at the height of his powers at the age of nine? Inglis Drever acts on good and heavy. Blazing Bailey as always travelled better than Inglis Drever in the Cleeve but was put in his place again, nevertheless beating the rest well (see above). Did beat Inglis Drever 4 lengths in the 07 Cleeve but was receiving 8 lbs then. On his penultimate start this term over 2 ½ miles again at Cheltenham, beat Wicheta Lineman 8 lengths at levels (with Redemption in rear). Blazing Bailey is an admirable, consistent but exposed racehorse. Kasbah Bliss won last time with a good turn of foot, possibly showing a bit of improvement. Beating Lough Derg 4 lengths with a below form Wicheta Lineman, Chief Dan George and especially Special Envoy behind. However, it was slowly run on a sharp track. Previously the French horse has appeared not to stay three miles at Newbury and in last seasons World Hurdle. Has never run well at Cheltenham. Some cut in the ground suits Kasbah Bliss but there are several front runners in there to make it a test. My Way De Solzen, the winner in 06 in the absence of Inglis Drever. Showed he stayed the trip there and his temperament has not changed (relaxes well). Therefore should stay the trip this time too, probably equally effective at two miles or three. Beat Mighty Man (in to 3^rd) further than Inglis did in 07, MM probably improved though. Over fences this term has been disappointing. A below form reappearance should have been expected as he always needs his first run. Then ran as though something was hurting on Boxing Day, nothing was found. Given a break and sent for the National Spirit. I was at Fontwell and thought he looked a touch burly beforehand and dull in his coat, certainly compared to the winner Lough Derg. MYDS ran far better than the bare form suggests. The leader fell in front of him and almost unseated Chocolate, losing momentum. Then after what was already a strong pace got in to a battle with Elusive Dream fully a circuit out. Going for home far too soon and having nothing left to give on the run in. Looking at his form over the years, he always shows better form at Cheltenham than anywhere else. If over his hard race has in my opinion as good a chance as any of beating the favourite. Trainer Alan King often says MWDS is best on soft but his record does not suggest that. Times of both Festival wins indicate the ground was good, though probably is effective on any. Wicheta Lineman is another who disappointed this season. The top staying novice, won the Spa and Challow Hurdles with ease before going for home too far out in the Sefton at Aintree. Had nothing left when Chief Dan George challenged. His stable has rarely been in form this term and that has possibly held him back. Points made about Inglis Drevers laziness apply to him too. Last time out had many excuses. With the stable in wretched form, did not jump with his usual fluency, over 10 lengths behind Kasbah Bliss. A slowly run race on a sharp track did not suit. Jonjo's form is still in and out. Only good run in 07/ 08 came at Cheltenham (see Blazing Bailey and has an excellent record there. Have heard Wicheta Lineman will have first time blinkers which may help him concentrate. Looked capable of better before the season started but yet to see it. Acts on soft and good going. Hardy Eustace beaten 8 lengths easing up by Sizing Europe in the AIG at two miles last time, probably does not have the speed any more (now 11 years old). Then again, there is no evidence he stays 3 miles either. Unusually set plenty to do at Ascot over the distance. Seemingly connections have little confidence in him staying but the jury is still out. The fast ground may have been against him there too. Certainly stays 2 ½ miles and is very genuine but possibly not quite the force of old anyway. Lough Derg was the one to benefit from Hardy Eustace allowing him a soft lead at Ascot. Going away again at the line to win by 9 lengths, but flattered by the result. Apart from a poor run in the Cleeve has been consistent all season. Also lucky, again flattered when My Way De Solzen and Elusive Dream went for home too soon at Fontwell, staying on to lead on the run in to win by 2 lengths, giving 8 lbs to MWDS. Stays 3 miles with the speed for 2 ½ miles and acts on any going. The Market Man ran an encouraging race on his first start for two years, behind Silverburn in the Scilly Isles novice chase. Looked an improving hurdler in 05/06. Beaten only a head in the Relkeel by Mighty Man (not yet at his peak) who gave 3 lbs. Obviously difficult to train, but being lightly raced may have more improvement in him (needs to). Thought not to like it too soft, The Market Man acted on good and good-soft before his injuries. Kazal is another possible improver, a good looking sort. Jumped better than usual last time when beating Aitmatov fairly easily by 3 ½ lengths. A battler who races prominently, may be capable of better if his jumping continues to improve. One of Ireland's best novive hurdlers last season when rattling up a sequence of wins on a soft surface. Aitmatov probably goes for the Champion Hurdle but has good prospects of staying 3 miles judging from his runs at around 2 ½ miles. But is more exposed than some and probably not good enough. Ebaziyan probably goes for the Champion too. Stays 2 ½ miles but not bred for any further. Curiously tongue tied on reappearance, which might suggest a problem. Has not shown any sign of being any better than he was last season when winning the Supreme on good ground. Special Envoy ran deplorably last time when stable were in a very poor run of form (feb 16), pulled up. Not much better now. Given even more to do than Hardy Eustace in the Long Walk. Best run when second to Inglis Drever at Newbury, beaten an easy 4 lengths. Flattered to beat below form Kasbah Bliss and Blazing Bailey. Twice looked set for wins when fallen at the last but usually a good enough jumper. Travels well in his races and possibly only just stays 3m. Equally effective on soft or good going. Flight Leader was one of the best novice hurdlers last season when 10 lengths third to Blazing Bailey, giving him 4 lbs in the Cleeve. Best on soft going and disappointed in the Spa hurdle (4^th) on good going. Needed the race over an inadequate 2 ½ miles in the National Spirit, well beaten by Lough Derg and My Way De Solzen. Needs to improve a good deal in a short space of time to challenge the favourite. Air Force One runs in the Sun Alliance. Chief Dan George grossly flattered in the Sefton (see Whicheta Lineman) and looks outclassed. Best run this season when getting 4 lbs and an easy 14 length beating from Ingl;is Drever in a slowly run Cleeve. Flattered again? Material World admirable mare but looks outclassed. Stays well and acts on any going. Ran really well when runner up in Pertemps at last years Festival ½ a length behind Oscar Park (levels). Disappointed slightly on reappearance behind Labelthou at Ascot. Has won on reappearance before. Labelthou judging by the exchanges is far more likely to run in the mares race (hopefully does as have backed her for it). Better than ever returning to hurdles when beating Refinement (levels) almost on the bridle by 3 lengths at Ascot. A mares race over 3m on soft, goes particularly well in very soft conditions. Refinement went on to be 3 ½ lengths third to Lough Derg at Fontwell. Labelthou jumps hurdles fluently. Sonnyanjoe improved early season but beginning to look exposed now. Genuine front runner but needs rousting along. Consistent prior to latest run. Equally effective on good and soft. Kawagino ran well in the Lanzarote (not the race it was) when second (2m5f), not sure to get the extra distance. Also in the Champion. Ran well in it last season but outclassed. Redemption must emancipate himself from mental slavery, often does not sing from the same hymn sheet as his jockey at his hurdles (makes mistakes). Fails to free his mind too, as often a poor finisher. Has a win over an unfit, below form My Way De Solzen last year but is essentially outclassed. 100% Book (prices to beat) for genuinely good-soft going Inglis Drever 41% 6/4, Blazing Bailey 12% 15/2, My Way De Solzen 11.5% 15/2, Kazal 6.25% 15/1, Kasbah Bliss 6.25% 15/1, Whicheta Lineman 5.5% 18/1, Hardy Eustace 4.75% 20/1, Lough Derg 3.5% 28/1, The Market Man 3.5% 28/1, Labelthou 3% 33/1, Special Envoy 1.25% 80/1, Flight Leader 0.3% 300/1, Aitmatov 0.3% 300/1, Ebaziyan 0.3% 300/1 Sonnyanjoe 0.25% 400/1, Material World 0.2% 500/1, Chief Dan George 0.1% 1000/1, Kawagino 0.05% 2000/1, Redemption no price. My Win only bookies prices for good-soft. Betting to 125.9% Inglis Drever 5/4, Blazing Bailey 6/1, My Way De Solzen 6/1, Kazal 11/1, Kasbah Bliss 12/1, Whicheta Lineman 13/1, Hardy Eustace 15/1, Lough Derg 20/1, The Market Man 20/1, Labelthou 20/1, Special Envoy 33/1, Flight Leader 80/1, Aitmatov 80/1, Ebaziyan 80/1, Sonnyanjoe 100/1, Material World 125/1, Chief Dan George 200/1, Kawagino 500/1, Redemption 1000/1 Ginge

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Re: Gingers Jumpers World (stayers Hurdle) Already advised My Way De Solzen £20 @ 14/1 but another one. £10 each way @ 20/1 (NRNB William Hill / Betfred) Kazal

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Already advised. 2:00 Cheltenham £22 @ 16/1 Pigeon Island 2:35 Cheltenham £27 @ 11/1 Thyne Again £25 @ 10/1 Ring The Boss 3:15 Cheltenham £80 @ 4/1 Sizing Europe MORE BETS 2:00 Cheltenham £30 @ 9/1 Khyber Kim (13% 13/2) £14 @ 11/1 Captain Cee Bee (12.5% 7/1) £5 @ 20/1 Pasco (6.25% 15/1) £4 @ 43/1 Blue Bajan (4.75% 20/1) £2 @ 149/1 Striking Article (1.5% 66/1) Have halfed the stakes of CaptainCB and Blue Bajan as any more significant rain would be against their chances. 2:35 Cheltenham A further £4 @ 10/1 (Stan James) Ring The Boss (12.5% 7/1) (making £29 in all) 3:15 Cheltenham £8 @ 35/1 Punjabi (3.75% 25/1) £13 @ 7/1 Harchibald (15.25% 11/2) (I make Sizing Europe a 15/8 chance so if you are not yet on then make that the main bet at 5/2). 4:00 Cheltenham £44 @ 6.4/1 An Accordian (18% 9/2) £20 @ 13/1 King Harald (9% 10/1) £19 @ 9/1 Monkerhostin (11.5% 15/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers The more I look at it the better Ring the boss looks so: 2:35 Cheltenham Another £6 @ 10/1 Ring The Boss

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 4:00 Cheltenham extra £10 @ 10/1 (Stan James) Monkerhostin

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Just a few words on my selections as time is tight. 2:00 Khyber Kim did not have many runs on the flat and it is possible he is best fresh. Excellent debut, beat Theatre Girl who goes for the non-novice mares race later on. With the rest (good bunch) nowhere. Hope it is not too windy as (like many of Hendersons) can get edgy. Captain Cee Bee has been “laid out for this”, trainer believes he is better on goodish ground. But it was on the soft side last time and he does have a roundish action. Blue Bajan is another not supposed to to like soft, but ran well enough in the Totesport on good-soft. One of the best flat horses in this field, should run better today with a proper jump jockey aboard (Richard Hughes at Newbury). Stable in unbelievable form. Pigeon Island, any other horse would be exposed by now after all his runs this season. But still seems to be progressing, runs well in big fields, won easier than winning margin suggests last time. Pasco, is a battler, won some fair novices at Newbury, is a good looking horse who should improve for a good while yet. Has a round action which should be suited to the percieved soft conditions. Striking Article looked a nice novice in the making until running badly last time, when trainers runners were all running like shires. Johnson is still to hit top form, but if (big IF) the horse is over it, could surprise a few at 150/1 +. 2:35 Noland could win this easily but on chase form so far is beatable. Softish ground may help him. Got outpaced in the 06 Supreme before staying on to win an excellent renewal. Jumps well, but just too short to back. Ring The Boss early season ran up a sequence of wins on soft ground in handicap company over hurdles. Had one run over fences, jumping well, almost beating Kruguyova in the Kingmaker at Warwick. Stable in cracking form and can improve past Krug. Thyne Again jumped better than usual last time when effortless winner of grade 2. If he jumps as well today back at 2m must go close. Acts well on soft. 3:15 Said enough. Just one thing. With Salford City coming out Osana could have his own way up front again. Now has a better chance than my workings out. 4:00 After studying this race I thought I would be against An Accordian. Often makes a mistake or two, not ideal for Chelters. But in a disappointing field he is the only one on the up. Stays well, probably had more in the tank last time (idled). Difficult for the handicapper to access. Monkerhostin ran respectably last time, back in December. Despite 11 stone 10 pounds is thrown in on some form. According to the R. Post has had a breathing operation since last seen. Has run well several times at the Festival. Stable in cracking form. Should go close if keeping his usual jumping errors to a minimum (rarely falls). King Harald Non Runner

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Seeing that about the wind op 4:00 Yet another £6 @ 9/1 (totesport) Monkerhostin

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 4:40 Cheltenham Wednesday Already on Ornais here but this is worth at least a saver £20 @ 10/1 (Betfred) Back On Line (12.5% 7/1) Get on now before the price goes.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Have already tipped it but if you are not yet on I suggest take the 9/2 now before it disappears with Totesport Tamarinbleu. I expect it to be more like 3/1 or 100/30 come the off.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 4:00 Cheltenham £28 @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes) County Zen (12% 7/1) Suggest backing this now as the price may not last.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:00 Cheltenham Already Advised £40 @ 6/1 Group Captain Now £30 @ 9/1 (Betfair) Breedsbreeze (13.5% 13/2) £10 @ 41/1 Majestic Concorde (5% 20/1) £6 @ 69/1 Lightning Strike (3% 33/1) £3 @ 31/1 Hold Em (4.5% 22/1) 2:35 Cheltenham £44 @ 6/1 (Betfair) Pomme Tiepy (18% 9/2) £13 @ 25/1 Roll Along (6.25% 15/1) £13 @ 5/1 Alberta's Run (18% 9/2) £5 @ 15/1 Joe Lively (8% 12/1) All the bets I had yesturday on Betfair for racing on Wednesday are now void

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Also Already Advised 3:15 Cheltenham £25 @ 12/1 Master Minded £40 @ 7/1 Tamarinbleu 4:40 Cheltenham £67 @ 5/1 Ornais (plus the Back On Line bet earlier) (And 4:00 County Zen bet earlier)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers All the bets I had on Betfair last night for racing today are now void. See Above. So will do more bets tonight on those races. First one. 12:30 Cheltenham £7 @ 13/1 Sandhurst (9% 10/1) Already Advised £67 @ 5/1 Ornais If you did not back Ornais originally, I advise this as the main bet. £20 @ 10/1 Back On Line In the 2:55 I have worked out my 100% book for both good-soft and good, with only one horse yet "value" on both goings. That just by 1%, so unless things change no bet as until tomorrow.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers World (Stayers) Hurdle Already Advised £20 @ 14/1 My Way De Solzen This should still be the main bet at around 11/1 if not taken yet. £10 each way @ 20/1 Kazal now £5 @ 74/1 Special Envoy (2.5% 40/1)

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 4:05 Cheltenham £22 @ 16/1 (corals, B365 and others) Mighty Matters (10% 9/1) Queen Mum Champion Chase Already Advised £25 @ 12/1 Master Minded £40 @ 7/1 Tamarinbleu Don't think there is any need for more bets, if you are not on yet, WHY ? Advise backing Tamarinbleu with a saver on Masterminded if more rain arrives. Or tother way round if no or insignificant rain. Ryanair Chase Already advised £44 @ 7/1 (NRNB) Tamarinbleu NON RUNNER SO MONEY BACK £45 @ 6/1 The Listener Have worked out my prices to 100% for both good and good-soft. The Listener comes out very good value at 4/1 on good-soft (my price to beat 11/4) but only just value if good (my price to beat 7/2).

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers Sun Alliance £50 @ 5/1 Alberta's Run 5/1

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Sun Alliance Contd. £11 @ 25/1 (Corals) Roll Along (5.25% 18/1) £13 @ 5/1 (generally) Pomme Tiepy (18% 9/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Another saver Bet in Stayers Hurdle £5 @ 9/1 (WH) Blazing Bailey (12% 15/2)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:15 Cheltenham £27 @ 9.5/1 Fire Dream (14% 6/1) £13 @ 2.25/1 Fire Dream (a place)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 12:30 Cheltenham Already Advised £31 @ 10/1 Labelthou still value at around 8/1 provided it does not dry up overnight. 1:05 Cheltenham Already Advised £40 @ 6/1 Group Captain Should be main bet at 5/1 if not already on. Now. £10 @ 37/1 Majestic Concorde (5% 20/1) £9 @ 64/1 Lightning Strike (4.5% 22/1) £3 @ 29/1 Hold Em (5% 20/1)