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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:40 Cheltenham Already Advised £28 @ 10/1 County Zen still should be the main bet at around 9/1. Now. £16 @ 16/1 Junior (8% 12/1) £9 @ 39/1 Superior Wisdom (4.5% 22/1) 3:15 Cheltenham Already Advised £45 @ 7/1 The Tother One should still be the main bet if it does not dry up too much overnight. £10 @ 6/1 Carruthers Now. £12 @ 23/1 What A Friend (7% 14/1) £3 @ 27/1 Hills Of Aran (5% 20/1)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers J, Has gone through my mind that Sizing Europe looks over priced at around 14/1. But I have asked quite a few bookies for a price and they tell me they won't offer one because of the injury. A pulled muscle does not sound too bad, if that is what it is. I wonder if it could be something a little more problematical. Anyway found another couple of bets for the Champion. £20 @ 50/1 (Stan James) Crack Away Jack If this horse was trained by a so called top trainer he would be less than half those odds. You might have to ask them for the price as it is yet to be "quoted". £10 @ 29/1 (Betfair) Ashkazaar Better than result of Fred Winter, did best of those to race prominently. Just a slight doubt in my mind whether his temperament will hold. Both horses are good looking individuals who should continue to improve. Will probably save on Sizing Europe once more is known.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Pre Cheltenham profit / loss 2:10 Newbury £133 @ 1.76/1 Alaghiraar 36.2% 7/4 -£133 Deficit 2:40 Newbury £36 @ 7.4/1 Pettifour 1st Return £302.40 £20 @ 18/1 Orion D'Oudaires 3rd cp 17.1% 5/1 cs £56 £246.40 Profit 3:15 Newbury £72 @ 3.6/1 Allure £16 @ 4.5/1 Brave Villa 3rd cp 39.9% 6/4 -£88 Deficit 3:50 Newbury £13 each way @ 16/1 Sir Laughalot 5.9% 16/1 -£26 Deficit 4:25 Newbury £40 @ 15/2 Ricardo's Chance 2nd 11.8% 15/2 -£40 Deficit Days Stakes £343, Days Return £302.40, Days Deficit £40.60 ---------- 2:40 Newbury £29 @ 9.5/1 Hidden Bounty £18 @ 18/1 Ossmoses £6 @ 12/1 Tana River £13 @ 8.2/1 Sir Rembrandt cp 33.3% 2/1 -£66 Deficit 3:15 Newbury £50 @ 6.4/1 Nevertika £10 @ 39/1 Mister McGoldrick £11 @ 8.2/1 Mister Heights £25 @ 2.9/1 Maljimar cp 52.5% 10/11 -£96 Deficit 3:30 Doncaster £100 @ 5/2 Mr Pointment 28.6% 5/2 -£100 Deficit Days Stakes £262, Return £0, Days Deficit £262 Newbury Weekend Stakes £605.00 Return £302.40 Deficit -£302.60 ---------- Pre Cheltenham Total Return £8581.33 Total Stakes £7572 Total Profit £1009.33 (13.33% profit) Avg bet per race £80.55 Avg price per race 3120.7 (33.2%) 2/1 Avg price per horse 237HB (13.2%) 13/2 Avg price per winner 643.5% 19.5% 4/1 33 winners in 94 races 35.1% Strike Rate

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Cheltenham Day One 2:00 Cheltenham £22 @ 16/1 (ante-post) Pigeon Island £30 @ 9/1 Khyber Kim £14 @ 11/1 Captain Cee Bee 1st Return £168.00 £5 @ 20/1 Pasco £4 @ 43/1 Blue Bajan £2 @ 149/1 Striking Ambition cp 33.1% 2/1 cs £77 £91 Profit 2:35 Cheltenham £27 @ 11/1 (ap) Thyne Again £25 @ 10/1 (ap) Ring The Boss £10 @ 10/1 Ring The Boss cp 17.4% 5/1 -£62 Deficit 3:15 Cheltenham £80 @ 4/1 (ap) Sizing Europe £13 @ 7/1 Harchibald £8 @ 35/1 Punjabi 3rd cp 35.3% 9/5 -£101 Deficit 4:00 Cheltenham £44 @ 6.4/1 An Accordian 1st Return £325.60 £25 @ 9/1 Monkerhostin £10 @ 10/1 Monkerhostin cp 23.2% 100/30 cs £79 £246.60 Profit Days Stakes £319, Days Return £493.60, Days Profit £174.60 Day two Cheltenham 12:30 Cheltenham £67 @ 5/1 (ap) Ornais £20 @ 10/1 Back On Line 2nd £10 @ 13/1 Sandhurst cp 32.9% 2/1 -£97 Deficit 1:05 Cheltenham £50 @ 5/1 Alberta's Run 1st Return £300 £11 @ 18/1 Roll Along 2nd £13 @ 5/1 Pomme Tiepy cp 38.7% 13/8 cs £74 £226 Profit Cheltenham £20 @ 14/1 (ap) My Way De Solzen £10 each way @ 20/1 (ap) Kazal 3rd Return £60 £5 @ 9/1 Blazing Bailey cp 21.5% 7/2 cs £45 £15 Profit Cheltenham £25 @ 12/1 (ap) Master Minded 1st Return £325 £40 @ 7/1 (ap) Tamarinbleu cp 20.2% 4/1 cs £65 £260 Profit Cheltenham £44 @ 7/1 (ap NRNB) Tamarinbleu non-runner Money Back £45 @ 6/1 (ap) The Listener 14.3% 6/1 -£45 Deficit Days Stakes £326, Days Return £685, Days Profit £359.00 Day three Cheltenham 12:30 Cheltenham £31 @ 10/1 (ap) Labelthou £37 @ 5/1 Theatre Girl cp 25.7% 3/1 -£68 Deficit 1:05 Cheltenham £36 @ 7/1 (ap) Group Captain £15 @ 9/1 Breedzbreese £10 @ 37/1 Majestic Concorde £9 @ 64/1 Lightning Strike £3 @ 29/1 Hold Em cp £31.7% 85/40 -£73 Deficit 1:40 Cheltenham £28 @ 10/1 (ap) County Zen £29 @ 9/1 Naiad Du Misselot 1st Return £290 £16 @ 16/1 Junior 3rd £9 @ 39/1 Superior Wisdom cp 27.5% 11/4 cs £82 £208 Profit 2:15 Cheltenham £27 @ 9.5/1 Fire Dream £13 @ 9/4 (place) Fire Dream 9.5% 10/1 -£40 Deficit 3:15 Cheltenham £45 @ 7/1 (ap) The Tother One 3rd £10 @ 6/1 (ap) Carruthers £12 @ 23/1 What A Friend £3 @ 27/1 Hills Of Aran cp 34.6% 15/8 -£70 Deficit 3:50 Cheltenham £15 each way @ 16/1 (ap) Exotic Dancer £9 each way @ 33/1 (ap) Halcon Genelardais £2 @ 41/1 Knowhere cp 11.3% 8/1 -£50 Deficit Days Stakes £383, Days Return £290, Days Deficit -£93.00 Cheltenham Festival Stakes £1028 Return £1468.60 Profit £440.60 (42.86%) Total Stakes £8600 Total Return £10049.93 Total Profit £1449.93 16.86% Profit On Stakes Avg bet per race £78.90 Avg price per race 3497.6 (32.1%) 85/40 Avg price per horse 280HB (12.5%) 7/1 Avg price per winner 699.7 (18.4%) 9/2 38 winners in 109 races 34.9%

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Re: Gingers Jumpers nice profit from Cheltenham. Your method of more than 1 in a race is the way to go. For 2 years now i back at least 2, maybe 3 or 4 in the same race, just split my stake. Saves having to say "i was gonna back that one"!! By the way, in those 2 years i have secured profit both years.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Have backed Nevada Royale in the 1:40 (evens) earlier but as it is now 0.75/1 can not advise a bet. 2:10 Newbury £50 @ 5.8/1 Prince De Buery (20% 4/1) £28 @ 10/1 Talenti (12.5% 7/1) £7 @ 12/1 Canalturn (10% 9/1) 2:40 Newbury £36 @ 9/1 Just For Men (15% 11/2) £10 @ 43/1 Historic Place (5% 20/1) £14 @ 4.3/1 Island Flyer (22% 7/2) £10 @ 6.6/1 Rustarix (15% 11/2) 4:25 Newbury £33 @ 8.4/1 Panjo Bere 8.4/1 (14% 6/1) £33 @ 6/1 Kings Revenge 6/1 (16.5% 5/1) Hopefully this race will not be ruined by the two favs being non-runners if the expected rains come. Both look best on good ground so are opposed.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:10 Dragon Eye probably deserves to be fav but I was at Fontwell when he was second. He did not look the easiest of rides. Seems to me as though temperamental horses rarely win when it is raining. Often back lady riders but Von Galen might need driving which is not Miss Davidsons style. Stable companion Prince Du Beury is crying out for this trip / test having stayed on really well last time, can improve today. Canalturn might have won a poorish race last time but for stumbling after the last. Could improve if as expected, the rains come. Have been looking for Talenti running over 2 ½ miles again. In my opinion he should improve for it (as long as it is not very soft, making it more like a 3 miler). Now around 18/1 to 20/1. Looks far too big. A market move for either the hurdling debutant Balybub or Rathmullen (who may do better in handicaps) could be significant. 2:40 Island Flyer is improving rapidly but has not had much experience. Could be taken on for the lead here with a few other front runners. If his jumping stands the test has obvious potential. Just For Men has improved for the switch to this stable, stays well and goes on good-soft and heavy. Rustarix has been outpaced at times in his races and may be able to improve upped 3f in trip. The one I like at a price is Historic Place, was travelling really well when a bad mistake ended his challenge 3 out on chasing debut here. Is 5lbs out of the handicap but is capable of better. Stable in good form and the more rain the better. I have some 49/1. My Immortal was fancied at Cheltenham but jumped poorly in blinkers. This looks an inadequate trip but had potential before that run and a market move could be significant. I'm Supreme improved to win a poorish race when upped to 3m last time. This is far more competitive and has often been in and out of form. 4:25 This looks a poor race for the money with most out of form, temperamental or good ground horses. One good ground horse Cortinus is already out and would not be surprised if “fav” Distiller comes does not run. Improved significantly on a sound surface last time and can be opposed at the price. Panjo Bere ran well last time, back from a short break. May be best fresh which is a worry but is worth chancing at the price. Kings Revenge ran o.k at Cheltenham in the County and has a useful 7lb claimer on board here. Is more consistent than most of these. If a market move comes for Motorway on his reappearance, it could be significant. Well handicapped on his form of a couple of years ago and lightly raced since. Only 1mm of rain overnight but I live about 15 miles away and it has not stopped raining this morning. I predict good-soft or even soft going.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers After a bad day at the "office" (Newbury racecourse), and possible heavy rain to come, have reduced stakes a bit today. 1:50 Newbury £43 @ 4.9/1 Quattrocento (23% 100/30) £7 @ 6.4/1 Fredo (15% 11/2) 2:20 Newbury £44 @ 4.6/1 Elvis Returns (22% 7/2) £16 @ 13/1 Keenans Future (11% 8/1) £7 @ 11/1 De Blanc (10% 9/1) £7 @ 11/1 Mort De Rive (10% 9/1) 2:55 Newbury £36 @ 6/1 Theatre Diva (17% 5/1) £22 @ 6.6/1 Scarvagh Diamond (15% 11/2) £7 @ 9/1 Miss Mitch (11.5% 15/2) 3:25 Newbury £30 @ 8/1 (paddy power) Katess (14% 6/1) £20 @ 12/1 Arctic Magic (11% 8/1) £14 @ 17.5/1 Dancing Dasi (8% 12/1) £6 @ 12/1 Cornerback (10% 9/1) 5:05 Newbury £38 @ 5.4/1 Coach Lane (20% 4/1) £13 @ 3/1 William Bonny (27% 11/4)

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 1:50 Qattrocento looks the obvious one, improved form last time and now the trainer is in better form can do so again. Fredo could run him close if staying the trip. John Dillon needs to improve but is possible. Power Shared might get a soft lead, have taken 27/1 but that price has gone. Genuine but should not be quite good enough to win. Special Day has been keeping better company than this but being upped 3f in trip and on soft going, probably won't stay. 2:20 Both Yardbird and Caribou seem better going right handed. Oneway showed signs of a return to form upped to 2 ½ miles last time. But 3m on soft, will he stay? Always Waining possibly better on good going, still in the National. Lucifer Bleu, Preacher Boy, St Matthew, I Hear Thunder all out of form. Mokum trainer out of form. Rimsky needs further. Keenans Future is interesting, on his best form can go close, soft ground could bring his stamina in to play. Have made it a good bet but now advise just a saver. Weak in the market after an absence. Elvis Returns will have to run well here if Comply Or Die is to run well in the National (2nd in Eider). Effective at this trip in testing conditions. De Blanc lightly raced, was up against it over what looked an inadequate trip last time. Would not be surprising to see improvement at today's distance. Runs well fresh and is from an in form stable. Mort De Rive like De Blanc ran over an inadequate trip last time and could improve. 2:55 This looks too short a trip for Back on Line, had a hard race last time too. Stable companion Theatre Diva has more improvement in her (needs to) but has the assistance of the best 7lb claimer around. French raider Souri Des Champs is short in the market for what she has done. Possibly flattered by beating a below form Theatre Diva. Also has a 5 lb claimer I don't rate. Classic Fiddle had excuses last time but his stable (as always) is not in as good form post Chelters. Scarvagh Diamond has definite potential and like many northern raiders looks over priced. Miss Mitch looked a mare of considerable merit early on at Wincanton, jumping well. Unseated rider on her next start and then given a confidence boosting run last time. If all is well can run well here. 3:25 This race is full of improving sorts. Castlecrossings is one of them but it is difficult to see why she should be fav. I saw Katess at Fontwell and was mightily impressed. Failed to produce that last time but made a bad mistake that day. Looks well over priced at 8/1 today. If Arctic Magic was from more fashionable connections she would be a lot shorter. Better than her form figures suggest and capable of better. Dancing Dasi comes from a yard in cracking form and on the upgrade. Cornerback had good bumper form and was not suited by the relative test of speed last time. Another Northerner priced up by Southern bookies. Amber Look, Jaunty Flight and Overbranch are other possible improvers. 5:05 In contrast to the 3:25, this has few horses in top form. Nous Voila, Offamont and Major Euro out of form. Young Collier not raced for 393 days. Tanikos only relents to race once in five. Darayl had good hurdle form but has not taken to fences, won a poor race last time and so far has jumped poorly. That leaves William Bonny who jumped better last time on unsuitably fast ground. All best form on soft and still has potential to improve (built for chasing) if jumping o.k. again. Coach Lane is from an in form yard and may not have the improvement of William Bonny but is more consistant. Suited by 2m on soft.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 3:10 Aintree £100 @ 1.7/1 Celestial Halo (42% 11/8) Am reducing stakes of any horse tomorrow that ran at Cheltenham, with a question about how much it took out of them. 3:45 Aintree £55 @ 4.2/1 Thisthatandtother (25% 3/1) £18 @ 15.5/1 Scots Grey (9% 10/1) This race is a bit of a guess as I do not know much about point to point form but there are reasons for backing these two which I will go in to later.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Error. That 24/1 Ela Rae should have read 29/1 (was looking at the wrong horse Calatagan when writing it down). More bets 2:00 Aintree £15 @ 6.6/1 Blazing Bailey (15% 11/2) £2 @ 99/1 Kawagino (2% 50/1) Inglis Drever I rate as a 45% 6/5 shot. Anyone who does not like baking short priced horses might consider backing these two with a saver on Inglis.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:00 Inglis Drever has a poor record around Aintree and I thought I was going to oppose him. Had this been Cheltenham or Newbury I would've made him around a 60 to 62% chance (4/6 to 8/13). He has a much less chance here but the bookies have surely over reacted. There is no Mighty Man in the field this year, no Kasbah Bliss or Kazal either. Millenium Royal has some good handicap form but is very inconsistent. Blazing Bailey is interesting in first time blinkers but needs to turn round a 12 ½ length beating. Has never finished in front of the Wylie monster at level weights. Still, is some value there at 13/2. Can not see any other World hurdle rival with much of a chance. Kicks For Free is improving and another Nicholls inmate turned around by a breathing op. Does not seem to be crying out to be upped in trip. Ruby rode him last time at 2 ½ miles as though worried about the trip. A lot will depend on the pace, a slowly run race could play in to his hands. Gaspara and Ballyfitz would have no chance in a slowly run race so is unlikely. There are bits and pieces of form to suggest Kawagino has a squeak. Possibly unreliable form but at the price is worth a couple of quid. Ran well at Kempton under a big weight (2m5f, heavy). That suggests a sharp 3m may be within his boundaries. Has been disappointing since but Seamus Mullins is in much better form now. 2:35 Kauto Star was well below form in the Gold Cup and did not appear to fail for lack of stamina. Beaten too far out for that, form just as good as his win in the race. Could be a matter of not being as good at Cheltenham but there must be a question whether he will be able to bounce back. Exotic Dancer ran even worse making numerous mistakes. Jonjo is in much better form and ED does always need a run after a break (as in GC) but is asking a lot. Monets Garden loves it here but there is a question about whether he will stay a truly run 3m1f. May not be truly run anyway, the other possible pace setter Our Vic would not want a stiff test either. Has a lot to make up on an in form Kauto. Our Vic got a deserved win at Cheltenham in first time blinkers, but everything went right there. Given an easy lead and able to get several lengths clear before his customary weak finish. Might get another easy lead here but will blinkers work again? Stable not in such good form now. Gungadu comes here fresh (the only one not to run at Cheltenham). Won the Racing Post under a big weight. Not far behind most of his rivals on form and is still improving. Worth an each way even with only first two counting. 3:10 Looks a match. Binocular travelled so well at Cheltenham to suggest an easier track might suit. But is quite sparely made, a second race in quick succession could find him out. Though I did here from assistant trainer Jamie Snowdon that he did not lose much weight. Nicky Henderson as usual is not in the same form post Cheltenham. Celestial Halo may not have the speed of Binnocular but can make it a good test at the trip to negate that. Another quick race is a worry for him too but is a much bigger type than his main rival, sort to go on improving. Did “bounce” at Doncaster though. Harper Valley beat Franchoek getting weight earlier in the year before that one improved in to the horse he is now. Would not want any more rain. Star Of Angels should give Harper Valley a race for third. Much improved last time but needs to again and may not be straightforward. 3:45 Have not done much study here but Thisthatandtother only needs to put up a performance within 20 lbs of last seasons form to win. Has not always impressed me with his attitude but has run well over these fences before (usually jumps well). Would not need to improve that much on even this years form to win here. Was going to avoid Scots Grey this year (was my last bet in a hunter chase in this last year). But I went to another West Berkshire Racing Club talk, where his rider told us that he got struck in to on reappearance, so ignore that run. Came back with a fair cut. Usually jumps well somewhere near the lead and may be difficult to peg back if age is not catching up with him. 4:20 This looks even more open than the betting suggests. Can not make my mind up if Andreas barely stays 2m or is just a weak finisher, if the former stands a good chance here. Sure to travel well again. Wanago looked good at Uttoxeter but that was a muddling race, could improve thogh. Lennon will be suited by the sharp 2m, has plenty of pace. Normally a front runner, tracked the pace when a good second at Doncaster. Trainer could still be in a bit better form and what happens to Inglis could be significant. A possible improver but with my real name, I have great difficulty backing it. Calatagan, improving, looks over priced on his run at Cheltenham. Finished ahead of Andreas yet is a much bigger price. Leslingtaylor is a probable improver but the handicapper seems to have taken no chances with his win against Tidal Bay. Goes well on good ground. Bambi De Lorme usually finds one or two too good. Greenhope could be well handicapped on last years Grand Annual form. Ran well for a long way on his first start since May, after a breathing op. Comes here fresher than most. Almaydan ran better than the result suggests last time, still had a chance despite numerous mistakes. Robert Thornton takes over today. Magic Sky also ran in the Grand Annual where an uncharacteristic error ended his chance. Fairly handicapped on his Ascot form, a truly run race could play in to his hands at a big price. Held up, there are plenty of prominent runners here to ensure a good pace. Ela Rae looks the best value in the race. Most progressive for his in form trainer. Goes well for claimer T. Collier. Is a more competitive race but is genuine and consistent. If I only had one bet it would be this one each way. Dev is another improver but his jockey seems to want to lead. With other front runners in the race I've made him a saver.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers Franchoek has the best chance and should improve upped to 2m4f but looks a little too short in the market. Stable companion Group Captain sweated up before the Ballymore, made a mistake early and on and off the bridle. Ran well on form even so. With blinkers on today and if he behaves beforehand, should see a different horse. Nothing prior to last time suggested any temperament. Elusive Dream went for home too far out against condition hurdlers in the National Spirit. Is a bit quirky but should run well, fresh after missing Cheltenham. Whiteoak won the mares race but it did not look a great field. Again is a bit quirky (high head carriage) and seems a little short in the market.

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2:00 Aintree £44 @ 4.6/1 Big BuckS (23% 100/30) £26 @ 1.72/1 Alberta's Run (40% 6/4) 3:45 Aintree £22 @ 13.5/1 Kenzo3rd (10% 9/1) £15 @ 20/1 Mighty Matters (7.75% 12/1) £23 @ 9/1 Gwanako (11.5% 15/2) £7 @ 9/1 Pak Jack (11% 8/1) £3 @ 31/1 Randwick Roar (4.75% 20/1) 4:20 Aintree £44 @ 7.2/1 Greenbridge (18% 9/2) £3 @ 33/1 Songe (4.25% 22/1)

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