harry_rag Posted May 1, 2023 Share Posted May 1, 2023 Leicester to win, >1 goal and Barnes to score at 9/2 Same bet at 17/4 with Hills minus the total goals bit (which added nothing to the price). £5 matched bet builder with them on this game. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 Looks like no game tonight but I'll probably have a pop at Arsenal v Chelsea. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 I'll offer the relatively obvious Arsenal to win, >2 goals and Martinelli to score at 15/4 (4.94 at Hills with the daily boost). Arsenal 4 games without a win now but no shortage of goals, fancied to have the beating of Chelsea at the moment. Arsenal's form would support the notion of btts = yes but Chelsea's strongly steers towards the >2 goals option. Martinelli as hot as anyone for Arsenal at the moment. Saka, Jesus and Odegaard all have reasoanble claims as well. Used fiver freebie with Hills on Saka and Martinelli both scoring at 9/1. (Landed in 6 of the 33 games they've both started.) alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 2, 2023 Share Posted May 2, 2023 3 hours ago, harry_rag said: I'll offer the relatively obvious Arsenal to win, >2 goals and Martinelli to score at 15/4 (4.94 at Hills with the daily boost). Martinelli not starting so all selections should be void. Swap him for Saka at 4/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 3, 2023 Share Posted May 3, 2023 19 hours ago, harry_rag said: Martinelli not starting so all selections should be void. Swap him for Saka at 4/1. Doh, learnt a lesson last night; player stats bets are voided if the player doesn't start (shots/SoT etc.) but goalscorer bets stand as per usual rules so if the player comes on the bet stands. I'll check but I'm pretty sure they don't offer the void if not starting offer on BB's in which case it's a matter of treading cautiously with goalscorer bets prior to confirmed line ups. Man City v West Ham tonight. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 3, 2023 Share Posted May 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, harry_rag said: I'll check but I'm pretty sure they don't offer the void if not starting offer on BB's They do! Could have saved myself a few quid if I'd spotted that (not too much given the stakes allowed). So take the "void" option if including a goalscorer (won't be there for shots as voided automatically). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 3, 2023 Share Posted May 3, 2023 9 minutes ago, harry_rag said: They do! Could have saved myself a few quid if I'd spotted that (not too much given the stakes allowed). So take the "void" option if including a goalscorer (won't be there for shots as voided automatically). Turns out I was essentially right in the first place! The option is only available for single bets, you can't select it for a BB. So if you add a player first you can select the "void" option but if you try and add any other selections it will only allow you to bet singles. If you add the components at the accumulated odds there's no option to choose void. So shots bets can be placed secure in the knowledge that they'll be voided if the player doesn't start but scorer bets run the risk of standing if the player comes on as a sub. Got a bet lined up for tonight that is available at over 2/1 but has a 66.66% strike rate so far this season. It's line up dependent though! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 3, 2023 Share Posted May 3, 2023 10 points on Man City to win and Haaland and Alvarez to score at 9/4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 3, 2023 Share Posted May 3, 2023 Mahrez a system bet for me at a best price of 21/10 with Hills. As they're doing a fiver matched BB offer on the game I'll do the same bet with him instead of Alvarez at 16/5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 3, 2023 Author Share Posted May 3, 2023 Man City FT / HT > 4 goals at 10/3 Super boost Haaland to score, > 2 goals 3/4 to 11/10 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 No game tonight as far as I can see. Will see if anything appeals in the Man U game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 1 hour ago, harry_rag said: No game tonight as far as I can see. Will see if anything appeals in the Man U game. Seem to be knocking it on the head might be losing to much harry_rag and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 7 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said: Seem to be knocking it on the head might be losing to much Not sure about that, it doesn't seem to be every day anyway and this is a relatively quiet Thursday. Might be a budget of so many a week or so many per month. I think we'll have to wait till next season to see if there's a real change in approach. Makes no odds to me beyond tending to look at the game that the offer applies to but it's obviously a valuable offer for many. I'm sure they have a clear idea of how much it costs them/makes them in the long run. It's a bit like a drug dealer giving away freebies outside the school gates. One assumes many will get hooked and give plenty of money back. Most won't be like us, pocketing the sample and selling it on to the other kids! If we assume a substantial body of losing customers placing several BBs a day then it's probably no big deal to give them a 25% boost on a few games. Any punters who are closer to break even or profitable will obviously appear in the debit column. LEE-GRAYS and MCLARKE 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 One for tonight for interest and to use the freebie from last night. Channelling the RP preview I've gone for >1 Brighton 2nd half goal and >2 Man U cards in the game at 4/1. (No need for 3 components with the offer not being a factor.) Brighton to score in the second half is the fancy, twice is pushing it but happy with the risk/reward reflected in the odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 2 hours ago, harry_rag said: Not sure about that, it doesn't seem to be every day anyway and this is a relatively quiet Thursday. Might be a budget of so many a week or so many per month. I think we'll have to wait till next season to see if there's a real change in approach. Makes no odds to me beyond tending to look at the game that the offer applies to but it's obviously a valuable offer for many. I'm sure they have a clear idea of how much it costs them/makes them in the long run. It's a bit like a drug dealer giving away freebies outside the school gates. One assumes many will get hooked and give plenty of money back. Most won't be like us, pocketing the sample and selling it on to the other kids! If we assume a substantial body of losing customers placing several BBs a day then it's probably no big deal to give them a 25% boost on a few games. Any punters who are closer to break even or profitable will obviously appear in the debit column. I also think a lot of punters will look at the Boost button and think the offer has already been applied, rather than clicking it. It's very sneaky and very clever how Bet365 have designed it. I wonder what % of punters are actually pressing the boost button? I'm sure it's below 90%. Torque and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: I also think a lot of punters will look at the Boost button and think the offer has already been applied, rather than clicking it. It's very sneaky and very clever how Bet365 have designed it. I wonder what % of punters are actually pressing the boost button? I'm sure it's below 90%. Wow, that's an astonishing prediction! I can't really comment having never seen it but I'd be interested to see a screenshot. I can't believe it's so cryptic that more than, say, 20% of punters would fall foul of it but I'll review my guess when I've seen what it looks like! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted May 4, 2023 Share Posted May 4, 2023 1 minute ago, harry_rag said: Wow, that's an astonishing prediction! I can't really comment having never seen it but I'd be interested to see a screenshot. I can't believe it's so cryptic that more than, say, 20% of punters would fall foul of it but I'll review my guess when I've seen what it looks like! I was just surmising. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 5, 2023 Author Share Posted May 5, 2023 16 hours ago, harry_rag said: Wow, that's an astonishing prediction! I can't really comment having never seen it but I'd be interested to see a screenshot. I can't believe it's so cryptic that more than, say, 20% of punters would fall foul of it but I'll review my guess when I've seen what it looks like! I like to think I'm quite switched on but I've forgotten to press it a few times harry_rag and LEE-GRAYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 5, 2023 Author Share Posted May 5, 2023 No football today but there is one on the racing in the 3.30 at Newmarket I've gone for Final Watch at 7/2, if nothing else you could lay it on Betfair and make a guaranteed small profit harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 5, 2023 Author Share Posted May 5, 2023 Liverpool v Brentford tomorrow harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 6, 2023 Author Share Posted May 6, 2023 Superboost Man City v Leeds Haaland > 1.5 SOT, > 2 goals Also Newmarket 2.50, I've gone with Tanmawwy at 11/2 alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted May 6, 2023 Share Posted May 6, 2023 I'm not sure how much longer Haaland will play in the second half, Man City are playing Real on Tuesday so I suspect they will want to rest him. Hopefully he will stay on long enough to have another SOT. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted May 6, 2023 Share Posted May 6, 2023 OK just need another goal now 🤞 harry_rag and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 6, 2023 Share Posted May 6, 2023 Gone for one at the more speculative end of the spectrum for today. Liverpool to win and Salah and Toney both to score at 9/1. MCLARKE and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 7, 2023 Author Share Posted May 7, 2023 West Ham v Man Utd today Superboost on 1000 Guineas + bet £10 on the 1.15 and get a £10 free bet on the 1000 guineas harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 7, 2023 Share Posted May 7, 2023 Not committing till line ups are confirmed but thinking Rashford to score, btts = yes and >1 Man U card at 4/1 at the moment. Got Rashford SoT at evens with Lads (fiver max) via the "fanzone" promotion. MCLARKE and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted May 7, 2023 Share Posted May 7, 2023 1 hour ago, harry_rag said: Not committing till line ups are confirmed but thinking Rashford to score, btts = yes and >1 Man U card at 4/1 at the moment. Got Rashford SoT at evens with Lads (fiver max) via the "fanzone" promotion. Rashford is starting 👍 harry_rag and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted May 7, 2023 Share Posted May 7, 2023 23 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: Rashford is starting 👍 Gone for that. alexcaruso808 and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted May 7, 2023 Share Posted May 7, 2023 oh well, maybe next time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 8, 2023 Author Share Posted May 8, 2023 NOTTM FOREST V SOUTHAMPTON tonight Forest 19/20 favourite Price boost Sam Hoskins (whoever he is) to score at any time TRANMERE V NORTHAMPTON 11/10 to 6/4 alexcaruso808 and harry_rag 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.