harry_rag Posted April 19, 2023 Share Posted April 19, 2023 I can see City winning with Bayern chasing the game but as they can lose and still qualify I'm staying away from the result for the main pick. >2.5 goals, btts = yes and Haaland >1 SoT at 17/10 will do. In the absence of the boost I've taken 19/10 elsewhere. Hills have enhanced City win, Btts = yes and Haaland to score to 9/2 and that's just about big enough to tempt me. (It's 4/1 with 365 if you wanted an alternative bet for the boost). In the Inter/Benfica game I've gone >2.5 goals, btts = yes and 40+ booking points at 3.29. alexcaruso808 and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted April 19, 2023 Share Posted April 19, 2023 3 hours ago, MCLARKE said: 25% price boost on the 1.50 at Newmarket today, ELWASME is 4/1 and BET365 are offering the best price on this I took that. Came nowhere. Still worth it though. MCLARKE and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 19, 2023 Share Posted April 19, 2023 48 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Hills have enhanced City win, Btts = yes and Haaland to score to 9/2 and that's just about big enough to tempt me. (It's 4/1 with 365 if you wanted an alternative bet for the boost). I make it that the bet would have landed in 11 out of 38 games that Haaland has started this season which equates to odds of 3.45. I'm not saying that's representative of the true odds for this game but at least it reassures me it's not the most muggish bet I've ever chucked money at! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 19, 2023 Author Share Posted April 19, 2023 5 minutes ago, Torque said: I took that. Came nowhere. Still worth it though. Yep disappointing but in effect we got 5/1 for a 7/2 chance You won't fo far wrong long term with value like that Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 19, 2023 Share Posted April 19, 2023 Just noticed Boro and our mate Akpom are playing. Gone Boro HT-FT and Akpom to score at 9/4 with 888. I also think Hills 4/1 for Akpom 1st goal is worth a fiver. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 19, 2023 Author Share Posted April 19, 2023 Man City HT / FT + > 1 goal at 3/1 This bet is still showing over 100% ROI I need a win to cover my lucky 15 losses ! Also super boost Haaland to score 5/6 to 6/4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 19, 2023 Share Posted April 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: This bet is still showing over 100% ROI "This bet" being backing the fav? 100% ROI without the boost? Over how many matches? Be good if you could post a table with an update from time to time. Hopefully we won't "frighten the horses" too much with bit of technical discussion in this thread! On the subject of L15s, do any of the bookies who you can get a bonus with allow it on sports bets as well or is it just racing? I'm thinking there's another thread to be started if "we" can do one on footy bets with the bonus. LEE-GRAYS and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 19, 2023 Author Share Posted April 19, 2023 28 minutes ago, harry_rag said: "This bet" being backing the fav? 100% ROI without the boost? Over how many matches? Be good if you could post a table with an update from time to time. Hopefully we won't "frighten the horses" too much with bit of technical discussion in this thread! It's actually all FT / HT over 1 goal scenarios Fot the fav it is 10 from 21 with a 91% ROI, the 2nd fav is 4 from 21 with a 129% ROI All figures include the boost Not sure if any bookie offers the bonus other than the accumulator bonus which is only worth about 1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 19, 2023 Author Share Posted April 19, 2023 Haaland missed penalty looks to have buggered all my bets tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 19, 2023 Author Share Posted April 19, 2023 He's redeemed himself a bit, limits my loss to £5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 19, 2023 Author Share Posted April 19, 2023 Sevilla v Man Utd tomorrow harry_rag and alexcaruso808 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Right last day so far out £8 in £0 😢if I get one up in conference tonight will get small profit nice if I could get 2 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 I think I will go for over 3 cards, BTTS, over 7.5 shots for man utd, over 2 goals. I will probably choose a player shots option, although will wait for Harry's opinion on this one. LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 @LEE-GRAYS & @MCLARKE - i see there is a winnings boost for the 1.50 Newmarket. Any horses you fancy for this? I haven't really been following racing for a while. Changing Colours is the favourite at 3.75, although not sure if it's the favourite because it's Appleby trained horse. LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 59 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: I will probably choose a player shots option, although will wait for Harry's opinion on this one. Oh ye of too much faith! No joy last night, could have done with trading a goal in the Inter game for a card from the City game! Haaland missing a pen didn't help. Boro blitzed Hull and Akpom scored but they waited till half time to get going. Mentioned the merits of the 25% boost to my mate who gets it with Uni and he popped his cherry with a win on Haaland 2+ SoT, Coman 1+ SoT and btts. A winner then 2 losers since the weekend so 10 from 25 so far. £500 staked (£20 max per boosted bets), return to initial odds = £591 for a £91 profit with an ROI of 18.2%. Return with winnings boost applied = £688.75 for a £188.75 profit with an ROI of 37.75%. My real money P/L is £22.18 from 58 bets (365 offer or not) so at least the exercise isn't costing me money so far! As it's more fun than my attempts at mining a profit from short priced selections over in the Glory Hunt section I'll be carrying on for the foreseeable. MCLARKE and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Aww 1 hour ago, alexcaruso808 said: @LEE-GRAYS & @MCLARKE - i see there is a winnings boost for the 1.50 Newmarket. Any horses you fancy for this? I haven't really been following racing for a while. Changing Colours is the favourite at 3.75, although not sure if it's the favourite because it's Appleby trained horse. nope MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 20, 2023 Author Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 hour ago, alexcaruso808 said: i see there is a winnings boost for the 1.50 Newmarket. Any horses you fancy for this? I haven't really been following racing for a while. Changing Colours is the favourite at 3.75, although not sure if it's the favourite because it's Appleby trained horse. I didn't see it today and only just seen your post. I suspect I wouldn't have picked that winner at 28/1 ! alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 14 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: I didn't see it today and only just seen your post. I suspect I wouldn't have picked that winner at 28/1 ! That would have made a nice profit if the winnings boost was applied! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 I'll go with btts = yes, both teams shown a card and Antony >2 shots at 2/1 On that at 9/4 elsewhere Had a fiver on the same bet but with Antony to score instead of the shots at 8.16 with Hills (generates a matched free bet) In the West Ham game I've done btts = yes with Orban and Cuypers both to have a SoT at 11/4. If Gent score it's odds on that it will be one of those two. Good luck guys. MCLARKE, alexcaruso808 and LEE-GRAYS 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 39 minutes ago, harry_rag said: I'll go with btts = yes, both teams shown a card and Antony >2 shots at 2/1 On that at 9/4 elsewhere Had a fiver on the same bet but with Antony to score instead of the shots at 8.16 with Hills (generates a matched free bet) In the West Ham game I've done btts = yes with Orban and Cuypers both to have a SoT at 11/4. If Gent score it's odds on that it will be one of those two. Good luck guys. Do you mean Antony shots on shots on target? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 minute ago, alexcaruso808 said: Do you mean Antony shots on shots on target? Just shots. I'm not sure what a shot on shot on target would be. Especially accurate perhaps! alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Just shots. I'm not sure what a shot on shot on target would be. Especially accurate perhaps! 😂😂😂😂😂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 It's actually a new option on Bet365 😅 MCLARKE and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 20, 2023 Author Share Posted April 20, 2023 Cutting it a bit fine time wise tonight Man U FT / HT > 1 goal 3/1 Super boost Martial + Antony > 0.5 SOT 1/1 to 6/4 alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 12 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: Right last day so far out £8 in £0 😢if I get one up in conference tonight will get small profit nice if I could get 2 Had 4 running into last 5 mins on the 20.00 k/o not to be btts over 7 corners would’ve paid nice out £24 in £0 😢⚒👍 alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 United let us down . Arsenal v Southampton tomorrow. I MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Regression to the mean kicking in! alexcaruso808 and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted April 20, 2023 Author Share Posted April 20, 2023 Although another success for the over 1 goal, wrong team though ! alexcaruso808 and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 minute ago, MCLARKE said: Although another success for the over 1 goal, wrong team though ! I think btts = no is landing quite often as well! alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, harry_rag said: I think btts = no is landing quite often as well! trouble is, when you choose btts = no, you can be assured both teams will go on a scoring spree 🤣 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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