richard-westwood Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 638 hay Hyperfocus 8.6 3.9 Cuban breeze 8.3 15/2 Oso rapido 7.7 4pt win hyper ... 2pt win Cuban The Equaliser, Clocker, MCLARKE and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted June 30, 2022 Author Share Posted June 30, 2022 708 hay Lil guff 8.8 9/2 The Dunkirk lads 8.5 11/2 Lil guff will be more at home on the soft so I'll go ew on that one 5pt ew The Equaliser, black rabbit and alexcaruso808 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 Sha Tin 6:00 G One Excellent @ 4.80 6:30 E Brother @ 3.30 7:00 Bourbonaire @ 3.60 Celestial Power @ 3.40 (to be placed 1-2-3) 7:30 Mission Smart @ 4.60 Winwin Thirtythree @ 3.20 8:00 Amazing Rocky @ 4.80 8:30 Stunning Impact @ 3.40 9:05 Master Eight @ 4.00 10:15 Looking Cool @ 5.50 10:50 Sakewin @ 3.20 good luck all! richard-westwood, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tumbleweed King Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 A good winner yesterday in Skittlebombs (BOG 9/1) was followed by sheer frsutration as all three horses nominated for the treble finished in second place. Captain Winters also found one too strong as he was second at Haydock. Some good looking racing coming today with decent cards at Doncaster, Newton Abbott and Sandown. 1-35 Doncaster Youarenotforgiven had his first run for Tony Carroll last time. He is fully entitled to improve for that run and has to be high on any shortlist given that he finished a creditable second of eight runners in handicap at Nottingham just 18 days ago. He had shown precious little for Jamie Osborne in three previous starts so the fact he ran so well first time out for new connections gives hope that he can improve once more. Ray Dawson has been having his fair share of winners lately and he has already partnered a handful of winners for this stable this year. Youarenotforgiven remains unexposed and is capable of more. 2-00 Newton Abbott Ami Des Flots had her first run for Kim Bailey having left the Bernard Martin stable. She clearly benefitted from the move to the new yard as she was an excellent second at Ffos Las over two miles four weeks ago. She will be suited by this step up in trip and will hold major claims given that she is such an unknown quantity against these. The Fergal O’Brien trained Pop The Champagne who beat her on that last occasion has gone on to win again at Worcester giving the form a timely boost. Likely to be prominent from the outset, David Bass will be trying the best he can to improve on that game effort last time. 2-10 Doncaster Sea On Time confirmed the promise that she displayed on debut when readily getting off the mark over an extended 1m3f at Haydock a couple of weeks ago. The Willie Haggas trained filly remains open to further improvement and she is hard to oppose, despite carrying a 6lb penalty. Stevie Donohoe replaces Cieren Fallon in the saddle but this daughter of Sea The Stars is expected to progress again. The trainer has a near 30% strike rate at Doncaster with his runners so the fact she turns up here is noteworthy. The jockey also nearly has a 30% strike rate when riding for the trainer so everything points to a huge run. 2-45 Doncaster (Treble) Mostly Cloudy arrives in search of a four-timer, having gone up almost two stone in the process. It would be no surprise if the son of Harzand had further progression to come after his latest victory at Nottingham where he won by an easy five lengths when defeating Pons Aelius. The runner up has come out and run well again to give the form a slight boost as he finished in the same position in a subsequent race at Newcastle just last week. Staying is clearly his forte and a further nine-pound hike in the ratings may not prove enough to stop him over a longer distance which promises to suit. NAP 3-20 Doncaster Jawwaal has been dropped a further two pounds in the ratings and is beginning to look as though he could be dangerously well handicapped. He is now two-pounds below his last winning mark and he is a multiple course and distance winner. He does need to reverse recent form with Burning Cash but they may not be an impossible task as Jawwaal now receives weight from his old rival as opposed to giving him some. If Michael Dods can get him back to his best, he could prove lethal here. 3-30 Sandown (Treble) Golden Voice looks to be improving all the time and the form of his head success over the course and distance on his most recent start was boosted when the fourth, Auditor, came out and won readily at Newmarket almost a fortnight later. A five-pound rise looks manageable for the three-year-old son of Havana Gold and William Haggas' charge looks as though he has the right temperament to go in again. 4-30 Doncaster Idoapologise has been out in the wilderness for a long time since his last win back in 2020 but he was narrowly denied over this course and distance on his most recent appearance. He has been dropped a further pound in the weights by the handicapper and with the ground fully in his favour, it would be of no great surprise to see him go well once again. Ben Robinson has ridden him on numerous occasions in the past and can atone for that most recent defeat here. 4-50 Newton Abbot (Treble) Nelsons Rock made a successful chase debut over the course and distance last month, jumping soundly. He seems sure to do better today and a five-pound rise may not stop him going in again. That was only his second run following a four-month break and it seems as though the step up in trip to three-and-a-quarter miles really brought out the best in him. Brendan Powell retains the ride on the seven-year-old gelding and with no going concerns, he has to be of obvious interest. Clocker, The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) rumstat 1 50 san 1/5 pt win 33/1 cold stare 6 38 hay 1/5 pt win 11/1 Edited July 1, 2022 by black rabbit selections The Equaliser, Wildgarden, richard-westwood and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 13 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 708 hay Lil guff 8.8 9/2 The Dunkirk lads 8.5 11/2 Lil guff will be more at home on the soft so I'll go ew on that one 5pt ew Lil guff non runner .....no bet on race as Dunkirk has questions about softer ground ? The Equaliser, Bang on and black rabbit 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Le Doyen Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 D 1.00 Nikkis Girl 13/2 Caleta Sunrise 10/1 Both 4 Plcs + rev fc black rabbit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 25 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Lil guff non runner .....no bet on race as Dunkirk has questions about softer ground ? I find it fascinating as to why True Jem did not figure in your ratings? It is also interesting that its price hasn't changed much overnight despite the withdrawal of Lil Guff. One can still get 5/2 with William Hill. Tothenines looks interesting from a market movement point of view azzybear and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 10 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said: Sha Tin 6:00 G One Excellent @ 4.80 6:30 E Brother @ 3.30 7:00 Bourbonaire @ 3.60 Celestial Power @ 3.40 (to be placed 1-2-3) 7:30 Mission Smart @ 4.60 Winwin Thirtythree @ 3.20 8:00 Amazing Rocky @ 4.80 8:30 Stunning Impact @ 3.40 9:05 Master Eight @ 4.00 10:15 Looking Cool @ 5.50 10:50 Sakewin @ 3.20 good luck all! Results. Sha Tin 6:00 G One Excellent @ 4.80 - 3rd 6:30 E Brother @ 3.30 - 9th 7:00 Bourbonaire @ 3.60 - 1st ? Celestial Power @ 3.40 (to be placed 1-2-3) 9th 7:30 Mission Smart @ 4.60 - 7th Winwin Thirtythree @ 3.20 4th 8:00 Amazing Rocky @ 4.80 12th 8:30 Stunning Impact @ 3.40 - 3rd 9:05 Master Eight @ 4.00 - 6th 10:15 Looking Cool @ 5.50 6th 10:50 Sakewin @ 3.20 - 3rd --- Not good at all. There were quite a lot of big-priced winners, horses I didn't even consider and horses that the tipsters for the South China Morning Post didn't even consider. I think it may have been to do with the fact the ground was yielding, and indeed quite a few of the lighter horses won. Anyway, that's me done with Hong Kong racing for a while. ? The Equaliser and black rabbit 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 45 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: I find it fascinating as to why True Jem did not figure in your ratings? It is also interesting that its price hasn't changed much overnight despite the withdrawal of Lil Guff. One can still get 5/2 with William Hill. Tothenines looks interesting from a market movement point of view Sometimes the computer spots something ....could be conditions....weight ...anything and rates it lower accordingly ....true gem is best on ground now so most likely winner but if Dunkirk can take ti ground he could win but no guarantees so left alone The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) 39 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Sometimes the computer spots something ....could be conditions....weight ...anything and rates it lower accordingly ....true gem is best on ground now so most likely winner but if Dunkirk can take ti ground he could win but no guarantees so left alone Thanks. I'll have a small interest in Dunkirk. little point in having a saver on True Jem Haha, I bottled . 1 pt win on Dunkirk at 8.0 & saver 1 pt win on True Jem at 4.1 Edited July 1, 2022 by The Equaliser richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) Having a 1 pt win on Emily Post at 3.8 in the 1.00 at Doncaster. Alethiometer should beat it at the weights but it is hard to back Michael Dods horses at present when they seem to be so out of form Alethometer wins. Perhaps Michael Dods is back now Edited July 1, 2022 by The Equaliser azzybear and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 1 hour ago, alexcaruso808 said: Not good at all. There were quite a lot of big-priced winners, horses I didn't even consider and horses that the tipsters for the South China Morning Post didn't even consider. I think it may have been to do with the fact the ground was yielding, and indeed quite a few of the lighter horses won. Anyway, that's me done with Hong Kong racing for a while. ? Remember the early months of the pandemic when we only had Hong Kong ........ we could hardly find a winner between us I just think it's difficult racing ...... lots of 14 runner handicaps with horses, trainers and jockeys that you don't know much about It's a bit pin-sticker ! MCLARKE, alexcaruso808, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clocker Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) First post, fingers crossed... Bellewstown 5.28 MY MINERVINA 8-1 Edited July 1, 2022 by Clocker yossa6133, richard-westwood, LeMale and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Just now, Clocker said: First post, fingers crossed... Bellewstown 5.28 MY MINERVA 8-1 Welcome and good luck ! alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Clocker said: First post, fingers crossed... Bellewstown 5.28 MY MINERVA 8-1 Welcome to Punters Lounge, I hope that you will be successful and stay a while with us alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Clocker said: First post, fingers crossed... Bellewstown 5.28 MY MINERVA 8-1 Welcome to the forum Clocker ! ? alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clocker Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 Thanks guys, not a great way to start with a spelling mistake. ? alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 2 for this evening at Haydock, 5.33 Hay - Quavering - 7/2 - First time in a handicap, trainer Ralph Beckett is in excellent form (7 wins, 5 placed from 28 runners). Three runs at amile as a 2yo to get handicapped, now steps up to 1m2f. Has been gelded. decent jockey booked (20% at course ... 38% when teamed up with trainer). 6.38 Hay - Mighty Gurkha - 8/1 EACH WAY (1/5th 4 places with Skybet) - First run since being gelded, trainer Archie Watson in decent form ( 4 wins, 5 placed, from 25 runners). Very well treated on his old form (won a Group 3 on polytrack - this is a class 4 hcp). Promising jockey Harry Davies on board... main danger looks to be Hyperfocus (CD x 3 and also well treated on old form) Clocker, richard-westwood, alexcaruso808 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 37 minutes ago, Trotter said: Remember the early months of the pandemic when we only had Hong Kong ........ we could hardly find a winner between us I just think it's difficult racing ...... lots of 14 runner handicaps with horses, trainers and jockeys that you don't know much about It's a bit pin-sticker ! I was tending towards the jockeys with high strike rates, like Joao Moreira, Zac Purton, was looking at the draw bias and trainer jockey combos with high strike rates - obviously it didn't work out so good! ? FWIW, there is a load of information on the HKJC website, it has a stats centre, jockey and trainer combo stats, and there are PDFs which tell you how to bet on racing, and also gives you a lot of advice on building a rating system for the races. The HKJC website has the most comprehensive statistic for free that I have ever seen. It seems they are completely transparent in the information. Trotter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) 2.45 Don Storm Chaser 3/1 5.33 Hd Dal Mallart 3/1 6.53 Bev Sherdil 11/4 8.23 Bev Scottish Dancer 9/4 6 x 0.5 win dbles, 4 x 0.5 win trebles and 1 0.5 win 4fold = 5.50 stakes with poss return of 244.33 points: Singles: 1.00 Don Emily Post 1 pt win (lost) 5.33 Hd Dal Mallart 2 pts win at 4.2 (My PL nap today). 1 pt win on Quavering at 4.6 7.08 Hd True Jem 1 pt win at 4.1 and The Dunkirk Lads 1 pt win at 8.0 6.53 Bev Cotai West 1 pt win at 6.6 and Vaunted 1 pt win at 8.8 7.53 Bev Stripzee 1 pt win at 6/1 8.55 Bev Paddy Elliott 1 pt win at 5.2 Total points staked today = 15.5 There's a lot of racing today. Good luck to all having a crack Edited July 1, 2022 by The Equaliser alexcaruso808, azzybear and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 kolisi 2.30 The Equaliser and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, Bang on said: 2 for this evening at Haydock, 5.33 Hay - Quavering - 7/2 - First time in a handicap, trainer Ralph Beckett is in excellent form (7 wins, 5 placed from 28 runners). Three runs at amile as a 2yo to get handicapped, now steps up to 1m2f. Has been gelded. decent jockey booked (20% at course ... 38% when teamed up with trainer). 6.38 Hay - Mighty Gurkha - 8/1 EACH WAY (1/5th 4 places with Skybet) - First run since being gelded, trainer Archie Watson in decent form ( 4 wins, 5 placed, from 25 runners). Very well treated on his old form (won a Group 3 on polytrack - this is a class 4 hcp). Promising jockey Harry Davies on board... main danger looks to be Hyperfocus (CD x 3 and also well treated on old form) OK you've scared me about my nap. I'll have a 1 pt cover bet on Quavering at 4.6. Good luck with your selection alexcaruso808 and Bang on 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) Amis Des Flots 2:00 Newton Abbot (5/2 SBK). Promising hurdles debut when runner up at Ffos Las and winner has gone in again since. Front running style works well round here. Fav has been well backed but looks to me like he wants softer than this. fav won easily ? Edited July 1, 2022 by yossa6133 alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 315 donc Get it 8.6 4/1 Regional 8.4 6.8 Jaawal 8.0 Tricky race but I'll try 4pt wins top 2 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: 315 donc Get it 8.6 4/1 Regional 8.4 6.8 Jaawal 8.0 Tricky race but I'll try 4pt wins top 2 Pipped on line finishing like train..2nd 3rd ...another 20yrds and he'd have had it...bummer The Equaliser and Wildgarden 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clocker Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 5 hours ago, Clocker said: First post, fingers crossed... Bellewstown 5.28 MY MINERVINA 8-1 Never looked like winning but somehow managed to get up right on the line. ? Zico10, Nigwilliam, alexcaruso808 and 5 others 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted July 1, 2022 Author Share Posted July 1, 2022 (edited) 21 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 638 hay Hyperfocus 8.6 3.9 Cuban breeze 8.3 15/2 Oso rapido 7.7 4pt win hyper ... 2pt win Cuban Hyperfocus wins nicely ...small profit of around 2pt on day overall but a profit is always a step nearer that hol ? Edited July 1, 2022 by richard-westwood Zico10, alexcaruso808, Clocker and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 6 hours ago, Bang on said: 2 for this evening at Haydock, 5.33 Hay - Quavering - 7/2 - First time in a handicap, trainer Ralph Beckett is in excellent form (7 wins, 5 placed from 28 runners). Three runs at amile as a 2yo to get handicapped, now steps up to 1m2f. Has been gelded. decent jockey booked (20% at course ... 38% when teamed up with trainer). 6.38 Hay - Mighty Gurkha - 8/1 EACH WAY (1/5th 4 places with Skybet) - First run since being gelded, trainer Archie Watson in decent form ( 4 wins, 5 placed, from 25 runners). Very well treated on his old form (won a Group 3 on polytrack - this is a class 4 hcp). Promising jockey Harry Davies on board... main danger looks to be Hyperfocus (CD x 3 and also well treated on old form) Quavering - lost - well done to @The Equaliserfor finding the winner Mighty Gurkha - 2nd 11/1 - jockey made the wrong decision to go up the rails and had to take a different route costing a little ground, would have been close IMO. Place part returns a small profit on the selection. The danger Hyperfocus won .... forecast paid £22.20. ** Note to self - I must start doing these forecasts. ☹️ Clocker, Wildgarden and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted July 1, 2022 Share Posted July 1, 2022 9 hours ago, The Equaliser said: 2.45 Don Storm Chaser 3/1 5.33 Hd Dal Mallart 3/1 6.53 Bev Sherdil 11/4 8.23 Bev Scottish Dancer 9/4 6 x 0.5 win dbles, 4 x 0.5 win trebles and 1 0.5 win 4fold = 5.50 stakes with poss return of 244.33 points: Singles: 1.00 Don Emily Post 1 pt win (lost) 5.33 Hd Dal Mallart 2 pts win at 4.2 (My PL nap today). 1 pt win on Quavering at 4.6 7.08 Hd True Jem 1 pt win at 4.1 and The Dunkirk Lads 1 pt win at 8.0 6.53 Bev Cotai West 1 pt win at 6.6 and Vaunted 1 pt win at 8.8 7.53 Bev Stripzee 1 pt win at 6/1 8.55 Bev Paddy Elliott 1 pt win at 5.2 Total points staked today = 15.5 There's a lot of racing today. Good luck to all having a crack RESULTS UPDATE I rated 17 races using RPR & TImeform's figures. There were 5 winners and 12 losers. Getting my best odds still meant a small loss on a 1 point-win basis. I suppose I should feel fortunate that I chose two singles winners and had a winning double in my multiple bet, however, this seems a bit disappointing to me. Anyway, my nap won well and I achieved a 5.29 profit on the day so at least I start the month OK. My YTD is -137.73 MCLARKE and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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