The Brigadier Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 The five day declaration are out later for Saturdays big cavalry charge at Newmarket and I think there may well be one that has gone under the radar of the bookmakers (bar William Hill that is!). Keith Dagleish's CHICHESTER was a highly impressive winner of a valuable class 2 handicap at Ayr last Thursday with his improvement possibly coming from the addition of a visor. He was always going well and looked, on that run anyway, a horse way ahead of his mark. The form has actually already been boosted with the runner up that day Platinumcard running well in a listed contest two days later at the Scottish track. He will have to carry a 4lb penalty for that victory IF he is sent to the Cambridgeshire with that penalty pushing him up to currently number 46 in a handicap where 35 can run so with two declaration stages to come you'll be disappointed if he doesn't get into the race. https://www.racingtv.com/results/uk/354998-ayr/16-Sep-2021/1645 I think the bookmakers have massively under estimated his chance as he will likely be going up 10lb or more when his new rating is unveiled tomorrow putting him in here as a horse 6lb ahead of his mark. He is ground dependent with fast ground his optimum going and with (after a shower today) a predominately dry week the ground looks likely to be in his favour come the weekend. I'm not privy to information as to whether he'll go for the race or even be left in today but if I owned the horse I would be very keen to run and exploit his mark with conditions likely to suit. He's a whopping 80/1 with Bet365 and there's plenty of 66/1 around. All being well if he turns up on Saturday I think he will be a quarter of those odds and is worth a small each way play now before today's declarations are known with our fingers firmly crossed that he appears amongst them. Obviously at this early stage we don't have the benefit of enhanced odds but we can always play again when the 48 hour decs are known. CHICHESTER 1/2 point each way @ 80/1 Bet365 1/2 1234 MCLARKE, yossa6133, Bang on and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Where are you finding race, can't find it on any of the apps? Don't use bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ipswich45 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Saturday and Sunday entries should appear on Racing Post website just after 1300 today Saturday entries dont get put on there on a Sunday when they would come out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 3 hours ago, fd1972uk said: Where are you finding race, can't find it on any of the apps? Don't use bet365 https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2021-09-25/790121/odds-comparison gbettle and fd1972uk 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hendredenny Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Its on At The Races and also Oddschecker Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted September 20, 2021 Author Share Posted September 20, 2021 6 hours ago, The Brigadier said: The five day declaration are out later for Saturdays big cavalry charge at Newmarket and I think there may well be one that has gone under the radar of the bookmakers (bar William Hill that is!). Keith Dagleish's CHICHESTER was a highly impressive winner of a valuable class 2 handicap at Ayr last Thursday with his improvement possibly coming from the addition of a visor. He was always going well and looked, on that run anyway, a horse way ahead of his mark. The form has actually already been boosted with the runner up that day Platinumcard running well in a listed contest two days later at the Scottish track. He will have to carry a 4lb penalty for that victory IF he is sent to the Cambridgeshire with that penalty pushing him up to currently number 46 in a handicap where 35 can run so with two declaration stages to come you'll be disappointed if he doesn't get into the race. https://www.racingtv.com/results/uk/354998-ayr/16-Sep-2021/1645 I think the bookmakers have massively under estimated his chance as he will likely be going up 10lb or more when his new rating is unveiled tomorrow putting him in here as a horse 6lb ahead of his mark. He is ground dependent with fast ground his optimum going and with (after a shower today) a predominately dry week the ground looks likely to be in his favour come the weekend. I'm not privy to information as to whether he'll go for the race or even be left in today but if I owned the horse I would be very keen to run and exploit his mark with conditions likely to suit. He's a whopping 80/1 with Bet365 and there's plenty of 66/1 around. All being well if he turns up on Saturday I think he will be a quarter of those odds and is worth a small each way play now before today's declarations are known with our fingers firmly crossed that he appears amongst them. Obviously at this early stage we don't have the benefit of enhanced odds but we can always play again when the 48 hour decs are known. CHICHESTER 1/2 point each way @ 80/1 Bet365 1/2 1234 He's declared and is number 35 so guaranteed a run. Top priced 33/1 now though still think that is value as personally wouldn't have him any bigger than 16/1. gbettle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 28 minutes ago, The Brigadier said: He's declared and is number 35 so guaranteed a run. Top priced 33/1 now though still think that is value as personally wouldn't have him any bigger than 16/1. I am in full agreement it comes out very well on my figures I also agree on your price assessment both earlier and now. I just about managed to get 66/1 you and the cleaner were probably the only ones getting on at 80/1 ? The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Thanks for the tip - I managed to get on this morning at 50/1. I stuck a bet to win and an EW bet as well. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fd1972uk Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 E/w 40s The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted September 21, 2021 Author Share Posted September 21, 2021 23 hours ago, The Brigadier said: The five day declaration are out later for Saturdays big cavalry charge at Newmarket and I think there may well be one that has gone under the radar of the bookmakers (bar William Hill that is!). Keith Dagleish's CHICHESTER was a highly impressive winner of a valuable class 2 handicap at Ayr last Thursday with his improvement possibly coming from the addition of a visor. He was always going well and looked, on that run anyway, a horse way ahead of his mark. The form has actually already been boosted with the runner up that day Platinumcard running well in a listed contest two days later at the Scottish track. He will have to carry a 4lb penalty for that victory IF he is sent to the Cambridgeshire with that penalty pushing him up to currently number 46 in a handicap where 35 can run so with two declaration stages to come you'll be disappointed if he doesn't get into the race. https://www.racingtv.com/results/uk/354998-ayr/16-Sep-2021/1645 I think the bookmakers have massively under estimated his chance as he will likely be going up 10lb or more when his new rating is unveiled tomorrow putting him in here as a horse 6lb ahead of his mark. He is ground dependent with fast ground his optimum going and with (after a shower today) a predominately dry week the ground looks likely to be in his favour come the weekend. I'm not privy to information as to whether he'll go for the race or even be left in today but if I owned the horse I would be very keen to run and exploit his mark with conditions likely to suit. He's a whopping 80/1 with Bet365 and there's plenty of 66/1 around. All being well if he turns up on Saturday I think he will be a quarter of those odds and is worth a small each way play now before today's declarations are known with our fingers firmly crossed that he appears amongst them. Obviously at this early stage we don't have the benefit of enhanced odds but we can always play again when the 48 hour decs are known. CHICHESTER 1/2 point each way @ 80/1 Bet365 1/2 1234 I'm just keeping my fingers crossed that the horse doesn't declare today for a much less valuable race at Pontefract on Thursday. The perils of ante post betting !! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted September 21, 2021 Author Share Posted September 21, 2021 1 hour ago, The Brigadier said: I'm just keeping my fingers crossed that the horse doesn't declare today for a much less valuable race at Pontefract on Thursday. The perils of ante post betting !! Thankfully hasn't declared for Pontefract. His new mark means hes 9lb well in on Saturday and is now as low as 10/1 ! Only got the 34 to beat mind. gbettle, yossa6133 and Zilzalian 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hendredenny Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Thanks for signalling this. Even if he doesn't win/place it is nice to get the feel as to what might be happening and seeing the price continuing to reduce . I presume the draw is one thing to worry about on the day. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Just saw this on the Racing Post site. https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/cambridgeshire-plunge-chichester-10-1-from-66-1-for-big-newmarket-handicap/511924 The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 10 hours ago, The Brigadier said: Thankfully hasn't declared for Pontefract. His new mark means hes 9lb well in on Saturday and is now as low as 10/1 ! Only got the 34 to beat mind. I can cash out now as a winner at 7/2. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted September 22, 2021 Author Share Posted September 22, 2021 22 hours ago, The Brigadier said: Thankfully hasn't declared for Pontefract. His new mark means hes 9lb well in on Saturday and is now as low as 10/1 ! Only got the 34 to beat mind. Looks like Hollie Doyle has been booked Bedlam and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 20 minutes ago, The Brigadier said: Looks like Hollie Doyle has been booked Great choice! The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted September 22, 2021 Share Posted September 22, 2021 If this comes off @TheBrigadierwill be the toast of the forum. alexcaruso808, The Brigadier and gbettle 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 (edited) Gamble of the year ....9/1 with bet365 and they are the sponsors!!...carnage at the bookies ??....every man and his dog are on Edited September 23, 2021 by richard-westwood Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 (edited) Due to all the interest i decided to publish what my speed figures say about the Cambridgeshire, I do not like doing speed figures for A) handicaps B) Handicaps for older horses the reason for this is simple Trainers can manipulate the handicap. If Uncle Bryn (122) wins? 1 Breath Caught 135 25/1 2 Chichester 134 10/1 2 Anmaat 134 11/1 2 Power of Darkness 134 40/1 Best of the Rest - all 132 Magical Morning 14/1 Anything Today 25/1 AW Montather 16/1 AW I am sat wondering if chichester will be a non runner i have seen that happen a lot with big gambles Edited September 23, 2021 by Zilzalian update MCLARKE, The Brigadier and Bang on 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 Bet365 have taken this race off their site.... I cant find it and when I search the horse names they aren't coming up. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: Bet365 have taken this race off their site.... I cant find it and when I search the horse names they aren't coming up. 48 hr declarations probably, it will be back on. or if saturday is listed on todays racing ie today fri sat it will be there if not that is what is happening and it will appear there it is no longer anti post. The Brigadier and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Zilzalian said: 48 hr declarations probably, it will be back on. or if saturday is listed on todays racing ie today fri sat it will be there if not that is what is happening and it will appear there it is no longer anti post. I will keep an eye out - when I read your speed ratings I was going to have a look at the horses again and bet on some of your selections. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 10 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: I will keep an eye out - when I read your speed ratings I was going to have a look at the horses again and bet on some of your selections. If you click on HORSE RACING .... then under UK & Ireland ... you will see days of the week etc. The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 3 hours ago, Bang on said: If you click on HORSE RACING .... then under UK & Ireland ... you will see days of the week etc. It's on there now, I swear it wasn't on ealier - unless I'm going nuts lol! The Brigadier and calva decoy 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted September 23, 2021 Share Posted September 23, 2021 39 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: It's on there now, I swear it wasn't on ealier - unless I'm going nuts lol! You're not going nuts , it wasn't on their or on Sky but now they're offering 6 places . Although Chichester is 9Lb out of the handicap there's 4 or 5 in the race who are well in but not that well in , Crowley's ride on the Shadwell horse could go close . alexcaruso808 and The Brigadier 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bang on Posted September 24, 2021 Share Posted September 24, 2021 I am being offered £100 more than I staked to 'cash out' ... wow ! They must have been filled in. The Brigadier and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted September 24, 2021 Share Posted September 24, 2021 1 hour ago, Bang on said: I am being offered £100 more than I staked to 'cash out' ... wow ! They must have been filled in. lol my own cash out has gone up considerably too. The bookies are going to get hammered if this horse wins. I trust Hollie Doyle will give it her best shot, she is a great jockey and very switched on when it comes to making tactical moves. The Brigadier and Bang on 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted September 24, 2021 Author Share Posted September 24, 2021 2 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said: lol my own cash out has gone up considerably too. The bookies are going to get hammered if this horse wins. I trust Hollie Doyle will give it her best shot, she is a great jockey and very switched on when it comes to making tactical moves. fingers crossed Alex - the main issue now is the draw. As always there appears to be a bias towards the near side (stands side) and Chichester is drawn on far side in 10. Lets hope he's got enough in hand to make the frame at least. alexcaruso808 and gbettle 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted September 24, 2021 Share Posted September 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, The Brigadier said: fingers crossed Alex - the main issue now is the draw. As always there appears to be a bias towards the near side (stands side) and Chichester is drawn on far side in 10. Lets hope he's got enough in hand to make the frame at least. I'm not worried about the draw (9F is enough time to get a position) as much as the idiot jockeys getting in each others way trying to find a non existent landing strip. alexcaruso808, MCLARKE, gbettle and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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