Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 21 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Curragh 2.35 Lancaster House 9.2 , 8/1(7/2) no value won Speak In Colours 8.2, 9/1(17/2)no value Know It All 8 , 9/1-10/1(7/2) no value 3rd Current Option 7.9 , 10/1 (15/2) no value 2nd The bookies have all 4 near the top of the betting . Happy with that BBBC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Speak In Colours came 5/11 so top 4 rated finished in top 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 (edited) 36 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Happy with that Nice rating ?....did you get the double Edited April 17, 2021 by richard-westwood Villa Chris 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 (edited) 21 hours ago, Villa Chris said: 3.10 Curragh Broome 8.25, 4/5(7/1) no value won Pondus 7.75, 11/1(8/1) value Bowerman 7.45, 10/1( 8/1) value Thundering Nights , 7.35, 12/1(8/1) value 2nd Broome completes the double. 75 points returned . Thundering Nights second . Edited April 17, 2021 by Villa Chris BBBC, CarlosUK and vikki37 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Villa Chris said: Broome completes the double. 75 points returned . Thundering Nights second . Well done ....nicely rated Villa Chris 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Well done ....nicely rated Enjoying the flats so far ?. I’m hoping it’s a bit easier to rate than jumps . richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 22 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 415 curr Raise you 9.0 Fil the power 8.4 Dance jupiter 8.0 Hayyel 7.5 O brien runs 4 with raise you a lesser fancy but if he translate soft ground form to good then could run well ...top 2 ew for me Raise you 5pt ew 8/1 5 places Fil the power 5pt ew 9/1 5 places Raise you wins ....well pleased with that result ..2/2 on day I really wasnt expecting that tbh...looked hard day to me CarlosUK, BBBC, Wildgarden and 3 others 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Brilliant stuff ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 Was so focussed on scottish national that hadn't realised how good the racing at Newbury is tomorrow ....doomed ....3 big races ...better get rating ?? vikki37 and Villa Chris 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Was so focussed on scottish national that hadn't realised how good the racing at Newbury is tomorrow ....doomed ....3 big races ...better get rating ?? There’s 3 I’m going to rate. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 8 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Just a quick one. You know when we do our own odds and we have top rated 11/1 but bookies have them 7/2. Is that the bookies being tight or is it our odds out by a few points ? If we are out by a few points is there any way we can get the odds down to be more realistic. Ok it’s killing the value factor a bit , but if our odds are out then surely it’s better to get them more accurate . Use points for horses strong in the betting is maybe one solution . Only just saw this sorry ......I dont know tbh ....in the big races especially the formula compensates for the amount of horses in the race so you tend to get big priced quotes ....that's fair in my eyes as if it's a 20 runner race 11/1 is probably a correct reflection of a value bet .....but you are correct bookies sometimes are scared of a certain runner and price it ridiculously short ....that happens a lot tbh ....not really a lot you can do about that .....if you try and force the price it throws everything out....I just love looking for the biggies ....they are rare but it's like finding a diamond I love it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 210 newb fred darling Alcohol free 9.8 100/30 Umm kulthum 9.0 8/1 Happy romance 8.0 7/1 Statement 8.0 25/1 Open race and questions to answer over distance for a lot of these but top 2 look fairly strong.....happy romance I think will struggle to stay which leaves statement who I can ignore at 25/1 ....that's way overpriced ...value bet of race ....I'll try 10pts win top 2 and 5pts ew statement Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 41 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Only just saw this sorry ......I dont know tbh ....in the big races especially the formula compensates for the amount of horses in the race so you tend to get big priced quotes ....that's fair in my eyes as if it's a 20 runner race 11/1 is probably a correct reflection of a value bet .....but you are correct bookies sometimes are scared of a certain runner and price it ridiculously short ....that happens a lot tbh ....not really a lot you can do about that .....if you try and force the price it throws everything out....I just love looking for the biggies ....they are rare but it's like finding a diamond I love it Yes, the big handicaps I’m ok with, but for example I had Broome at 7/1 today. Just can’t have him a 7/1 shot in the race he was in today . He only just won, mind . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 245 newb Chindit 9.7 Nando parado 9.2 Rhythm master 8.5 Classy race and again questions to answer ....its probably best to forgive chindits last race ...course and ground were against so hopefully that was just a blip but has a lot to prove ....of the rest nando parado looks an interesting improver ....could do much better at this trip .....interesting race Chindit 10pt win 2/1 Nando parado 5pt ew 15/2 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 320 newb spring hcap Raaeq 9.0. Nugget 8.8 Oh this is us 8.3 Danyah 8.2 New bolt 7.8 Troll peninsula 7.8 Impossibly difficult hcap ....troll peninsula is well fancied and could be ahead of mark back on turf ...nugget has ryan moore on board .....raaeq is quirky but was looking a potentially classy miler in the making ...danyah ran well in the lincoln ...a similar performance could see him go close here .....some good prices on betfair so I'll try wins Raaeq 10pt win 15.5 Nugget 10pt win 10.0 Danyah 10pt win 6.2 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 (edited) 1.35 Newbury Outbox 8.2, 6/1(11/2) value 3rd Red Vernon 6.55, 14/1(7/1) value Without A Fight 6.5, 6/1(7/1) 2nd no value Outbox looks the bet . Hot favourite Al Aasy may want it softer and also may need the run. Outbox 10 points win 6/1 Edited April 18, 2021 by Villa Chris richard-westwood and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 (edited) 2.45 Newbury Chindit 7.8, 15/8(7/1) no value won Alkumait 6.2, 11/2(9/1) no value Nando Parado 6, 6/1(9/1) no value Very short in the betting but clear of the rest. Chindit 10 points win 15/8 Edited April 18, 2021 by Villa Chris richard-westwood and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 17, 2021 Share Posted April 17, 2021 (edited) 3.20 Newbury Gin Palace 7.95, 25/1(13/1) value Johan 7.5, 14/1( 14/1) right odds On This Is Us 7.3, 16/1(14/1) value Danyah 7.25, 7/2(15/1) no value Matthew Flinders 6.8, 7/1(16/1) no value Gin Palace 5 points ew 25/1 Johan 5 points ew 14/1 Gin Palace has a low draw which isn’t ideal and cold trainer, but at that price I’ve got to play him. Good distance record and runs well at the course with 5Ibs claimer . Johan nice draw and hot trainer . Edited April 17, 2021 by Villa Chris Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 14 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 320 newb spring hcap Raaeq 9.0. Nugget 8.8 Oh this is us 8.3 Danyah 8.2 New bolt 7.8 Troll peninsula 7.8 Impossibly difficult hcap ....troll peninsula is well fancied and could be ahead of mark back on turf ...nugget has ryan moore on board .....raaeq is quirky but was looking a potentially classy miler in the making ...danyah ran well in the lincoln ...a similar performance could see him go close here .....some good prices on betfair so I'll try wins Raaeq 10pt win 15.5 Nugget 10pt win 10.0 Danyah 10pt win 6.2 defo got early value here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 Part of me fully expects Mister Fogpatches to win the Scottish National with ease . Think he’s the only Irish trained horse in the race . Has ran well over in Ireland. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 (edited) 42 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: defo got early value here Yeah ....was nice prices to win last night ...2 or 3 pts shorter with bookies ew so I thought ..what the hell I'll chance it today at those prices ? Edit ....flipping heck ...nugget is 9/2 !!? Edited April 18, 2021 by richard-westwood Villa Chris, BBBC, Wildgarden and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 16 hours ago, Villa Chris said: 1.35 Newbury Outbox 8.2, 6/1(11/2) value 3rd Red Vernon 6.55, 14/1(7/1) value Without A Fight 6.5, 6/1(7/1) 2nd no value Outbox looks the bet . Hot favourite Al Aasy may want it softer and also may need the run. Outbox 10 points win 6/1 The favourite won but I managed to fill the places with the ratings richard-westwood, Wildgarden and vikki37 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 19 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 210 newb fred darling Alcohol free 9.8 100/30 Umm kulthum 9.0 8/1 Happy romance 8.0 7/1 Statement 8.0 25/1 Open race and questions to answer over distance for a lot of these but top 2 look fairly strong.....happy romance I think will struggle to stay which leaves statement who I can ignore at 25/1 ....that's way overpriced ...value bet of race ....I'll try 10pts win top 2 and 5pts ew statement Forecast again ??ffs ....alcohol pips statement on line ....collect off both Wildgarden, MCLARKE, BBBC and 2 others 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 11 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Forecast again ??ffs ....alcohol pips statement on line ....collect off both u not do forecast again lol. richard-westwood and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 19 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 245 newb Chindit 9.7 Nando parado 9.2 Rhythm master 8.5 Classy race and again questions to answer ....its probably best to forgive chindits last race ...course and ground were against so hopefully that was just a blip but has a lot to prove ....of the rest nando parado looks an interesting improver ....could do much better at this trip .....interesting race Chindit 10pt win 2/1 Nando parado 5pt ew 15/2 Chindit wins ...nando placed ...collect off both again .....? vikki37, Villa Chris, Wildgarden and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 19 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 320 newb spring hcap Raaeq 9.0. Nugget 8.8 Oh this is us 8.3 Danyah 8.2 New bolt 7.8 Troll peninsula 7.8 Impossibly difficult hcap ....troll peninsula is well fancied and could be ahead of mark back on turf ...nugget has ryan moore on board .....raaeq is quirky but was looking a potentially classy miler in the making ...danyah ran well in the lincoln ...a similar performance could see him go close here .....some good prices on betfair so I'll try wins Raaeq 10pt win 15.5 Nugget 10pt win 10.0 Danyah 10pt win 6.2 Nugget wins !!!! ...forecast again with danyah ....taking g the pee now ...hmmpth Wildgarden, vikki37, BBBC and 2 others 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 On 4/16/2021 at 8:12 PM, Villa Chris said: Scottish national Mighty Thunder 7.5, 11/1(15/1) no value Coup De Pinceau 6.8, 22/1(17/1) value Vintage Clouds 6.65, 10/1(17/1) no value Soldier Of Love 6.6, 8/1(18/1) no value Big River 6.45, 16/1(18/1) no value Top rated looks the bet as I think he stays all day . 5 points ew Mighty Thunder 11/1 Yiu called it ...nice rating Wildgarden, CarlosUK and Villa Chris 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 17 hours ago, Villa Chris said: 3.20 Newbury Gin Palace 7.95, 25/1(13/1) value 8th Johan 7.5, 14/1( 14/1) right odds 5th On This Is Us 7.3, 16/1(14/1) value Danyah 7.25, 7/2(15/1) no value 3rd Matthew Flinders 6.8, 7/1(16/1) no value 2nd Gin Palace 5 points ew 25/1 Johan 5 points ew 14/1 Gin Palace has a low draw which isn’t ideal and cold trainer, but at that price I’ve got to play him. Good distance record and runs well at the course with 5Ibs claimer . Johan nice draw and hot trainer . Placed money on Jonah . Ratings weren’t far off. Wildgarden and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 18 hours ago, Villa Chris said: 2.45 Newbury Chindit 7.8, 15/8(7/1) no value won Alkumait 6.2, 11/2(9/1) no value Nando Parado 6, 6/1(9/1) no value Very short in the betting but clear of the rest. Chindit 10 points win 15/8 Top rated wins BBBC, richard-westwood, Wildgarden and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 On 4/16/2021 at 8:12 PM, Villa Chris said: Scottish national Mighty Thunder 7.5, 11/1(15/1) no won value Coup De Pinceau 6.8, 22/1(17/1) value Vintage Clouds 6.65, 10/1(17/1) no value Soldier Of Love 6.6, 8/1(18/1) no value Big River 6.45, 16/1(18/1) no value Top rated looks the bet as I think he stays all day . 5 points ew Mighty Thunder 11/1 Top rated wins BBBC, richard-westwood, vikki37 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpg.32384c3055cbc1254b0eb6212fda1359.jpg)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.