Villa Chris Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 (edited) Newmarket 3.00 Group 3 Oxted 8.75 2nd Summerghand 8.1 1st Emaraaty Ana 8 3rd Oxted obvious favourite as he brings the best form and is race fit. Odds are 2/3 so no surprise if he wins . Second and third clear of rest. Edited April 15, 2021 by Villa Chris Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 20 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Cheltenham 4.25 Singlefarmpayment 8.9 , 4/1 ( 17/2) no value 4th Beware The Bear 7.95 17/2, ( 9/1) no value pulled up Coo Star Sivola 7.9, 8/1 (9/1) no value 2nd Good run by Coo Star , but just got touched off again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 49 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Born survivor non runner .....move down list to singlefarmpayment Top rated won ...I didnt think it would stay ..less said the better ? vikki37 and gbettle 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 19 hours ago, richard-westwood said: Not betting on the jump race ....just testing it to see if can translate from flat to jumps ...... 425 chelt 9.7 domaine dlisle 9.7 born survivor 9.5 Rocky's treasure 9.1 singlefarmpayment 8.5 the might don Domaine I think will struggle at this dist ......born survivor looks the form horse after his facile win .....Rocky's treasure isnt one to trust but on a going day hes looking well treated now ......Rocky's treasure ...born survivor Domaine wins. I was suspect about the distance too. His form got franked today by Manofthemountain . Wildgarden and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 1 hour ago, richard-westwood said: Very nice rating .....I'm never on the forecast when it wins lol ? two forecast together on double 2500-1 or more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 Just now, Wildgarden said: two forecast together on double 2500-1 or more. I cant even get 1 when I want it ....lol ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 (edited) 335 newm thurs Master of seas 9.7 11/4 Royal air force 9.0 14/1 Imperial sands 8.7 Master of seas sets the standard here and could be hard to beat ....but royal air force could be overpriced if has trained on ...good value Master of seas 10pt win Royal air force 5pt ew 14/1 bet365 Edited April 14, 2021 by richard-westwood BBBC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: I cant even get 1 when I want it ....lol ? ive been close as 1st and 3rd on the 2nd result! Villa Chris and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 I’ve had two 1-2s that I can remember since I’ve been rating the way I’m doing it at the moment . One was at Cheltenham in a very big handicap so I’d say you can make it pay but it’s remembering or being arsed to do it. The jumps are winding down now so it’s probably best to leave it be unless it’s a big race with a nice pot. Since Cheltenham my jump ratings are not as good,it could be just coincidence, or horses and trainers ready for a break until next seasons jumps . Scottish national Sunday, so that will be worth doing. Wildgarden and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 32 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: I’ve had two 1-2s that I can remember since I’ve been rating the way I’m doing it at the moment . One was at Cheltenham in a very big handicap so I’d say you can make it pay but it’s remembering or being arsed to do it. The jumps are winding down now so it’s probably best to leave it be unless it’s a big race with a nice pot. Since Cheltenham my jump ratings are not as good,it could be just coincidence, or horses and trainers ready for a break until next seasons jumps . Scottish national Sunday, so that will be worth doing. i get them most days from 3 selections but not two usually. and its a lot more lines for 3 (6 lines) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 34 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: i get them most days from 3 selections but not two usually. and its a lot more lines for 3 (6 lines) Do you live in Asia ? What’s the racing like over there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 1 hour ago, Villa Chris said: Do you live in Asia ? What’s the racing like over there? uk lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 14, 2021 Share Posted April 14, 2021 9 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: uk lol Oh I think it’s Wanderlust who lives in Asia . My bad haha Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 325 ripon Mid winster 9.6 7/2 Mark's choice 9.0 7/1 East street revue 8.6 40/1 Top 2 here look strong with conditions to suit ....east street revue would most likely prefer 5f but this is a weak race so could run into a place at a big price but top 2 for me Mid winster 10pt win 7/2 Mark's choice 5pt ew 7/1 Wildgarden and BBBC 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 510 rip Harmony lil 8.9 9/2 Two cop bop 8.5 9/2 Glinbury 8.4 9/2 Stay smart 7.5 7/1 Top 3 are a bit clear so let's attempt a forecast....6x 1pt forecasts top 3 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 2 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 325 ripon Mid winster 9.6 7/2 Mark's choice 9.0 7/1 East street revue 8.6 40/1 Top 2 here look strong with conditions to suit ....east street revue would most likely prefer 5f but this is a weak race so could run into a place at a big price but top 2 for me Mid winster 10pt win 7/2 Mark's choice 5pt ew 7/1 heres mine just doing 1 and 14 atm unless others move in on price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: heres mine just doing 1 and 14 atm unless others move in on price. Good luck ....although I'd rather num 1 wins ? Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 16 minutes ago, richard-westwood said: Good luck ....although I'd rather num 1 wins ? same i have double stake on it as my nap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 2 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 510 rip Harmony lil 8.9 9/2 Two cop bop 8.5 9/2 Glinbury 8.4 9/2 Stay smart 7.5 7/1 Top 3 are a bit clear so let's attempt a forecast....6x 1pt forecasts top 3 i have seaclusion for this if does well after wind surgery for ew shot. richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 5 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 325 ripon Mid winster 9.6 7/2 Mark's choice 9.0 7/1 East street revue 8.6 40/1 Top 2 here look strong with conditions to suit ....east street revue would most likely prefer 5f but this is a weak race so could run into a place at a big price but top 2 for me Mid winster 10pt win 7/2 Mark's choice 5pt ew 7/1 Mark's choice wins ...mid winster 4th BBBC, Wildgarden and Villa Chris 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 22 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 335 newm thurs Master of seas 9.7 11/4 Royal air force 9.0 14/1 Imperial sands 8.7 Master of seas sets the standard here and could be hard to beat ....but royal air force could be overpriced if has trained on ...good value Master of seas 10pt win Royal air force 5pt ew 14/1 bet365 Master of seas wins ...they are running well Villa Chris and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 (edited) According to current results ....8 of last 9 race winners were top 3 rated ....that's crazy ....6 of 8 were top 2 rated ...a,1pt level bet on top 3 or joint rated ...25pts outlay ...42 pts returned .. +17pts ....top 2 rated +15pts Edited April 15, 2021 by richard-westwood Wildgarden, Villa Chris, BBBC and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 On 4/14/2021 at 4:08 PM, Villa Chris said: Newmarket 3.00 Group 3 Oxted 8.75 2nd Summerghand 8.1 1st Emaraaty Ana 8 3rd Oxted obvious favourite as he brings the best form and is race fit. Odds are 2/3 so no surprise if he wins . Second and third clear of rest. Surprised top rated never won but the top 3 were the top 3 gbettle, Wildgarden, richard-westwood and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 4 hours ago, richard-westwood said: 510 rip Harmony lil 8.9 9/2 Two cop bop 8.5 9/2 Glinbury 8.4 9/2 Stay smart 7.5 7/1 Top 3 are a bit clear so let's attempt a forecast....6x 1pt forecasts top 3 No luck...harmony lil 2nd stay smart 4th vikki37 and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 (edited) Newbury 1.40 Tis Marvellous 8.15, 13/2(5/1) value Blue De Vaga 7.9 , 10/1(5/1) value Came From The Dark 7.05, 5/1(6/1) no value won Edited April 16, 2021 by Villa Chris Wildgarden and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 (edited) 2.15 Newbury Charlie D 9, 18/1(17/2) value nowhere Cleonte 8.25, 9/1(9/1) right odds 4th Couer De Lion 7.7, 18/1(10/1) value nowhere Edited April 16, 2021 by Villa Chris Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 15, 2021 Share Posted April 15, 2021 (edited) Ratings might be slightly too high for the older horses, so the ratings on some of them in the top 3 might be too generous. Not taken into account age, yet, but will add in age rating for the weekend and also going forward into the flat season . Edited April 15, 2021 by Villa Chris gbettle, Wildgarden and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 19 hours ago, Villa Chris said: Newbury 1.40 Tis Marvellous 8.15, 13/2(5/1) value Blue De Vaga 7.9 , 10/1(5/1) value Came From The Dark 7.05, 5/1(6/1) no value won Came from the dark wins . Top twos prices dropped massively before the race. Will start age rating tomorrow. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Villa Chris said: Came from the dark wins . Top twos prices dropped massively before the race. Will start age rating tomorrow. -10% for older horses recommended Edited April 16, 2021 by Wildgarden Villa Chris 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Villa Chris Posted April 16, 2021 Share Posted April 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: -10% for older horses recommended Blue De Vega would have had a significant deduction for age as he’s 8 and that’s old for flat horses. Came from the dark is probably at its peak as a five year old and was strong in the betting. I felt comfortable with Tis Marvellous’s rating although 7, so would have had a deduction but would have still have been top rated no doubt . Came from the dark would have been second rated if I’d used the age ratings . Keep learning and tweaking and hopefully get a good run out of it. Not bad so far. richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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