CzechPunter Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 @FrenchPunter Cheers and you too Post moved to the current thread as well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 9, 2020 Author Share Posted January 9, 2020 Wow, Pegula 6-0. Who at Unibet was thinking top 120 was the right line? Still enough time to choke, of course, but perhaps I'm just too fearful at the moment with taking bets. Sometimes losing doesn't affect confidence, sometimes it just crushes it, go figure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 @CzechPunter well you were right on the money there.. I do think you're bets are a little bit passive because you didn't have a great run of picks. Whats interesting is what your pick will be of Pegula in the next round. I took Cornet live bet @ 6.75, and then i hear about the injury but bet is void anyways. Bouchard is undervalued again in her next match but Anisimova is proving to be phenomenal right now. So maybe it's big time danger there. I may take a look at it in play in case her level drops some. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Agree completely French Punter on Pliskova.. Surely Rybakina is a top 20 talent, but she did have some long match, and she struggled with left handers last year losing to bonaventure, doi, and pera. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 Depends who gets to play against her and how. I do fear her being a bit afraid of the bigger names still, but her level is high at the moment and the conditions are clearly to her liking. In any case, she's bound to land the top 120 bet if she stays reasonably healthy, you need to have about 550 points at the end of the season for that and she already has 110. Grass Cash 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 ohhh without a doubt she is landing in there somewhere when healthy.. She had some leg injuries last year dealing with but seems to have fought them off a bit.. Looked like a hamstring.. Americans have a mountain of underrated players. She is just one of many such as brady and Riske.. In my opinion Kvitova is playing well from what it is possible brady goes for her backhand and finds a way to surprise again.. Probably not something i feel comfortable betting but in play eye test maybe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I took Sugita vs Klizan in play @ -140, and then hedged the bet on Klizan 4.4 just now. Klizan really is playing terrible on serve mainly. Just not Tour level quality.. I took this with the expectation that I was going to follow up a bet on a much better serving left handed Pliskova in top form.. These are weird superstitions.. but I found if I don't pay attention to them a little bit .. soon I'm losing massive bets shortly afterward.. I don't think its a great system.. but I have to play it for now.. Also I'm watching Collins-Keys match.. Initially I was feeling Collins to win but I wanted to see her form in play because keys is dangerous and matches her power if not exceeds it. Turns out Collins doesn't look quite as fit this match, and the rankings should tell the tale in this match as Keys seems to be in prime form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 I have to admit .. I'm surprised to see Pegula price so high.. I was expecting something like 3.2 at the highest ... looks like the books opened @ 3.85.. pretty disrespectful to how well she's been playing but on name quality alone .. wozniacki demands respect.. doesn't mean she's going to win .. i may place an insurance stake on pegula to back up one of my bets , but don't think the line is available yet for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 (edited) Kristyna Pliskova to beat Elena Rybarikova @+140 with William Hill Staying with @French Punter side here, and already wrote some analysis for this. Ohh apparently torque is on board with this play also.. shout out! Edited January 10, 2020 by money44 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 probably gonna lose just fyi .. rybakina is playing amazing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Striker Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 On 1/3/2020 at 8:04 PM, Striker said: Think the next player on the WTA to breakthrough for a Grand Slam win will be Sofia Kenin She won 3 times last year, and has only just turned 21 Kicks her Australian campaign off in Brisbane next week and I'm already on at 25's [Currently 20-1] Disappointing after a good opening win to see her tamely fold against Osaka, especially after winning an epic first set Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 Yeah, this is rather tough I guess, as Wozniacki is on a mission herself if she really wants to end her career at the Australian Open. Pegula could start feeling some sympathy or just be overwhelmed by the occasion, not an easy spot to be in, will have to think about it for a while. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
South_African_Punter Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Anyone have opinions on Riske v Pliskova? I see Pliskova has a perfect H2H record against Riske, but the games have been close. Perhaps the overs is the bet here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 10, 2020 Author Share Posted January 10, 2020 When Goffin ruins your bet against Evans and then wins against Rafa, what a week ?. South_African_Punter and kedbet 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 Yeah, I need to start taking more risks, come what may, but I'm provisionally marking the Pegula pre-season bet as a winner ?. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 Huh, there aren't really all that many big odds to sink one's teeth into in the first round next week either, so I'm contemplating skipping a day or two for the other matches and AO qualifiers. Ruud against Humbert is the one pick that I quite like at the moment, an interesting price unless Ruud is deflated after the high-adrenaline ATP Cup. Zuk could be a decent favorite to back as well, but the odds are kinda crappy. Logically, Bangkok could be a great ground for upsets, but where exactly? Sets for Congcar and Samrej? I don't really know a whole lot about those players, though I know that Karatsev is a very bad favourite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 11, 2020 Author Share Posted January 11, 2020 Novak Djokovic to beat Rafael Nadal at 1.48 with Pinnacle I don't remember seeing odds this low against Nadal for a very long time, but I'm going to break my rules and back them nonetheless. He's struggled against worse players this week already, he's had quite a few long battles as well, and the main issue is that Djokovic is going to be doubly motivated, since it's very likely that Spain are going to take the first match. He lost quite badly against Nadal when the two last met and this is a great opportunity for him to put some pressure on his rival when he's not at his best. Grass Cash, Foxstar and ivanhoe 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nadal has certainly improved since the first set, hoping it won't be enough . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrO Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 12, 2020 Author Share Posted January 12, 2020 Alright, so Djokovic delivered there. I checked the matches again and I'm going to go with my previous suggestion of Casper Ruud to beat Ugo Humbert at 1.90 with Pinnacle. Both guys are tremendously talented, with Ruud impressing at the ATP Cup, where he beat Isner and Fognini before seriously troubling the in-form Medvedev. If he continues that form, he should be a bigger favorite here, somewhere around the 1.70 mark. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 nice pick on djokovic there @CzechPunter. I probably would have taken nadal or atleast looked like value to me.. There is some dogs gonna hit tomorrow for sure.. Its something in the air right now.. Firstly Caroline Garcia does not look in good form right now .. so that should be noted as she takes on home player I don't know much about nor do I trust betting on Lizette Cabrera. Flipkens played fine from what i saw and seems to be in shape.. Outclassed by Bouchard in Auckland.. It happens.. but she has had good results in Hobart before. Priscilla Hon is a capable tennis player as far I'm concerned, and I don't believe Goerges will be motivated for this tournament.. Also her loss to Wozniacki was a sign of maybe not being fully fit. So I defnitiely like the value on home player Priscilla if it comes down to a decision soon. But, this match is not until monday.. Its really a borderline play because you're betting on Goerges laying an egg. And I guess that brings us to Golubic and Babos having a chance which was my first inclination.. I feel the chances of 1/2 girls are winning is very possible... Therefore creating a 50% ROI opportunity.. I'll need to dig a bit deeper on these matches or hear some more opinions soon. Stosur has also had results here in 2014 semifinals, and looked to be in shape in brisbane having some decent matches.. I don't see much on the mens side in terms of value but there is some favorites that I think will win such as Feliciano Lopez and couple others... Hope we can get some back and forth going in here before the matches start. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Okay Everyone .. I think I have narrowed down a bet to consider, and I'd like your opinions.. It seems as though Sam Stosur came into 2020 season fit and hitting the ball quite well.. Yes its true she lost to Madison Keys in straight sets Brisbane, but I don't think thats a terrible loss because at that exact time Keys was really in form, and even played a tough final as well several days later when her form probably dipped a little bit.. Yes, this is blacklisted player for me to bet. So, this is the reason I'm asking for your advice, but in this exact moment I believe that Kudermetova could be far less challenging opponent than a in form Keys to have to deal with.. So there appears to be quite a bit of value on Sam with 2/1 odds at home.. She's donating funds on all her aces hit to the fire relief... So, plan on her slamming a few down but that's not really my point.. Kudmermetova played in this tournament once before and was beaten in qualies straight sets 2018... She has improved alot since then I'm sure, but last year she is dealing with tape all over her shoulder many matches, and it's hard to believe full effort in this one before grand slam and start of the season. Stosur on the other hand I think will be very motivated to play well in Australia for her country and people.. Just some quick thoughts there... So this match scheduled to start in about 3 hours... Lets get into it or anything else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 I'm actually a sucker for betting on Golubic because I like her game , but I noticed in her instagram that she doesn't look 100% fit .. so steered away from that .. didn't realize the match was starting so soon , but Kenin is throttling her.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 @freeyourself84 hello .. You seem to know something about tennis, and you are new contributor here.. I would like to see you pick a tennis player to win in the upcoming matches.. There is quite a few to choose from.. It's okay if you lose .. But we need to see what your thinking because it might potentially help, and we can decide if we want to use your information or not.. Thanks. Most of the people that come to this forum are not toxic internet people .. Hopefully we can keep it that way for the whole year as unlikely as that might be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 @CzechPunter Don't get discouraged... I didn't see you talking about Ruud in earlier post or I might have warned you because you lost on him last time.. It's beginning rocky part of the season, but keep you confidence because I think we might turn a massive profit this year .. Lets right the ship quickly here, and don't be too hard on yourself for the last match.. It happens. CzechPunter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Probably Harris will beat Garin in three sets I'm guessing .. I don't have live bet option for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 I'm waiting to make sure that Yastremska takes care of her business against Babos before I bet on Stosur.. Don't want to betting on the wrong underdog this time.. Stosur/Kudermetova true odds for me are around 50/50 for each side for me... Therefore its considerable value. These courts maybe are pretty fast right now.. Could be a serving contest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grass Cash Posted January 13, 2020 Share Posted January 13, 2020 Sam Stosur to beat Kudermetova @ 2.85 William Hill Guess I'm going to try on blacklisted player. No support of this pick on the forum, but I have some other support for it elsewhere. gl guys. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 13, 2020 Author Share Posted January 13, 2020 Hah, don't worry, I've had much bigger swings before, just a bit upset by the fact that the picks that I didn't decide to go for won. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CzechPunter Posted January 13, 2020 Author Share Posted January 13, 2020 Jack Draper to beat Denis Istomin at 1.98 with Pinnacle If anyone knows something about Istomin's off-season, please let me know, but I think he might be considering quitting after that disastrous 2019 that saw him racking up losses against many players that he would simply be crushing in previous years. Jack Draper, on the other hand, is hungry and on an upwards curve. What I've learned over the years is that these youngsters often work extremely hard in the off-season and then convert that into something tangible in these early tournaments, while the veterans tend to take it more slowly. Draper has started his season with a 2-0 win over a guy that Istomin actually lost to in his last 2019 match, so chances are that there's some value in backing the youngster, however inconsistent he may be. fizrukas 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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