harry_rag Posted July 10, 2019 Share Posted July 10, 2019 I've been persuaded to join the Carey plunge! Had a bit on the top Aus bat at 14/1 and have bought his player performance at 40 with Spreadex (1 point per run, 10 per catch, 20 per wicket and 25 per stumping). I make his average 61 and that he's covered tomorrow's spread 8 times in 9 matches. I've also had an interest in 3 player performances with 888, all at 17/20. Root >45.5 (averages 78.4 and gone over in 5 out of 9) Roy >41.5 (58.5 4 out of 6) Warner >45.5 (75.3 and 6 out of 9). Those lines all look low if you use the spreads as a guide, lowest sell prices being 57, 49 and 53 respectively. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waynecoyne Posted July 10, 2019 Share Posted July 10, 2019 2 hours ago, harry_rag said: I've been persuaded to join the Carey plunge! Had a bit on the top Aus bat at 14/1 and have bought his player performance at 40 with Spreadex (1 point per run, 10 per catch, 20 per wicket and 25 per stumping). I make his average 61 and that he's covered tomorrow's spread 8 times in 9 matches. I've also had an interest in 3 player performances with 888, all at 17/20. Root >45.5 (averages 78.4 and gone over in 5 out of 9) Roy >41.5 (58.5 4 out of 6) Warner >45.5 (75.3 and 6 out of 9). Those lines all look low if you use the spreads as a guide, lowest sell prices being 57, 49 and 53 respectively. carey's performance looks low @harry_rag seeing as he is wicketkeeper-good spot harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 I'll take that; a 16 point profit on the Carey buy and 2 out of 3 on the fixed odds performance bets. (Also right to swerve Buttler who was the only other player who made the shortlist.) Woakes and Archer also obliged in getting the 30+ tournament wickets bet over the line. Thanks @Fader and @waynecoyne as without your prompting I wouldn't have looked at this match. I'll have a look to see if anything appeals ahead of the final on Sunday. waynecoyne 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waynecoyne Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 early thoughts on the final prices whilst I fancy England and hope they win, they don't like lords and at 1/3 with n Zealand 11/4 I think the pricing is too skewed n Zealand are imo better than 11/4 shots harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted July 11, 2019 Share Posted July 11, 2019 I'm always a bit surprised that these stats about "they don't play well there" get as much coverage as they do, because the sample size is so small it's unreal. I really don't think it applies at all. As for NZ at 11/4, it's definitely too big, but if England are on song it looks a fairly comfortable win. Perhaps trading NZ in play might be the right move. waynecoyne 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waynecoyne Posted July 12, 2019 Share Posted July 12, 2019 i have had a bet on new zealand at 11/4 (betfred) purely because i think the odds are too big, i make them 2/1 shots i will still be cheering for England though? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanotherdonkey Posted July 13, 2019 Share Posted July 13, 2019 Well I took India and New Zealand e-w at 7-2 and 12-1 and a pity they met in the semis but saying that England would of beat them both anyway whichever team they played.Even if New Zealand get beat in the final I have 6-1 the place so will be a 3point profit regardless of tomorrow's result but a win a15 point profit.My head says England but my heart says New Zealand lol Good Luck and may the best team win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted July 13, 2019 Share Posted July 13, 2019 2 player performances make some appeal but I've not decided whether to pull the trigger yet (not checked to see if better lines or prices are available). >50.5 for either of Root or Williamson at 17/20 with 888 are the bets in question. One bet I have taken is a buy of Spreadex's "Lightning Boult" special at 30. 10 points for his first wicket, +20 for his second, +30 for the third and so on and so on (max 550 for a 10 wicket haul). His average for the WC is 35.5 and he's only been nilled once. His last 5 games saw two 4 wicket hauls, 2 twice and a 1. Can think of worse ways for an interest in England's innings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waynecoyne Posted July 13, 2019 Share Posted July 13, 2019 I saw a preview earlier which said the pitch looked quite green which would aid the bowlers and also they said that so far scores at lords had tended to the lower end i.e. less than 300 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted July 14, 2019 Share Posted July 14, 2019 I can't get to my laptop to properly preview the final but I will be taking England and highest 15 overs and I'll also be taking stokes as top batsmen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notanotherdonkey Posted July 14, 2019 Share Posted July 14, 2019 Well done England worl cup winners 2019 and a close match in the end.Unlucky New Zealand and thought they had it with 4 wickets down for England.Still a profit on the tournament but could of been so much better but life goes on and tomorrow's another day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted July 14, 2019 Share Posted July 14, 2019 Happy to see Stokes do well today. I was bit worried when he had the injury scare. I thought NZ had it when they got that six in the super over but England were solid. A great win for the home nation and I'm looking forward to the Ashes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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