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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - November 12 - November 18

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@eros it's not customary to like people's post, and then unlike the button after the pick loses.  Also: This is not a competition here, even though some of us may be competitive people. We are all working together to find good investment solutions. This is why I'm here, and I hope that you are here for the same thing. Perhaps, you can cooperate with some of your own information soon enough. There is a good chance you might be able to help us out if you study some specific players, and watch the matches.  Most people probably don't mind if you make losing or winning picks.  Each person must make the decision to bet on their own, and not blame others for tips they followed.  Good luck amigo ! :ok

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Wta 125k Houston

Deniz Khazaniuk to beat Jessica Pegula @ 4.37 pinnacle

CH Buenos Aires

Bastian Malla to beat Daniel Gimeno Traver @ 2.67 pinnacle

khazaniuk is a big time fighter. i won on her few couple weeks ago in mumbai. Jessica Pegula is playing a fierce tournament earlier this year in quebec mid to early september. She fought her way all the way to the finals before losing to Parmentier in straight sets. She was also wearing a leg wrap/cast in a match against Pliskova. Her movement looked a bit hindered dealing with some leg injury, but she was hitting the ball fantastic clearly to get to the finals. She has also played in 4 other tournaments after that making the third and fourth round in some of these.  This will be their first meeting, and I prefer Khazaniuk to take care of business on this one, and really play some nice points. She should be rested enough to play excellent. I am expecting both matches to win.

 :cigar

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16 hours ago, money44 said:

ATP finals

John Isner to beat Cilic @ 2.86 

 

I agree on Big John beating Cilic. Don't get such long odds.

He won last H2H this year in Miami in straight sets.Cilic could be distracted by the upcoming Davis Cup final and didn't impress me against Zverev.

Adding a double @ 3.05 Bet365

ATP Finals Bryan/Sock to beat Marach/Pavic @ 1.61

Challenger Buenos Aires Gianluigi Quinzi to beat Dimitar Kuzmanov @ 1.90

I give an edge to Bryan/Sock who won Wimbledon and US Open this season.

Quinzi is a clay specialist and won 2 challengers in spring, Rome and Mestre.

Actually he hasn't been brilliant in the second half of the season, and was surprised to see him playing here. Expected his season to be over. He went through a tough game against Bellucci, who has a career high of 21.

The one month break could have suited him and see him winning against Kuzmanov, who won lately a Future in Sardinia but never went past the second round in a Challenger this season.

 

Edited by thinkpink63

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On 13/11/2018 at 9:43 AM, CzechPunter said:

Yes, Federer was poor, that was quite obvious. Based on the first matches, Djokovic is a clear favourite.

Couldn't watch the match. But checking the resultd :lol Federer is playing with our minds. I guess it was a very well played match or thiem wasnt focused. 

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Jessica Pegula Is playing now in what would be her fifth tournament  in Houston. that’s a lot of tennis since September. I really feel deniz will win With high confidence

Jessica beat Jasmine Paolini in the first round who is a young talented clay-court player with some questionable results recently. so I don’t consider this an impressive win in the first round especially considering the score was relatively close

Edited by money44

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26-31 +32.70 units

Aleksandar Vukic to beat Yoshihito Nishioka @ 5.4 with pinnacle

Cem Ilkel to beat Brayden Schnur @ 2.62 with william Hill

I watched Cem's first match, and then won again today as underdog. He looked great in the first match even tho it went the distance.  He looks very comfortable in Mumbai right now, and fit from what I saw. These odds should probably be reversed, but I do not know much about Canadian player.

Edited by money44

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Marin Cilic vs John Isner

Both lost their previous matches. The h2h favors Cilic, though Isner won the most rcent math. I think this will be an interesting match and I expect Cilic to win cause Isner has problems receiving serve and Cilic is in better form. 

Cilic -2.50 @ 2.360 Pinnacle

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2 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Schnur is quite good in my view, more talented than Ilkel, the odds look fair to me there.

@Gabosbet Federer wasn't that great against Thiem, Thiem was just really poor.

Thanks .. he may be more talented .. I am not sure .. But I was very impressed with the first match i saw of Ilkel in Bangalore. but he could have dropped down since then

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Houston courts are playing extremely fast .. faster than indoor courts.  Khazaniuk was destroyed. She's not an indoor or fast court player... and now watson is getting throttled by jani.. because these big plastic racquet hitters can't control the ball sliding on ice to them. Houston WTA .. I don't know if this is played at the same center as the men 

but always could be possible that side courts are playing faster than main arena , or something like that .. i only saw one match 

Edited by money44

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57 minutes ago, money44 said:

Houston courts are playing extremely fast .. faster than indoor courts.  Khazaniuk was destroyed. She's not an indoor or fast court player... and now watson is getting throttled by jani.. because these big plastic racquet hitters can't control the ball sliding on ice to them. Houston WTA .. I don't know if this is played at the same center as the men 

but always could be possible that side courts are playing faster than main arena , or something like that .. i only saw one match 

You should lay a bit low with the betting on tennis now but it may good that you're noticing facts about the courts in Houston but don't think about betting every day if it's because you feel some urge to win quickly. Patience can be good to have, And yes Houstons challenger event is played on the same venue as WTA Houston so now you know.

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Ty @four-leaf .. I will be sure to consult you when i need a gambling therapy program. Yes the speed of the courts destroyed my action, but if you haven't noticed .. i have done quite well.  I would suggest not paying attention to the negatives so much.. Because I haven't heard a peep out of you in terms of motivation or encouragement for the some of the good results I'm bringing here.  People have a very negative mentality especially as they age, and remember when you talk with me .. I see through all nonsense immediately. 

And it will help if people provide court speed information pre-tournament as I tried to do in Bratislava . it can help us prepare our bets

Edited by money44

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27-34 +31.37 units 

remaining picks for grade are hiltzik, vukic,Ilkel, and zverev tour finals winner. 

All of them I am not confident with, but some miracle can always happen. I do think Ilkel has a legit chance, but Czech Punter has warned us about that one.. so not feeling great about it. Vukic I also think might be live against nishioka

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@money44 Doesn't matter if you've done quite well when you could have done very well. You're eager to get bets right and you're risking too mutch like selecting 5 bets and getting 2 correct when you could have selected only two and been on a big plus instead of small plus. I mean you had two good bets in Mario Vilella and Bastian Malla, why not just be happy with that instead of posting Big John to beat Marin and Sascha to bet Nole. Don't ask for too mutch, it often doesn't pay off in the end. You do some good betting from time to time but please cut down on the risktaking because as of now I personally don't know which bets to pick when you're posting so many because it's like walking through a minefield. I rather don't walk at all in the end so I don't back any of your bets then because it's so hard to know when you're right.

Anyways, Kei Nishikori to beat (-1.5 sets) Dominic Thiem at 2.44 with Pinnacle

Kei didn't look good when he met Kevin Anderson but Dominic looked even worse against Roger. This is a match I think Kei has a good chance of taking in 2 sets and he should have the motivation to do so. Dominic is out of sorts and is done for the season already and the surface doesn't suit him while it suits Kei better so Kei in 2 for me.

Kevin Anderson/Roger Federer over 2.5 sets at 2.38 with Paddypower

Kevin only needs to win one set to knock Roger out of the tournament and I think he can do just that. I just don't think Roger has the ability to win in 2 right now even if he wins the first set which he at least needs to do here to make himself have a chance to reach the semi.

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That's a reasonable response. Your picks look ok to me.  I was leaning nishikori, and anderson. I won't bet those options, but i don't have opinion on them. 

On my picks: All i can say is follow your instincts if its something you agree with and is good value.  Alot of the time I don't know which picks are going to win, and i like to bet them in volume, because I have a strategy that includes multiple bets at high odds.  I am sorry if you lost on some of my picks tho. Khazaniuk burned me really bad, because that same day.. my best college basketball pick won @ odds 15.. This team from Indiana that i follow.  I won on that pick, but could have won a ton more. good luck on your bets tho @four-leaf

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8 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Isner against Cilic was a good bet though value-wise.

Absolutely. Let's not forget that Isner played having just known of the death of his lifetime best friend and 7 years coach. Tough mental situation to play

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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:

I'm gonna be wrong about Kevin and Roger to night just like I was on Dominic and Kei. Roger probably wins in straight sets now and wins the group. Boring but likely.

Strange game that can be just a luxury exhibition..Roger needs 5 games (6 if there's a tie-break) to reach the semis.

Kevin needs 7 games to be first in the group and avoid Djokovic in the semi.

Unless Roger thinks to be able to win in 2 easy sets and be first in the group, after having reached the respective goals it will be a flip coin.

Could be interesting for an in-play bet though

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