chris34 Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 8.55 KemptonNot the best card of the week and have to wait to the last race of the day to find my one and only bet of the day. Its not a race to go into too much detail as you can write most of these out on recent efforts and known form.Circuitous is a risky favourite in my opinion, not won since 2013 off a mark of 74. Has dropped a long way in the weights and has run well last 3 starts on turf. Hasnt raced on the AW since 2012 but was previously useful on it so therefore could be a real threat back around here however isnt going to get a soft lead in this field.Hellbender is another that is likely to run up with the pace but is also another that hasnt won for sometime but has dropped to a good mark. Been running well off much lower turf mark recently and is well drawn tonight.Shahrazad has dropped to 7lb below her last winning mark but she is very much an all out front runner and her last win was a 5 runner handicap back April last year, this is clearly more demanding with other pace angles in the race but one to watch this winter for sure as she will pop up n one of these at somepoint.Queen Zain for me is the most interesting having only her 4th start to date and making handicap debut after showing some promise in maidens, they have been all on the AW surface so that is not a concern and her opening mark of 55 looks exploitable given the maiden she ran in last time out the 2nd that day has since gone on to win off a mark of 67 she was 4.5 lengths behind her so potential. Clearly been freshened up for a winter campaign and well drawn tonight in stall 4. 1pt win Queen Zain 7/1 coral Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lodge Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 2.20 - Towcester - Ask A Bank 1pt @ 7/1 (Paddypower)I'm not surprised to see some early money for Ask A Bank who should really be good enough to pick up a race off this mark. He's a maiden from 8 starts and his form is very mixed but the best of it would give him a good chance here. I don't think he ran as badly as his finishing position suggests at Stratford last time, travelling well enough before failing to find much off the bridle he finished a mediocre 7th of 13, hinting a slightly shorter trip may be in order. The form of that race looks solid (3rd and 4th won since) and i'd image that this trip (2m 4f) at a stiff course would suit well.He's now a further 3lbs lower than his last run and Jamie Bargary claims a valuable 7lbs putting him on a nice low weight for this. He should strip fitter for the run and that advantage may just count against some making their seasonal re-appearance in this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infinity Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 1655 Navan - Marise 40/1 victor Finished 3rd at 33/1 in December, then won over 8 furlongs. Hasn't done great since then on longer trips on soft or heavy besides a 5th finish on good ground, but all runs have been at sp above 16/1. This time 40/1 seems too much and might offer some value. Coackley has an interesting odds average for his wins which I like when looking for outsiders at big odds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpo Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 4.10 Nottingham - Rocket Ronnie 1pt win @ 10/1 Bet365Comfortable winner last time out in the first time head gear. Hoping it can do the trick again. Small rise in the weights seems fair and I can see him going well again. There are a couple of handicap debutants in the race from bigger yards but I am happy to stick with Rocket Ronnie. Ed McMahon's horses are going ok at the minute. Hit 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodysway Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 Towcester 2.55 Bebinn e/w 0.5 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 Trainer Tim Vaughan sends out just the two runners for Ludlow, i'll take a chance on the runner that Richard Johnson rides.The 6yr old gelding was once with Michael Stoute but has been with Mr Vaughan since March, his only career wins came under Sir Ryan Moore and even today's race could be one just to watch or just a small interest bet.His future will be marked out and a market check could give us a hint if Johnson lets off the handbrake, or just another wind-up schooling for better things to come. 5pm Ludlow - Rye House. 1pt Win Bet @ 10/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Striker Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 4.00 Towcester-Thomas Crapper @ Evens [Ladbrokes] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve75 Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 3.05 Nottingham Across The Stars please.Thanks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btugero Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 3.15 Ludlow - Dreamsoftheatre @ 7/2 BetVictor Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugardaddyken Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Ample 14:30 Nottingham 11/4 @ Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boulder5111 Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 N4.10 Roayh 40/1 CoralThis horse has shown nothing for its current yard but there's really strong evidence before that for the horse to be really well handicapped here. The current trainer wouldn't be booking the likes of S De Souza if the horse was regressive and he didn't fancy it so it's worth giving one more chance to with SDS riding out of his skin and the horse having its ideal conditions. Indeed the horse won off this trip and ground as recently as this May off a mark 3lb higher than todays under Jason Hart. The horse was heavily eased down that day and hacked up by 6 lengths. The horse has the high draw today which is usually favoured in soft ground. Providing the current stable hasn't ruined the horse (which is a leap of faith, hence the price), then it could go very close, otherwise it'll finish out the back like most of its recent runs for the stable - at 40/1 I'll take the chance. infinity 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Towc 3.25 - Serenity Now - win at 3/1 bog ladbrokesClass 3 handicap hurdleThe current favourite, Argot, comes from the Longsdon yard and his runners are always poor value at tis time of year as they tend to backed whatever as he's got the reputation of being an early season trainer. Of course they still win races and this one won last time out at Plumpton.Plumpton and Towcester are very different and it remains to be seen how he handles a stiff track having won over no further than 6 furlongs on the flat and on a sharp track over sticksMy selection looks more of a stayer having won over 14 furlongs on the flat and over 20 furlongs at Hexham. He was beaten just over a length off this mark on his return to hurdles last time out and I'm taking him to outstay the favourite up the hill. Jimmy2shoes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sirspread Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Ambitious Rosie 855 kemp 33/1 bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mr.benn Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Nottingham 2.30 TRIBESMAN 10/1 Bet365 infinity 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gambolaya Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Nottingham 16:10 Top Diktat 0.5pt ew @ 16-1 BetFredDropping down the weights after a poor season but scrapes in this 0-73 at the top of the handicap and gets soft ground for the first time since his win off a mark of 84 back in April last year. Will likely be held up for a late run but today's extended mile is on ideal ground and he will be ridden by a decent 5lb claiming apprentice. 16-1 looks a good value ew bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tipsterix Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 16:20 Navan: PROTOCOL @ 25/1 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanV89 Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 7.25 - Kempton - Pool House - 20/1 - SkyBet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soi Bongkot Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 (edited) Mengli Khan 15.05 Notts 10/11 Bet 365Ran a terrific race on debut and went straight into my notebook ran on well and finished behind some well regarded horse who also had benefited from a previous run,the time was also very good and could be a useful type Edited October 7, 2015 by Soi Bongkot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BARNSLEYCHOP Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 4.45 NottinghamDARK WAVE @ 28/1 Bet365This horse is way too big, last win off only 2lb higher and is still fairly unexposed. Promising run last time over a inadequate distance. Won by 6l on his only other run on genuinely soft ground. If this was trainer by a more fashionable trainer it would be half the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cairnhill Diamond Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 So many non runners today, what's the problem at the tracks ?. I'm going e/w on Gecko in the 18,25 at Kempton, available at 11/1 with 888sport and Betbright, also 32Red. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 500 Ludlow: Grams And Ounces 9/2 bet365/888In the best form for a couple of years but although racing off another weight rise he is still 20lbs below the rating he had back in 2013 and 17lbs below his present chasing mark. Won on the flat the other day just to show his well being and as long as the rain hasn't got into the ground he must go close again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
morphine_K Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 5.00 Ludlow - Very Intense @19 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jediknight Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Ludlow 5.00 Grams And Ounces (9/2 bet365 bog) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainbow Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 4.45 Nottingham RAYAK takes the eye under Graham Lee, as looked capable of improving when winning, but then failed to shine. Needs to find more on all we know, but I'm sure capable of better and should appreciate the trip and ground today. Interesting jockey booking and a massive price, so in a race full of ifs and buts, looks well worth taking a chance on.0.5pts EW 66/1 Bet365 BOG Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluemal Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Kempton 7:25: Little Lord Nelson @ 25/1 betvictor e/w thanksLittle Lord Nelson...from Stuart Williams yard the 3yo had three frame finishes a 1st 3rd and 2nd over 6f ,7f and 8.5f and was looking to have came on from his early 2yo runs but for some reason the horse did not perform in last race at Epsom 8.5f when he finished 8/9 runners, He's been running with tongue strap in his race but this time their adding the hood on aswell to see if we get some improvement for that last run , Jockey Aaron Jones claiming 5lbs has been on when winning and 3rd place also on in that poor last race so he'll be able to judge if hood makes a difference as he's in saddle again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestthere Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 4.35 Towcester Miss Lamorna Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Towc 3.25 - Serenity Now - win at 3/1 bog ladbrokesClass 3 handicap hurdleThe current favourite, Argot, comes from the Longsdon yard and his runners are always poor value at tis time of year as they tend to backed whatever as he's got the reputation of being an early season trainer. Of course they still win races and this one won last time out at Plumpton.Plumpton and Towcester are very different and it remains to be seen how he handles a stiff track having won over no further than 6 furlongs on the flat and on a sharp track over sticksMy selection looks more of a stayer having won over 14 furlongs on the flat and over 20 furlongs at Hexham. He was beaten just over a length off this mark on his return to hurdles last time out and I'm taking him to outstay the favourite up the hill. Cracking Post! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 500 Ludlow: Grams And Ounces 9/2 bet365/888In the best form for a couple of years but although racing off another weight rise he is still 20lbs below the rating he had back in 2013 and 17lbs below his present chasing mark. Won on the flat the other day just to show his well being and as long as the rain hasn't got into the ground he must go close again.You got lucky, Grrrrr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wtrylika Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 5:55 Kempton, Ballynanty, 13.00 at William Hill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimmy2shoes Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 So many non runners today, what's the problem at the tracks ?. I'm going e/w on Gecko in the 18,25 at Kempton, available at 11/1 with 888sport and Betbright, also 32Red.Mmmmm weird eh, must just be the going, i think some places down south got some heavy rain last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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