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Xtc12

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On 1/19/2020 at 10:41 PM, Xtc12 said:

Mulcahys Hill 14.00 Newcastle 6 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)

2nd -  led, headed after 9th, tracked winner, pushed along 4 out, outpaced by winner next

Rouge VIF 13.45 Leicester 7 Pts Win @ 1\7 (bog)

Useful triple-hurdles winner who matched that form to score on chase bow at Market Rasen. Didn't do a lot wrong when second in the Wayward Lad last month (on the back of a wind op) and he should win. 

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15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Rouge VIF 13.45 Leicester 7 Pts Win @ 1\7 (bog)

Non Runner

Bob and Co. 15.15 Warwick 7 Pts WIn @ 4\6 (bog)

Smart hurdler/chaser in France who looks a notable recruit for top connections so, provided he's fully tuned up back from 10 months off, he'll take all the beating.

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On 1/21/2020 at 11:02 PM, Xtc12 said:

Bob and Co. 15.15 Warwick 7 Pts WIn @ 4\6 (bog)

PU -  pulled hard, led, not fluent 4th or 9th, rider having problems after 11th and looked difficult to control, pulled up before 12th (jockey reported he was having cramps in his legs)

Squeaky Bum Time

Young Offender 15.45 Fakenham 8 Pts WIn @ 5\6 (bog)

Runner-up sole outing in Irish points and left hurdling debut form behind (strong in betting) when game winner of 2½m novice here last month. Likely to progress again now upped further in trip.

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On 1/23/2020 at 12:04 AM, Xtc12 said:

Young Offender 15.45 Fakenham 8 Pts WIn @ 5\6 (bog)

:wall  3rd -  led, not fluent 2 out, headed last bend, soon 3rd and one pace

Mister Coffey 12.50 Huntingdon 9 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog)

Impressive when justifying short odds in Huntingdon bumper for Harry Whittington in April. Transferred to Nicky Henderson for £340,000 and also looked good on last month's hurdles bow at Newbury. 

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12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Mister Coffey 12.50 Huntingdon 9 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog)

2nd -  jumped left at times, pulled hard, led, clear until before 3 out, headed after 2 out, no extra flat

Well an unwanted record today 5 consecutive losers equals 2016\17 and last year, both still finished in profit.

1 win in 9 is not good at all. Will I have enough time to get back in profit ?

Paisley Park 15.35 Cheltenham 10 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Cemented spot at top of the staying tree over hurdles with a fine win in the Stayers' Hurdle over C&D. Added to winning spree in the Long Distance Hurdle at Newbury and he can land this race again.

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Paisley Park 15.35 Cheltenham 10 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

1st @ 4\6 -  mid-division, closed 6th, ridden off last bend, led last, pricked ears flat, stayed on, driven out

Desaray Girl 14.00 Sedgefield 10 Pts WIn @ 1\6 (bog)

Bred to make a jumper and has readily left behind her bumper form over hurdles, winning a brace of 10-runner contests. Hat-trick firmly on the cards despite a double penalty. 

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On 1/25/2020 at 10:12 PM, Xtc12 said:

Desaray Girl 14.00 Sedgefield 10 Pts WIn @ 1\6 (bog)

1st @ 1\6 - made all, wandered 1st, clear from 2 out, mistake last, easily

Cat Tiger 14.30 Plumpton 10 Pts WIn @ Evens (bog)

Smart chaser in France who boasts some solid novice form and defied a penalty when making all over C&D (soft) 22 days ago, pushed out. Carries a double penalty but sure to make another bold bid. 

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On 1/26/2020 at 10:33 PM, Xtc12 said:

Cat Tiger 14.30 Plumpton 10 Pts WIn @ Evens (bog)

1st @ Evs -  jumped well, made all, clear before 7th, reminder between last 2, stayed on strongly, unchallenged

Dunly 15.10 Newcastle 9 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Fair in bumpers. No impact over hurdles last term but different proposition over fences this season, winning last 2 starts at Ayr and this C&D. Will go on improving and obvious claims under a penalty. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Dunly 15.10 Newcastle 9 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

5th -  prominent, pushed along after 4 out, soon beaten, weakened 2 out

Imperial Alcazar 13.45 Leicester 10 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

Useful in bumpers and made a successful debut over hurdles at Aintree (20f) in October. Better form when runner-up twice since (listed event latterly) and sets a good standard for a race like this. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Imperial Alcazar 13.45 Leicester 10 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

 

1st @ 1\2 -  tracked leaders, led before 2 out, pushed clear, easily

Five O Clock 15.10 Limerick 10 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

Promising individual. 1/4, first run since leaving P. Lenogue when second of 14 in novice hurdle at Tramore (21f, heavy) on IRE NH debut 51 days ago. Down in trip. Trainer going well. Has good chance. 

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The money is down for this so looking a good selection Xtc, the only caution is that this horse failed when heavily backed last time by the new owner (that winner well beaten next time out)

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@Ratso he looked a bit dodgy when he jumped the last and hung badly to the left, lucky he found the rail. 

On 1/29/2020 at 10:04 PM, Xtc12 said:

Five O Clock 15.10 Limerick 10 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 -  tracked leaders, 4th from 5th, on terms after 3 out, raced on outer straight, led before 2 out, slight mistake last, joined run-in, stayed on best to prevail near line

Alhomora 15.40 Catterick 10 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Has taken her form to a new level recently, winning novice chase at Limerick and 3m handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse. Makes handicap chase debut and this Irish-raider is somewhat of an unknown quantity. 

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On 1/30/2020 at 10:12 PM, Xtc12 said:

Alhomora 15.40 Catterick 10 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Fell -  mostly tracked leader, led 12th, joined 4 out, shaken up and went 2nd lengths clear when fell last

On 2/1/2020 at 8:22 AM, Xtc12 said:

Kalooki 14.12 Wetherby 11 pts win @ 2/7 (bog)

1st @ 30\100 - made all, not fluent 2nd, clear when hit 3 out, not fluent 2 out, easily

12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

aspire Tower 13.25 Leopardstown 11 pts win @ 4/9 (bog)

Fell -  led, took keen hold, slight mistake 4th, pushed along entering straight, joined before last, challenged but with every chance disputing lead when fell at last

Dorking Cock 15.25 Carlisle 12 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Fairly useful 17f winner over hurdles. Jumped better than previously when off the mark over fences at Chepstow 4 weeks ago and there's scope for better still. 

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On 2/2/2020 at 11:09 PM, Xtc12 said:

Dorking Cock 15.25 Carlisle 12 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

1st @ 4\6 -  chased leader, jumped left 5th and 8th, led 2 out, clear flat, pushed out

The Mighty Don 13.40 Market Rasen 12 Pts Win @ 5\6 (bog)

Very useful staying hurdler. Has just about matched that form over fences without getting his head in front but this much less demanding than recent assignments and big player if jumping holds up. 

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On 2/3/2020 at 11:14 PM, Xtc12 said:

The Mighty Don 13.40 Market Rasen 12 Pts Win @ 5\6 (bog)

Fell - prominent, led 3rd, 3 lengths clear when fell last

**Sums up my luck at the moment, last three losers have fell at the last :@

Paint the Dream 14.15 Ludlow 13 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Successful hurdler going the right way over fences, second in good 20f Sandown handicap before seeming to excel himself behind Midnight Shadow in the Dipper. Good opportunity for him down in trip. 

 

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Hi Xtc, you've been very unlucky mate. I can't be with you on Paint the Dream today, the Wisdom of the Crowd seems to be against it and I can see that it has drifted considerably on the Exchanges but I wish you luck any way

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Paint the Dream 14.15 Ludlow 13 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

5th -  mostly tracked leader, hit 3rd, went left and lost place 8th, behind from 5 out, beaten when went left 3 out, soon eased, tailed off

Shishkin 14.31 Huntingdon 14 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Irish point/bumper winner who looked a really exciting prospect when winning 14-runner novice at Newbury impressively last month. Outstanding claims up in trip. 

 

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21 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Shishkin 14.31 Huntingdon 14 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

1st @ 1\2 -  tracked leaders, led 2 out, clear before last, ran on strongly

The Cashel Man 15.15 Bangor 14 Pts Win @ 2\9 (bog)

Useful Flat winner who has taken really well to hurdles, making all in 20f Newbury handicap before fine second to smart Thyme Hill in Grade 1 there. Proven at this trip so very hard to beat.

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On 2/6/2020 at 8:21 PM, Xtc12 said:

The Cashel Man 15.15 Bangor 14 Pts Win @ 2\9 (bog)

1st @ 2\9 -  led, headed 2 out, ridden and every chance before last, kept on towards finish (awarded race)

** Lucky yesterday, actually very lucky to get awarded the race in my opinion

Native River 15.00 Newbury 14 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog)

Outstayed Might Bite to land the 2018 Cheltenham Gold Cup and first success since when blitzing his rivals at Aintree in December in first-time blinkers. Third straight win in this on the cards.

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12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Native River 15.00 Newbury 14 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog)

1st @ 2\5 - mostly jumped well, made all and clear most of way, hit 3rd and 14th, ridden before 2 out, stayed on strongly, unchallenged

Ferny Hollow 16.55 Punchestown 14 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)

Twice-raced maiden. 8/13, second of 10 in bumper at Leopardstown (16f, soft) 43 days ago, clear of rest. Hood on 1st time. Shouldn't have much trouble getting off the mark. 

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Fraser Island 14.15 Plumpton 14 Pts Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Fairly useful on the Flat and looked a smart recruit to hurdles when scoring by 11 lengths first time up at Newbury. Just third under a penalty in the mud at Kempton next time but retains potential. 

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13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Fraser Island 14.15 Plumpton 14 Pts Win @ 6\4 (bog)

2nd -  prominent in chasing group, closer at 5th, went 2nd before 2 out, stayed on run-in, always held

Ferny Hollow 16.55 Punchestown 14 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog)

Twice-raced maiden. 8/13, second of 10 in bumper at Leopardstown (16f, soft) 43 days ago, clear of rest. Hood on 1st time. Shouldn't have much trouble getting off the mark. 

Edited by Xtc12
Wrong selection .... I hope

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First Flow 15.30 Leicester 15 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

Useful 2m hurdler who has made a positive start over fences this campaign, runner-up first 2 starts before landing odds at Hereford. Has remained in top form since and could well make all.

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On 2/12/2020 at 10:30 PM, Xtc12 said:

First Flow 15.30 Leicester 15 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog)

1st @ 8\11 -  made all, jumped left 1st, not fluent 3rd, clear normal 2 out, easily

Fix Sun 14.45 Fakenham 15 Pts WIn @ 1\3 (bog)

Bumper winner in France who made it 2 wins from as many starts over hurdles in impressive style after 8 months off at Market Rasen (18.6f). Tongue tie added and should take plenty of beating again.

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On 2/13/2020 at 10:51 PM, Xtc12 said:

Fix Sun 14.45 Fakenham 15 Pts WIn @ 1\3 (bog)

2nd -  led, blundered 3 out, challenged after next, headed and no extra closing stages

** Things not looking good this year, yesterday summed this thread up, Need a good run from now till the end of February to have any chance of finishing in profit.

Cyrname 15.35 Ascot 16 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Form took off with handicap/Grade 1 wins early last year, then saw off Altior in the 1965 chase over C&D on return. Below expectations when second in King George but returns to ideal conditions now. 

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11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Cyrname 15.35 Ascot 16 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Fell -  led, joined 12th, headed 3 out, pushed along and no extra in 3rd next, well beaten when fell last

:wall  Ballyadam 17.05 navan 17 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

£330,000 4-y-o, Fame And Glory gelding. Half-brother to fairly useful 2½m chase winner Legal Eyes. Dam unraced half-sister to useful hurdler Flemenson. Winner of sole start between the flags.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Ballyadam 17.05 navan 17 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

3rd -  a little keen, waited with and 9th early, closed travelling smoothly straight, pushed along 1 1/2f out and effort, one pace inside final furlong :puke

Sao Maxence 14.15 Carlisle 18 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)

Won a bumper on debut at Ayr over 2 years ago then was a good second under a penalty. Promising second on hurdling debut at Ayr on belated return last month and sets the standard on that form. 

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