skylark2009

Well that went well. ? In (0pts) Out (-11pts) Running Total (-47.07pts)

Running total (-36.07pts) Three bets for me today. Kempton 4.15 - Global Acclaim 5pts @ 6/5 B365 Kempton 6.20 - Uncle Dick 3pts @ 5/2 B365 Double (Global Acclaim/Uncle Dick) 1.5pts E/w @ 6.71 B365 Global Acclaim looks to have a very good chance to follow up here in this fairly looking weak contest. The extra furlong may play into his hands after his initial win here last year. Uncle Dick looks to be another capable of following up imo. Discomatic looks the threat here though. Looks to be a fairly even tempered line up looking at the odds available with four closely matched /rated horses, but Uncle Dick's win LTO may be help here. Total outlay (-11pts)

In (+13.13pts) Out (-31pts) Running Total (-36.07pts)

A few extra bets for me using HRB trend races that will supplement two previous bets (so far). Kempton 12.40 Severance - 1pt E/w @ 12/1 B365 (¼ odd, 12) Wetherby 14.05 Canelo - 2pts win @ 9/2 B365 Total Outlay (31pts)

Running Total (-18.22pts) Kempton 12.40 4th in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham in March, Third Time Lucki then started his hurdle career by winning his first two races. He left himself to much to do last time out, but did make up a lot of ground to be beaten by 3¾l's into 2nd place. Looks progressive and may make amends today. Third Time Lucki - 3pts win @ 11/8 B365 Kempton 13.50 Ran very well last time out and won comfortably, the 2nd (Darlac) won next time. 8/1 with B365 looks a huge price here, so an E/w bet. Enrilo - 1pt E/w @ 8/1 B365 Wetherby 14.05 Last time out winner (the 6th placed won next time). Trainer is 6 wins from 13 runners at Wetherby with runners who had won last time out. Snow Leopardess - 2pts win @ 9/2 B365 Leopardstown 14.15 Likes to lead in his races and shows battling qualities to get back to the front when behind. French breds have won this race in 5 of the last 6 runnings (Notebook (GER) won this last year). Felix Desjy - 3pts win @ 7/4 PaddyPower Limerick 14.35 Asterion Forlonge has previously beaten Pencilfulloflead and they meet again on equal terms here. The 2nd in AF's last race won next time with several others improving in their next races. I'll do two straight forecasts too (total 2pts) with said horses. Asterion Folonge - 4pts win @ 11/10 PaddyPower Asterion Folonge/Pencilfulloflead F/c 1.26pts @ 4/1 Paddy Power Pencilfulloflead/Asterion Folonge F/c 0.74pts @ 15/2 Paddy Power Wincanton 14.45 A dutch on the first two in the betting here (total 5pts). Shang Tang beat Southfield Harvest last time and was raised 5lb's. They look closely matched now on the weights and could go either way imo. Shang Tang does slighty edge it here for me though. Shang Tang - 2.68pts @ 11/4 PaddyPower Southfield Harvest - 2.32pts @ 10/3 PaddyPower Kempton 15.00 P Nicholls looks to have farmed this race with the likes of Kauto Star (five times), See More Business (twice), Silviniaco Conti (twice) and recently Clan Des Obeaux (twice) for a total of 11 wins from a total of 32 runners sent. Clan Des Obeaux is the worthy favourite here for a third win, but could be vulnerable from the in form Cyrname (2nd last year). A win bet on Cyrname and a saver on Clan Des Obeaux. Cyrname - 4pts win @ 11/4 PaddyPower Clan Des Obeaux - 2pts win @ 2/1 PaddyPower Total outlay 27pts

In (+2.22pts) Out (-12pts) Running Total (-18.22pts)

2.15 Southwell - Luscifer 5pts win @ 11/10 B365 On a potential three timer here over course/distance, the 2nd LTO (Geography Teacher) franked the form by winning next time out. 4.45 Southwell - Salam Al Faisal 5pts place @ 4/9 B365 Looks capable of at least placing here, the 5lb rise in the ratings may be enough to stop him winning outright though. The 4th LTO (Spring Romance) won next time and is running in an earlier race here today, which may further frank the form if winning. I'll also place a 2pt double (Luscifer to win, Salam Al Faisal to place) too. 2pt double - Luscifer (to win)/Salam Al Faisal (to place) @ 2.03/1 Total outlay 12pts

In (0pts) Out (-18pts) Running Total (-8.44pts)

Running Total (+9.56) Caribean Boy looks to be a good chaser in the making. He should act on the going and probably likes to run prominent or set the pace, which he will likely do again today.Itchy Feet has made some mistakes in his last couple of runs, but could very well be following Caribean Boy home today. 1.15 Ascot - Caribean Boy 5pts @ 4/5 B365 1.15 Ascot - Caribean Boy/Itchy Feet 1pt straight forecast (approx 2.49/1) Mengli Khan is of interest here as an E/w bet, formerly with trainer G Elliot but now trained by N Henderson. Won last time out by making all and the trainer change may be of help today. Looks a competitive race with several dangers, hence an E/w bet. 1.50 Ascot Mengli Khan 2.5pts E/w @ 9/1 B365 Espor De Guye is a tentative pick here. Already proven on the course (2 from 2) and will definately act on the likely going. Several others here also look strong contenders, making this a difficult race to gauge. 3.00 Ascot - Espoir De Guye 2pts @ 7/2 B365 My final picks are for Malaya/Night Edition in the 3.35, this is an E/w dutch (¼ odds) for the first six places (total 5pts). A very competitive race here, with Buzz, Master Debonair and Lightly Squeeze looking the best here. Malaya or Night Edition could well be in the mix at the end given the form from their last few races. 3.35 Ascot - Malaya 1.63pts E/w (six places) @ 8/1 B365 3.35 Ascot - Night Edition 0.87pts E/w (six places) @ 16/1 B365 Total bet - 18pts

Out (Total) -21pts In (Total) - +30.54pts (+9.56pts)

3.20 Lingfield An E/w dutch (total 3pts) on French Mix and Villanelle. French Mix has 2 previous wins here and has dropped down in the ratings to 55, she has won off a rating of 55 here previously. Villanelle's penultimate race saw the 1st and 2nd both run well next time out, French Mix - 0.45pts E/w @12/1 B365 Villanelle - 1.05pts E/w @ 9/2 B365 Total bet - 3pts R-Total (+12.56pts)

Out -18pts In - +30.54pts (+12.56pts)

12.40 Cheltenham Chantry House 5pt win @ 4/7 B365 Chantry House/Lieutenant Rocco 1pt twist F/c B365 Difficult to see past Chantry House here, some stamina/distance issues (imo) with the next two in the betting could see Lieutenant Rocco follow Chantry House home. 1.15 Cheltenham A dutch on the first two (total 5pts) here with a ½pt E/w on Born Survivor. Ibleo 2.63pts @ 7/2 B365 Sky Pirate 2.37pts @ 4/1 B365 Born Survivor ½pt E/w @ 14/1 B365 3.00 Cheltenham An E/w dutch on Ballyandy and Song For Someone here (total 5pts). Both have decent form on soft and have had a recent race, so should both strip fitter here. Goshen's lack of a recent NH race and his two recent disappointing flat races, may mean he needs the run here. Ballyandy 0.86pts E/w @ 16/1 B365 Song For Someone 1.64pts E/w @ 11/2 B365 Total 18pts bet.

Bets for 17/03/2020

Results for 16/03/2020