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Short Priced Favs


Xtc12

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On 12/19/2019 at 11:57 PM, Xtc12 said:

Angels Breath 12.45 Ascot 8 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

1st @ 2\7 -  made all, quickened pace 3 out, soon 5 lengths clear, eased flat, unchallenged (fence before swinley bottom not jumped 15 fences jumped)

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Paisley Park 14.25 Ascot 8 Pts Win @ 1\5 (bog)

Burst on to the Grade 1 scene with a win in this last year and hasn't looked back since, including Stayers' success at Cheltenham. Looked as good as ever on Newbury return and can't oppose.

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On 12/21/2019 at 9:14 AM, Xtc12 said:

Paisley Park 14.25 Ascot 8 Pts Win @ 1\5 (bog)

Non Runner

Neff 13.15 Fontwell 8 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

Fair handicapper on the Flat and successful on debut over hurdles here (19.2f) in October. Similar form in filling runners-up spot under a penalty both starts since and he should remain competitive. 

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On 12/26/2019 at 9:37 AM, Xtc12 said:

Neff 13.15 Fontwell 8 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

1st @ 1\3 -  made all, pressed before 2 out, soon left clear

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Chacun Pour Soi 13.10 Leopardstown 8 pts win @ 4/9 (bog)

2nd -  tracked leaders, keen hold early, 4th halfway, good jump to take narrow lead 3 out, pressed 2 out, ridden and joined approaching last, headed final 150 yards, no extra close home

Itchy Feet 14.05 leicester 9 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Smart novice over hurdles last season. Shade disappointing on return at Kempton in October, but every inch a chasing type and will be hard to beat granted a clear round. 

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On 12/28/2019 at 12:11 AM, Xtc12 said:

Itchy Feet 14.05 leicester 9 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

1st @ 4\11 -  jumped well, made all, clear 4 out, canter

On 12/29/2019 at 9:50 AM, Xtc12 said:

Stormy Ireland 13.20 Leopardstown 9 pts win @ 4/6 (bog)

1st @ 9\10 -  made all and soon clear, reduced advantage before 5th and 5 lengths lead halfway, slight mistake 3 out, travelled well early straight and kept on well from before last, easily

On 12/30/2019 at 8:50 AM, Xtc12 said:

Cloudy Glen 12.55 Haydock 9 pts win @ 4/6 (bog)

1st @ 5\6 - made all from sole rival, jumped a little left at times, clear when long at 4 out, stayed on well

 

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Oscar Maguire 15.00 Uttoxeter 3 Pts Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Improved in line with the longer trip during the summer, getting off the mark in fine style over C&D in July. Hit hard by the assessor but he's unexposed as a stayer and merits respect at this level.

 

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On 12/31/2019 at 9:37 AM, Xtc12 said:

Oscar Maguire 15.00 Uttoxeter 3 Pts Win @ 9\4 (bog)

2nd -  held up, headway on outside 8th, went 2nd 4 out, led 3 out, mistake 2 out, headed flat, held close home

Al Boum Photo 14.20 Tramore 2 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

Top-class chaser who landed Cheltenham Gold Cup before going down to Kemboy in Punchestown Gold Cup last term. Makes his eagerly-awaited return and hard to look beyond in a race he won 12 months ago.

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10 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Al Boum Photo 14.20 Tramore 2 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 -  disputed until headed before 2nd, close 3rd after, not fluent 3rd, 2nd from 8th, not fluent 11th, disputed from 12th, led 5 out, 3 length advantage after 2 out, kept on well under hands and heels run-in, comfortably

Update :

image.png.eafb03aa6bedebde4989996c76a21e85.png

Average Stake : 4.32 Pts

Ain't My Fault 14.10 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 5/4 (bog)

Ain't his fault he's yet to get his head in front, doing little wrong again when second to Nuts Well (won again on Wednesday) at Wetherby last time. Leading claims. 

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On 1/1/2020 at 10:12 PM, Xtc12 said:

Ain't My Fault 14.10 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 5/4 (bog)

3rd -  pressed winner, driven and lost place before 4 out, ridden after next, no impression 2 out, stayed on under pressure flat

Red Risk 14.45 Hereford 4 Pts Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Fairly useful jumper in France, off the mark over fences at Auteuil (17.4f) in September. Sold for €72,000 following month and seems sure to improve for new connections. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Red Risk 14.45 Hereford 4 Pts Win @ 5\4 (bog)

3rd @ Evs - tracked leaders, ridden in 3rd and well held when pecked last

Palladium 12.15 Sandown 5 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

Showed ability on the Flat for Martyn Meade and is related to a winning hurdler. Made a promising start in this sphere despite narrowly failing to justify favouritism at Warwick last month.

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On 1/3/2020 at 11:13 PM, Xtc12 said:

Palladium 12.15 Sandown 5 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

1st @ 4\7 -  raced keenly, tracked leader, led after 2nd, jinked left approaching 2 out, soon straightened and clear

Envoi Allen 14.20 Naas 5 Pts Win @ 3\10 (bog)

8/11, career best when winning 9-runner Royal Bond Novices' Hurdle at Fairyhouse (16f, soft) 35 days ago by 1½ lengths from Abacadabras (won Grade 1 since). Up in trip. Fantastic prospect. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Envoi Allen 14.20 Naas 5 Pts Win @ 3\10 (bog)

1st @ 3\10 -  disputed lead early, headed 2nd, regained lead after 2 out, pushed along and soon went clear, stayed on well under hands and heels run-in, comfortably

Beaufort West 13.50 Chepstow 5 Pts Win @ 10\11 (bog)

Maiden hurdler who had no chance in the Supreme and shaped better than distance beaten suggests in the Silver Trophy on reappearance here in October. Has had a win op and this is a drop in class. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Beaufort West 13.50 Chepstow 5 Pts Win @ 10\11 (bog)

1st @ 10\11 -  chased leader, carried left 3 out, led after next, clear before last, eased final 75 yards

Update :

image.png.afcc5a8326dfd38a156df788a5baa238.png

Average Stake : 4.45 Pts

Buzz 13.30 Taunton 3 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

Dam half-sister to fairly useful hurdler (stayed 21f) Teshali. Useful on Flat, stays 1½m, finished third last time. Could outclass these on hurdles debut for Nicky Henderson. 

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On 1/6/2020 at 8:53 PM, Xtc12 said:

Buzz 13.30 Taunton 3 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)

1st @ 1\2 - tracked leaders, led before 2 out, soon pressed, held on well, pushed out

Mick Pastor 12.45 Ludlow 3 Pts Win @ 5\6 (bog)

Well held sole Flat start but a different proposition when beating a subsequent French Group 1 winner at Auteuil (17.4f) back in May. Too free at Cheltenham in November but well worth another chance. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Mick Pastor 12.45 Ludlow 3 Pts Win @ 5\6 (bog)

1st @ 6\4 - mid-division, took keen hold, not fluent and pecked 5th, headway after 4 out, went 2nd 3 out, led next, clear last, easily

Stolen Silver 15.55 Leicester 3 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

Ran out a convincing winner on second hurdle start (unseated on debut) at Ffos Las in November. Similar form when runner-up in a better contest at Cheltenham and should take plenty of beating here. 

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On 1/8/2020 at 10:43 PM, Xtc12 said:

Stolen Silver 15.55 Leicester 3 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

Non Runner

Goshen 14.10 Huntingdon 3 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog)

Rapid improver on the Flat who has created an excellent impression over hurdles too with wide-margin wins in juvenile events at Fontwell and Huntingdon. Destined for bigger things and one to follow. 

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On 1/9/2020 at 11:09 PM, Xtc12 said:

Goshen 14.10 Huntingdon 3 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog)

Non Runner

Saint Xavier 12.55 Kempton 3 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

Fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser in France. Off 13 months, may have needed run in Cheltenham Grade 2 novice hurdle on first outing for new connections and this looks much easier. Tongue tie added.

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13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Saint Xavier 12.55 Kempton 3 Pts WIn @ 1\2 (bog)

1st @ 8\15 -  made all and kept bit wide, soon clear, steadied approaching 5th, good jump to go clear again 3 out, not fluent final 2, unchallenged

Blackbow 15.45 Punchestown 3 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Promising type. 2/9 and hooded, fell in novice hurdle at Navan (16f, heavy) 28 days ago (in control when fell last with race at mercy). Stable in good form. Hard to beat with a clear round.

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On 1/11/2020 at 10:30 PM, Xtc12 said:

Blackbow 15.45 Punchestown 3 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

4th -  led, a little keen, slight mistake 1st, joined approaching 2 out, headed run-in, no extra and one pace after

Flaminger 13.05 Lingfield 2 Pts WIn @ Evs (bog)

Made it 2-3 over fences when accounting for 5 rivals in a Fontwell handicap (17.8f, heavy) on Boxing Day. 6 lb rise tolerable and he probably has more to offer in this sphere. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Flaminger 13.05 Lingfield 2 Pts WIn @ Evs (bog)

3rd - led until after 9th, no impression on winner from 3 out, pecked 2 out, lost 2nd after last, no extra

WhiteHotChilliFili 15.05 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 4\9 (bog)

Above average in bumpers and confirmed the promise of her hurdle debut third when scoring at Wincanton on Boxing Day. More to come and this looks another good opening for her. 

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On 1/13/2020 at 10:47 PM, Xtc12 said:

WhiteHotChilliFili 15.05 Exeter 1 Pt Win @ 4\9 (bog)

Non Runner

Falco Blitz 15.15 Plumpton 1 Pt Win @ 2\7 (bog)

Off the mark in a Fakenham maiden in October, then acquitted himself well when hitting the frame in a couple of Cheltenham handicaps. Has found a good opportunity here.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Falco Blitz 15.15 Plumpton 1 Pt Win @ 2\7 (bog)

Non Runner

Fanfaron Dino 14.00 Wincanton 1 Pt Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Half-brother to 4 winners, including smart 2m hurdler Epatante. Showed plenty of ability in finishing second in a Ffos Las bumper last month and now goes hurdling in a very winnable race.

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On 1/15/2020 at 10:15 PM, Xtc12 said:

Fanfaron Dino 14.00 Wincanton 1 Pt Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Getting Good at picking these Non Runners

Kingsplace 14.15 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Warwick bumper winner who produced best effort to date over hurdles when second in Chepstow novice. Found out at Grade 1 level at Aintree next time but sets the standard back down in class on return. 

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On 1/16/2020 at 11:04 PM, Xtc12 said:

Kingsplace 14.15 Chepstow 1 Pt Win @ 8\13 (bog)

2nd -  not always fluent, made most until 3rd, led next, headed 6th, soon led again, headed 2 out, no impression on winner after, kept on final 100 yards as winner eased down

Goshen 12.40 Ascot 4 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

Rapid improver on the Flat who has created an excellent impression over hurdles too with wide-margin wins in juvenile events at Fontwell and Sandown. Destined for bigger things and one to follow. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Goshen 12.40 Ascot 4 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog)

1st @ 2\7 -  led, headed and not fluent 4th, led 5th, clear when jumped right 2 out and last, eased flat

Footpad 14.45 Thurles 5 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Outstanding novice chaser in 2017/8. Things didn't go to plan last term but back on track with course listed win on reappearance and failed to stay 3m in King George at Kempton. Leading claims.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Footpad 14.45 Thurles 5 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

2nd -  tracked leaders, headway 5th and led next, joined approaching straight and headed after 2 out, soon pushed along and no impression on winner before last, no extra

Mulcahys Hill 14.00 Newcastle 6 Pts Win @ 8\11 (bog)

Useful hurdler/chaser who made a winning return in 3m Cheltenham novice in October but must cast aside a heavy defeat in the Becher. Has had a wind op and goes in re-fitted cheekpieces.

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