Xtc12 Posted February 16, 2020 Author Share Posted February 16, 2020 Update (to see how bad it really is) Average Stake : 6.71 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 17, 2020 Author Share Posted February 17, 2020 On 2/16/2020 at 7:47 PM, Xtc12 said: Sao Maxence 14.15 Carlisle 18 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) 1st @ 1\2 - pressed leader, led 4th, made rest, pushed clear when not fluent last, ridden out flat, comfortably Pencilfulloflead 16.20 Punchestown 18 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog) Promising individual. Second of 21 in novice hurdle (5/4) at Naas (15.9f, soft) on hurdles bow 44 days ago, no match for winner. Stable having good spell. Sets the bar pretty high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 19, 2020 Author Share Posted February 19, 2020 On 2/17/2020 at 8:58 PM, Xtc12 said: Pencilfulloflead 16.20 Punchestown 18 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog) 1st @ 4\6 - mid-division, not fluent at 6th, slight mistake next, headway into 3rd at 8th, improved to dispute lead before 3 out, pushed along and led entering straight, ridden before last, slow jump and mistake at last, stayed on well inside final furlong Captain Cattistock 16.30 Doncaster 18 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) Useful hurdler/chaser who was holding his form well this season prior to an underwhelming hunter debut at Taunton 43 days ago. Should bounce back and take all the beating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 20, 2020 Author Share Posted February 20, 2020 On 2/19/2020 at 12:05 AM, Xtc12 said: Captain Cattistock 16.30 Doncaster 18 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) UR - led, clear when reminder after 14th, niggled along and 1 length ahead when wandered and unseated rider 2 out Salsaretta 13.55 Thurles 19 Pts Win @ 1\6 (bog) 8/11, career best when winning 5-runner minor event chase at Punchestown (20f, good to soft) 51 days ago, impressively. Longer trip sure to suit and could be a very good staying chaser in the making. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 20, 2020 Author Share Posted February 20, 2020 12 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Salsaretta 13.55 Thurles 19 Pts Win @ 1\6 (bog) 1st @ 1\5 - made all, still travelling smoothly straight, soon asserted and stayed on well run-in, easily Grand Roi 14.00 Warwick 19 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog) Wincanton bumper winner for new yard in December and landed the odds with ease on hurdling debut at Fakenham last month. The one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 22, 2020 Author Share Posted February 22, 2020 On 2/20/2020 at 11:58 PM, Xtc12 said: Grand Roi 14.00 Warwick 19 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog) 1st @ 4\6 - made all, wandered slightly into 3rd, drew clear from last (normal 2 out), easily Ferny Hollow 17.12 Fairyhouse 19 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog) Twice-raced maiden. 8/13, second of 10 in bumper at Leopardstown (16f, soft) 56 days ago, clear of rest. Hood on first time. Sets a good standard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 22, 2020 Author Share Posted February 22, 2020 12 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Ferny Hollow 17.12 Fairyhouse 19 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog) 1st @ 2\5 - held up towards rear, some headway on outer after halfway, 4th travelling well entering straight, smooth progress to lead 1 1/2f out, stayed on well, very easily Grand Sancy 14.50 Fontwell 19 Pts Win @ 2\13 (bog) Smart type over hurdles who has been far from disgraced pitched in to hot company over fences and should have no trouble getting off the mark in calmer waters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 23, 2020 Author Share Posted February 23, 2020 21 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Grand Sancy 14.50 Fontwell 19 Pts Win @ 2\13 (bog) 1st @ 1\5 - mostly jumped well and clear most of way, hit 11th, pushed out run-in, unchallenged Update Average Stake : 7.79 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 25, 2020 Author Share Posted February 25, 2020 Do Wanna Know 14.15 Catterick 19 Pts Win @ 1\16 (bog) Made a successful debut in 15-runner novice at Huntingdon in November, then shaped with plenty of encouragement before falling 2 out at Newbury later that month. Can't be opposed facing sole rival. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Do Wanna Know 14.15 Catterick 19 Pts Win @ 1\16 (bog) Surprise 1st @ 1\16 - made all from sole rival, pushed clear before last, kept on, readily Nanabelle 13.25 Market Rasen 19 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog) Unbeaten in 2 juvenile hurdles in France and picked up by top connections since, so firmly expected to maintain her unbeaten record before stepping up in grade. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 26, 2020 Author Share Posted February 26, 2020 14 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Nanabelle 13.25 Market Rasen 19 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog) 5th - raced keenly, mostly tracked leader, hit 4 out, driven when mistake and lost place 2 out, soon beaten, weakened flat Think this knocked the stuffing out of it for this year. Eritage 14.22 Taunton 20 Pts WIn @ 1\4 (bog) Has some strong form and he took off here before Christmas, winning extended 2m novice hurdle then a good second under a penalty behind a useful prospect. The one to beat up in trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 28, 2020 Author Share Posted February 28, 2020 Non Runner yesterday Monte Cristo 14.45 Newbury 20 Pts WIn @ 1\5 (bog) Fairly useful form in France, winning at Auteuil in October. Failed to meet market expectations when fourth starting out for Nicky Henderson last month but has sights lowered here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 29, 2020 Author Share Posted February 29, 2020 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Monte Cristo 14.45 Newbury 20 Pts WIn @ 1\5 (bog) 1st @ 1\5 - held up 3rd, went 2nd approaching 1st, led and hit 2nd, increased tempo next, shaken up and stayed on well from last (normal 2 out) Stratagem 13.37 Kelso 20 Pts WIn @ 4\9 (bog) Ready Auteuil winner on hurdling bow and subsequently bought for €260,000. 11/10, encouraging third after 4 months off in 2m Bangor novice for new yard. Tongue strap on now and looks the one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 29, 2020 Author Share Posted February 29, 2020 13 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Stratagem 13.37 Kelso 20 Pts WIn @ 4\9 (bog) 1st @ 4\9 - made all and clear most of way, in no danger when ridden between last 2, edged right flat, unchallenged Strong Glance 14.40 Sedgefield 20 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) Useful dual bumper winner who left previous hurdling efforts behind when forging clear to make a winning handicap debut at Market Rasen in January. Should have no trouble following up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 2, 2020 Author Share Posted March 2, 2020 On 2/29/2020 at 10:22 PM, Xtc12 said: Strong Glance 14.40 Sedgefield 20 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) 2nd - always chasing winner, every chance before 2 out, soon pushed along and beaten, eased flat AccordingtoGino 14.00 Wetherby 21 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog) Irish point winner who has shown fairly useful form over hurdles, fading but managing a place again at Uttoxeter (23.3f, heavy) last time. This looks his easiest task to date. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 On 3/2/2020 at 9:08 AM, Xtc12 said: AccordingtoGino 14.00 Wetherby 21 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog) 1st @ 4\9 - made all, driven clear before 3 out, ridden after next, all out towards finish, held on Mayo Star 14.20 Newcastle 21 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog) Bumper winner who returned from 18-month absence to land 20.5f Ayr novice hurdle (heavy) in January. Excellent chance of another win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 3, 2020 Author Share Posted March 3, 2020 13 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Mayo Star 14.20 Newcastle 21 Pts Win @ 1\3 (bog) 1st @ 1\3 - held up behind leaders on inside, closed before 6th, led approaching last, clear flat, easily Wishing and Hoping 16.50 Catterick 21 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog) Formerly a useful chaser for Alan King who was unbeaten in points and made an impressive winning return at Taunton. Undone by Alcala at Haydock last time but this looks much easier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 5, 2020 Author Share Posted March 5, 2020 On 3/3/2020 at 11:22 PM, Xtc12 said: Wishing and Hoping 16.50 Catterick 21 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog) 1st @ 1\2 - jumped well, made all, drew readily clear from 3 out, in no danger after, easily ** Today is the day that will make or break this for the season Lastin Memories 14.50 Carlisle 21 Pts Win @ 7\4 (bog) Winning hurdler who confirmed opening chase promise to score at Kelso (17f, blinkered) in January, his jumping looking assured. Step up in trip will hold no fears and respected from 6 lb higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 5, 2020 Author Share Posted March 5, 2020 10 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Lastin Memories 14.50 Carlisle 21 Pts Win @ 7\4 (bog) 4th - chased leader until 8th, 2nd again when pecked 5 out, lost 2nd when slow 3 out, stayed on same pace, not fluent last Martha brae 14.15 Ffos Las 22 Pts Win @ Evens (bog) Bumper winner who opened her account over hurdles in a mares' novice at Fontwell (19.2f) in December. Better form when runner-up twice since and will benefit from a return to 2½m. Cheekpieces added. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 7, 2020 Author Share Posted March 7, 2020 On 3/5/2020 at 11:08 PM, Xtc12 said: Martha brae 14.15 Ffos Las 22 Pts Win @ Evens (bog) 2nd - led, strongly challenged after 3 out, headed after next, mistake last, rallied closing stages, kept on well under pressure Energumene 14.50 Gowran Park 23 Pts win @ 2/7 (bog) Confirmed debut promise when winning14-runner bumper (8/11) at Thurles (16f, good to soft) 57 days ago, shaken up to assert. Nice prospect for jumping. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 7, 2020 Author Share Posted March 7, 2020 13 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Energumene 14.50 Gowran Park 23 Pts win @ 2/7 (bog) 1st @ 2\7 - made all, travelling smoothly approaching straight, soon went on, stayed onwell, very easily. Beacon Edge 15.45 Naas 23 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog) Smart form in Bumpers and duly landed the odds on return/debut in this sphere at Punchestown (2m Soft) in October. Improved when close second in C&D Grade 2 4 months later. Likely more to come. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 8, 2020 Author Share Posted March 8, 2020 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Beacon Edge 15.45 Naas 23 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog) 2nd - tracked leader in 2nd, ridden and improved to lead at last, strongly pressed inside final furlong, headed and no extra last strides Iconic Muddle 14.00 Plumpton 24 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog) Has made a bright start over hurdles, doing little wrong in defeat. Good second to the classy Cat Tiger over C&D at the start of the year before 2 good efforts in handicaps. The one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 9, 2020 Author Share Posted March 9, 2020 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Iconic Muddle 14.00 Plumpton 24 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog) 1st @ 8\13 - chased leader, led 4 out, not fluent 3 out, clear from next, easily Benie Des Dieux 16.10 Cheltenham 24 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog) Successful on all 8 completed starts for yard, her only defeat coming when falling at last with this race at her mercy 12 months ago. Faces a tough opponent in Honeysuckle but still the one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 10, 2020 Author Share Posted March 10, 2020 On 3/9/2020 at 8:28 PM, Xtc12 said: Benie Des Dieux 16.10 Cheltenham 24 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog) 2nd - tracked leaders, switched outside 2 out, soon poised to challenge, every chance last, ridden and kept on under pressure flat, always just held Three days left of a terrible year Tiger Roll 16.10 Cheltenham 25 Pts Win @ 10\11 (bog) Has successfully used this race as a stepping stone en route to winning last 2 Grand Nationals. Seeking fifth Festival success overall and should be spot-on following reappearance spin over hurdles. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 11, 2020 Author Share Posted March 11, 2020 (edited) On 3/10/2020 at 10:20 PM, Xtc12 said: Tiger Roll 16.10 Cheltenham 25 Pts Win @ 10\11 (bog) 2nd - mid-division, headway and in touch halfway, went 2nd after 25th, driven and unable to quicken after 2 out, ridden and kept on under pressure before last, weakened flat Giovanni Change 15.15 Hexham 26 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) Won first of his 2 starts in bumpers (for Emmet Mullins) and has made a very encouraging start over hurdles, with two third placed efforts in novice/maiden at Wetherby. The one to beat. Edited March 11, 2020 by Xtc12 Wrong Selection Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PunterPhil Posted March 12, 2020 Share Posted March 12, 2020 I recommend to never bet shorter than 6/4 because its proven difficult to make a profit. That's just my anecdotal way. Xtc12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted March 12, 2020 Share Posted March 12, 2020 to Punters Lounge @PunterPhil Not wanting to hijack @Xtc12's thread here, but I think it's all relative. If you're talking about a 6/4 shot in a low grade race, then yeah it's a much bigger risk as the consistency won't be there. However, if you'd been offered 6/4 on Frankel every time he ran, I guess you would have ripped that bookmakers arm off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PunterPhil Posted March 12, 2020 Share Posted March 12, 2020 Thanks for the welcome mate. I'm new here and just finding my feet! Look out for my posts in the Cheltenham thread later. I will hopefully post some good winners for the site. Sir Puntalot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 12, 2020 Author Share Posted March 12, 2020 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Giovanni Change 15.15 Hexham 26 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) Non Runner And last one for the year (thank God) Coole Well 13.55 Fakenham 26 Pts Win @ 6\4 (bog) Plumpton novice hurdle winner over 2m last season who has taken well to fences with a trio of runner-up efforts. Brushed aside at Ludlow but obvious claims back over hurdles in a small field here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 13, 2020 Share Posted March 13, 2020 19 hours ago, PunterPhil said: I recommend to never bet shorter than 6/4 because its proven difficult to make a profit. That's just my anecdotal way. I fully support this recommendation. The more people that refuse to back short priced horses then the better value they will be for me to make excellent profits. Xtc12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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