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Xtc12

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A Little Chaos 13.45 Fakenham 15 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Ex-pointer who left previous efforts behind when making all in a C&D novice in December but may have to pull out a bit more if she's to defy a penalty, acknowledging she really only has one to beat. 

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On 1/30/2019 at 10:44 PM, Xtc12 said:

A Little Chaos 13.45 Fakenham 15 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog)

Non Runner

On 2/2/2019 at 11:17 AM, Xtc12 said:

Buveur D'Air 13.50 Sandown 15 pts win @ 1/8 (bog)

1st @ 1\5 -  tracked leader 1st, left in lead on long run before 3rd, steadied into 2nd place 3 out, led on bit 2 out, quickened clear from the last, not extended

On 2/3/2019 at 12:44 AM, Xtc12 said:

Delta Work 15.00 Leopardstown 15 pts win @ 13/8 (bog)

Non Runner

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Southfield Stone 13.45 Taunton 15 pts win @ 3/10 (bog)

2nd - led, joined last, headed and unable to quicken run-in, kept on for clear 2nd

Quantum of Solace 14.20 Market Rasen 16 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)

In good form over hurdles this season and left previous chase starts behind when runner-up at Huntingdon and Ffos Las last 2 starts. Remains of interest. 

 

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On 2/4/2019 at 11:52 PM, Xtc12 said:

Quantum of Solace 14.20 Market Rasen 16 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)

In good form over hurdles this season and left previous chase starts behind when runner-up at Huntingdon and Ffos Las last 2 starts. Remains of interest. 

2nd -  held up off the pace in 6th, closer approaching 8th, tracked leaders next, 2nd before 3 out, challenged next, went left last, ridden to lead briefly and hung left run-in, soon no extra

Galvin 14.00 Ayr 17 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

Unbeaten in 3 starts during the summer, namely 2 bumpers and maiden hurdle, and took form to a new level when landing a good-quality 4-runner novice at Navan last month. Will take some stopping. 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Galvin 14.00 Ayr 17 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog)

1st @ 4\11 -  tracked leader, challenged going well after 3 out, led narrowly between last 2, hard pressed when driven and hung left flat, kept on towards finish

Arvica Bleu 13.15 Thurles 17 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Useful chaser. 5/2, very good third of 7 in handicap chase at Naas (16f, good to soft) 32 days ago, travelling strongly. Looks competitive on form. 

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15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Arvica Bleu 13.15 Thurles 17 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Fell - chased leader, hampered 1st, slightly bumped 4th, 3rd halfway, improved to lead and dispute at 5th, ridden in lead after 2 out, joined again last when fell

Well the last four days have been a disaster and the Horse Flu is another hindrance. At the moment the pessimist in me says it will be tough to make a profit this year. 

Edited by Xtc12
add a word

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On 2/9/2019 at 8:57 AM, Xtc12 said:

City Island 12.40 Naas 18 pts win @ 1/5 (bog)

1st @ 1\5 - tracked leader, 2nd halfway, headway to lead after 2 out and soon asserted, stayed on well run-in, very easily

On 2/10/2019 at 8:48 AM, Xtc12 said:

Josies Orders 13.45 Punchestown 18 pts win @ 13/8 (bog)

1st @ 13\8 - always prominent, improved to dispute lead 7 out, headed 3 out, ridden to lead after 2 out, stayed on well under pressure run-in

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Poperinghe Ginger 14.20 Musselburgh 16 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Showed ability in bumpers and took a step forward from hurdling debut when close second in maiden event at Huntingdon (20.7f) last month, running on late. Hard to beat. 

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On 2/12/2019 at 10:57 PM, Xtc12 said:

Poperinghe Ginger 14.20 Musselburgh 16 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

2nd - led, not fluent 2nd, soon headed, led again after next, headed 2 out, hung left and no extra closing stages

Definitly Red 15.00 Kelso 17 Pts Win @ 1\7 (bog)

Has looked as good as ever this term, supplementing his Charlie Hall success in the Grade 2 Many Clouds Chase at Aintree in December. Disappointing if he can't win this match. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Definitly Red 15.00 Kelso 17 Pts Win @ 1\7 (bog)

2nd - led, pushed along after 3 out, joined next, soon headed, switched right before last, edged left flat, unable to get back on terms

This is like a yo-yo this season , get a good winner then followed by a couple of losers. Hard to call this year.

Update:

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Kalashnikov 13.50 Sandown 18 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

Smart hurdler who made a promising start over fences this term, winning small-field events at Warwick and Plumpton. No disgrace in going down to Dynamite Dollars last time and sets the standard here.

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20 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Kalashnikov 13.50 Sandown 18 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog)

2nd - chased winner, pushed along and not fluent 7th (water), hit next, pushed along and no chance with winner before 3 out, finished tired

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Clan Des Obeaux 14.45 Ascot 19 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

Not disgraced on return in the Betfair Chase and subsequently took a big step forward when landing the King George at Kempton (3m). Remains unexposed as a stayer and he's hard to oppose. 

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12 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Clan Des Obeaux 14.45 Ascot 19 Pts Win @ 2\5 (bog)

1st @ 2\5 - tracked leaders, went 2nd 5th, closer 4 out, travelling well 2 out, good jump to lead last, quickened easily clear

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Chosen Path 15.50 Market Rasen 19 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog)

Proved a different proposition on second run over fences with a smooth win in extended 23f Newbury handicap in December, jumping a lot better. Smart prospect. 

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On 2/16/2019 at 9:51 PM, Xtc12 said:

Chosen Path 15.50 Market Rasen 19 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog)

2nd -  led, went right and pecked 1st, not fluent 4th, went right 6th and 4 out where brushed wing, ridden and went right 2 out, pressed when went right last, soon hung right and headed, no extra

Two two horse races recently and I have managed to pick the loser in each. Tomorrows pick I think will make or break the system for this year.

Dominateur 15.15 Lingfield 20 Pts Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Fairly useful form when placed in strong Chepstow events on his last 2 starts. The one to beat.

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Coolanly 14.55 Wetherby 19 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

Fell on reappearance but back on the up with victory in 21f Grade 2 event at Cheltenham. Done for speed in the Grade 1 Challow at Newbury since but sets clear standard here. 

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On 2/18/2019 at 8:17 PM, Xtc12 said:

Coolanly 14.55 Wetherby 19 Pts WIn @ 2\5 (bog)

2nd - led until approaching 5th, remained well there, led again before 3 out, ridden and headed run-in, kept on

Azzerti 14.25 Ludlow 20 Pts Win @ 1\8 (bog)

Useful hurdler/chaser. Hampered when falling at Cheltenham last month. Clear round is all that is needed in this company. 

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    • Sunderland vs Portsmouth Things heat up in the League One promotion race this weekend when the teams positioned in 3rd and 4th in the table meet. It's Portsmouth who travel to Sunderland for this 3pm kick-off on Saturday. Both teams have a game in hand on 2nd placed Barnsley so victory could prove pivotal in the quest for the Championship. Sunderland will still be reeling after their loss in the final of the Checkatrade Trophy Final a matter of weeks ago. Jack Ross has done an incredible job of turning the Black Cats from a complete mess into a rebuilding project that could bounce back to the Championship at the first time of asking. Just 1 defeat in their last 22 league games has kept them in touch with the front runners but a win here is vital if they are to stand any real hope of pipping their rivals to a top two spot. Portsmouth have used their Checkatrade Trophy success to push their league form onto the next level. If anyone knows how to handle League One then it's Kenny Jackett. The former Wales international has enjoyed promotion from the division with both Millwall and Wolves plus also reached the League One Play-Off Final with Swansea. His side have now won 7 league games on the bounce. They also boast a brilliant away record that is the best in the league having earned 5 more points than any other side on the road. The head-to-head record is probably something that Sunderland fans want to avoid if they are to maintain any optimism coming into this game. It's now 8 games in all competitions (2 draws and 6 losses) without a win for Sunderland against Portsmouth. However, no team in League One has lost less games than the Black Cats this season. The problem is they've drawn 18 of their 43 league matches. I can see that tally being added to hear in what could be a thrilling game where both sides have to take risks or contemplate surrendering their automatic promotion fight. Draw @ 3.50 with Unibet BTTS @ 1.83 with Sportingbet @Papa Lazarou, @freestylerx, @allyhibs, @iBetting, @betcatalog, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @kulikTS, @golakeh1, @Unnamed, @willie82, @dogmeister, @TheEdge, @JJG, @allthethings, @Mindfulness, @the bastardian, @teddybear3011, @Marek76, @salmonman, @Unnamed, @mij0sim, @jazzman02, @Bobby Vegas, @Teodore, @Tiffy, @nenri981, @MangoTheThird, @Johnmccain, @Papa Lazarou, @VYA, @THEODORE-007, @Hitch, and @sajtion, are you guys betting on any of these games this weekend? Tell us your tips!
    • James Watt 15.20 beverley 10/1 bet 365
    • 2.35 Warwick Mr Palmtree 33/1 Bet365
    • I tried two bets this Round that I liked lots    Watford DNB Man United DNB
    • Perth 3.00  My Valentino.  40/1  Skybet
    • Liverpool vs Huddersfield The Premier League title race takes centre stage on Friday night when Liverpool host already relegated Huddersfield in an 8pm kick-off from Anfield. Can the Reds leapfrog league leaders Manchester City with a win and maintain the pressure on their title rivals? Liverpool are doing everything they can to stay in the title race. Jurgen Klopp's men are undefeated in the league since their 3rd January loss to Manchester City. In addition to that, the Reds have now won six league games in a row including keeping back-to-back clean sheets. Huddersfield are a contradictory tale with Jan Siewert's side having already known their relegation fate for a number of weeks now. The Terriers are in 20th place with just 14 points accumulated so far this season. It's now 20 defeats from their last 22 league matches and that includes 7 league losses on the bounce. Easy to see why the bookies heavily favour Liverpool here. Especially because Huddersfield have only won 1 of their 17 away games in the league this season. It could also be the fact that Huddersfield haven't won at Liverpool since 18th August, 1956. As everyone has suggested, there's no value in a home win. It seems almost inevitable. However, it's worth noting that despite Huddersfield not getting the results this season they hardly ever get properly turned over by teams. Only on 4 occasions in their last 22 league games has a team beaten them by more than 2 goals. I can see something similar happening here with the Liverpool nerves. The longer Huddersfield dig in, the more nervy the home fans may get. I'm thinking a handicap for Huddersfield might be worth a bet here. Huddersfield +4 @ 1.62 with Sportingbet Total Goals Scored Under 3.5 @ 2.48 with 888Sport @Mindfulness, @Pep004, @MaliMisko12, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @godofhorses, @Tiffy, @waynecoyne, @The Sexless Innkeeper, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @Duke_Tm, @dogmeister, @Arkadi Manucharov, @derbent, @fat, @allyhibs, @6avin24, @discipline, @the bastardian, @Bronxie, @Bett, @KikoCy, @teddybear3011, @markus808, @allthethings, @Kenton Schweppes, @vasilli07, @Dylan Lynch, @neilovan, @JKos, @zemo91, @kulikTS, @mrclubbie, @Judeksi, @Henind666, @Teodore, @kilkenny1, @newjack, @PokerWolf1, @Dave1X2, @real55555, @jazzman02, @Ameer13, @Gedkip, @mcsilks, @MangoTheThird, @Roy The Boy, @DonPaulo, @Duckets, @yossa6133, @sjuesju, @dylanphan, @thfc, @Dboston, @Dr. Florida192, @money44, @1moregoal, @ggm31v, @EuroDream, @ndanmak, @cummins91, @vicsuna, @abigail, @Carovie, @thfc, @Hitch, and @AndreBR, what do you guys think about the Premier League betting this weekend?
    • Rock In Society 9.00 Chelmsford 11/2 Paddy Power
    • Liverpool v Hudders Liverpool to win is the only realistic result. we can all try and predict how many Goals, but it could either be a tight scorline or a 6-0 type scoreline. Theres no way of knowing until we see how the Teams line up. So Ive decided to just go for the boring Liverpool win.   Liverpool to win  1.08 betfair.     
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