Xtc12 Posted March 17, 2021 Author Share Posted March 17, 2021 22 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Monkfish 13.55 Cheltenham 3 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog) 1st @ 4\11 - led, slow 2nd, not fluent and headed 8th, led 4 out, soon headed, led again 3 out, 3 1/2 lengths ahead of 2nd but had loose horse just in front when mistake last, stayed on well, comfortably Envoi Allen 13.20 Cheltenham 3 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) Still on a remarkable unbeaten run and 3-3 over fences after easily landing Grade 3 at Punchestown in January. Top-class prospect who has scored at last two Festivals. Hard to beat for new yard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 18, 2021 Author Share Posted March 18, 2021 23 hours ago, Xtc12 said: Envoi Allen 13.20 Cheltenham 3 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog) Fell - chased leaders, fell 4th The Dellercheckout 16.40 Fakenham 2 Pts WIn @ 4\6 (bog) Made a winning hunter debut at Ludlow (3m) in February 2020. Stuck in the mud when distant third of 4 at Haydock final start. Third in a point in December. Looks the one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 On 3/18/2021 at 9:25 PM, Xtc12 said: The Dellercheckout 16.40 Fakenham 2 Pts WIn @ 4\6 (bog) Pulled Up - towards rear, headway and left in third when hampered 12th, ridden before 2 out, pulled up after 2 out *** Well finished the year just as we started picking losers. Still finished in profit having had the worst start that I ever had, taking 81 bets before making a profit. I had 59 winners in total the joint third worse,equaling 18\19. The profit of 11.30 was the 9th lowest in 12 years. The Strike Rate of 60.20% was the tenth year we broke the 60% strike rate. We equaled the unwanted record of most consecutive losers of 5 while the most consecutive winners was 6. 2020/2021 Overall May come back to continue next year as I am still in profit overall. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 20, 2021 Share Posted March 20, 2021 Well done although the staking plan is still too racy for me. What was the return to LSP ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 10 hours ago, MCLARKE said: Well done although the staking plan is still too racy for me. What was the return to LSP ? LSP , if my Maths is right is -5.74. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 18, 2021 Author Share Posted November 18, 2021 Well its that time of the year again ! Back to give it another go, Year 13. The last three years has been a bit of a struggle with 2019\2020 being the worse year of them all. (a loss of 179 Pts) It is one bet a day, stakes vary depending on profit / strike rate. This may not (probably not) be profitable at level stakes. I will be looking for a Strike Rate of about 64% or better and a profit of over 2,5%. Will finish up on the last day of Cheltenham in March. Go Dante 13.30 Ascot 3 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog) Has looked a very good prospect with impressive victories in Wincanton bumper and Bangor novice hurdle. A clear round here should see him remain unbeaten. LEE-GRAYS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 20, 2021 Author Share Posted November 20, 2021 On 11/18/2021 at 10:18 PM, Xtc12 said: Go Dante 13.30 Ascot 3 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog) not jump well, tracked winner, not fluent 3 out, soon pushed along, ridden and switched right approaching 2 out, not pace to challenge Bob Olinger 12.20 Gowran Park 2 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog) Continued his ascendancy with a fantastic display in the Ballymore Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival when last seen. That form is strong and he's a most exciting prospect for chasing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 1st @ 2\7 yesterday Hollow Games 13.50 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 4\6 (bog) Wide-margin point winner who fetched £255,000 and has remained unbeaten under Rules, easily landing novice hurdle at Down Royal (22.5f, soft) on return 23 days ago. Exciting prospect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 1st @ 4\6 today Brief Ambition 13.25 Ludlow 4 Pts WIn @ 2\7 (bog) Successful twice over hurdles this year and looked a natural when making a winning chase debut at Kempton (20.5f, good to soft) 2 weeks ago. Up 11 lb, but should have more to offer in this sphere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 22, 2021 Author Share Posted November 22, 2021 1st @ 1\3 today Sure Touch 13.55 Southwell 5 Pts Win @ 4\9 (bog) Showed fairly useful form when landing Wincanton bumper but tailed off in Grade 2 bumper at Aintree in April. Goes over hurdles now and needs considering with yard going well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 24, 2021 Author Share Posted November 24, 2021 2nd yesterday Le Chiffre D'Or 12.30 Hereford 6 Pts Win @ 2\11 (bog) Easy winner of a Wincanton bumper in April and comfortably landed a weak novice hurdle here (16.2f) 2 weeks ago. This looks another good opening under a penalty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 25, 2021 Author Share Posted November 25, 2021 1st @ 2\11 yesterday Cilaos Emery 13.05 Thurles 6 Pts Win @ 1\4 (bog) Classy chaser with 4 wins from 9 starts over fences, all in small fields. Collared by Samcro at Killarney (20f, good) when last seen and he should make a winning return on first go over this trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 26, 2021 Author Share Posted November 26, 2021 1st @ 3\10 yesterday Jonbon 13.15 Newbury 6 Pts Win @ Evens (bog) Bother to top-class hurdler/chaser Douvan. Cost £540,000 following a point win and quickened clear in good style to making a winning bumper bow over C&D in March. Very exciting prospect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 27, 2021 Author Share Posted November 27, 2021 1st yesterday @ Evens Flic Ou Voyou 15.28 Doncaster 3 Pts Win @ 5\6 (bog) Three-time hurdle winner last term. Made an encouraging start over fences when third in 2m Uttoxeter handicap 29 days ago. Cheekpieces go on now, and he seems sure to step forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 1st @ 10\11 yesterday Honeysuckle 14.40 Fairyhouse 3 Pts WIn @ 4\9 (bog) Unbeaten in 12 starts. Won this corresponding event (for second successive season), Irish Champion Hurdle, Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham and Punchestown Champion Hurdle last term. Hard to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 1st @ 4\9 yesterday Lebowski 12.30 Ayr 3 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog) Fair in bumpers but proved a different proposition sent hurdling for new yard, dismantling 10 rivals in 2m Ffos Las novice 3 weeks ago. That form looks good and he's a useful novice in the making. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 1st @ 8\11 today Lydford 15.00 Southwell 3 Pts Win @ 8\13 (bog) Useful 12f handicapper on Flat for Roger Varian who made a promising start in this sphere on back of wind op when runner-up in 2m Leicester novice. In excellent hands, and he can go one better now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 1, 2021 Author Share Posted December 1, 2021 Another Brown Bear - 13.15 Haydock 3 pts win @ 5/2 (bog) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 1st @ 11\8 Tuesday & PU on Wednesday Elimay 12.20 Aintree 2 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog) Very smart chaser who ran a fine race when second in Mrs Paddy Power Mares' Chase at Cheltenham. Signed off for season with comfortable success at Fairyhouse, and she's the one to beat on her return. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 5, 2021 Author Share Posted December 5, 2021 3rd yesterday Energumene 14.20 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 1\3 (bog) Promising type. Career best when winning 4-runner Ryanair Novices' Chase at Punchestown (16f, good to soft, 2/5) by 16 lengths from Janidil, hard held. Off 7 months. Clearly the one to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 5, 2021 Author Share Posted December 5, 2021 1st @ 1\3 today Skycutter 12.45 Musselburgh 4 Pts Win @ 4\6 (bog) Fairly useful Flat winner who made a promising start in this sphere when comfortably bagging 9-runner juvenile hurdle at Wetherby 12 days ago, despite jumping right. Holds clear edge on form. Player. Budgie 65 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 7, 2021 Author Share Posted December 7, 2021 1st @ 4\6 yesterday Oceanline 12.20 Fontwell 5 pts Win @ 6\5 (Bog) Dual winner on the Flat and well clear of the rest when beaten just over a length on debut in this sphere at Stratford. Proved a shade disappointing at Wetherby next time but it's still early days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 8, 2021 Author Share Posted December 8, 2021 3rd yesterday Aazza 13.20 Hexham 6 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog) Won Irish point on debut in April and maintained her unbeaten record in game fashion when landing a C&D novice hurdle last month. Has an excellent chance of following up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 8, 2021 Author Share Posted December 8, 2021 2nd today Guily Billy 12.35 Tramore 7 Pts Win @ 4\7 (bog) Promising sort. 1/3, second of 8 in novice hurdle at Clonmel (16.6f, heavy) on NH debut 42 days ago. Clearly thought capable of better and will take all the beating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 9, 2021 Author Share Posted December 9, 2021 1st today at an excellent price of 11\8, thanks to WP Mullins reserve coming in for a NR Barrichello 15.10 Bangor 5 Pts Win @ 1\5 (bog) Slightly frustrating last season but an improved performer during the autumn, winning a brace of novice events at Bangor and Haydock (listed). Expected to defy a double penalty. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 8 hours ago, Xtc12 said: 1st today at an excellent price of 11\8, thanks to WP Mullins reserve coming in for a NR Yep, thank goodness for BOG, I had it as my nap at 4/6. Xtc12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 Disappointing 4th today My Drogo 12.40 Cheltenham 6 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog) Made it 4 from 4 over hurdles in Grade 1 at Aintree in April and looked set to make a winning start over fences when departing at the trappy second last 4 weeks ago. The one to they all have to beat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 1st @ 2\7 yesterday Gold Cup Bailly 13.05 Carlisle 6 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog) Won sole start in points and excellent start under Rules when third in a big-field maiden at Punchestown before bumping into Ahoy Senor at Ayr in March. Very much the one to beat up in trip. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 3rd today Nassalam 13.00 Plumpton 7 Pts Win @ 6\5 (bog) Useful hurdler who has looked a good chase prospect, albeit fortunate to follow up his Ascot handicap win in Newbury Grade 2 (3 lengths down when left clear 2 out). Will improve further. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 2nd today Vee Dancer 14.15 Catterick 8 Pts Win @ 4\11 (bog) On a roll and again looked to have masses in hand as he followed up his Huntingdon victory in good style under this rider at Hereford on Saturday. All stamina and the hat-trick beckons. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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