four-leaf

Jimmy White to beat Stephen Maguire at 7.50 with Unibet
Jimmy White to beat (+3.5 frames) Stephen Maguire at 1.81 with Unibet
Fancy the Whirlwind tonight. He's strolled past twice by 6-0 so 3 frames or even the match could be possible.

So, we have the NextGen Finals, the BJK Cup, and Challengers on the cards this week. Good luck if you're getting involved!
Emilio Nava to beat Tennys Sandgren at 1.60 with BetVictor
Sandgren has been taking things pretty conservatively this season, not even playing that much, while Nava is firmly on the up and eyeing a spot in the top 100 next year. He crushed Sandgren 6-3 6-4 back in May, and could very well do the same here.
 

The courts are faster than last year according to Djokovic

Might as well say that if Badosa does show up Vika will probably not have it easy but as said before she hasn't showed up for a long time.

I gotta say that Badosa is very much hit or miss nowadays or has been so far for a long time.

I'll be backing Azarenka over Badosa at 1.80 with William Hill today, she looked decent in her first match here, and I can't see Badosa getting out of the rut before the end of the season honestly.

You could be right Czech, although I will say that Badosa has certainly improved, she could easily have been one set up in both of her last two matches against decent opponents. I expect it will be close match, wouldn't be surprised to see it going three long sets. 

QPR vs Cardiff
The Championship once again provides some midweek fun and frolics for us. QPR host Cardiff in a 7:45pm BST kick-off on Wednesday night at Loftus Road. These two teams have spent a fair bit of time bouncing between the second tier and top tier of English football having endured their own strife lower down the league ladder as well. 14 places separate them in the table now but there's only 6 points difference in what is a very closely fought division.
QPR were my leftfield pick to get promoted last season but I wasn't as optimistic for them this season. Head coach Michael Beale is doing a cracking job though with the team currently in 4th position in the table and only 1 point off the top spot. The Hoops suffered a disappointing 3-1 loss away to Luton on the weekend in a result that ended a 5-game unbeaten run in the league that consisted of 4 victories and a draw. The team have only lost 1 of their 6 home league games so far this season and remain undefeated in their last 4 games on home soil. It's hard to judge if this is a fair position for QPR right now. The division is so tightly knit that any team that goes on a run of positive results will fly up the positions. It'll be interesting to see how they react to that Luton loss.
Cardiff continue under the caretaker management of Mark Hudson. The 1-0 loss at home to bottom-placed Coventry on the weekend was a classic case of the home team not taking their chances when they dominated possession and being sucker punched. After that goal went in, the Bluebirds never really looked like clawing it back which was a concern. City are now down in 18th place and 5 points above the relegation zone. That defeat on Saturday was a first loss after a 3-game unbeaten run in the league and the fact that the team hasn't conceded more than 1 goal in a game since 13th September shows that the defensive side of things is solid. It's just the attacking side that remains inconsistent. Cardiff have lost 4 of their last 7 away league games but their last away day to produce a 3-1 win at Wigan.
Everything was feeling so positive around Cardiff after the wins over Blackburn and Wigan but the Championship can be a cruel mistress and we have been brought back down to earth with a bump after that Coventry loss. We now travel to a QPR team flying high and confident of getting results on their own patch. No matter what anyone says, and despite our fans fearing the worst for it, the South Wales Derby on the weekend will be in the players' minds. I worry we could struggle to get something here so I'm going to back QPR to win.
QPR to Win @ 2.24 with VBet
BTTS @ 1.92 with SBK

Garin to win a set vs. Bublik at 2.10 with bet365
I add this one. Garin returned after his wrist problems. He was destroyed by Djokovic (6-1, 6-1), but I'm not worried about that. He barely has played on indoors and he even has a negative record (4-9). Despite that, I don't think he's that bad on indoors. The last year he only played 1 match on indoors, it was in Antwerp and he lost in 3 sets to Fokina (6-4, 3-6, 3-6). In 2020, he played 2 matches, both in Vienna. He beat Wawrinka and then he lost to Thiem. In 2019 he played 6 matches, and he won 3 of them (all those victories were in the Paris Masters, where he reached the QFs). He beat Cuevas, Isner and Chardy, and he ended up losing to Dimitrov. The others 2 defeats that year were against Seppi (6-3, 7-6, 7-6) and Opelka (7-6, 7-6). As you can see, his results are not that bad..., and many of his defeats were close matches against good players. 
Bublik is an excellent indoor player and he has had really good results recently (Final in Metz), but this is a minor event and I have some doubts about his implication... As I said, he recently reached the Final in Metz and then he played in Astana, where he lost to Hubi. That's why I have some doubts, this is a minor tournament and he arrives after playing home and reaching a good result in Metz. Garin is in more need of wins and points than Bublik does and we all know Bublik only plays for the money. They have played 2 times and Garin won both, but both matches were on clay.
At odds above 2.00 I think is value. I wouldn't take this under 2.00

Pedro Martinez to beat Munar at 2.75 with bet365 may be a good one.
Pedro broke an 8 losing streak after beating Popyrin in 2 sets. Munar beat Ruud in 2 sets. Obviously, Munar has had better results recently, but there are couple of facts that make me think Pedro can win this. Firstly, the h2h. Pedro leads it 4-1 and he has won the last 3 matches (2020-2022). None of these players is a good hard court player but I think Pedro's game suits on this surface a little bit more than Munar's. Besides, both players know each other very well and when this happens matches tend to be more equal.

What a roller coaster! Pedro had 2 break points in the first set to get a double break but he wasted them and he ended up losing the set... In the second, he won 6 straight games after losing the first 3. In the final set, Munar started cramping and he could do absolutely nothing... 
@neilovan I know Munar was playing better, but IMO the h2h (5-1, now) and the fact Pedro's game suits better on hard courts than Munar's neutralized that. They know really well each other and when that happens the matches are more equal (trust me, it's a fact). Regardless of what happened to Munar in the third set I think Pedro at 2.75 was value.

I'm taking Ons Jabeur to win WTA Monastir at 3.25 with Bet365. Mertens hasn't been great throughout the year, which leaves Kudermetova as the main opposition, and I think Jabeur will be getting plenty of crowd and organiser support in all possible ways. I can see plenty of players not enjoying the conditions as well.

Well pointed @Swiss Maestro

Wow! It takes a lot of value to bet on Aslan at this particular moment. He's in a disastrous losing streak (1-9) and he even lost in Tel Aviv to Etcheverry, a player who only has won 2 ATP main draw matches on hard in his entire career (the other win is against another pure claycourter, Facundo Mena...). 
Now, add to that the Aslan's dark record of match f*****  and you definitely will get an explosive cocktail. I have censored the word but all the punters who know Aslan will know what word goes there.
Well, Khachanov was impressive in the US Open and he's really good playing on hard indoor courts. Actually, the only Masters 1000 he has won is played on indoors (2018 Paris Masters). Something you should be worried about if you want to bet on him is why he neither played in Metz nor Tel Aviv. Did he want to rest? Or it was some kind of physical problem? Who knows... but it's been a month since his last match. Cressy returned in Tel Aviv after his injury during his first round match in the US Open. He beat Korda in straight sets and that was a pretty convincing victory... Then, he lost to Lestienne in 3 tight sets (7-6, 3-6, 6-7). He was impressive on serve (he only faced 1 BP in the whole match). 
Honestly, it's really hard to predict. Cressy will give no rhythm to Karen. IMO, this is the kind of match you shouldn't get involved unless the odds are really good.
In relation to the Cilic-Otte match, it's another match with some red flags. Cilic is playing good and he reached the Final in Tel Aviv. Otte reached the doubles final in Sofia..., so I can say neither Cilic nor Otte will have the proper training for their first round match here. If you think Cilic can play well 2 straight weeks then that's your player. In any case, it's a match with some red flags for the reasons I've explained. EDIT. I forgot to mention the horrible losing streak of Otte in singles, but I'm sure you are aware of that.
Finally, the Evans' match. I think he should beat Albot easily. It would be a surprise if he lost to him.

Parma: Mathilde Paoletti +650 (50% insurance)
I am parlaying the above picks, and taking some insurance if I'm wrong about them. Paoletti is not serving great yesterday, but as I mentioned that I have her rated very high talent. She hits heavy ball with alot of spin, and I think Begu could have trouble finding some timing there. I thought the betting line looked off at these odds, and maybe something like +300 is more accurate.

Sofia: Grigor Dimitrov -105 
Parma: Elisabetta Cocciaretto +100 
I saw glimpse of Ivashka in Sofia yesterday vs Ymer.  I thought the guy wasn't moving well or uncoordinated. I couldn't remember the problem, but I'm not seeing a player that I want to back indoors vs former champion, and higher regarded player Dimitrov coming in to this tournament with plenty of rest. 
Cocciaretto I am rating as the more technical ball striker, and I think both of them dealt with some leg injuries, and Elisabetta had knee surgery, but now she has won two itf events since then, and if you watch her last match.. You wouldn't know she has any problems. I think Paolini took advantage of some easy short balls sitting up in the court from Niemeier. I don't think she's going to see those same balls this match. I would say of the two .. I feel better about Dimitrov now, but initially I was always considering Italian. 

@Swiss Maestro don't forget that Carlitos is yet to lose a fast court final. He's lost finals on clay but one of the wins on clay was on the faster claycourt in Madrid.

Mathilde Paoletti -120
Mariusz Copil +225
I don't have big reasons behind these, and explained about copil. I've already placed these bets if my text in bold. I think Paoletti is the bigger talent maybe by alot, and this is home match for her. The other girl I think I saw she's playing doubles also. Paoletti already beat her opponent earlier touranment Palermo 2022 7-5 6-2. maybe she wins in 3 sets this time in closer match.. No idea about it.  
Anyways the goal of this post is to win 1 out of 2 of these bets, and avoid all big losses. then have chance for medium profit with Copil, and big if they both win.  Catch you guys later because as much as I'd like to watch these matches.. I'll probably go to sleep, and I will sweat something else out tomorrow.. These ones got me a bit nervous as you could imagine. 
 

I've just started to look things over but I did manage to get a stake on Chun Hsin before he broke serve in first set. O'Connell later retired.

The awfully overpriced 6.00 comes in! 
Yeah baby  ?
 

Mikael Ymer to beat Stan at 2.03 with Unibet
No idea how Stan beat Meddy but I guess Meddy doesn't have his best year this season. So 12 df by Meddy? No wonder he lost to Stan who's way past his prime. Good chance for Mike to get to another semifinal and improve his ranking by 27+ spots. He could go from 100 to 63 if he beats Stan which is a good chance he will.

James Duckworth to beat Marcus Giron at 2.62 with Unibet
If there's gonna be an upset in San Diego quarters it's gonna be this one. Don't rate Giron as the better player here because you're probably doing a mistake then. James may be lower ranked atm but he's done a good job in San Diego. Giron to me doesn't fill the boots of being the fav.

James Duckworth to beat Marcus Giron at 2.62 with Unibet
If there's gonna be an upset in San Diego quarters it's gonna be this one. Don't rate Giron as the better player here because you're probably doing a mistake then. James may be lower ranked atm but he's done a good job in San Diego. Giron to me doesn't fill the boots of being the fav.

Mikael Ymer to beat Stan at 2.03 with Unibet
No idea how Stan beat Meddy but I guess Meddy doesn't have his best year this season. So 12 df by Meddy? No wonder he lost to Stan who's way past his prime. Good chance for Mike to get to another semifinal and improve his ranking by 27+ spots. He could go from 100 to 63 if he beats Stan which is a good chance he will.

Mikael Ymer to beat Stan at 2.03 with Unibet
No idea how Stan beat Meddy but I guess Meddy doesn't have his best year this season. So 12 df by Meddy? No wonder he lost to Stan who's way past his prime. Good chance for Mike to get to another semifinal and improve his ranking by 27+ spots. He could go from 100 to 63 if he beats Stan which is a good chance he will.