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Swiss Maestro

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  1. You have a really good eye for tennis players! Fokina is one of the most talented players we have had in the last decade. If tennis was all technique, Fokina would be a Top 10 player. The problem with him is his mentality and his physical conditions. He relapsed from his knee injury, that's why he's not here. @CzechPunter When I and @Foo_Fighter made our initial posts, USA was at 1.61 (bet365). Now, odds have dropped to 1.28 (bet365).
  2. Cilic 100%. Capable of the best and also the worst. I was very confident Croatia was going to win this, but I thought they were going to need Mektic/Pavic to close it.
  3. The winner of the Croatia - Spain will face the winner of these 2. The no presence of Kokkinakis (Australia) and Alcaraz (Spain) clearly benefits Croatia. IMO, their chances for reaching the Final now are big.
  4. I'm not a football fan, but Argentina losing to Saudi Arabia (World Cup) was not expected, right? 😂
  5. Good choices. This is how I see the matches. Spain vs Croatia. I think the only way for Spain to win this is winning the 2 single points, which is unlikely to happen. Mektic/Pavic are so much better than Granollers/Pedro..., so if Cilic or Coric get a point then Mektic/Pavic should finish the job with ease. Italy vs USA. Tiafoe and Fritz are the favorite against Sonego and Musetti. They even are the favorites for the doubles point... cause I think Sock/Paul are better than Fognini/Bolelli. Germany vs Canada. Shapo and Auger are the favorites against Struff and Otte. Germany has a really good doubles pair (Krawietz/Puetz), so things can get ugly for Canada if the germans get a point in the singles. If that happens, I expect Shapo and Felix to play the doubles cause they have demonstrated a really good chemistry. As I said, the germans will need to get a point in the singles but that won't be easy. If they can do that, then I think it will be a 50/50. Australia vs Netherlands. 50/50.
  6. 1.40-1.45 against Tiafoe and you think the odds for Felix are high 😂 ? Obviously you missed the match he played against Ymer. You should take a look at that match. He was a mess during the first set and the first half of the second one. As I said, he saved 2 break points when he was 1 set and 4-1 down, so he could have lost easily in 2. Btw, what should be the proper odds for Felix? 1.25-1.30...? 😂
  7. I'm backing Tiafoe (vs. Felix) at 2.75 with William Hill These odds are insane. I agree Felix should be the favourite player, but not at these odds. Felix has won 3 consecutive tournaments and he's in a 15 winning streak, so we can say he's the most in-form player..., Despite that, I did not like what I saw from him in his match against Ymer. He was 1 set and 4-1 down..., and he even had to face 2 break points which means he could have been 1 set and 5-1 down. In other words, he was super close to lose 7-6, 6-1 against Ymer. Tiafoe is in the best moment of his career. Semifinals in the US Open, Final in Tokyo and he comes from beating Sonego, Drapper and De Minaur, all of them in straight sets. As I said, Felix should be the favourite player, but not at these odds. These odds are insane.
  8. I saw both players' last matches and I agree. I really like how Medvedev played against Thiem. Thiem played really well but he still lost in 2 sets. Sinner was not comfortable at all against Fran. I even had the feeling that he could lose against him despite the odds. Sinner had to face a break point in the first set when the score was 4-4... Maybe the best option here is Medvedev to win the whole thing at 2.62 with bet365. Despite Sinner's problems to beat Fran, IMO he's still the bigger threat to Medvedev. Medvedev will face Giron or Dimitrov in the SFs. I'm impressed with how Dimitrov played against Rublev, but Grigor was playing crap before coming here and a couple of good matches do not change that. Giron is playing good and he's dangerous on indoors, but Medvedev is out of his league. Evans, Shapo, Coric or Hubi in the Final. Medvedev would be a strong favourite against any of them. Hubi is still alive only thanks to his big serve (I have seen him really nervous, probably due to the fact that he's playing for a place for the ATP Finals). Coric is playing good but he's still far from his best form and his main target is the Davis Cup Final. Evans and Shapo are playing really good but I don't see them beating Medvedev. Daniil has beat Shapo in straight sets the last 3 times they have played and also beat Evans (3-0) when they met in the US Open 2021, which is the only time they have played before. If you think Medvedev will beat Sinner then I think you should take him to win the whole thing.
  9. I stopped watching him when he lost his serve in the first game of the second set. Pathetic. I don't know if he had something but one day hitting 25 aces and winning more than the 85% of points on both first and second serve and the next day not reaching even the 50% of points won with first serve is surreal. Disgusting. What a day
  10. I can't remember the last time I saw Thiem playing that well. What an exhibition!
  11. Garin to win a set vs. Bublik at 2.10 with bet365 I add this one. Garin returned after his wrist problems. He was destroyed by Djokovic (6-1, 6-1), but I'm not worried about that. He barely has played on indoors and he even has a negative record (4-9). Despite that, I don't think he's that bad on indoors. The last year he only played 1 match on indoors, it was in Antwerp and he lost in 3 sets to Fokina (6-4, 3-6, 3-6). In 2020, he played 2 matches, both in Vienna. He beat Wawrinka and then he lost to Thiem. In 2019 he played 6 matches, and he won 3 of them (all those victories were in the Paris Masters, where he reached the QFs). He beat Cuevas, Isner and Chardy, and he ended up losing to Dimitrov. The others 2 defeats that year were against Seppi (6-3, 7-6, 7-6) and Opelka (7-6, 7-6). As you can see, his results are not that bad..., and many of his defeats were close matches against good players. Bublik is an excellent indoor player and he has had really good results recently (Final in Metz), but this is a minor event and I have some doubts about his implication... As I said, he recently reached the Final in Metz and then he played in Astana, where he lost to Hubi. That's why I have some doubts, this is a minor tournament and he arrives after playing home and reaching a good result in Metz. Garin is in more need of wins and points than Bublik does and we all know Bublik only plays for the money. They have played 2 times and Garin won both, but both matches were on clay. At odds above 2.00 I think is value. I wouldn't take this under 2.00
  12. van Rijthoven (+2.5 Games) to beat M.Ymer at 1.65 with Marathonbet I expect a close match here. Both are really good indoor players. Ymer has dropped a set against Gojo, while Tim has won his 2 matches in straight sets. IMO, this is a 50/50 match, but I think Tim's big serve can make the difference here. In his last match here he did 25 aces and he won the 87% of points on serve (48-55). I don't expect Tim to lose this one easily, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him losing in 2 or 3 tight sets. (just a few days ago, he lost in Sofia 7-6, 7-6 against Rune). That's why I take this handicap. It will cover that result from his recent match against Rune, and it also should cover a 3 sets loss match. I also have seen this bet on betfair, also at 1.65. In Pinnacle the +2.0 is at 1.73.
  13. He started really well. Actually, it was him who dominated the majority of the points during the first games. I think that's reason he lost his serve in the 8th game... Probably, he thought: "I'm playing really well and I'm still 3-4..., what's this??" It's a really frustrating feeling. That's what I think after seeing how he lost his serve. I thought he really had a chance after watching the first games. Djokovic has barely played and he's rested and hungry.
  14. Nice call! I had my doubts cause Tiafoe is in the best moment of his career, but I also think Fritz is the better player and the h2h speaks by itself, as you mentioned. It's been a close first set, but Fritz has been a little bit more aggressive and that has made the difference. In the second set Fritz has been clearly the better player but Tiafoe managed to save all those break opportunities... Unlike Fritz, Tiafoe suffered in almost all of his service games so Fritz clearly deserved the straight sets win. Fortunately, Fritz had no problems to win that second tie-break. It wouldn't have been fair to Fritz to go to a third set. It's never easy to face a player who has beat you the last 4 times, as you said. Again, nice call! I really like Fritz backhand. I would love to see a backhand battle between Sascha and Fritz peak versions... that would be epic.
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