four-leaf

Varvara Gracheva to beat Lucia Bronzetti at 1.91 with Bet365
I've seen Gracheva's last three matches, and I think she has every chance of winning this one. She looked good even in her defeat against Yuan, and Bronzetti hasn't played for more than a month now.

Jiahui hit 1 century against Mertens (and a 98). He then hit 2 centuries in his final Q match. Williams hit 2 centuries in his final win over Ronnie and 3 in the semi-final win over Allen. I can't see Williams hitting less than 2 and I think both hitting 2 is a good shout.
5pts M.Williams over 1.5 centuries 4/5 Bet365
2pts both players to hit over 1.5 centuries (Williams v Jiahui) 7/2 Paddypower

last 3 years Lisowski has reached Last 16, QF, Last 16 at the Worlds. Ding has gone out at the 1st round for the last 3 years running. Interesting match but I think the value is with Jack

Kristina Mladenovic to beat Varvara Lepchenko at 2.50 with Bet365
I'd be quite surprised not to see these odds drop come morning. Mladenovic has finally got a couple of results together, and she looked well above her struggles against Sebov. I didn't see her against Jones, but it's a big win on paper, and I don't see where this favoritism for Lepchenko is coming from.

solid .. looked ez on the scoreline.. great pick. I never heard of the person Mladenovic is playing tomorrow but it looks like money was coming in Kristina's opponent.. little bit scary to bet her again, but the line did catch my eye.. I'll probably pass unless you know something about the match.. I felt like you were fading Lepchenko in the last match.

Neil Robertson could be a real threat. He has looked back to best or close to it, recently. You can still get him at 14/1. I get the feeling that once he beats Jamie Jones or Burden that he'll come into single figures.

He was miles ahead but somehow managed to lose 10-9 in the end.

Did Rod Lawler just miss an easy red from mid table to corner? No wonder the man never won a ranking title.

6 break points and 2 match points and somehow he fails to win the second set. Sinner has to win 1 point in any of those 8. 

Interesting to see where she goes in the rankings. She is of chinese ethnicity and born in New Zeeland and lived a long time in Switzerland hence why she represented the Swiss nation before this.
At 22 years old maybe a future decent top 100 or close to it?

That was quite something to watch. For as well as he played, 7 frames on the spin for Williams just shouldn't happen. Ronnie comes across like a petulant child at the table at times - none more so that when he attempted a cut to the middle pocket after running out of position. He'd have known there wasn't much chance of making it, but by that stage it looked like he didn't care - things weren't going for him, pots weren't going in and so he didn't want to play any more.
It's a shame he's so fixated with perfection, because if he could have just been glad for how good he is he'd probably have been a lot happier over the years and won an awful lot more than he has.

fair play to MW though. Has beaten Trump, Allen and Ronnie to win this.

👌 Ronnie O'Sullivan looked great in his new attire at the Tour Championship, but afterwards admitted he's had to give psychiatrist Steve Peters a call to help sort out his unhappiness about the game.
“I’ve just decided I’m going to change my thinking and forget about trying to fathom my game out. If I change my thinking I can accept whatever is thrown at me and take whatever.
“It’s been a hard year, drove myself pretty much insane really. It’s just got to me. I decided to speak to Steve Peters, said I wasn’t happy.
“I had to go back to basics and get my head right. Deal with it because doing it the other way round isn’t working. I’ve got to accept that’s life. You can’t be perfect all the time and trying to be perfect all the time is not ideal.
“Just getting my head around it is the only option I’ve have left. I’ve driven myself mad for the last two years and not enjoyed any of it.”

Thanks @CzechPunter I'll likely move on some late night tennis in Charleston or Houston or both..

Nothing for me today, but good luck if you're getting involved!

Marie Bouzkova to beat Laura Siegemund 2-0 at 2.20 with Bet365
Bouzkova was superb again yesterday, making only a handful of unforced errors, while Siegemund had to play another long match in conditions that she visibly doesn't enjoy. The H2H is 2-0, with Bouzkova winning all 4 sets, (6-1 6-2, 6-1 6-1).

Jule Niemeier to beat Cristina Busca @ odds -135
I am trusting my instincts as to who will win this. I think one of these players is more talented, and I'm going to trust that principle. They have never met before, but imo Jule is coming back into form a little bit. She's hitting cleanly from what I've seen. Although, I have missed out on her recent matches.. I understand the Pegula loss in San Diego and that does not concern me. I think she blasts serves in Bogota and essentially wins the match by outserving Busca.
I would say medium confidence with this.
Good pick on Errani Czech Punter. Seemed free from start to finish. Tormo was just bad. 
 

@Smiles Tennis She injured herself off-court I believe, and Cristian came out firing, like she did against Keys in the second round.
Sara Errani (+1.5 sets) to beat Sara Sorribes Tormo at 1.60 with Unibet
Errani leads the H2H 6-0 here, and SST hasn't been doing well so far in this season. She should still outlast Errani on paper, and I wouldn't fancy Errani in a potential decider, but the 1.60 for her to win a set looks good to me.

Ashlyn Krueger to beat Gabriela Lee 2-0 at 1.91 with Bet365
Krueger suffered a couple of disappointments against Podoroska in Indian Wells and Miami, but Lee is a much easier challenge, so I like the odds for the 2-0 scoreline. Lee's recent wins have to be respected somewhat, but she's not a good player overall. Krueger to bounce back is my call.

Happy Easter guys!
Sachia Vickery to beat Jaqueline Cristian at 2.20 with Bet365
No idea why Vickery is the underdog here, it's 50/50 at least for me. Vickery looked well above her average against Kessler, and the fact that she's already played a couple of matches here is relevant due to the unorthodox conditions. With Cristian not doing anything noteworthy recently, I'm happy to go against her at odds against.

I haven't had the chance to keep up to date with the Snooker in the last month but looking to get back into it after the weekend. I did hear that he lost to Vafaei though. I just think Ronnie hasn't got the determination tbh. If that talent was in another person then maybe they would have achieved so much more.

🤑 "With such good money on offer in Riyadh, where the final must surely be the most valuable best-of-nine frames snooker match ever played, expect Ronnie O'Sullivan and Judd Trump to be back on song and chomping at the bit.
 
"It's clear the players are really keen to embrace this new investment in the sport, which to be frank, is needed. Next week will offer big money to the biggest stars who are probably doing very well anyway, but when next season comes around and we have a 128-man ranking event which we are expecting to have another big purse, that’s when some of those trying to make the game pay lower down the rankings will have a real chance to earn that big pay day. I know those players are relieved to have that opportunity.
 
"Snooker’s first ever 167 maximum break could be made, if the stars align and the new Golden Ball is potted at the end of any maximum.
 
"It might seem like a gimmick at this stage, and I’m not sure if it will catch on, but by all accounts we are expecting a very big prize to be offered for anyone able to do it. We’ve had instances in the past where Ronnie has turned down making a maximum break in protest at what he has seen as poor reward – that most certainly won’t be the case next week."
 
Neal Foulds on next week's lucrative Riyadh Masters.

Higgins sure got close with 15 reds/blacks but landed almost touching the yellow else I think he would at least have had a shot at the golden ball!

Cracking match between Selby and Allen going down to the final black. 3 more matches tonight so they'll be finishing about 2 am local time if they're lucky!