vicsuna

Today it's 3 principally different brokers: vodds, sportmarket(biggest of agents of mollybet platform) and asianodds88/asianconnect88
Different by interface, number of bookies and exchanges available and availability of withdraw methods (often changed, from time to time bank SWIFT-withdrawals disappear)
Your limits will drop once brokers recognizes you as a winner(sharp). Once you have been limited, game over. Not just limits will be small, percent of your voided (after game played) bets will increase.
Bookmaker knows who made that bet (ordinary punter or sharp) despite brokers say to you. I had more that enough voided bets made in sbobet in vodds and in ibc/maxbet in sportmarket. That pairs are more often subject to bet cancellations, ibc voids bets in singbet/sing2 style: after game already finished and result is fully known.
I've never seen IBCbet voided any lost bet after game finished.

Real Betis vs. Getafe
Both teams here are chasing Champions League football next season, which would be an amazing achievement for either of them. Real Betis players have been spread thinly though, playing on three fronts and this will be their 16th game in 57 days for an average of a game every 3.5 days over the past two months, which is a lot of matches for a team that doesn't have the squad depth of a top CL side. 
Getafe, meanwhile, has had more time to rest and prepare for this game and won't be as fatigued for sure. This is also a very tough team to break down and has only lost 6 games in 25 matches so far this season, with 4 of these coming against the 'top 3'. They also possess a deadly front two of Jaime Mata and Jorge Molina, who have 10 goals each in La Liga so far this season, and both are currently in good form.
I think the odds for a Getafe win present real value here. Having said that, they do tend to draw a lot of matches, so I'll be backing them on the AH +0.5 and DNB as well.
Getafe AH +0.5 @ 1.69 with Betfair (8 units)
Getafe DNB @ 2.48 with Betfair (8 units)

Tottenham vs Arsenal: Draw
A month go I looked up the data on Transfermarkt to see who will end Tottenham's drawless streak. If Spurs will have a draw till the end of the season, stats suggests it must be vs Arsenal. Spurs have had the most ties in Premier League history vs Arsenal no matter if at home or all matches. I also looked up the stats since Daniel Levy took over Tottenham in 2001 and again same picture - most draws vs Arsenal both at home and in all matches.
Pochettino has had the most ties in his career exactly vs Arsenal(same# as Sunderland&Real Valladolid). A draw is the most common result for Pochettino vs Arsenal. Check out the table below. 
On the psychological side it seems Tottenham are out of the title race for sure and just do not want to lose & end up fighting for top 4 place. Arsenal on the other hand want to stay in top 4 (I doubt it as Man Utd fan and bookies also give them higher odds for top 4 than Chelsea & Man Utd) and have everything to fight for, but they are unlikely to win considering their terrible away form.

 

i fancy a draw in that game to be honest. espanyol haven't shown enough quality to win games. they drew 3 from last 4. valladolid despite their awful stats this season could chip a point as they are not overly ambitious to go forward.

Milan vs Sassuolo
Milan is so hot right now it’s just hard not to take them. Poor side Sassuolo is struggling in recent games, I just can’t see them surprising Milan with anything especially on away ground.
AH (-1)Milan 2,1 bet365 

Going to wake up early, really looking forward to Spurs/Arsenal game.  No strong lean in that match, but do feel Arsenal are being undervalued, taking them +0.5 would make sense.  Be honest here, I think Poch is overrated as a manager.  He has a nice system, has a keen eye for young talent, and gets a lot of his players so something certainly can be said for that, but his in game management is questionable.  
Case in point, Kane's first game back in what, 6 weeks against Burnley of all teams, and leaves him in for a full 90?  Yeah, he scored a goal, that's well and good, but bigger fish to fry and Burnley tough at home.   And then he was outmatched vs a struggling Chelsea side, and again Kane in for full game.  Very questionable strikers brought in in the likes of Soldado, Llorente, et al, I'm not overwhelmed.  
Anyway, I fully expect Man United to stomp Southampton tomorrow.  I'll play them 1H, on the handicap, hell, maybe even a -2 here.  Two teams going in exact opposite directions, United's forms been top notch and they are at home, no reason to believe this is even close.  
I also do like Wolves here at home quite a bit,  Cardiff on the road a bit of a horror show with just 9 goals scored in 13 matches.  Wolves play a nice attacking style.  I really do like Wolves to bounce back here after two disappointing performances, home cooking, I'll lay -0.75 here.
Lastly, I really think Burnley getting a great price at home, seeing close to 2/1 for home win vs Palace.  How soon we forget how great Burnley were at home last year?  Burnley won 3 of their last 4 at home with the other a draw, including a win vs Spurs.  This is a good price, definitely worth a punt.
:cheers:

Napoli vs Juventus
There is only one game this weekend that really matters in Serie A and it's the top-of-the-table clash between Napoli and Juventus at 7:30pm on Sunday night at the Stadio San Paolo. It obviously will have little impact on the destiny of the Scudetto but it will still be a massive result either way.
Napoli are having a brilliant season in their own right. Carlo Ancelotti's side are 2nd in the table with 17 wins from their 25 league games so far. It's also a season that has seen the Naples side remain undefeated at home in the league. Only Juventus boast a more impressive home record.
Juventus are effectively Serie A champions in waiting. Massimiliano Allegri's team appear to have taken the next step up in terms of their quality. The Turin-based club are top of the league and 13 points clear of Napoli with 22 wins and 3 draws in an undefeated season to date.
I'm not sure I really need to go into too much detail here. I am strongly favouring a draw here. Neither side would be entirely disappointed with that. The home team have been superb at home and, well, Juventus have been Juventus on the road. Interested to hear what you all think?
Draw @ 3.25 with William Hill
BTTS @ 1.90 with Bet365
@Pep004, @Magic0024, @malabgd, @four-leaf, @allthethings, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @the bastardian, @chris666, @thegeneral55, @Mindfulness, @stephen m, @teddybear3011, @jazzman02, @Bayern, @Xcout, @Valkovets, @MangoTheThird, @DonPaulo, @Franger83, @fhuefdsa, @dinero, @laprikon, @cluelessG, @Skenderbeg, @Gabosbet, @thinkpink63, @VYA, @balkan-pro, and @scommetix, what do you all think here?

The battle for salvation in the Primer Division is very strong this year, as several teams are interested and involved in the stay. One of these is Vallecano and Girona, who are confronting each other today in Madrid. A great triple betting, as the two teams seem capable of the best and the worst. However, they have shown a number of medium-term opportunities lately and it is up to them to score from a goal in the match
RAYO VALLECANO vs GIRONA CF @@ Both team to score, odds 1.75

Football Facts and Streaks regarding La Liga
Rayo Vallecano have lost their last 4 matches in La Liga.
Rayo Vallecano conceded at least 1 goal in 92% of their home matches in La Liga.
Rayo Vallecano have scored in 92% of their home matches in La Liga.
Girona have scored 64% of their goals in the first half in La Liga.
You can find interesting 46 Football Betting Streaks for 01.03.2019 on this link ... https://eurofootballrumours.com/football-facts-and-streaks-01-03-2019-13603

Yeah but take into consideration that Arsenal plays so different at home and away

Hold onto your hats because we've got the full weekend of Premier League matches coming up this weekend! Yes, I know, the games have only just finished from the midweek ones. If you can't handle the intensity then go and watch some cricket or snooker! North London Derby and Merseyside Derby this weekend. Plus, I get to actually be pessimistic with Cardiff again! Don't miss out getting involved in the chat below and share your tips with us! 

Our choice also comes from Crystal Palace - Manchester United, where the Solskieer team chases the entrance to the top four of the scoring, is in form and can win another victory
CRYSTAL PALACE vs MANCHESTER UNITED @@ MANCHESTER UNITED, odds 2.30

OK, so it's really annoying me that Neil Warnock has veered off course from what was a successful winning formula. No idea why he's done the following...
- Bringing Sean Morrison back into the team 6 weeks after having emergency appendix operation and splitting the solid Manga/ Bamba partnership
- I appreciate Lee Peltier is ill but why he hasn't just straight swapped Leandro Bacuna in for Peltier, I don't know
- Dropping Harry Arter is madness!
- Using Bobby Reid differently to how he was when we were winning games.
It's annoying because it's going to cost us our place in the Premier League and it's making my tips look ridiculous!

Cardiff City - Everton
Everton(2.16) 0-1 FT
Leicester City - Brighton
Leicester City(1.85) 1-0 FT
Huddersfield Town - Wolves
Huddersfield Town(5.00) 1-0 FT
Newcastle Utd - Burnley
Draw(3.10) 1-1 FT
Arsenal - Bournemouth
Arsenal(1.44) 3-0 FT
Southampton - Fulham
Southampton(1.90) 3-1 FT
Crystal Palace - Manchester Utd
Manchester Utd(2.35) 0-2 FT
Chelsea - Tottenham
Chelsea(2.32) 3-1 FT
Manchester City - West Ham
Manchester City(1.16) 4-0 FT
Liverpool - Watford
Draw(5.80) 1-1 FT

Cardiff vs Everton: Draw
Cardiff are sitting 17th in the table - 1 point above the relegation zone. Bookies still see them as relegation favorites but we will have to see what Neil Warnock has up his sleeve.
Warnock has been in the Premier League 4 times: 
Full season with Sheffield Utd in 06/07 - finished 18th and went down to Championship on goal difference
20 games with QPR in 11/12 - got sacked after disappointing results and team on 17th place
16 games with Crystal Palace in 14/15 -  came after 2nd round and got fired when 18th
I did some calculations including this season and the Warnock average shows 9 wins, 8.6 draws, 20.4 losses for whole season & home record of 5.6 wins, 5.2 draws, 8.2 losses. The Cardiff only average shows approximately 6 home wins, 4 draws and 9 losses. For that estimate, I only included the 1.7 seasons of Cardiff in the Premier League as we know it (full season being 13/14 when they finished last with Solskjaer). 
Compare those averages with Cardiff's home record of 5 wins 2 draws 7 losses in 18/19 and a draw seems most likely, especially as Everton has had bad away record last few years that included at least 6 away draws in the last 3 seasons(vs 3 draws this one). Everton even had 2 away draws vs teams from the bottom 3 last season. It is also worth noting that in 13/14, Everton beat with 1 goal difference Cardiff (half time -draw) like this year and drew in Wales. 
I also like checking the correct score odds before placing bets to see if markets agree and bookies see a 1:1 draw as most likely outcome. I guess Cardiff will want to avoid a thrashing like the one vs Watford or what Everton did vs Huddersfield and may play conservatively with a draw being good for them in the fight for survival.
P.s.: Correct score odds seem to favor Leicester and Newscastle 1:0 wins as the new manager effect & Almiron give them an edge. Might place a bet on one of those to win by 1 goal difference. will decide when I go to the bookies. 
P.s.2: just played the draw as single. Other games seem shaky

The premier league remains a betting minefield. Crazy, inconsistent results dominate the card every week. Almost pointless to be taking low priced bets where there is such a level of inconsistency.
Tonight's games look horrible. Cardiff v Everton, looks like anything can happen there. Everton have not drawn an away league game in almost 2 months, losing 5 of their last 7 away. Remove the freak result (1-5) vrs Burnley and they don't look too clever.  A game to avoid for me, but forcing a bet I would oppose Everton here.
Leicester v Brighton, another 'any result possible game'. Both teams in a slump, showing no form. Hard to get 'up' for this game, and harder to commit money to a bet here. 
Newcastle v Burnley another tricky game. Newcastle running into some form, while Burnley (and Man United) are the only 2 undefeated teams in the league in the last 7 games. An early goal could open the game up. If I was trading, I would give it 25 minutes. Nil Nil at 25min I'm out, but an early goal could open it up.  
Wednesday I do like Saints to beat Fulham. Fulham just conceding too many soft goals.
Everyone on the Solskjaer bandwagon at Man United, but I don't see it. Sure United are miles better than under Mourinho, but Mourinho lost the squad and failed badly. He set the bar so low. In the three big games United have played under Solskjaer, they have looked really poor.  A red hot keeper got them the points at Spurs, but they were ripped to shreds in the 2nd half. PSG ran rings around them, and they were totally dominated by Liverpool. Did they have a shot in the game ?
In all of these games United simply could not pass the ball forward. 2 or 3 passes and possession lost. Every time. They were just lucky that Liverpool are a little 1 dimensional at the moment. 'Pool don't cross the ball, and have no headed goal threat, so you can pack the middle of defense and make it difficult for them.
But Solskjaer made a mistake by bringing Lingaard  on. Should have brought Sanchez on instead, and saved a substitute.  That was a pretty basic error.
So Palace v Man United Wednesday is quite interesting. United will be pretty disjointed, losing Matic, Martial, Lingaard, Mata, Herrera. I see a low scoring game here, with a single goal winning it. Does Rashford sit out with a slight niggle ?  It's a huge opportunity for Fred and Sanchez, and hopefully Daliot (instead of Young) to show what they can do. 
Sometime best just to watch and wait, perhaps a good in game opportunity presents itself.

Leicester is expected to face a heavy defeat from Crystal Palace with 4-1, defeating Brighton. Opportunity to get the points of victory
LEICESTER CITY vs BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION @@ LEICESTER CITY, odds 1.90

Going to take an early punt on spurs to beat Chelsea at 3.12, as I think this price may come down a bit in the next day or so.  Main reasoning is Chelsea have just played 120 minutes and lost a final, and there are obviously issues within the squad.  Who will be in goal will certainly be interesting!
Spurs have had an extra day of rest and were disappointing against Burnley, although I always thought that was going to be a tough match against an in form team, so I wasn't too surprised by the result.
My main reason for wanting to back spurs is Pochettino is very good at picking up the team after a disappointing result, and its very unusual for spurs to go on a long losing run.  This is obviously a tough fixture but spurs have had the better of Chelsea over the past couple of seasons, finally managing to win at Stamford Bridge last season for the first time in something like 30 years!  
With Chelsea's issues, I expect the spurs price to come back in a bit so want to take this one now.

Most important of Fiorentina - Inter is the night at 21.30. Everything seems possible to this pair but more likely to score from both ends both
ACF FIORENTINA vs INTER MILANO @@ Both team to score, odds 1.75

Leicester vs Crystal Palace: Palace +1
Roy Hodgson saved Palace from the dead last season & has led them to a more stable position in the table in his first full season in charge and the odds for Palace to be relegated are now 30/1. Last season was not the only one when Hodgson saved a team from relegation coming midseason as he also did that in 10/11 with West Brom. The following season West Brom under Hodgson finished 10th with 13 wins/8 draws/17 losses and 7w/5d/7losses from the away games. Palace were also saved from relegation by Alan Pardew coming midseason in 14/15. The following season Crystal Palace finished 15th with 11 wins/9 draws/18 losses and 5w/6d/8losses from the away games. 
Anyway, I went with the average of those 2 seasons and that suggests 2 wins, 3.5 draws and 0.5 losses from remaining 6 away Palace games (5w/2.5d/4.5 losses overall in last 12 matches). 
Leicester also lost 3 games, drew 2 times and won just once vs the next 3 teams in the table last season(including 2 losses vs Palace). This season the Foxes have lost once and drew 2 times vs the next 3 teams in the table(including a loss vs Palace).

Agree that Brooks in particular makes Bournemouth a better team.  For me, this is the hardest game of the lot to pick a result for in the PL this weekend so leaving this one well alone

Agree with @StevieDay1983 on West Ham who are now 1.95 to win (betfred).  Fulham have drawn 2 and lost 11 of their PL away games, so really can't understand why West Ham are such a big price to win this one.
For similar reasons, i'm going  with Newcastle who are 1.9 to beat Huddersfield.  I don't like this as much as the West Ham price but still feel the price is too big on Newcastle.  Huddersfield have given up while Newcastle have a great chance to move clear of the bottom 3 with a win here.  I'd have Newcastle at more like 1.7 for this so see some value in the price with betfair.
Last up i'm going to jump on the Man Utd bandwagon and take them to beat Liverpool.  Man Utd at 3.1 are too big a price for me in their current form at home and won't need any buoying up for this one.  Liverpool aren't exactly in bad form so definitely a bit of a risk to this one, but its more of a price play for me as I think the two teams should be roughly the same price, but Liverpool are quite big favourites at 2.4 to Utd's 3.1, so see value in Utd, especially as the home team.

Of the strongest couples of the day is undoubtedly that of Sevilla with Barcelona in "Sanchez Pithhouan". Ernesto Valverde's team is struggling to make a form lately and has the first reason for winning
FC SEVILLA vs FC BARCELONA @@ FC BARCELONA, odds 1.95

More effective than ever seen in the season is Tottenham, who is still a key title contender. He is currently playing at Burnley's headquarters and if he succeeds in winning, he will temporarily reduce his distance from the top to the two. He may not let this opportunity go to waste
BURNLEY FC vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR @@ TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR, odds 1.70

The more I look at the Leicester Palace game, the more I like the look of the Palace price.  Leicester are in poor form, 4 defeats in the last 5 games, although they did get a good draw at Liverpool in that run.  However, Leicester have managed to lose at home to Cardiff and Southampton recently, and Palace are at least as good as those two so capable of getting at least a draw here.  
You never quite know what you are going to get from Leicester but they strike me as a team that raise their game against the bigger teams, and don't seem to have the same motivation when the smaller teams come along.  I don't see Palace losing, so tempted by a small stake on Palace outright at 3.7, with a small saver on the draw.