Neubs

Redditch v Stratford
I was close to putting up Stratford anyway, but I have made them a bet now because of the signings they made at the weekend. These two sides are rubbish, but Stratford have got Dan Sweeney in on loan from Solihull and he has done well when on loan in the National League North this season. He is going to be the best player on the pitch in this game and to be fair apart from the 5-0 hammering against Banbury they have only lost by 1 goal in their last 6 games. Redditch have conceded 32 goals in their last 10 games losing them all and scoring just 6. Stratford have only picked up 2 points on their travels, but they will know this is a must win tonight and I struggle to think they will be cautious. I really do think Stratford are the better side and at 8/5 with Betway I am happy to back them. This game is on a 3G pitch so it should get the go ahead.
Stratford 1pt @ 8/5 with Betway

Not that many games this mid-week but I like 3 bets in the BetVictor Southern Premier Central over the next two nights.
Hitchin v Leiston
This game is tonight (Monday) and I am backing Leiston again here as I have done a few times of late. I thought they were on the short side for Saturday's game against AFC Rushden & Diamonds and they ended up losing 3-2 although they were 2-1 and only lost it in the 90th minute. It was another good performance though and it was more proof that they have improved a hell of a lot in the last 2/3 months. Hitchin should have won on Saturday as their opponents, Needham Market, goalkeeper was given man of the match as the game ended 0-0. I don't think there is much between these two sides at all and Leiston have been the better of late for me. Bet365's 21/10 about an away win looks value for me.
AFC Rushden & Diamonds v Needham Market
In a strange twist of fate the two teams who played the teams in the above bet also play each other this week and I like the home side here. Granted Needham have drawn 5 of their last 10 games, but they have only won twice and as I mention above they ought to have lost on Saturday. In their previous game they only beat Stratford 1-0 and they have picked up only 1 point in their last 9 games. Rushden have won their last 3 and have only failed to win in 3 of their last 10 games. I would make them a shade of odds on myself so 5/4 with Bet365 looks good.
Alvechurch v Kings Langley
This division has got some poor sides in it this season who have been losing plenty of games which is one of the reasons why it has been a profitable section for me this term. The home side are one of those sides having lost 8 of their last 9 games with the win a 3-2 victory over bottom of the table Redditch. Langley are in good form only losing 1 of their last 6 and they played really well on Saturday in a 2-2 with Peterborough Sports. They look a good price at 5/4 with Bet365.
Leiston 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2.5pts @ 5/4 with Bet365
Kings Langley 2pts @ 5/4 with Bet365

Given the 3 losers last week had 9pts bet on them between them it was a relief to come out with just a small loss on the day as at one stage it was looking like it was going to be a huge loss. With Darlington winning on Wednesday that covered the loss on Saturday (at best prices available) I will take that going into this Saturday's action. I have 7 bets this week with 6 in the league games and 1 in the FA Trophy.
Previews to follow
Billericay v Slough
Granted they have only played 9 home league games this season because they have had issues with their pitch, but Billericay are yet to lose at home have won 5 and drawn 4. That is some going baring in mind the upheaval they have had this season and the fact they have struggled on the road. Having said that they were much improved at Bath last Saturday despite losing 2-1 and then on Tuesday night they beat the league leaders Wealdstone 3-1 at home. Slough are having a good season and are in 4th, but in their last 6 games they have won just twice and one of those was against Braintree so I think Billericay are more than capable of beating another promotion hopeful here. In my view they shouldn't be as big as 11/5
Hemel Hempstead v Havant & Waterlooville
Havant have still yet to lose away from home and have only lost 3 league games all season which is the fewest in the division. They are the best side in the division, but as they did at Braintree the other week they have dropped silly points. They lost last week at Maidstone when they should have really picked up a point at least and they should be odds on to beat a Hemel side who are struggling. The home side have only managed 1 win in their last 10 games and although they ought to have won at Chippenham on Tuesday night they let in 2 careless goals against a team who were also in poor form. In their last 10 games Havant have scored in all of them and in 7 of them have scored 2 or more goals so Havant don't need any gift wrapped goals to score. This should be an away win
Wealdstone v Welling
Wealdstone are in a bit of a dip at the moment which isn't a surprise as they were always going to struggle to keep up their strong start. As mentioned above they deservedly lost to Billericay on Tuesday and they also lost to Oxford City on Saturday. This game though does look the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways and I think they can cover the -1 handicap. Welling have lost 5 of their last 6 games and have been conceding goals for fun as well. They have a new manager, but I am not sure how much difference that is going to make especially as they have been losing players, including two to Glenn Tamplin's Romford this week. The home side really ought to be winning this by at least 2 goals.
Weymouth v Dulwich Hamlet
I am hoping Dulwich are now showing the quality they should be showing and did show in August. They have scored 9 goals in their last two games putting 3 past Hampton and 6 past Braintree last Saturday. Travelling to Weymouth is obviously a step up, but Weymouth have lost 2 of their last 3 at home and Dulwich have been strong away from home all season, picking up plenty of draws in their long spell between victories. They also travelled to Havant and beat them in the FA Cup. I think this game is much closer than the bookies suggest as I would have Hamlet around 2/1 so they rate a value bet.
Spennymoor v Kettering
I am backing Kettering again here as they look a big price at 5/1 to win this. I have tipped up Kettering enough of late that I don't really need to repeat about them, but they won for us last Saturday. Spennymoor are in another dodgy spell and have only won 2 of their last 7 games and have lost 3 of their last 4. Granted going to Kings Lynn and having a man sent off is always going to be hard, but in my view there isn't a great deal between these two sides at the moment and given Kettering are clearly in a false league position they just shouldn't be a 5/1 chance. I would have them no bigger than 2/1 myself.
Gainsborough Trinity v Witton
Trinty have improved for their new manager and are now unbeaten in 5 games. Like Kettering I think they are in a false position at the moment and with Witton only picking up 1 point in their last 5 it looks a nice chance for the home side to continue their rise up the table.
Barrow v FCUM
I was hoping Barrow were going to put out the same side they did on Tuesday in the FA Trophy replay, but it seems it will be more like they one they put out against Ebbsfleet last Saturday. They won that game 7-0, but I think in many ways this will be a tougher game for them. For a start Barrow's main task is winning the National League so this Trophy tie is not a priority. FCUM are a much better side than Atherton so they will be in for a tougher game as well. FCUM are also in flying form winning 7 of their last 9 league games and drawing the other two. In that spell they have score 30 goals and although they have only kept one clean sheet in that spell there has to be a chance they can outscore a Barrow side in a game they will be more motivated to win. I still think a price of 21/4 is a value price about an away win.
Billericay 1pt @ 11/5 with BetVictor
Havant & Waterlooville 4pts @ 21/20 with Betfred and BetVictor
Wealdstone -1 2pts @ 17/10 with Betfair, Paddy Power, Betfred and Betway
Dulwich 1pt @ 27/10 with BetVictor
Kettering 1pt @ 5/1 with Bet365
Gainsborough 2pts @ 31/20 with BetVictor 
FCUM 1pt @ 21/4 with BetVictor

Not many games over the next two days but the two teams I backed in the FA Trophy first time around are worth backing in their replays.
Atherton were unlucky to only draw in the first match against Barrow and if they had kept 11 men on the pitch I suspect they would have held on. Obviously that could be their best chance gone now they have to travel to Barrow, but I would imagine we will see plenty of changes from Barrow's win in the league on Saturday as they did in the first game. At 12/1 it seems a sporting play to me.
On Wednesday Darlington host Solihull and again I am expecting Solihull to rest players especially after a tough encounter at Yeovil on Saturday. The home side again were more than a match for Solihull in the first game and I am not surprised their price has already come in a little bit. I still think though the price is too big and they are worth backing.
Atherton 0.5pts 12/1 with BetVictor
Darlington 1pt @ 107/50 with Marathon
 

I´m taking Rochdale +0.5... Newcastle lost his Form now and have big injury crisis... Think this can end fast in a Replay Game.

I´m taking Rochdale +0.5... Newcastle lost his Form now and have big injury crisis... Think this can end fast in a Replay Game.

I´m taking Rochdale +0.5... Newcastle lost his Form now and have big injury crisis... Think this can end fast in a Replay Game.

3 winners on Saturday and the Nap won again although the day pretty much summed up what has been a very tough December. Kettering were well backed in the end and they were involved in a game which could have gone either way so the bet was spot on, but sadly it wasn't a winning one. There looks to be plenty of value around on New Year's Day and I have 7 bets.
Torquay v Yeovil
The 3 goals Yeovil gave away on Saturday against Sutton were all shocking from a defensive point of view and I certainly hope they defend better on Wednesday against a Torquay side who bounced back to form against Woking on Saturday. Having said that there was some fortune in 3 of of Torquay's goals against Woking and Woking were down to 10 men when it was only 2-1. I'm not sure we can use that match as proof they are fully out of their slump and given Yeovil gave them a 6-2 hammering on Boxing Day this is clearly going to be a much tougher game. When betting opened prior to Saturday's games Yeovil were 13/8 and that's the sort of price they should be. I think the markets have massively overreacted to Saturday's results and no way should Yeovil be as big as 5/2 to do the double over Torquay.
Hampton & Richmond v Dulwich Hamlet
Dulwich should be doing so much better than they are. They have a strong squad yet for some reason it just isn't happening on the pitch and they have won just one league game since August against Hungerford just before Christmas. They are massively under performing and they are in a relegation battle they ought not to be in. They lost 2-1 in the reverse fixture on Boxing Day and Hampton have really improved in recent weeks having picked up 20 points in their last 10 games. I would make the home side a shade of odds on to win this so they look value at 13/10.
Hemel Hempstead v St Albans
I put up St Albans on Saturday and they could easily have won although Wealdstone scored the only goal in the game in the end. That is their only defeat in their last 6 league games and as I mentioned in that preview they have been improving in recent weeks. They ran out comfortable 2-0 winners in the Boxing Day match between these two sides and although Hemel performed better on Saturday against Slough when picking up a point, that did make it 7 league games without a win. I can't have St Albans being as big as they are and I would have them under 2/1 let alone around the 5/2 mark that they are.
Boston v Kings Lynn
I took a chance on Kings Lynn on Saturday because they were playing a poor team in Alfreton and in the end their class got them a point, but to me it proved that they are struggling with the injuries and the kick turnaround of games. As I mention above there wasn't much between Boston and Kettering on Saturday and fair play to Boston for putting in a performance after their tough game on Boxing Day. Boston were unlucky to lose at Kings Lynn as well and they nearly held out after playing with 10 men for most of the match. I would make them nearer even money shots to win this given the situation so at 8/5 they look a solid bet.
Hereford v Kidderminster
Hereford haven't won in the league since they beat Leamington on October 1st and despite a change in manger Russell Slade has made very little difference to things. He really needs to freshen up the squad as they don't look good enough at the moment. Kidderminster on the other-hand have improved for a change of manager and have been putting in some decent performances of late. In the last 4 games they have beaten Guiesley and Hereford and drawn with Altrincham. Granted they did lose at Brackley on Saturday, but they performed really well especially in the first half. Given Brackley have only lost 1 in their last 10 league games that bodes well for this match as well. It makes no sense to me how they can be as big as 13/5 as they should be at least a point shorter in my view and I make them the best bet of the day.
Leiston v Needham Market
I'm annoyed with myself for not putting up Leiston on Boxing Day as they were a big price to win at Lowestoft which they duly did. That backs up my thinking that they are a much improved side and I think they are the right side of value to beat Needham Market. Market have only won once in their last 7 league games (although it was a surprise win against leaders Tamworth) and they drew with a poor St Ives side on Boxing Day. Leiston have only lost once in their last 5 now and that was when they had a chest infection going through the team so I think they can pick up another 3 points here.
Stratford Town v Rushall Olympic
How on earth Stratford beat Hednesford when I put up Hednesford I will never know as they have been poor apart from that. In their last 10 league games they have only picked up 1 more point and that was a draw against St Ives. Rushall maybe aren't quite in the form they were at the start of the season, but they have only lost 3 of their last 10 games and they were against Tamworth, Stourbridge and Coalville so 3 of the better sides in the division. They ought to be too good for their hosts here.
Yeovil 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365
Hampton & Richmond 2pts @ 13/10 with Bet365
St Albans 2pts @ 129/50 with Marathon
Boston 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365
Kidderminster 2.5pts @ 13/5 with Betfred and William Hill
Leiston 1pt @ 161/100 with Marathon
Rushall Olympic 2pts @ 117/100 

Hearts v Aberdeen
For the second game in a row I'm confused as to why Hearts are favourites, they are a mess right now, on and off the park, toothless up front, slow at the back and a fragile confidence throughout the club. Aberdeen are overpriced here.
Aberdeen @ 2.75 - 2 pts

Also i take Everton - Newcastle i think now will slip little bit Down in Table and Everton with new Coach doing the same but in different way. Maggpies again without Saint-Maxime and this is for me a big Blow in ther Counter attacking Game.
Other bet´s are Watford to Win and the DC on Burnley for me today.

Also i take Everton - Newcastle i think now will slip little bit Down in Table and Everton with new Coach doing the same but in different way. Maggpies again without Saint-Maxime and this is for me a big Blow in ther Counter attacking Game.
Other bet´s are Watford to Win and the DC on Burnley for me today.

I rarely regret bets, but I certainly made a few wrong decisions on Boxing Day, but I had such a big shortlist I had to cut some out and I left the wrong ones out. I should have known putting 5 National League bets in wasn't going to work out although at least Yeovil were easy winners to land the Nap. I have 8 bets and just some brief reasons for them due to time.
Torquay v Woking
Fairy self explanatory this one. Woking weren't great on Thursday either, but at 177/10 they have to be a bet against a Torquay side who are struggling really badly.
Alfreton v Kings Lynn
Alfreton have been well backed despite being terrible because of Kings Lynn injury issues and they had a tough game on Thursday. Still Alfreton lost 3-0 to Telford and Kings Lynn might still have too much for them so with the drift I am happy to back them.
Boston v Kettering
I was already planning on backing Kettering, but there has been a huge amount of money put on Boston which is crazy in my view. Boston had to play over 70 minutes on Thursday on a pitch described as a quagmire. Kettering are unbeaten in the league since Paul Cox took over and they didn't have to play on Thursday. That is a massive advantage for me and the only slight concern is Kettering had just 3 subs when they won at Alfreton last Saturday. 7/1 is way too big as I would make them about 2/1 myself.
Gloucester City v AFC Telford
Telford are very inconsistent, but I am happy to back them here to beat my own side. City were woeful on Thursday and were so bad that people who went to the game are being offered free entry to this match. They could barely string two passes together and I would make Telford favourites myself.
Braintree v Concord
I don't oppose Braintree on Thursday as I didn't trust Chelmsford, but of course in the end they ran out easy winners. Concord are in decent form and look a strong bet as I would make them odds on.
Dartford vTonbridge
Dartford have struggled at home all season and with Tonbridge not having played on Thursday I think there is some value in going for the away win.
Wealdstone v St Albans
St Albans have improved massively in recent weeks and although they play top of the table Wealdstone here I think the teams are much closer together than the odds suggest.
Hungerford v Havant & Waterlooville
Havant had their game called off on Saturday and I am going to try them on the -1 again. In theory they should cover this with ease and hopefully they go and prove their dominance on the pitch.
Woking 2pts @ 177/100 with Marathon
Kings Lynn 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365, William Hill, Betfred and Betway
Kettering 2pts @ 7/1 with Betfair, Paddy Power and BetVictor
AFC Telford 1pt @ 177/100 with Marathon
Concord 2.5pts @ 31/20 with Marathon
Tonbridge 1pt @ 5/2 with Bet365
St Albans 1pt @ 9/2 with William Hill, Marathon, Betfred and BetVictor
Havant -1 2pts @ 7/4 with Betfair and Paddy Power

Saturday was not great with only Weston winning and Havant really should have covered the handicap with ease instead of only drawing which was especially frustrating. Anyway onto Boxing Day and I have 7 bets including 5 in the National League.

Dagenham & Redbridge v Ebbsfleet
Dagenham did manage to get pass Sutton in the FA Trophy, but they have lost 8 of their last 9 league games and as I mentioned when tipping Sutton up the 6-1 beating of Aldershot sticks out like a massive sore thumb. I just can't have Ebbsfleet as big as 13/5 for this given they have only lost one league game in their last 8. Granted they have drawn 4 of them, but they have been playing well and are unfortunate not to have picked up more wins.
Chesterfield v Solihull Moors
Solihull's away form nearly put me off this as it isn't as strong as it should be, but I think the Rotherham loss was to blame for the poor performance at Wrexham in their last away match and then prior to that they had picked up 7 points in their last 3 games on the road. Chesterfield beat Torquay on Saturday, but the home side pretty much gifted them the victory given they conceded in the first minute and then had a man sent off. That was their first win in 8 games and given they are playing the team I think are probably the best in the division it ought to be an away win.
Dover v Bromley
Bromley blew it big time on Saturday by gifting Eastleigh 3 goals and 3 wins in their last 9 league games is a bit of a concern, but it sums up the league that they are still bang in contention. I have to back them here though given Dover's poor home form which I have often spoken about on here and I would have them as favourites.
Harrogate v Hartlepool
Got to try again with Hartlepool after the FA Trophy game which should have been a winner. They are the better team for me and they should be wanting to prove a point after blowing a 2 goal lead.
Yeovil v Torquay
6 league losses on the bounce for the away side and I just don't see how they can suddenly beat Yeovil who have lost just once in 9. It was an impressive effort to come from 2 down to draw 2-2 at Fylde on Saturday and given Torquay are conceding goals for fun at the moment I can see Yeovil's impressive strike force causing them all sorts of problems. They should be odds on for me.
Guiseley v Farsley Celtic
The last time I opposed the home side was when they beat Gateshead which is their only victory in 9 league games! Hopefully we can get paid out this time as I think Farsely are the better team. Their away form is the 3rd best in the division only behind the top two in the table and I was impressed with their win against a Leamington side who have been showing a fair bit of improvement. They look value at 19/10.
Hendon v Harrow Borough
Hendon have proved they can do well against the teams around them in recent weeks and they look a good bet to beat a Harrow side who are badly out of form. They lost 4-0 to Weston on Saturday and have only picked up one point in their last 7 games. Hendon are much better at home than away as well having lost just one of their last 5 on the own patch.
Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 13/5 with Bet365
Solihull Moors 1pt @ 34/25 with Marathon
Bromley 1pt @ 161/100 with Marathon
Hartlepool 1pt @ 12/5 with Bet365
Yeovil 3pts @ 107/100 with Marathon
Farsley Celtic 1pt @ 19/10 with Bet365
Hendon 2pts @ 129/100 with Marathon
 
I hope everyone has a great Christmas with whatever you have planned and that we can have a profitable Boxing Day.
 
 
 
 

Atherton v Barrow
Sticking with the bet from Saturday. Been confirmed that Barrow are resting players so I think that gives us a sporting chance at the odds.
Darlington v Solihull
Backing Darlington again after they pushed a stronger than expected Solihull side on Saturday close. Solihull play Barrow this Saturday and that game is a lot more important than this and I would imagine it will be a weakened side that Tim Flowers puts out for the replay.
Merstham v Haringey
I have opposed Merstham a few times and they continue to be really poor. They lost 4-2 to Lewes on Saturday and it was another poor display. Haringey's game was off so they come into this fresher than their hosts and their league position is a bit misleading as they have only played 15 games so far and they probably should be in and around the play-offs. They should prove too strong for their hosts at the very least and odds against looks a big price.
Treble
Bath had to wait to see who won between Paulton and Sholing on Saturday and Sholing won 2-1. That does mean Bath didn't have a game and they should be too strong for a team 2 levels below and who have lost 8 of their 15 league games. Hednesford do look as if they are going to lose players and Chester should be able to beat them at the 2nd time of asking after a 0-0 draw on Saturday. Finally in the BetVictor Isthmian Premier Bognor Regis are looking very threatening for those teams above them in the table and they are certainly making up for a poor start to the season. A 7-2 win over Cray on Saturday was especially eye-catching and they travel to bottom of the table Bognor on Tuesday. They boost the odds of the treble to 3/1 with BetVictor
Atherton 1pt @ 111/20 with Marathon
Darlington 1pt @ 13/5 with BetVictor
Haringey 2.5pts at 13/10 with BetVictor
Bath/Chester/Bognor Regis 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor

I´m going with Hull today - but it´s more a Bet against Charlton - Chartlon with poor run of Results at the Moment and with many injuries in last Weeks. Today also some important Missings and that´s for me the Fact that they didn´t have a recorded Starting XI...

The FA Trophy steps up another gear this weekend with the National League sides joining the competition, although as usual I suspect some won't want to be staying in the competition for long as they will have other matters on their mind. I am going with 6 bets in the Trophy. In the league's I have 2 singles and a double.
Atherton Colleries V Barrow
Barrow are surprise leaders in the National League at the moment and it isn't hard to think that with the focus being firmly on promotion that they will be putting out a weakened side here. The National League sides have to play 4 games in 9 days over Christmas and with such a busy and crucial period coming up it is easy to imagine that Ian Evatt will rest a few key players for a tie like this. That doesn't mean they won't still win, but I am not sure there is a too much depth in the side and that gives the home team a sporting chance of winning. They managed to upset Boston in the previous round and are unbeaten in their last 3 league games so they are coming into this in decent nick. I'd still make Barrow favourites, but at 6/1 if they face a weakened Barrow side then it is worth an investment.
Dorking v Bromley
Like Barrow I can see Bromley resting players ahead of the busy Christmas period. They got the final a couple of years ago when losing to Brackley, but they now want to get into the Football League and there is every chance this is going to be their best chance of actually winning the title given how weak and open the league looks. Dorking are having a good season in the National League South and are currently unbeaten in 5. They look over priced and even if Bromley were at full strength I wouldn't rule out them causing an upset anyway.
Harrogate v Hartlepool
I know Harrogate's home league form is strong, they are unbeaten in 9 and have won 7 of them, and Hartlepool had to play extra time against Exeter on Tuesday, but I still think Hartlepool are over priced at 31/10 with BetVictor. They should have held on for the win at Woking last week, but maybe Tuesday's night game crept into the players minds. They showed how good they are when beating Exeter and I think they are a better side than Harrogate. Given Dave Challinor won the Trophy with Fylde last season I think there is a strong chance he will want to try and win it again with his new club. Id have preferred if they hadn't gone to extra time on Tuesday, but I still think they are too big a price. If they are this sort of price on Boxing Day for the league version of this fixture then I will be backing them again.
Maidenhead v Hemel Hempstead Town
Alan Devonshire has already raised how annoyed he is with the fact the National League are making them play 4 games in 9 days and survival in the National League is probably more important than winning the FA Trophy. Hemel owe us one after a couple of surprise defeats when I put them up in recent weeks and they have lost 3 league games on the bounce. Even so I don't think there is a great deal between these two sides if Hemel play at their best as they have a good side and thus at 18/5 they are a value play here.
Solihull Moors v Darlington
Again like Barrow and Bromley I can see Tim Flowers resting some of the 1st team here. One line of theory is that he will want the 1st team to bounce back after losing to Wrexham last Saturday, but I think it would be more sensible to give them a longer break ahead of the busy period to come especially after the mentally tough to take loss to Rotherham in the FA Cup. Darlington proved in their FA Cup run they have a strong team on their day and they are more than capable of causing an upset especially if we see a weaker than usual Solihull side.
Sutton v Dagenham & Redbridge
Dagenham are in terrible form going into this tie with the 6-1 win over Aldershot sticking out like a sore thumb as they have lost their other 7 of their last 8 games. Peter Taylor must be feeling the pressure and they must surely be thinking about a change of manager if results don't improve soon. They have a tough game here though against an improving Sutton whose only defeat in their last 6 was against Bromley and they played well in that defeat. They look the best bet of the weekend to me.
Leiston v Peterborough Sports
The price available on Leiston is way too big for this game. As I mentioned last week they are a side who are now much better than their league position suggests. They duly bolted up against Redditch and although this is game is tougher they just shouldn't be 5/1 shots to win this. I would still make Sports favourites and they are having a good first season at this level, but the market hasn't caught up with Leiston's improved side and I am hopeful that even if we don't collect here we will get more opportunites to back them in the upcoming fixtures.
Weston-Super-Mare v Wimborne Town
Weston have been a bit disappointing this season and they have dropped silly points. They should really be in promotion contention and not near the relegation zone. I like the signing of Vincent Harper in the week as Gloucester had him on loan earlier in the season and I was very impressed with him. He will improve the side for sure and on paper they have a much stronger side than Wimborne. Hopefully they can make it show on the pitch.
St Ives v Redditch and Swindon Supermarine v Dorchester
Speaking of Redditch they have to be opposed again. They had quite a few academy players playing against Leiston and they then had another heavy defeat to Evesham in the League Cup. This is the only fixture St Ives will be odds on for all season because they aren't great either and they have only picked up 2 points in their last 9 games. This though is a must win for them and they really ought to be capable of doing so. Dorchester drew 4-4 against Gosport on Tuesday in a crazy game that Gosport were a man down for a lot of. This game is much harder for them as Swindon Supermarine are flying this season and look possible title contenders. This should be a home win and it looks a double well worth having.
Atherton Colleries 1pt @ 6/1 with BetVictor
Dorking 1pt @ 12/5 with BetVictor
Hartlepool 1pt @ 13/10 BetVictor
Hemel Hempstead Town 1pt @ 18/5 with BetVictor
Darlington 1pt @ 4/1 with BetVictor
Sutton 2pts @ 117/100 with Marathon
Weston-Super Mare 1pt @ 34/25 with Marathon
Leiston 1pt @ 5/1 with BetVictor
St Ives/Swindon Supermarine 2pts double @ 1.94/1 with Marathon
 

Some intressting Results for me today, where i have only 1 Bet Won which was Huddersfileld, but all 4 other Bets are lost - so better for me that i don´t write it down here. So Bristol and Fulham lost and Nottingham can´t win - so thats not a good Day. Also my Potters won, but i had preffered a Win wih Both2Score. But did not happend.
So next Day, better Chances...
I will go on Reading to Win - against Bottom Team Barnsley, who are actually seems the weakest Team with Luton in League and also Reading have superb Record to play at Barnsley. Also i like Cardiff +0.5 - they seems very Effecitive at the Moment and Brentford may be with some Missings from Dalsgaard and Jansson - which are both important - but rumours said Dalsgaard are fit, but how fit...!?
Also i like Derby to Win - but here i will wait for more Infos - maybe i will bet only the DNB.

NHL Picks for Friday December 6
The 5-star and 4-star plays hit last night!
Despite a 2-3 record, we made a profit thanks in large part to the Blackhawks pulling off the big upset in Boston!
RECORD:
Bets won = 45 Bets lost = 49 Profit = +$7.58 (from RISKING 1$ on every play) Only one team meets the criteria of one of my 10 NHL betting systems:
3 STARS = Kings (at +146 or 2.46) at Oilers This pick relies on "The Big Upset" and "The Scoring Drought" strategies.
Here are the details of "The Big Upset" angle:
"Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds greater than 2.70 (i.e. +170 in American format. If Team B's next game is against Team C, bet Team C if its money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."
This system yielded a profit of 27.81 units via 600 bets over a nine-year period. Not my personal favorite, but I'm still using it.
In Edmonton's last game, they were upset at home against the Sens. Ottawa's money line was much bigger than 2.70. According to the system, we need to bet AGAINST the Oilers, which means we're taking the Kings (unless they had been big favorites, which is not the case here).
I'll talk to you again Monday, unless... If you wish to receive the NHL system plays for all 4 weekends in December, please follow this link.
Professor MJ

I´ve got today some Hopes in Bournemouth - Palace with some missings in Defensive and Bournemouth with Francis and Billing back after Suspension. For sure Palace unpredictable but for me both Teams are nearly on the same Level but in a Midweek Game i would say Borunemouth have little bit better deeper Squad at all. So i´ve got here the Both2Score and DC on Bournemouth.
Also i´m on Burnley AHC+1.5 - Man City slight a little bit out of Form and the whole Season with some Defensive Problems/Performances. So also it´s hard to play at Turf Moor and after 14 Games unbeaten at Home Burnley lost now at weekend against Palaces, so you see it´s hard for Away Teams. Also Man City allways smashed up Burnley in there own Home Games but at Turf Moor City last Games never made it in HC.

NHL Picks for Wednesday December 4
Ouch. Tough day last night, as almost half of our yearly profit disappeared.
That's ok. Gotta learn to cope with losing streaks when doing sports investments.
RECORD:
Bets won = 42 Bets lost = 45 Profit = +$6.35 (from RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's system picks are:
2 STARS = Senators (at +190 or 2.90) at Oilers 2 STARS = Kings (at +121 or 2.21) vs Capitals The Los Angeles pick is based on "The Hot Scorers" betting angle:
"Suppose a team has scored 4+ goals in each of its past 3 games. Bet AGAINST that team if they are on the road tonight."
This system yielded a profit of 45.08 units via 332 bets over a nine-year period.
Now, the Caps have scored 5, 5 and 4 goals in their three most recent matchups. Considering they are the visiting team tonight, we are fading them.
Professor MJ
 

NHL Picks for Tuesday December 3
RECORD:
Bets won = 40 Bets lost = 38 Profit = +$11.12 (from RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's system picks are (what??? 9 system picks out of 10 games, I've never seen that before!):
5 STARS = Stars (at -109 or 1.92) at Jets 4 STARS = Hurricanes (at +135 or 2.35) at Bruins 4 STARS = Maple Leafs (at -114 or 1.88) at Flyers 4 STARS = Coyotes (at +119 or 2.19) at Blue Jackets 3 STARS = Lightning (at +104 or 2.04) at Predators 2 STARS = Senators (at +145 or 2.45) at Canucks 2 STARS = Sharks (at +107 or 2.07) vs Capitals 1 STAR = Islanders (at +111 or 2.11) at Canadiens 1 STAR = Devils (at +125 or 2.25) vs Golden Knights The Dallas pick is based on the following three betting systems: "The Scoring Drought", "The Stingy Goalies" and "The Snapped Winning Streak". The latter goes like this:
"Bet against a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Bet only if your team's money line is greater than 1.667 (i.e. -150 in American format)."
This betting strategy used over a nine-year period led to gains of $87.34 through 1045 bets.
In this case, the Jets just got their three-game winning streak snapped, so we are fading them tonight.
Professor MJ
 

NHL Picks for Monday December 2
RECORD:
Bets won = 39 Bets lost = 37 Profit = +$11.36 (from RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's system picks are:
2 STARS = Golden Knights (at -132 or 1.76) at Rangers 1 STAR = RedWings (at +177 or 2.77) vs Islanders The Detroit pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting angle:
"Suppose a team allows 4+ goals in each of its past two games. Bet them tonight if they are playing at home with a money line greater than 2.05 (i.e. +105 in American format)."
Using this system over a nine-year period led to 27.64-unit gains via 267 bets.
The Wings have allowed 5 and 6 goals in their last two meetings, respectively. Since they are indeed home underdogs, we are backing them tonight.
It also fits my contrarian approach; they won't be a sexy pick considering they have lost their past nine games.
Professor MJ
 

Great to have a easy win for the big price Nap's Hampton and also the 5/1 shots Stockport on Saturday to make it a profitable afternoon. There aren't too many games this mid-week, but one on Monday has caught my eye.
Hitchin v Lowestoft (BetVictor Southern Premier League Central)
Lowestoft are having a bit of an injury crisis at the moment and they had another player injured on Saturday in their 4-1 defeat at Tamworth. You add this to their shocking home record and it really ought to be a comfortable win for the home side. Lowestoft have lost all their away games apart from beating Stratford. Not only that but they have conceded 25 times in those 7 defeats and just one of those was by less than 2 goals and that came back on 10th August. Hitchin have only lost 1 of their last 9 although strangely it did come against bottom side Leiston, but otherwise they have been good and were impressive in beating Barwell 4-1 on Saturday. Hitchin should be able to cover the handicap and if they come out of the blocks like they did on Saturday I can also see them winning at HT and FT.
Hitchin -1 2pts @ 8/5 with BetVictor
Hitchin HT/FT 1pt @ 8/5 with Bet365

NHL Picks for Friday November 29
Today's system picks are:
5 STARS = Red Wings (at +221 or 3.21) at Flyers 3 STARS = Kings (at +140 or 2.40) at Sharks 3 STARS = Blues (at +135 or 2.35) at Stars 2 STARS = Senators (at +167 or 2.67) at Wild 2 STARS = Capitals (at -111 or 1.90) vs Lightning 1 STAR = Predators (at +114 or 2.14) at Hurricanes Happy Friday!
Professor MJ

NHL Picks for Thursday November 28
3-2 last night despite picking 5 underdogs, so a good money making day (+1.80 units)!
Both losses by a one-goal margin, so we had a legitimate shot at a perfect 5-0 record.
RECORD:
Bets won = 36 Bets lost = 34 Profit = +$10.97 (from RISKING 1$ on every play) Just one game in the NHL today. My 10 betting systems recommend staying away from that game.
I still wanted to wish a great Thanksgiving day to my American friends! Enjoy your day with your loved ones!
Professor MJ