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ProfessorMJ

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ProfessorMJ last won the day on September 5

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  1. Now 4 straight bets won, and also 8 of the past 12. Let's finish the season strong! RECORD: Bets won = 16 Bets lost = 16 Profit = +$2.29 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle): Phillies (at +170 or 2.70) at Indians This pick is based on 2 betting systems, one of them being "The Blowout Effect" betting angle #2: "Suppose Team A beats Team B by 7+ runs. If Team A's next game is against Team C, bet Team C." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +20.39 units from 590 bets (ROI = 3.5%) In 2019: +1.35 units from 65 bets (ROI = 2.1%) Since Cleveland won its last game by a 7-run margin and they are facing a new opponent today, we are fading them. Have a good Friday! Professor MJ
  2. The last 3 picks have been winners, hopefully the good run continues today! RECORD: Bets won = 15 Bets lost = 16 Profit = +1.89$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle): Twins (at -250 or 1.40) vs Royals This play meets the criteria of 2 betting systems, including "The Scoring Drought" betting angle: "Suppose a team loses 2 straight games, while scoring 0-1-2 run(s) in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is greater than 2.50 (so you bet a home favorite)." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +26.99 units from 332 bets (ROI = 8.1%) Since Kansas City has lots its past two games by scoring 0 and 1 run respectively (and they are indeed on the road with large odds), we are fading them. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  3. For the very first time I provided 2 picks of the day because I felt both were very strong plays. And both won! Good job Reds & Mets!! RECORD: Bets won = 14 Bets lost = 16 Profit = +0.54$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time): Padres (at +135 or 2.35) at Brewers This play is based on the same betting angle as yesterday: "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup" betting angle: Since San Diego is undergoing a 6-game losing streak while Milwaukee is riding a 4-game winning streak, we are going against the grain by betting the "cold" team: the Padres! Best of luck! Professor MJ
  4. RECORD: Bets won = 12 Bets lost = 16 Profit = -1.57$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) I'm gonna do something special today by providing 2 picks instead of just one. They both meet the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time!!! This has proven to triple the ROI in 2019. Reds (at +141 or 2.41) at Cubs Mets (at -143 or 1.699) at Rockies One of the betting angles recommending these picks is called "The Cold Team versus Hot Team Matchup": "Bet a road team coming off a loss when facing a home team coming off 4+ straight wins." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +66.51 units from 993 bets (ROI = 6.7%) In 2019: +14.24 units from 121 bets (ROI = 11.8%) Since Cincinnati has lost its last game while the Cubs are riding a 5-game winning streak, we are betting the Reds. Also, considering the Mets have lost their past two games while the Rockies are on a 4-game winning streak, we are betting New York. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  5. RECORD: Bets won = 12 Bets lost = 15 Profit = -0.57$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle): Reds (at ) at Cubs (+250 or 2.50) This play meets the criteria of 3 betting systems at a time, including the most lucrative in 2019 called "The Hot Bats": "Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while scoring 6+ runs in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing at home." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +47.56 units from 1140 bets (ROI = 4.2%) In 2019: +33.64 units from 147 bets (ROI = 22.9%) Since Chicago's last two games were both wins by scoring 16 and 14 runs respectively, we are fading them today. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  6. RECORD: Bets won = 12 Bets lost = 14 Profit = +0.43$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle): Padres (at +100 or 2.00) at Rockies This play meets the criteria of 2 betting angles at a time. Under such circumstances, our ROI (Return On Investment) tripled in 2019 compared to the case where a pick met the criteria of a single betting strategy. One of these two systems is called "The Pummeled Pitchers" betting angle: "Bet the road team if it has lost... a) its past 2 games by allowing 9+ runs in each meeting; b) its past 3 games by allowing 7+ runs in each meeting (unless their money line is greater than 3.0); c) its past 4 games by allowing 6+ runs in each meeting." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +37.58 units from 253 bets (ROI = 14.9%) Since San Diego is on the road and has lost its past two games by allowing 11 and 10 runs respectively, we are betting them this afternoon. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  7. We have won 4 of our past 5 picks of the day, let's keep it up! RECORD: Bets won = 12 Bets lost = 13 Profit = +1.43$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle): Giants (at -215 or 1.465) vs Marlins This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting angle: "Suppose a team loses 2 straight games, while scoring 0-1-2 run(s) in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is greater than 2.50 (so you bet a home favorite)." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +26.99 units from 332 bets (ROI = 8.1%) In 2019: +2.72 units from 33 bets (ROI = 8.2%) Since Miami has lost its past two games by scoring just 0 and 2 runs respectively, and they are fairly big road underdogs, we are betting against them. Have a good Saturday! Professor MJ
  8. It's Friday the 13th!!! Hopefully it won't bring us some bad luck. RECORD: Bets won = 11 Bets lost = 13 Profit = +0.63$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day is the strongest play by far since I've got 3 different betting angles pointing in their direction (odds from Pinnacle): Dodgers (at -125 or 1.80) at Mets This pick is based on "The Blowout Effect" (system #2): "Suppose Team A beats Team B by 7+ runs. If Team A's next game is against Team C, bet Team C." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +20.39 units from 590 bets (ROI = 3.5%) In 2019: -0.10 units from 61 bets (ROI = 1.8%) Since the Mets crushed the D-Backs by a 10-run margin yesterday, we are betting against them today. It is also based on the "Hot Teams Matchup" and "The Hot Bats" systems. Enjoy your day! Professor MJ
  9. Tough loss last night as the Mariners came back in the seventh, thanks to a 3-run Home run by Kyle Lewis. RECORD: Bets won = 10 Bets lost = 13 Profit = -0,80$ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time): Rangers (at +143 or 2.43) vs Rays This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle: "Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%) In 2019: -2.21 units from 27 bets Since Tampa Bay got its 6-game winning streak snapped last night, we are betting against them today. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  10. WEEK #2 Written Wednesday September 11th, 2019 at 2 PM Eastern Time (spreads/odds may have changed) PICK: Chicago Bears -2.5 at Denver Broncos (rated 4 stars) The rest factor, which is critical in the NFL considering the physical nature of the game, is largely in favor of the Bears here. They are going to benefit from three additional days of rest after playing the Thursday Night game against the Packers last week, while the Broncos lose one day of preparation since they played last Monday. In other words, the Bears will have 4 more days than the Broncos to heal and to game plan for their upcoming meeting. That is huge! Chicago is also coming off a very disappointing home opener where they were repeatedly booed by their home crowd. Playing on the road will relieve some stress; it might actually be a good thing. Last week I told you about a website called FootballGuys.com that is a goldmine of information. Prior to last week, they were ranking Oakland’s defense 32nd (dead last!). The Broncos only managed to score 16 points against them, so how can they expect to generate some offense against the stout Bears defense? They are in for a long day. Meanwhile, Chicago’s offense struggled big time against Green Bay. They probably won’t score a boatload of points, but I feel they are going to be more focused on details and will be able to do enough to win this game. Which team has the best defense? Chicago. Which team has the best offense? Chicago. With a more rested team that I also expect to be very hungry, to me the pick is simple here: Chicago! LEAN: Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 vs San Francisco 49ers The Bengals lost a game they should have won in a very tough environment. Indeed, they racked up 429 totals yards versus just 233 for the Seahawks. They made 22 first downs compared to just 12 for Seattle. However, 3 lost fumbles cost them the game. Running back Joe Mixon left the game with an ankle injury, but he should be back this week. Andy Dalton looked very sharp with over 400 passing yards despite missing his number one receiver, A.J. Green. John Ross was fantastic with 7 receptions for 158 yards and a couple of TDs. Cincy’s defense was supposed to be bad in 2019, but they looked good last week. They pressured Russell Wilson pretty often. Was it just a flash in the pan? We’ll find out soon. Meanwhile, the Niners won 31-17 in Tampa Bay even though the stats were pretty even. Obviously, the four takeaways helped secure the win. Jimmy Garoppolo raised many question marks during preseason and he did not necessarily impress in Tampa. He missed several open receivers throughout the game. San Francisco’s running game did okay, but wasn’t great either. They also lost one of their starters, Tevin Coleman. The former Falcon will be out several weeks with a high-ankle sprain. Considering the game starts at 1 PM Eastern Time, it will feel like 10 AM to 49ers players since they come from the West Coast. That’s another obstacle for them. Also, playing on the road against a non-conference opponent makes it more difficult to find extra motivation (as opposed to the home team that necessarily has the motivation to do well in front of their home crowd, no matter the opposing team). Have a great football weekend! Professor MJ
  11. Good job Rockies for a nice 2-1 upset win against the Cards yesterday, thanks to a 482-foot two-run homer by Nolan Arenado! We're now back in the black! RECORD: Bets won = 10 Bets lost = 12 Profit = +0.20 $ (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time): Reds (at -143 or 1.70) at Mariners This pick is based on "The Snapped Losing Streak" betting angle #2: "Fade a team whose losing streak of length 4+ was just snapped in their previous game. Bet only if they are at home, facing the same opponent and their money line is greater than 1.50." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +27.36 units from 388 bets (ROI = 7.1%) In 2019: +9.79 units from 27 bets (ROI = 36.3%) Since Seattle just snapped their 6-game losing skid yesterday against those same Reds and they are playing at home, we are betting Cincy. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  12. RECORD: Bets won = 9 Bets lost = 12 Profit = -$1.11 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle): Rockies (at +131 or 2.31) vs Cards This pick is based on "The Stingy Pitchers" betting angle: "Suppose a team wins 2 straight games, while allowing just 0 or 1 run in each meeting. Fade them if they are playing on the road and their money line is 2.50 or less." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +26.54 units from 375 bets (ROI = 7.1%) In 2019: -4.63 units from 20 bets Since St. Louis has won its previous two meetings by 2-0 and 10-1 scores, we are betting against them. Best of luck! Professor MJ
  13. RECORD: Bets won = 8 Bets lost = 12 Profit = -$1.56 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time): Mets (at -221 or 1.452) vs Diamondbacks This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting angle: "Fade a road team whose winning streak of length 5+ was just snapped in their previous game (so you bet the HOME team)." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +22.06 units from 281 bets (ROI = 7.9%) In 2019: -2.21 units from 27 bets Since Arizona's five-game winning streak was just snapped yesterday, we are fading them today. Good Monday all! Professor MJ
  14. Dammit, we are now in the red following a three-game losing skid! RECORD: Bets won = 8 Bets lost = 11 Profit = -$0.56 (from placing 1$ bets, i.e. RISKING 1$ on every play) Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9am Eastern Time): Tigers (at +264 or 3.64) at A's This pick is based on "The Comeback" betting angle: "Suppose Team A comes back from a deficit of 4+ runs against Team B. If they meet again the next day, bet Team A if their money line is greater than 1.5714 (-175 in American format)." PERFORMANCE: Over 7 years: +38.13 units from 344 bets (ROI = 11.1%) Since Detroit overcame a four-run deficit yesterday and their money line today is indeed much greater than 1.5714, we are betting them. It's a long shot, but let's see how it plays out! Have a good Saturday! Professor MJ